Stock Ratings / Financials / TPG / earnings

PS (57) BEN (65) OWL (65) CG (33) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

TPG Inc. (TPG) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±9.2% Move

$46.68 -2.63% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $46.37

TPG Inc. (TPG) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $18.12B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TPG Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TPG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, TPG Inc. (NASDAQ: TPG) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $46.68 (-2.63% 1D, market cap $18.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, TPG ranks #303 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TPG compare to PS and BEN in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), TPG carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 98.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 2.5%. By comparison, PS (Pershing Square Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $19.66B) and BEN (Franklin Templeton Inc.) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 31.3x, ROIC 3.0%, cap $16.43B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CG leads on earnings multiple (17.9x) while OWL leads on capital efficiency (6.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TPG?

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Per TPG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001880661), TPG Inc. generated $2.42B in revenue (+16.1% YoY), $184.6M in net income, and $923.3M in free cash flow against $13.49B in total assets and $4.21B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $46.37 (-0.66%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 38.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TPG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TPG SCORES 64/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 38.1% FCF Margin ($923.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$42.89+3.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$44.38+0.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$44.58+4.7% Next Q

Current

Grade C$46.68+1.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (56) → C (64)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TPG Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, TPG faces multiple-compression risk if 98.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 98x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($46.81) or 200D SMA ($45.48) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($47.94) toward Bear Floor ($37.39).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TPG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TPG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 64%NO 36%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±9.2% Swing Band

±$4.29 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

TPG Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 64/100

Trailing EPS: $0.49 • YoY Revenue Growth: 16.1%

Model Bullish Setup (64/100)Model Risk Weight (36/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$2.42B	$184.6M	$923.3M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$2.09B	$23.5M	$438.2M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$1.53B	$80.1M	$651.5M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating TPG & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on TPG
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

TPG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +3.66%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-02O $44.59H $47.94L $44.59C $46.68VOL 5.75M

RES: $62.41SUP: $41.74SMA50: $46.81SMA200: $45.48

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TPG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TPG Butterfly Map → + Track TPG →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +16.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TPG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TPG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TPG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TPG)

Financials Rank #303 of 1096 ⚔️ PS vs TPG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (TPG vs. PS, BEN, OWL, CG)

Industry: Investment Managers (79 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, TPG Inc. (TPG) ranks #303 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #123 by equity capitalization ($18.12B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CG leads on earnings valuation at 17.9x trailing P/E, while OWL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 6.3% ROIC and — gross margin. BEN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with TPG at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TPG ACTIVE TPG Inc.	C	64/100	98.2x	—	2.5%	-2.63%	$18.12B	Benchmark Subject
PS Pershing Square Inc.	D+	57/100	—	—	—	-7.10%	$19.66B	/ps-vs-tpg →
BEN Franklin Templeton Inc.	C	65/100	31.3x	—	3.0%	-2.16%	$16.43B	/ben-vs-tpg →
OWL Blue Owl Capital Inc.	C	65/100	53.1x	—	6.3%	-0.77%	$16.23B	/owl-vs-tpg →
CG The Carlyle Group Inc.	E	33/100	17.9x	—	5.4%	-0.96%	$14.46B	/cg-vs-tpg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001880661

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), TPG Inc. (TPG) reported GAAP revenue of $2.42B (+16.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.09B , and +58.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $184.6M, operating cash flow of $1.03B, and free cash flow of $923.3M (+110.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, TPG closed FY2025 with $13.49B in total assets against $4.21B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.42B	$184.6M	$1.03B	$923.3M	$13.49B	$4.21B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.09B	$23.5M	$532.1M	$438.2M	$10.54B	$3.12B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.53B	$80.1M	$720.5M	$651.5M	$9.96B	$2.33B

3. TPG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TPG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does TPG compare to PS and BEN in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TPG?

Where is TPG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TPG last traded at $46.68 (-2.63% on volume of 2,666,338 shares), positioning the stock -0.28% below its 50-day simple moving average ($46.81) and +2.64% above its 200-day simple moving average ($45.48). Across its 52-week range of $36.95 to $70.38, TPG sits at the 29.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.2% ($42.39 to $50.97).

TPG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is TPG's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, TPG Inc. (TPG)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is TPG stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±9.2% event move for TPG, spanning a range between $42.39 and $50.97.

Direct Sub-Reports: TPG RQD Cockpit TPG 12M Forecast TPG Earnings & Move TPG Dividends & DRIP TPG Insiders & 13F TPG Whale Options TPG Profit Sankey TPG News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 64/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

TPG — TPG Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:14:02Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, TPG scores 64 out of 100, a letter grade of C, labeled "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

Fundamental Cash Engine (14 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, the pillar cites ROIC of 2.5% and FCF yield of 5.1%. The modest ROIC indicates limited return on invested capital, while the FCF yield provides some cash-generation support relative to the share price.
Whale 13F Flow (14 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The score is mid-range; the underlying 13F and options detail is not itemized in the source data.
Insider Conviction (9 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this is the weakest pillar, reflecting SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. A low score signals insider and disclosed-trade activity that does not strongly support conviction.
Macro Regime Fit (12 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 0.93 and the pillar notes sector sensitivity. Beta below 1.0 suggests somewhat less market-wide volatility than the index, but the score is below midpoint on regime fit.
Forensic Balance Sheet (15 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 9/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. This is the strongest pillar and reflects a sound balance-sheet profile on these metrics.

For a prospective investor, the rating points to a balanced setup rather than a clear-cut opportunity. Upside drivers are the strong forensic balance sheet and the cash-generation metric; the valuation tradeoff is significant, since the trailing P/E of 98.2 and EV/EBITDA of 66.7 (per market data) leave little margin for disappointment. Weak insider conviction and below-midpoint macro fit temper the case. This is an analytical framing, not personalized advice.

Snapshot

Price	Market Cap	P/E (TTM)	Forward P/E	EV/EBITDA	EPS (TTM)	Dividend Yield	Beta	52-Wk Range	ROIC %
47.94	$18.12B	98.2	82.5	66.7	0.49	0%	0.93	$36.95 - $70.38	2.5%

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$2424.1M	$217.8M	$184.6M	N/A	$923.3M	$826.1M	$4210.5M
FY 2024	$2087.1M	$27.7M	$23.5M	N/A	$438.2M	$808.0M	$3124.4M
FY 2023	$1534.6M	$94.5M	$80.1M	N/A	$651.5M	N/A	$2331.7M

Revenue rose from $1534.6M (FY 2023) to $2424.1M (FY 2025) per the SEC financials. Net income was $184.6M in FY 2025 against $23.5M in FY 2024. Per market data, operating margin is 9.3%, net margin 7.6%, and gross margin 0%, with ROIC at 2.5%. The Altman Z-Score of 2.5 and Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 are per the Roarable RQD rating; debt rose to $4210.5M in FY 2025 while Debt/Equity is 0.5 per the same rating.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, catalysts are mixed in tone. A GuruFocus item reports a TD Cowen price target raised to $61.00 (flagged GREEN, CATALYST). A TradingView item characterizes Q3 results as driven by broad-based fund inflows and diversified growth (GREEN, CATALYST). Yahoo Finance items cover Q3 earnings versus Wall Street estimates and an earnings-call highlights piece (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE). A Seeking Alpha item flags funding costs as a concern for TPG RE Finance Trust (NYSE:TRTX), a related but distinct entity (YELLOW). A Stock Titan item notes an upcoming TPG Mortgage Investment Trust results date (YELLOW). Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is not mapped and no proprietary signals are recorded.

Open Questions

What is TPG's specific business model, product set, and revenue mix? The source data classifies the sector but does not describe operations.
Why did FY 2024 operating income ($27.7M) and net income ($23.5M) fall so far below FY 2023 despite revenue growth?
What are the EPS figures for FY 2023–2025, which are reported as N/A?
What drives the FY 2023 cash figure being N/A, and how did debt rise from $2331.7M to $4210.5M?
Who are the institutional and insider holders, and what is the consensus analyst rating?

TPG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for TPG Inc. (TPG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TPG Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 8h ago

TPG Inc. (TPG) Q3 Earnings: How Key Metrics Compare to Wall Street Estimates

Yahoo Finance report covering TPG Inc. (TPG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 11h ago

TPG RE Finance Trust: Funding Costs Are A Cause For Concern (NYSE:TRTX)

Seeking Alpha report covering TPG Inc. (TPG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST GuruFocus • 14h ago

TPG Maintained by TD Cowen -- Price Target Raised to $61.00

GuruFocus report covering TPG Inc. (TPG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST TradingView • 17h ago

TPG Q3 deep dive: broad-based fund inflows and diversified growth drive outperformance

TradingView report covering TPG Inc. (TPG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 20h ago

At 8:30 a.m. Nov. 4, TPG Mortgage Investment Trust will discuss its third-quarter results.

Stock Titan report covering TPG Inc. (TPG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 23h ago

TPG Q3 Earnings Call Highlights

Yahoo Finance report covering TPG Inc. (TPG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

TPG RE Finance Trust: Discount Deepens, Dividend Yield Widens (NYSE:TRTX)

Seeking Alpha report covering TPG Inc. (TPG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

TPG earnings: what to look for from TPG

TradingView report covering TPG Inc. (TPG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TPG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $46.68?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TPG 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $51.78 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TPG (C • RQD 64/100) a Buy at $47.94?

Welcome to the TPG (TPG Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 64/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Investment Managers. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (98.2x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $39.79 (-17.0%)

Spot @ $47.94

Pump the brakes on TPG — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TPG, but look at what you are paying: 98.2x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless TPG Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $55.13 (+15.0%)

Spot @ $47.94

TPG cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TPG, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Investment Managers and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $47.94 (52-wk range $36.95 - $70.38), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.