Titan Machinery Inc. (TITN) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$23.86 -2.77% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $23.70

Titan Machinery Inc. (TITN) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $561.5M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TITN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Titan Machinery Inc. (NASDAQ: TITN) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $23.86 (-2.77% 1D, market cap $561.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TITN ranks #400 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TITN compare to HVT and BNED in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Specialty Stores), TITN carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 15.8%, and ROIC of -0.7%. By comparison, HVT (Haverty Furniture Companies Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 23.2x, ROIC 6.4%, cap $456.6M) and BNED (Barnes & Noble Education Inc) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 26.1x, ROIC 10.3%, cap $439.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SGU leads on earnings multiple (5.8x) while BNED leads on capital efficiency (10.3% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TITN?
β–Ό

Per TITN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001409171), Titan Machinery Inc. generated $2.43B in revenue (-10.2% YoY), -$54.2M in net income, and $137.5M in free cash flow against $1.62B in total assets and $158.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $23.70 (-0.69%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) β€’ 5.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 52.2% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D+
025507510057
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk C-
Cash (12)Whales (12)SEC (11)Macro (13)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.5% Base Target
$28 Bull$24 Base$19 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE TITN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TITN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±10.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY TITN SCORES 57/100 (D+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 78% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 53.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 5.7% FCF Margin ($137.5M FCF) & 15.8% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
49
Grade D$23.56-6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
52
Grade C-$22.15+5.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
54
Grade C-$23.29+2.4% Next Q
Current
57
Grade D+$23.86-0.2% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (49) β†’ D+ (57)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TITN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, TITN faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($23.13) or 200D SMA ($20.10) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($23.75) toward Bear Floor ($18.53).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TITNβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œTITN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 30, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±10.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (TITN)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for TITN.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TITN)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of TITN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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TITN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +13.67%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $24.54H $24.54L $23.86C $23.86VOL 132.9K
RES: $31.11SUP: $15.76SMA50: $23.13SMA200: $20.10
$27.62$24.63$21.63$18.64$15.64RES $31.11SUP $15.76$23.862026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TITN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -10.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TITN today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TITN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TITN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TITN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #400 of 1011 βš”οΈ HVT vs TITN Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (TITN vs. HVT, BNED, SGU, WOOF)

Industry: Other Specialty Stores (42 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Titan Machinery Inc. (TITN) ranks #400 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #574 by equity capitalization ($561.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SGU leads on earnings valuation at 5.8x trailing P/E, while BNED leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.3% ROIC and 23.4% gross margin. HVT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with TITN at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TITN ACTIVE
Titan Machinery Inc.
D+ 57/100 β€” 15.8% -0.7% -2.77% $561.5M Benchmark Subject
HVT
Haverty Furniture Companies Inc.
B- 70/100 23.2x 60.7% 6.4% -0.44% $456.6M /hvt-vs-titn β†’
BNED
Barnes & Noble Education Inc
C 62/100 26.1x 23.4% 10.3% -0.39% $439.2M /bned-vs-titn β†’
SGU
Star Group L.P.
C 63/100 5.8x 31.5% β€” +0.16% $424.6M /sgu-vs-titn β†’
WOOF
Petco Health and Wellness Company Inc. (Class A)
D- 43/100 81.5x 38.7% 4.0% +0.77% $747.6M /woof-vs-titn β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2026-01-31 β€’ CIK 0001409171

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Titan Machinery Inc. (TITN) reported GAAP revenue of $2.43B (-10.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.70B , and -12.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$54.2M, operating cash flow of $137.5M, and free cash flow of $137.5M (+95.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, TITN closed FY2025 with $1.62B in total assets against $158.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-01-31 $2.43B -$54.2M $137.5M $137.5M $1.62B $158.6M
FY2024 (FY) 2025-01-31 $2.70B -$36.9M $70.3M $70.3M $1.81B $157.8M
FY2023 (FY) 2024-01-31 $2.76B $112.4M -$32.3M -$32.3M β€” β€”

3. TITN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TITN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Titan Machinery Inc. (NASDAQ: TITN) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $23.86 (-2.77% 1D, market cap $561.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TITN ranks #400 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TITN compare to HVT and BNED in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Specialty Stores), TITN carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 15.8%, and ROIC of -0.7%. By comparison, HVT (Haverty Furniture Companies Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 23.2x, ROIC 6.4%, cap $456.6M) and BNED (Barnes & Noble Education Inc) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 26.1x, ROIC 10.3%, cap $439.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SGU leads on earnings multiple (5.8x) while BNED leads on capital efficiency (10.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TITN?

Per TITN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001409171), Titan Machinery Inc. generated $2.43B in revenue (-10.2% YoY), -$54.2M in net income, and $137.5M in free cash flow against $1.62B in total assets and $158.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TITN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TITN last traded at $23.86 (-2.77% on volume of 132,927 shares), positioning the stock +3.16% above its 50-day simple moving average ($23.13) and +18.71% above its 200-day simple moving average ($20.10). Across its 52-week range of $13.21 to $26.90, TITN sits at the 77.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±10.5% ($21.35 to $26.37).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 57/100 (D+) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

TITN β€” Titan Machinery Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:34:51Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, TITN scores 60 out of 100, a C- grade labeled "Roarable Hold β€” Cautious Neutral." The fundamental cash engine pillar scores 12 of 20, reflecting ROIC of -0.7% alongside an FCF yield of 23.8%; the high FCF yield relative to the negative ROIC is a tension a prospective investor should examine, since the cash generation figure is not matched by returns on invested capital. The whale/13F flow pillar scores 15 of 20, indicating institutional accumulation and options positioning are a relative strength. The insider conviction pillar scores 9 of 20, the weakest pillar, reflecting SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow signals. The macro regime fit pillar scores 13 of 20, with beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity as the drivers. The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 11 of 20, citing an Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.27. Taken together, the rating points to a stock whose upside depends on converting cash flow into returns and on institutional support holding, while insider conviction and profitability remain the main constraints. The rating is a structured summary of the source data, not a recommendation.

Business

Titan Machinery Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, within the Other Specialty Stores industry. Its market capitalization is $0.6B

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, all six items are tagged to TITN with a YELLOW signal and MARKET WIRE impact label. Headlines include a Q3 earnings report referencing Titan International (NYSE:TWI), a report that the stock price broke above its 200-day moving average, a report of a single adviser holding sole voting power over 1.18M shares, a rotational strategy timing piece, a report of shares down 8.3%, and a report of SummerHaven buying a stake worth USD 1.17 million. Per the butterfly supply-chain graph, no supply-chain links or proprietary signals are recorded. Risk watch items per the news feed include the 8.3% share decline headline and the earnings-related headline; the source does not provide the content of the earnings results.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain field is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies are β€” Sector correlations beyond the Consumer Discretionary classification are β€” The earnings headline referencing Titan International (NYSE:TWI) is the only cross-company reference in the news feed; its relevance to TITN's supply chain is β€”

Open Questions

  • What drove the FY 2025 operating loss of $-6.7M and the net loss of $-54.2M, and what were the reported EPS figures (currently N/A)?
  • What are the reported cash balances (currently N/A for all periods) and how do they reconcile with FCF of $137.5M?
  • What explains the divergence between a 23.8% FCF yield and ROIC of -0.7%?
  • What are the company's specific products, customers, and revenue model?
  • What are the content and implications of the recent Q3 earnings reference?

TITN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Titan Machinery Inc. (TITN) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to TITN Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TITN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $23.86?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TITN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TITN:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull Growth & Tech Investor πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $29.82 (+25.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Per the RQD rating, the 23.8% FCF yield and institutional accumulation signal (15/20 whale/13F pillar) suggest cash generation is not r

Don't sleep on TITN's setup in Consumer Discretionary. Per the RQD rating, the 23.8% FCF yield and institutional accumulation signal (15/20 whale/13F pillar) suggest cash generation is not reflected in the share price.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (57/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

EarningsSniper πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” TITN's 11/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

FO ForensicBear 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $18.61 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $23.86

Per the SEC financials, revenue fell from $2758.4M to $2427.1M over two years with net losses in FY 2024 and FY 2025 and ROIC of -0.7%.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short TITN above $23.86. Per the SEC financials, revenue fell from $2758.4M to $2427.1M over two years with net losses in FY 2024 and FY 2025 and ROIC of -0.7%.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20) and FCF yield (23.8%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $26.90.

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