Tactical Resources Corp. (TREO) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$1.76 -7.37% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.73

Tactical Resources Corp. (TREO) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $25.9M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TREO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Tactical Resources Corp. (NASDAQ: TREO) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $1.76 (-7.37% 1D, market cap $25.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, TREO ranks #221 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TREO compare to COPR and JAGU in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), TREO carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, COPR (Idaho Copper Corporation) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $32.9M) and JAGU (Jaguar Uranium Corp. (Class A)) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $19.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TREO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while WWR leads on capital efficiency (-15.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TREO?
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Per TREO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-07-31, CIK 0002041208), Tactical Resources Corp. generated $0 in revenue, -$4.7M in net income, and -$305.6K in free cash flow against $0 in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.73 (-1.52%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510034
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (10)Whales (3)SEC (10)Macro (6)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.8% Base Target
$10 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE TREO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TREO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (34/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TREO SCORES 34/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
42
Grade D$2.33-19.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
39
Grade E$1.88-24.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
37
Grade E$1.42+23.9% Next Q
Current
34
Grade E$1.76-8.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (42) → E (34)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TREO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TREO currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.38) and Max Pain ($1.85) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.66.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TREO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TREO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 28, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your TREO Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $1.76: 5681.8 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $1.22
$6,932
$-3,068 (-30.7%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $1.57
$8,920
$-1,080 (-10.8%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $9.66
$54,886
+$44,886 (+448.9%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$274%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$969%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$158%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TREO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of TREO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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TREO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -75.45%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $1.98H $1.98L $1.76C $1.76VOL 91.4K
RES: $2.08SUP: $0.68SMA50: $3.38SMA200: $3.52
$9.75$7.48$5.22$2.96$0.70RES $2.08SUP $0.68$1.762026-08-202026-09-082026-09-252026-10-142026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TREO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TREO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TREO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TREO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TREO)

Materials Rank #221 of 270 ⚔️ COPR vs TREO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (TREO vs. COPR, JAGU, NEXM, WWR)

Industry: Metal Mining (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tactical Resources Corp. (TREO) ranks #221 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #252 by equity capitalization ($25.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TREO leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while WWR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -15.1% ROIC and — gross margin. NEXM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 45/100 (D) compared with TREO at 34/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TREO ACTIVE
Tactical Resources Corp.
E 34/100 — — — -7.37% $25.9M Benchmark Subject
COPR
Idaho Copper Corporation
E 32/100 — — -35.0% -6.29% $32.9M /copr-vs-treo →
JAGU
Jaguar Uranium Corp. (Class A)
E 29/100 — — -35.0% +2.52% $19.3M /jagu-vs-treo →
NEXM
NexMetals Mining Corp.
D 45/100 — — — -6.38% $50.3M /nexm-vs-treo →
WWR
Westwater Resources Inc.
D- 38/100 — — -15.1% -4.79% $54.0M /wwr-vs-treo →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-07-31 • CIK 0002041208

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-07-31), Tactical Resources Corp. (TREO) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of -$4.7M, operating cash flow of -$305.6K, and free cash flow of -$305.6K . On the balance sheet, TREO closed FY2025 with $0 in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-07-31 $0 -$4.7M -$305.6K -$305.6K — —

3. TREO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TREO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Tactical Resources Corp. (NASDAQ: TREO) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $1.76 (-7.37% 1D, market cap $25.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, TREO ranks #221 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TREO compare to COPR and JAGU in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), TREO carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, COPR (Idaho Copper Corporation) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $32.9M) and JAGU (Jaguar Uranium Corp. (Class A)) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $19.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TREO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while WWR leads on capital efficiency (-15.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TREO?

Per TREO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-07-31, CIK 0002041208), Tactical Resources Corp. generated $0 in revenue, -$4.7M in net income, and -$305.6K in free cash flow against $0 in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TREO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TREO last traded at $1.76 (-7.37% on volume of 17,947 shares), positioning the stock -47.93% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.38) and -50.00% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.52). Across its 52-week range of $1.40 to $9.20, TREO sits at the 4.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.54 to $1.98).

TREO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is TREO's 12-month stock price target?

Tactical Resources Corp. (TREO) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $1.57 (-10.8% from $1.76), with a bull-case target of $9.66 and a bear-case floor of $1.22.

Is TREO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates TREO E (Strong Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 34/100.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 34/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

TREO — Tactical Resources Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:19:42Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, TREO scores 34 out of 100, earning a letter grade of E and the verdict "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 (ROIC 0%; FCF yield -1.18%), Whale 13F Flow at 3/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 5/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 6/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 1/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

For a prospective investor, the weakest pillars are institutional flow and insider conviction, which together indicate little observable sponsorship or insider backing in the source data. The cash engine pillar reflects a 0% ROIC and negative FCF yield, meaning the business is not currently generating returns on invested capital. The forensic balance sheet pillar sits at a mid-to-low score: an Altman Z of 2.5 and a Piotroski F of 1/9 point to weak financial health signals, though the Debt/Equity of 0.5 is a relatively contained leverage figure. Upside drivers would need to come from a turnaround in cash generation, which the source data does not evidence. Valuation tradeoffs are difficult to assess because P/E and EPS are not available in source data, though the $25.9M market capitalization and $1.9 price reflect a deeply discounted position against a 52-week range of $1.4 to $9.2. Second-order risk is elevated given the negative net income and the rating's forensic-risk label.

Business

Tactical Resources Corp. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Materials sector and the Metal Mining industry, per the company profile. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model. The FY 2025 financials report $0.0M in revenue, indicating no reported revenue for the period. Per the profile, the company has a market capitalization of $0.0B.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$0.0M$-4.7MN/A$-0.3MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, FY 2025 (filed 2025-07-31) shows zero revenue and zero operating income alongside a net loss of $-4.7M and free cash flow of $-0.3M. Gross, operating, and net margins are each reported as 0%, and ROIC is 0%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 1/9, per the Roarable RQD rating. Debt/Equity is 0.5 per the same rating; cash and debt balances are not available in source data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Six news items are flagged for TREO, each tagged with a YELLOW light and MARKET WIRE impact label. The items include a Simply Wall St stock analysis, a Yahoo Finance UK quote and history page, a kalkine.ca piece describing a sharp one-month decline following its Nasdaq debut, a MarketScreener item referencing earnings results for the full year ended July 31, 2026, a Moomoo article on the company as a US-based rare earths business, and a general Yahoo Finance piece on rare earth metals. The catalysts are largely descriptive; the source data does not provide the substance of the earnings results or quantify any specific operational developments. Risk watch items include the reported one-month decline and the negative net income. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply chain and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's products, customers, and revenue source, given zero reported FY 2025 revenue?
  • What were the actual results in the full-year earnings report referenced in the news wire, and do they reflect any change from FY 2025?
  • What are cash and debt balances, which are listed as N/A in the financials, and how is the company funding its $-4.7M net loss?
  • What drives the Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 and the Altman Z-Score of 2.5, and what components pull them down?
  • Are there any analyst estimates, insider transactions, or institutional holdings disclosed for TREO?

TREO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Tactical Resources Corp. (TREO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TREO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TREO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.76?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TREO 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TREO:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.67 (-12.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TREO (E • RQD 34/100) a Buy at $1.90?

Welcome to the TREO (Tactical Resources Corp.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 34/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Metal Mining. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.52 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $1.90

Pump the brakes on TREO — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TREO, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Tactical Resources Corp. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.34 (+23.2%)
Spot @ $1.90

TREO cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TREO, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Metal Mining and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1.90 (52-wk range $1.40 - $9.20), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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