Stock Ratings / Communication Services / TNMG

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TNL Mediagene (TNMG) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$3.89 +27.54% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.08

TNL Mediagene (TNMG) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TNMG Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TNMG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, TNL Mediagene (NASDAQ: TNMG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $3.89 (+27.54% 1D, market cap $2.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, TNMG ranks #73 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TNMG compare to FCDH and HAO in the Communication Services sector?

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Within the Communication Services sector (Advertising), TNMG carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, FCDH (Forcendra Holding Limited (Class A)) holds a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $3.1M) and HAO (Haoxi Health Technology Limited (Class A)) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TNMG leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while YDKG leads on capital efficiency (-11.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TNMG?

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For TNL Mediagene (TNMG), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #73 in Communication Services, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.08 (+4.77%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TNMG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TNMG SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0% FCF Margin ($65.0K FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$3.66-20.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$2.92+7.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$3.13+24.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D$3.89-6.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (38) → D (46)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TNMG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TNMG currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.67) and Max Pain ($4.08) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $97.44.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TNMG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TNMG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 46%NO 54%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

44.430 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE2% OF RANGE

L: $2$3.89H: $93

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 12 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on TNMG

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (60)

14.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (35)

12/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 9/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like TNMG

✓Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TNMG)

✓Walkthrough of TNMG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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TNMG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -46.49%▲ ASCENDING TRIANGLE

2026-11-02O $3.02H $3.89L $3.02C $3.89VOL 4.6K

RES: $7.08SUP: $2.63SMA50: $3.67SMA200: $9.60

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TNMG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TNMG Butterfly Map → + Track TNMG →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TNMG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TNMG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TNMG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TNMG)

Communication Services Rank #73 of 132 ⚔️ FCDH vs TNMG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (TNMG vs. FCDH, HAO, YDKG, INUV)

Industry: Advertising (23 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, TNL Mediagene (TNMG) ranks #73 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #130 by equity capitalization ($2.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TNMG leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while YDKG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -11.5% ROIC and -2.5% gross margin. YDKG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 50/100 (D) compared with TNMG at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TNMG ACTIVE TNL Mediagene	D	46/100	—	—	—	+27.54%	$2.3M	Benchmark Subject
FCDH Forcendra Holding Limited (Class A)	E	26/100	—	23.7%	-35.0%	-2.72%	$3.1M	/fcdh-vs-tnmg →
HAO Haoxi Health Technology Limited (Class A)	D-	36/100	—	96.0%	—	-5.88%	$1.3M	/hao-vs-tnmg →
YDKG Yueda Digital Holding Class A Ordinary Share	D	50/100	—	-2.5%	-11.5%	-2.17%	$5.1M	/ydkg-vs-tnmg →
INUV Inuvo Inc.	E	26/100	—	74.5%	-35.0%	-4.36%	$7.2M	/inuv-vs-tnmg →

2. TNMG Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

TNL Mediagene (TNMG) operates in Advertising (Communication Services) with an equity capitalization of $2.3M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. TNMG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TNMG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does TNMG compare to FCDH and HAO in the Communication Services sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TNMG?

Where is TNMG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TNMG last traded at $3.89 (+27.54% on volume of 61,091,110 shares), positioning the stock +5.99% above its 50-day simple moving average ($3.67) and -59.48% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.60). Across its 52-week range of $2.46 to $92.80, TNMG sits at the 1.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($3.40 to $4.38).

TNMG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell TNMG stock right now?

TNL Mediagene (TNMG) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 46/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is TNMG's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

TNMG's 12-month base price target is $3.68 (range $2.87 to $97.44), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: TNMG RQD Cockpit TNMG 12M Forecast TNMG Earnings & Move TNMG Dividends & DRIP TNMG Insiders & 13F TNMG Whale Options TNMG Profit Sankey TNMG News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 46/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

TNMG — TNL Mediagene: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T14:20:44Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, TNMG scores 46 out of 100, graded D, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 12 / 20 (ROIC 0%; FCF yield 0%); Whale 13F Flow at 3 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 9 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 9 / 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13 / 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

The weakest pillar is institutional flow, scoring 3 of 20, which means the rating framework finds little evidence of institutional accumulation. The cash-engine pillar also reads weak because the source reports 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield, implying no measurable return on capital or free-cash generation in the data provided. The forensic pillar is the relative bright spot, with a Piotroski F-Score of 6 of 9 and a Debt/Equity of 0.5, though the Altman Z-Score of 2.5 is not, by itself, interpreted further in the source. For a prospective investor, the rating points to a stock whose current data offers limited fundamental support, weak institutional sponsorship, and a distribution-warning verdict. Any evaluation should weigh that a 52-week range of $2.46 to $92.8 combined with a current price of 3.05 reflects an extremely wide trading history that the source does not explain.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, the headline with the highest impact label is "TNL Mediagene Regains Compliance with Nasdaq Minimum Bid Price Requirement" (Yahoo Finance, flagged CATALYST). Another item, sourced from TradingView, reports the company sold a Japan unit for $5.5M and says equity now meets a Nasdaq rule. A Stock Titan item says Taiwan operations continue after the Japan sale. Two items report premarket and intraday price moves, one citing a 46% gain and another a 4.39% premarket decline. Watch items include the reliance on a single sale for compliance and the lack of disclosed financial figures. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no supply-chain links or proprietary signals are recorded.

Open Questions

What are the reported revenue, operating income, net income, cash, and debt figures, given that the financials section is empty?
What drove the decline from a 52-week high of $92.8 to a current price of 3.05, and how was it related to the Nasdaq minimum bid compliance issue?
What is the basis for the reported $5.5M Japan unit sale, and what portion of the business remains after the sale?
Who are the institutional and insider holders, given that the holders section is empty?
What explains the 0% ROIC and 0% free-cash-flow yield, and what is the company's path to positive cash generation?

TNMG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for TNL Mediagene (TNMG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TNMG Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 9h ago

TNL Mediagene Regains Compliance with Nasdaq Minimum Bid Price Requirement

Yahoo Finance report covering TNL Mediagene (TNMG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE kalkine.ca • 12h ago

What Lifts TNL Mediagene (NASDAQ:TNMG) Penny Stock 46% Higher Today?

kalkine.ca report covering TNL Mediagene (TNMG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 15h ago

TNL Mediagene (TNMG) Sells Japan Unit For $5.5M, Says Equity Now Meets Nasdaq Rule

TradingView report covering TNL Mediagene (TNMG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 18h ago

8 Communication Services Stocks Moving In Friday's Pre-Market Session

Benzinga report covering TNL Mediagene (TNMG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 21h ago

Taiwan operations continue after TNL Mediagene sells its Japan business.

Stock Titan report covering TNL Mediagene (TNMG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Kalkine • 1d ago

What Explains the 4.39% Premarket Decline for TNL Mediagene (NASDAQ:TNMG)?

Kalkine report covering TNL Mediagene (TNMG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

TNL Mediagene Announces $6.25 Million Strategic Investment from Vector Advisory Partners and Anticipated Change of Control Transaction

Yahoo Finance report covering TNL Mediagene (TNMG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Quiver Quantitative • 1d ago

TNL Mediagene shares jump after Japanese business sale closes and equity position improves

Quiver Quantitative report covering TNL Mediagene (TNMG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TNMG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $3.89?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TNMG 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $3.29 (+7.9%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TNMG (D • RQD 46/100) a Buy at $3.05?

Welcome to the TNMG (TNL Mediagene) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 46/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Advertising. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.38 (-22.0%)

Spot @ $3.05

Pump the brakes on TNMG — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TNMG, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless TNL Mediagene expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $3.51 (+15.1%)

Spot @ $3.05

TNMG cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TNMG, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Advertising and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $3.05 (52-wk range $2.46 - $92.80), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.