Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd (TEN) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$53.85 -1.21% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $53.86

Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd (TEN) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 7% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $1.62B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TEN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd (NYSE: TEN) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $53.85 (-1.21% 1D, market cap $1.62B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TEN ranks #117 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TEN compare to NAT and CMRE in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), TEN carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.6%. By comparison, NAT (Nordic American Tankers Limited) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 139.9x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $1.67B) and CMRE (Costamare Inc. $0.0001 par value) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 4.8x, ROIC 12.8%, cap $1.71B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CMRE leads on earnings multiple (4.8x) while CMRE leads on capital efficiency (12.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TEN?
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Per TEN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001166663), Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd generated $798.7M in revenue (-0.7% YoY), $160.9M in net income, and $297.6M in free cash flow against $3.95B in total assets and $1.49B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $53.86 (+0.02%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 37.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510072
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk C+
Cash (13)Whales (16)SEC (10)Macro (17)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.3% Base Target
$68 Bull$57 Base$44 Bear
📬 FREE TEN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TEN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (72/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TEN SCORES 72/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+17/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 92% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 57 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.3% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 10 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
80
Grade A-$56.40-10.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
77
Grade B+$50.43+5.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
75
Grade B+$53.40+0.8% Next Q
Current
72
Grade B$53.85+7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: A- (80) → B (72)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TEN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 72/100 (B) score, TEN faces multiple-compression risk if 10.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($49.18) or 200D SMA ($40.15) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($57.24) toward Bear Floor ($44.16).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TEN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TEN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
5730 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
6 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE92% OF RANGE
L: $22$53.85H: $57
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: CRQD 13 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● BUYING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Hedge funds and options traders are leaning bullish, showing strong institutional appetite.

Factor Grade: B+RQD 32 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: C+RQD 27 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on TEN

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (65)

6.6% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 18.12% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BULLISH (82)

32/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 17/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like TEN
  • ✓Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (TEN Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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TEN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +25.85%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $54.51H $54.51L $53.85C $53.85VOL 249.3K
RES: $58.25SUP: $42.14SMA50: $49.18SMA200: $40.15
$58.82$50.17$41.52$32.87$24.23RES $58.25SUP $42.14$53.852026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TEN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-0.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -0.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TEN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TEN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TEN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TEN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #117 of 1011 ⚔️ NAT vs TEN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (TEN vs. NAT, CMRE, FLNG, SFL)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd (TEN) ranks #117 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #444 by equity capitalization ($1.62B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CMRE leads on earnings valuation at 4.8x trailing P/E, while CMRE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.8% ROIC and — gross margin. TEN currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 72/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TEN ACTIVE
Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd
B 72/100 10.2x — 6.6% -1.21% $1.62B Benchmark Subject
NAT
Nordic American Tankers Limited
C- 60/100 139.9x 62.3% 4.6% -2.47% $1.67B /nat-vs-ten →
CMRE
Costamare Inc. $0.0001 par value
D+ 53/100 4.8x — 12.8% -1.80% $1.71B /cmre-vs-ten →
FLNG
FLEX LNG Ltd.
D 45/100 20.7x — 6.9% -0.98% $1.53B /flng-vs-ten →
SFL
SFL Corporation Ltd
D 48/100 — — 3.9% -1.67% $1.72B /sfl-vs-ten →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001166663

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd (TEN) reported GAAP revenue of $798.7M (-0.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $804.1M , and -10.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $160.9M, operating cash flow of $297.6M, and free cash flow of $297.6M (-3.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, TEN closed FY2025 with $3.95B in total assets against $1.49B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $798.7M $160.9M $297.6M $297.6M $3.95B $1.49B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $804.1M $176.2M $307.7M $307.7M $3.71B $1.35B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $889.6M $300.2M $395.3M $395.3M — —

3. TEN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TEN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd (NYSE: TEN) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $53.85 (-1.21% 1D, market cap $1.62B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TEN ranks #117 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TEN compare to NAT and CMRE in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), TEN carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.6%. By comparison, NAT (Nordic American Tankers Limited) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 139.9x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $1.67B) and CMRE (Costamare Inc. $0.0001 par value) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 4.8x, ROIC 12.8%, cap $1.71B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CMRE leads on earnings multiple (4.8x) while CMRE leads on capital efficiency (12.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TEN?

Per TEN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001166663), Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd generated $798.7M in revenue (-0.7% YoY), $160.9M in net income, and $297.6M in free cash flow against $3.95B in total assets and $1.49B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TEN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TEN last traded at $53.85 (-1.21% on volume of 249,327 shares), positioning the stock +9.50% above its 50-day simple moving average ($49.18) and +34.12% above its 200-day simple moving average ($40.15). Across its 52-week range of $21.65 to $56.73, TEN sits at the 91.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.3% ($49.38 to $58.32).

TEN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell TEN stock right now?

Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd (TEN) currently earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy — BUY) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 7% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

What is TEN's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

TEN's 12-month base price target is $57.24 (range $44.16 to $67.54), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 72/100 (B) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

TEN — Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:28:22Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, TEN scores 72 out of 100, grading B and labeled "Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 13 / 20. The rating cites ROIC of 6.6% and an FCF yield of 18.12%. Cash generation is a relative strength, but the modest ROIC suggests capital deployed earns a thinner return than the cash yield alone implies.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 16 / 20. The rating reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. Source detail for the underlying 13F filings is not included in this dataset.
  • Insider Conviction: 16 / 20. The rating reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. See the Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership section for the limits of what the source provides.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 17 / 20. The rating cites a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. This is the highest pillar, indicating the stock's market sensitivity is in line with the broad market rather than amplified.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 10 / 20. The rating cites an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.82. This is the weakest pillar and the main counterweight to the overall score.

For a prospective investor, the implication is that the rating's strongest support comes from cash generation, institutional and insider signals, and market-regime fit, while the balance sheet is the area most in need of scrutiny. The valuation inputs in the market data (P/E TTM of 10.2, forward P/E of 9.5, EV/EBITDA of 11.2) describe a stock priced at a modest multiple of earnings and cash flow. Upside drivers in the data include the high FCF yield and the 3.66% dividend yield; the main valuation tradeoff is that a low multiple can reflect market doubts about durability, which the balance sheet pillar points toward. This is an analytical reading of the provided scores, not personalized advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$54.51$1.64B10.29.511.25.343.66%1.0$21.65 - $56.736.6%

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news wire, six items reference TEN, all published within roughly the last 15 hours of the data timestamp:

  • Catalyst-tagged (GREEN): a ChartMill item on meeting a Minervini trend and high-growth momentum screen; a GuruFocus item on shares surging 6.2% with a GF Score of 48.
  • Market-wire-tagged (YELLOW): Seeking Alpha commentary on preferred versus common shares; a Yahoo! Finance Canada price-target item; a TradingView estimates item; and a Stock Titan item reporting that President Georgios Saroglou plans to sell 5,000 TEN shares.

Risk watch items: the planned insider sale reported by Stock Titan is the most direct negative-signal item in the wire. The news items do not disclose underlying causes for the price move. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no proprietary signals and no links, so no proprietary signal analysis is available.

Open Questions

  • What drives the gap between the 6.6% ROIC and the 18.12% FCF yield, and how much of the FCF is sustainable versus a result of depreciation or working-capital timing?
  • Why did EPS report as N/A across all three periods, and what is the per-share earnings trend?
  • What explains the rise in debt from $1354.4M to $1487.4M while cash declined, and what are the maturity and refinancing terms?
  • What is the fleet, customer, and contract structure underlying the revenue, and how exposed is revenue to charter-rate cycles?
  • What were the underlying 13F, insider, and Congressional filings behind the RQD whale and insider pillar scores, and does the planned 5,000-share sale fit within those patterns?

TEN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd (TEN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TEN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TEN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $53.85?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TEN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TEN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $64.32 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TEN (B • RQD 72/100) a Buy at $54.51?

Welcome to the TEN (Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 72/100 (Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward) in Marine Transportation. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $41.43 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $54.51

Pump the brakes on TEN — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TEN, but look at what you are paying: 10.2x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $66.50 (+22.0%)
Spot @ $54.51

TEN cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TEN, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Marine Transportation and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $54.51 (52-wk range $21.65 - $56.73), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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