Tandem Diabetes Care Inc. (TNDM) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$19.11 -3.44% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.96

Tandem Diabetes Care Inc. (TNDM) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 30/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $1.38B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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As of 2026-11-02, Tandem Diabetes Care Inc. (NASDAQ: TNDM) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $19.11 (-3.44% 1D, market cap $1.38B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, TNDM ranks #840 in composite RQD confidence.

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🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TNDM compare to BVS and NVCR in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Dental Instruments), TNDM carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 53.8%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BVS (Bioventus Inc. (Class A)) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 55.0x, ROIC 10.4%, cap $1.25B) and NVCR (NovoCure Limited) posts a E grade (21/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -27.5%, cap $1.53B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BVS leads on earnings multiple (55.0x) while BVS leads on capital efficiency (10.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TNDM?
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Per TNDM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001438133), Tandem Diabetes Care Inc. generated $1.01B in revenue (+7.9% YoY), -$204.7M in net income, and -$29.7M in free cash flow against $881.1M in total assets and $310.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.96 (-0.81%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (30/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510030
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (13)SEC (6)Macro (5)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.6% Base Target
$31 Bull$17 Base$13 Bear
📬 FREE TNDM RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TNDM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (30/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TNDM SCORES 30/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (43% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±11.3% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+6/20 pts (20% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
22
Grade E$16.45-0.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
25
Grade E$16.38+15.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
27
Grade E$18.90+1.1% Next Q
Current
30
Grade E$19.11-9.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (22) → E (30)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TNDM Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TNDM currently carries a cautious 30/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($17.97) and Max Pain ($20.07) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $31.13.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TNDM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TNDM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your TNDM Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $19.11: 523.3 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $13.03
$6,818
$-3,182 (-31.8%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $16.70
$8,739
$-1,261 (-12.6%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $31.13
$16,290
+$6,290 (+62.9%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$1774%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$2969%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$1558%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TNDM)

  • ✓Walkthrough of TNDM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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TNDM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -3.82%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $19.68H $19.79L $19.11C $19.11VOL 3.36M
RES: $29.08SUP: $15.62SMA50: $17.97SMA200: $18.93
$25.69$22.05$18.41$14.77$11.13RES $29.08SUP $15.62$19.112026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TNDM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TNDM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TNDM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TNDM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TNDM)

Health Care Rank #840 of 1016 ⚔️ BVS vs TNDM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (TNDM vs. BVS, NVCR, DRTS, PRCT)

Industry: Medical/Dental Instruments (120 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tandem Diabetes Care Inc. (TNDM) ranks #840 by composite RQD confidence (30/100, grade E) and #314 by equity capitalization ($1.38B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BVS leads on earnings valuation at 55.0x trailing P/E, while BVS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.4% ROIC and 68.3% gross margin. BVS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with TNDM at 30/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TNDM ACTIVE
Tandem Diabetes Care Inc.
E 30/100 — 53.8% -35.0% -3.44% $1.38B Benchmark Subject
BVS
Bioventus Inc. (Class A)
C 65/100 55.0x 68.3% 10.4% -10.39% $1.25B /bvs-vs-tndm →
NVCR
NovoCure Limited
E 21/100 — 74.5% -27.5% +0.31% $1.53B /nvcr-vs-tndm →
DRTS
Alpha Tau Medical Ltd.
D- 39/100 — — -35.0% -1.28% $1.22B /drts-vs-tndm →
PRCT
PROCEPT BioRobotics Corporation
D- 40/100 — 63.7% -35.0% -5.42% $1.16B /prct-vs-tndm →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001438133

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Tandem Diabetes Care Inc. (TNDM) reported GAAP revenue of $1.01B (+7.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $940.2M , and +35.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$204.7M, operating cash flow of -$9.7M, and free cash flow of -$29.7M (-694.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, TNDM closed FY2025 with $881.1M in total assets against $310.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.01B -$204.7M -$9.7M -$29.7M $881.1M $310.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $940.2M -$96.0M $24.2M $5.0M $967.7M $308.3M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $747.7M -$222.6M -$31.8M -$31.8M — —

3. TNDM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TNDM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Tandem Diabetes Care Inc. (NASDAQ: TNDM) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $19.11 (-3.44% 1D, market cap $1.38B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, TNDM ranks #840 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TNDM compare to BVS and NVCR in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Dental Instruments), TNDM carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 53.8%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BVS (Bioventus Inc. (Class A)) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 55.0x, ROIC 10.4%, cap $1.25B) and NVCR (NovoCure Limited) posts a E grade (21/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -27.5%, cap $1.53B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BVS leads on earnings multiple (55.0x) while BVS leads on capital efficiency (10.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TNDM?

Per TNDM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001438133), Tandem Diabetes Care Inc. generated $1.01B in revenue (+7.9% YoY), -$204.7M in net income, and -$29.7M in free cash flow against $881.1M in total assets and $310.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TNDM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TNDM last traded at $19.11 (-3.44% on volume of 1,874,260 shares), positioning the stock +6.34% above its 50-day simple moving average ($17.97) and +0.95% above its 200-day simple moving average ($18.93). Across its 52-week range of $12.26 to $29.65, TNDM sits at the 39.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 66.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.3% ($16.95 to $21.27).

TNDM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is TNDM's 12-month stock price target?

Tandem Diabetes Care Inc. (TNDM) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $16.7 (-12.6% from $19.11), with a bull-case target of $31.13 and a bear-case floor of $13.03.

Is TNDM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates TNDM E (Strong Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 30/100.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 30/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

TNDM — Tandem Diabetes Care Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:29:20Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, TNDM scores 30 out of 100 and receives a letter grade of E, with the verdict "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (3 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is -35% and FCF yield is -2.15%. This is the weakest-contributing area of the framework from a cash-generation standpoint, indicating the business is not currently converting capital into positive free cash flow returns.
  • Whale 13F Flow (13 / 20): The rating cites institutional accumulation and options positioning. This is the strongest pillar, though the source does not itemize the underlying 13F holdings (see Analyst View section).
  • Insider Conviction (3 / 20): The rating cites SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The low score suggests insider and disclosed-trade signals are weak in the framework's view; the underlying trade-level detail is not provided.
  • Macro Regime Fit (5 / 20): Per the rating, beta is 1.0 with sector sensitivity noted. Market-level sensitivity is in line with the broad market, but the framework scores macro alignment poorly.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (6 / 20): Per the rating, Altman Z is 0.2, Piotroski F is 4/9, and Debt/Equity is 2. These readings point to elevated financial distress risk under the framework.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the practical implication is that the score is driven primarily by negative operating economics and balance-sheet forensics rather than by any single weak metric. Upside drivers in this framework would need to come from a reversal in cash generation and balance-sheet strength; the current data shows neither. Valuation tradeoffs cannot be fully assessed because P/E, forward P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS are not available in source data, so the stock cannot be benchmarked against earnings-based valuation. The institutional-flow pillar offers the only meaningful positive counterweight, and that is insufficient to offset the weaker pillars. This is an analytical reading of the framework, not personalized financial advice.

Business

Tandem Diabetes Care Inc. (TNDM) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, operating within the Medical/Dental Instruments industry. Per the profile, the company carries a market capitalization of $1.4B. The source data does not detail the company's specific product lines, customer base, or revenue model beyond the sector and industry classification. Reported revenue of $1014.7M for FY 2025 is shown in the SEC financials section, but the underlying revenue composition is not available in source data.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$1014.7M$-187.3M$-204.7MN/A$-29.7M$90.6M$310.0M
FY 2024$940.2M$-99.1M$-96.0MN/A$5.0M$69.2M$308.3M
FY 2023$747.7M$-233.2M$-222.6MN/A$-31.8MN/AN/A

Per the market data, gross margin is 53.8%, operating margin is -18.5%, and net margin is -20.2%. Operating and net income were negative across all three reported periods. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is -35%, and the forensic balance sheet readings are an Altman Z-Score of 0.2 and a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, with Debt/Equity of 2. Cash moved from $69.2M in FY 2024 to $90.6M in FY 2025 while debt was broadly flat, with FY 2025 free cash flow negative at $-29.7M.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The news wire contains six items, all related to TNDM. Market-wire items cover general price, options, and institutional positioning coverage from Yahoo! Finance Canada, Yahoo Finance, and Moomoo, with one item noting the stock "may be underpriced given its sales base." A Simply Wall St item is flagged RED under RISK WATCH and is headlined around execution questions and whether the stock is cheap or fairly valued. A Yahoo Finance item notes a possible negative earnings report ahead of the next week's release. A separate Yahoo Finance item covers upcoming conference presentations. The butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals, so no butterfly-graph catalysts are available.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply_chain is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the provided data. The only sector context available is the Health Care / Medical/Dental Instruments classification. A prospective investor should note that the absence of mapped supply-chain links means this framework cannot identify second-order ripples; any such assessment would require data not in source data.

Open Questions

  • What are the P/E, forward P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS (TTM) figures, which would allow valuation benchmarking against the RQD rating?
  • What are the specific 13F holders, position sizes, and recent changes behind the 13/20 Whale Flow pillar?
  • What do the SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR trades underlying the 3/20 insider score look like in detail?
  • What is the FY 2024 and FY 2023 cash and debt position, and what drove FY 2023's negative FCF and missing balance-sheet data?
  • What does the Simply Wall St RED risk-watch item identify as the execution concern, and what is the scheduled earnings outcome referenced in the Yahoo Finance negative-earnings item?

TNDM Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Tandem Diabetes Care Inc. (TNDM) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TNDM Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TNDM Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $19.11?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TNDM 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TNDM:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $17.42 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TNDM (E • RQD 30/100) a Buy at $19.79?

Welcome to the TNDM (Tandem Diabetes Care Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 30/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Medical/Dental Instruments. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $15.83 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $19.79

Pump the brakes on TNDM — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TNDM, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 53.8% gross margins. Unless Tandem Diabetes Care Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $25.33 (+28.0%)
Spot @ $19.79

TNDM cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TNDM, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Medical/Dental Instruments and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $19.79 (52-wk range $12.26 - $29.65), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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