TROOPS Inc. (TROO) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$2.20 -4.76% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.18

TROOPS Inc. (TROO) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 40/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $282.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TROO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, TROOPS Inc. (NASDAQ: TROO) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $2.20 (-4.76% 1D, market cap $282.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, TROO ranks #933 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TROO compare to BBDC and OBDC in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Diversified Financial Services), TROO carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BBDC (Barings BDC Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 8.9x, ROIC 8.8%, cap $912.0M) and OBDC (Blue Owl Capital Corporation) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 8.3x, ROIC 6.4%, cap $5.18B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OBDC leads on earnings multiple (8.3x) while IX leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TROO?
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Per TROO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001412095), TROOPS Inc. generated $17.1M in revenue (+69.7% YoY), $0 in net income, and $807.0K in free cash flow against $69.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.18 (-1.05%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 4.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (40/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510040
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-
Cash (8)Whales (10)SEC (10)Macro (7)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.2% Base Target
$6 Bull$2 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE TROO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TROO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (40/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TROO SCORES 40/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+10/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
32
Grade E$1.60+4.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
35
Grade E$1.67+35.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
37
Grade E$2.26-2.7% Next Q
Current
40
Grade D-$2.20-7.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (32) → D- (40)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TROO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TROO currently carries a cautious 40/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.96) and Max Pain ($2.31) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.54.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TROO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TROO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.28 Expected Swing
$1.92 (-12.5%)Spot $2.20$2.48 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

TROO Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 40/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 69.7%

Model Bullish Setup (40/100)Model Risk Weight (60/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$17.1M$0$807.0K52%
FY 20242024-12-31$10.1M$0$2.0M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$3.6M$0-$6.5M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TROO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of TROO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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TROO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -44.72%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $2.16H $2.31L $2.16C $2.20VOL 400.3K
RES: $2.47SUP: $1.52SMA50: $1.96SMA200: $2.67
$4.96$3.89$2.82$1.76$0.69RES $2.47SUP $1.52$2.202026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TROO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +69.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TROO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TROO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TROO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TROO)

Financials Rank #933 of 1096 ⚔️ BBDC vs TROO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (TROO vs. BBDC, OBDC, IX, WNEB)

Industry: Diversified Financial Services (4 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, TROOPS Inc. (TROO) ranks #933 by composite RQD confidence (40/100, grade D-) and #825 by equity capitalization ($282.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OBDC leads on earnings valuation at 8.3x trailing P/E, while IX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and — gross margin. BBDC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with TROO at 40/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TROO ACTIVE
TROOPS Inc.
D- 40/100 — — -35.0% -4.76% $282.2M Benchmark Subject
BBDC
Barings BDC Inc.
C 65/100 8.9x — 8.8% -0.69% $912.0M /bbdc-vs-troo →
OBDC
Blue Owl Capital Corporation
C 65/100 8.3x — 6.4% -1.05% $5.18B /obdc-vs-troo →
IX
ORIX Corporation
D+ 58/100 32.8x — 9.9% -1.39% $40.70B /ix-vs-troo →
WNEB
Western New England Bancorp Inc.
C 65/100 18.5x — 6.2% -0.78% $282.2M /wneb-vs-troo →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001412095

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), TROOPS Inc. (TROO) reported GAAP revenue of $17.1M (+69.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $10.1M , and +379.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $807.0K, and free cash flow of $807.0K (-58.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, TROO closed FY2025 with $69.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $17.1M $0 $807.0K $807.0K $69.1M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $10.1M $0 $2.0M $2.0M $79.2M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.6M $0 -$6.5M -$6.5M — —

3. TROO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TROO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, TROOPS Inc. (NASDAQ: TROO) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $2.20 (-4.76% 1D, market cap $282.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, TROO ranks #933 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TROO compare to BBDC and OBDC in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Diversified Financial Services), TROO carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BBDC (Barings BDC Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 8.9x, ROIC 8.8%, cap $912.0M) and OBDC (Blue Owl Capital Corporation) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 8.3x, ROIC 6.4%, cap $5.18B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OBDC leads on earnings multiple (8.3x) while IX leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TROO?

Per TROO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001412095), TROOPS Inc. generated $17.1M in revenue (+69.7% YoY), $0 in net income, and $807.0K in free cash flow against $69.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TROO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TROO last traded at $2.20 (-4.76% on volume of 216,989 shares), positioning the stock +12.24% above its 50-day simple moving average ($1.96) and -17.60% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.67). Across its 52-week range of $1.02 to $5.28, TROO sits at the 27.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.92 to $2.48).

TROO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is TROO's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, TROOPS Inc. (TROO)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is TROO stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for TROO, spanning a range between $1.92 and $2.48.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 40/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

TROO — TROOPS Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:39:15Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, TROOPS Inc. carries an RQD Score of 40 out of 100, a letter grade of D-, and the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 8 / 20. Per the RQD rating, ROIC is -35% and FCF yield is 0.29%. This is the weakest-scoring area relative to a fundamentals-driven view: the company is not currently generating returns on invested capital, and free cash flow relative to market value is minimal.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 10 / 20. The RQD rating references institutional accumulation and options positioning. The underlying holder-level detail is not present in the source data, so the strength of this signal cannot be independently verified here.
  • Insider Conviction: 5 / 20. The RQD rating references SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. This is the lowest pillar score, indicating weak insider-side conviction per the rating; the individual transactions are not itemized in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 7 / 20. Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.0 and sector sensitivity is noted. The score reflects limited alignment with the prevailing macro backdrop as assessed by the rating.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 10 / 20. Per the RQD rating, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 3/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. These readings point to a balance sheet that is neither clearly distressed nor clearly sound, with weak Piotroski quality signals.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating's message is that the upside case rests more on flow and sentiment (whale and momentum signals) than on cash generation, while insider conviction and the cash engine both score poorly. The low FCF yield and negative ROIC mean valuation support from current earnings power is thin; any re-rating would need to come from a change in operating economics or from continued flow. The rating itself is a derived score, and the source data does not expose the methodology weights beyond the pillar maxima.

Business

TROOPS Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed company classified in the Financials sector and Diversified Financial Services industry, per the company profile. The profile lists a market capitalization of $0.3B. The source data does not describe the company's products, customers, or revenue model; the reported revenue figures in the financials section are the only operating reference available. Not available in source data for further business detail.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$17.1M$-29.5M$0.0MN/A$0.8MN/AN/A
FY 2024$10.1M$-5.7M$0.0MN/A$2.0MN/AN/A
FY 2023$3.6M$-1.8M$0.0MN/A$-6.5MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $3.6M (FY 2023) to $10.1M (FY 2024) to $17.1M (FY 2025), while operating income deteriorated from $-1.8M to $-5.7M to $-29.5M over the same span. Reported net income is $0.0M in each period, and operating margin is listed as -60% in the market data. Per the RQD rating, ROIC is -35%, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, and the Piotroski F-Score is 3/9, with Debt/Equity of 0.5; the rating characterizes the balance sheet as vulnerable. Gross margin and net margin are listed as 0% in the market data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Forum/discussion coverage (Moomoo, 1h ago, YELLOW): Market-wire coverage of TROO market action and institutional positioning; generic in content.
  • Technical/price coverage (www.debelegger.nl, 3h ago, YELLOW): Generic price and chart coverage.
  • Management change (Stock Titan, 6h ago, YELLOW): Headline indicates an energy-efficiency platform's co-founder becoming a director and that platform's CEO joining TROOPS as COO. The headline is the only substantive detail available.
  • Strategic term sheet (TradingView, 9h ago, YELLOW): Headline states TROOPS announced a strategic term sheet with a platform to accelerate development of digital asset exchange infrastructure. The term sheet's terms, counterparty economics, and timing are not in the source data.
  • Options chain coverage (Moomoo, 12h ago, YELLOW): Generic options quotes coverage.
  • Local event coverage (Facebook, 15h ago, GREEN): Headline relates to a Louisiana State Police community event; it has no evident link to TROOPS' financial position, and the GREEN flag is not explained in the source data.

Risk watch items: the one-day headline set is dominated by generic market-wire coverage, and the substantive catalysts (management change, digital asset term sheet) lack quantified detail. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no proprietary signals and no butterfly links.

Open Questions

  • What are the economic terms and timing of the strategic term sheet for digital asset exchange infrastructure, and what capital commitment does it imply?
  • What drives the widening operating loss from $-1.8M (FY 2023) to $-29.5M (FY 2025) against rising revenue, and what is the path to positive operating income?
  • What are the reported cash and debt balances, since those fields are N/A across all periods and the Debt/Equity of 0.5 cannot be reconciled to balance sheet figures here?
  • Which specific insider and institutional transactions underlie the RQD insider and whale pillar scores?
  • What does the company's business consist of, given the source data offers no product, customer, or revenue-model description?

TROO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for TROOPS Inc. (TROO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TROO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TROO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.20?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TROO 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TROO:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.03 (-12.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TROO (D- • RQD 40/100) a Buy at $2.31?

Welcome to the TROO (TROOPS Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 40/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Diversified Financial Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.80 (-22.1%)
Spot @ $2.31

Pump the brakes on TROO — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TROO, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless TROOPS Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.89 (+25.1%)
Spot @ $2.31

TROO cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TROO, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Diversified Financial Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $2.31 (52-wk range $1.02 - $5.28), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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