Interactive Strength Inc. (TRNR) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$1.54 -3.75% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.53

Interactive Strength Inc. (TRNR) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 28/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $2.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TRNR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Interactive Strength Inc. (NASDAQ: TRNR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $1.54 (-3.75% 1D, market cap $2.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, TRNR ranks #644 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TRNR compare to FXHO and OTIS in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Consumer Electronics/Appliances), TRNR carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 7.9%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, FXHO (UTime Limited (Class A)) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $193.1M) and OTIS (Otis Worldwide Corporation) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 20.5x, ROIC 74.2%, cap $28.40B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OTIS leads on earnings multiple (20.5x) while OTIS leads on capital efficiency (74.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TRNR?
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Per TRNR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001785056), Interactive Strength Inc. generated $11.5M in revenue (+114.3% YoY), -$23.70B in net income, and -$10.5M in free cash flow against $46.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.53 (-0.86%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (28/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510028
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (7)Whales (3)SEC (8)Macro (7)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13.6% Base Target
$216 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE TRNR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TRNR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (28/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TRNR SCORES 28/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+7/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 7.9% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
36
Grade E$2.07-15.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
33
Grade E$1.75-4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
31
Grade E$1.68-8.3% Next Q
Current
28
Grade E$1.54-10% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (36) → E (28)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TRNR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TRNR currently carries a cautious 28/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.41) and Max Pain ($1.62) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $216.24.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TRNR• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TRNR Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.19 Expected Swing
$1.35 (-12.5%)Spot $1.54$1.73 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

TRNR Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 28/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 114.3%

Model Bullish Setup (28/100)Model Risk Weight (72/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$11.5M-$23.70B-$10.5M7.9%
FY 20242024-12-31$5.4M-$34.93B-$14.8M-50%
FY 20232023-12-31$962.0K-$51.37B-$15.4M8%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TRNR)

  • ✓Walkthrough of TRNR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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TRNR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -78.00%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $1.63H $1.63L $1.54C $1.54VOL 1.6K
RES: $3.26SUP: $1.18SMA50: $2.41SMA200: $8.87
$149.1$109.1$69.02$28.98$-11.06RES $3.26SUP $1.18$1.542026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TRNR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +114.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TRNR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TRNR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TRNR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TRNR)

Technology Rank #644 of 714 ⚔️ FXHO vs TRNR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (TRNR vs. FXHO, OTIS, EMR, GEV)

Industry: Consumer Electronics/Appliances (22 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Interactive Strength Inc. (TRNR) ranks #644 by composite RQD confidence (28/100, grade E) and #694 by equity capitalization ($2.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OTIS leads on earnings valuation at 20.5x trailing P/E, while OTIS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 74.2% ROIC and — gross margin. EMR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with TRNR at 28/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TRNR ACTIVE
Interactive Strength Inc.
E 28/100 — 7.9% -35.0% -3.75% $2.6M Benchmark Subject
FXHO
UTime Limited (Class A)
E 27/100 — 1.0% — -15.52% $193.1M /fxho-vs-trnr →
OTIS
Otis Worldwide Corporation
C 65/100 20.5x — 74.2% +1.53% $28.40B /otis-vs-trnr →
EMR
Emerson Electric Company
C+ 69/100 41.5x 52.8% 9.7% -3.40% $95.24B /emr-vs-trnr →
GEV
GE Vernova Inc.
D 49/100 48.1x 19.8% 4.4% -3.38% $234.99B /gev-vs-trnr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001785056

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Interactive Strength Inc. (TRNR) reported GAAP revenue of $11.5M (+114.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $5.4M , and +1098.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$23.70B, operating cash flow of -$10.4M, and free cash flow of -$10.5M (+29.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, TRNR closed FY2025 with $46.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $11.5M -$23.70B -$10.4M -$10.5M $46.8M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $5.4M -$34.93B -$14.8M -$14.8M $34.2M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $962.0K -$51.37B -$15.4M -$15.4M — —

3. TRNR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TRNR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Interactive Strength Inc. (NASDAQ: TRNR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $1.54 (-3.75% 1D, market cap $2.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, TRNR ranks #644 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TRNR compare to FXHO and OTIS in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Consumer Electronics/Appliances), TRNR carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 7.9%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, FXHO (UTime Limited (Class A)) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $193.1M) and OTIS (Otis Worldwide Corporation) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 20.5x, ROIC 74.2%, cap $28.40B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OTIS leads on earnings multiple (20.5x) while OTIS leads on capital efficiency (74.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TRNR?

Per TRNR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001785056), Interactive Strength Inc. generated $11.5M in revenue (+114.3% YoY), -$23.70B in net income, and -$10.5M in free cash flow against $46.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TRNR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TRNR last traded at $1.54 (-3.75% on volume of 5,835 shares), positioning the stock -36.10% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.41) and -82.64% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.87). Across its 52-week range of $1.37 to $205.94, TRNR sits at the 0.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 29.9 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.35 to $1.73).

TRNR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is TRNR's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Interactive Strength Inc. (TRNR)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is TRNR stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for TRNR, spanning a range between $1.35 and $1.73.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 28/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

TRNR — Interactive Strength Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:54:26Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, TRNR scores 28 out of 100, graded E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 (ROIC -35%; FCF yield 0%); Whale 13F Flow at 3/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 7/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 8/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 3/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

For a prospective investor, the cash engine and ownership-flow pillars are the weakest contributors. A negative ROIC and 0% FCF yield indicate that, per the source data, the business is not currently converting capital into free cash flow. The low whale and insider scores mean the source data shows little supportive positioning from large institutions or insiders. The balance-sheet pillar is the strongest of the five but still sits in a middling band, with a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 signaling weak fundamental health. Upside drivers would have to come from a reversal in operating performance, which the source data does not yet show. Valuation tradeoffs are difficult to assess because P/E and EV/EBITDA are not available in source data, and the stock trades at $1.6 against a 52-week range of $1.37 to $205.94. This analysis is educational and is not personalized financial advice.

Business

Interactive Strength Inc. (TRNR) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, operating within the Consumer Electronics/Appliances industry, per the company profile. Per the financials, the company reported revenue of $11.5M for FY 2025, $5.4M for FY 2024, and $1.0M for FY 2023. Not available in source data for product-level detail, customer segments, or revenue model.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$11.5M$-19.9M$-23698.0MN/A$-10.5M$0.5MN/A
FY 2024$5.4M$-29.2M$-34934.0MN/A$-14.8M$0.1MN/A
FY 2023$1.0M$-54.5M$-51373.0MN/A$-15.4MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials and market data, operating margin and net margin are both -60%, and gross margin is 7.9%. ROIC is -35%. The reported net income figures are internally inconsistent with operating income in the source and should be verified against filings. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 3/9, with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5 per the Roarable RQD rating. Cash is reported at $0.5M for FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, the most recent items include a TradingView estimates report, a Yahoo Finance item on a Q3 commercial update across its premium portfolio, and a Benzinga after-market report. Two items carry a GREEN light tagged as CATALYST: a notice that TRNR will report Q3 2026 results on November 16, 2026, expecting record quarterly revenue of $8.0 Million, and a scanx.trade item stating that FY26 pro forma revenue is raised to $50M+. The remaining items are YELLOW and tagged MARKET WIRE. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no proprietary signals or supply-chain links are present. Risk watch items include the gap between the record revenue expectation and the negative operating margin reported in the financials.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply_chain is listed as NONE and butterfly_links is empty. No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks are identified in source data. Investors should note that this absence reflects the limits of the provided data, not confirmation that no such dependencies exist.

Open Questions

  • What are the reported P/E, forward P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS figures, given that these are not available in source data?
  • Why do the reported FY net income figures diverge so sharply from operating income, and what drives the difference?
  • What supports the expected record Q3 2026 revenue of $8.0 Million against the negative operating margin?
  • What are the current debt obligations, since the debt field is N/A across all periods?
  • What is the basis for the market capitalization of $2.6M relative to the 52-week range?

TRNR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Interactive Strength Inc. (TRNR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TRNR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TRNR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.54?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TRNR 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TRNR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.41 (-11.9%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TRNR (E • RQD 28/100) a Buy at $1.60?

Welcome to the TRNR (Interactive Strength Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 28/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Consumer Electronics/Appliances. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.34 (-16.3%)
Spot @ $1.60

Pump the brakes on TRNR — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TRNR, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 7.9% gross margins. Unless Interactive Strength Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.82 (+13.7%)
Spot @ $1.60

TRNR cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TRNR, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Consumer Electronics/Appliances and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1.60 (52-wk range $1.37 - $205.94), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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