Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / TCOM / insiders

FISV (57) GPN (61) CPAY (65) BR (77) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Trip.com Group Limited (TCOM) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$39.59 +2.67% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $39.71

Trip.com Group Limited (TCOM) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $24.28B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TCOM Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TCOM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Trip.com Group Limited (NASDAQ: TCOM) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $39.59 (+2.67% 1D, market cap $24.28B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TCOM ranks #487 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TCOM compare to FISV and GPN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), TCOM carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 5.1x, gross margin of 80.6%, and ROIC of 8.8%. By comparison, FISV (Fiserv Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 7.4x, ROIC 9.6%, cap $25.78B) and GPN (Global Payments Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 16.2x, ROIC 5.1%, cap $22.68B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TCOM leads on earnings multiple (5.1x) while CPAY leads on capital efficiency (23.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TCOM?

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Per TCOM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001269238), Trip.com Group Limited generated $8.93B in revenue (+22.2% YoY), $4.76B in net income, and $1.95B in free cash flow against $38.24B in total assets and $1.63B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $39.70 (+0.29%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 21.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TCOM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TCOM SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (32% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.05 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$38.75+4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$40.30-1.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$39.59+0% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$39.59-0.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (45) → D+ (53)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TCOM Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TCOM currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($40.18) and Max Pain ($41.57) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $82.94.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TCOM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TCOM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 53%NO 47%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

TCOM Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (TCOM)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on TCOM. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TCOM)

✓Walkthrough of TCOM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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TCOM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -25.03%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-02O $38.57H $39.59L $38.56C $39.59VOL 1.73M

RES: $44.60SUP: $37.47SMA50: $40.18SMA200: $47.65

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TCOM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TCOM Butterfly Map → + Track TCOM →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-13.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +22.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TCOM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TCOM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TCOM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TCOM)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #487 of 1011 ⚔️ FISV vs TCOM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (TCOM vs. FISV, GPN, CPAY, BR)

Industry: Business Services (90 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Trip.com Group Limited (TCOM) ranks #487 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #85 by equity capitalization ($24.28B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TCOM leads on earnings valuation at 5.1x trailing P/E, while CPAY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 23.2% ROIC and — gross margin. BR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 77/100 (B+) compared with TCOM at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TCOM ACTIVE Trip.com Group Limited	D+	53/100	5.1x	80.6%	8.8%	+2.67%	$24.28B	Benchmark Subject
FISV Fiserv Inc.	D+	57/100	7.4x	—	9.6%	+3.18%	$25.78B	/fisv-vs-tcom →
GPN Global Payments Inc.	C-	61/100	16.2x	72.6%	5.1%	+12.97%	$22.68B	/gpn-vs-tcom →
CPAY Corpay Inc.	C	65/100	24.4x	—	23.2%	+0.75%	$26.13B	/cpay-vs-tcom →
BR Broadridge Financial Solutions Inc.	B+	77/100	24.0x	31.0%	18.1%	+0.38%	$20.11B	/br-vs-tcom →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001269238

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Trip.com Group Limited (TCOM) reported GAAP revenue of $8.93B (+22.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.30B , and +42.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $4.76B, operating cash flow of $2.06B, and free cash flow of $1.95B (-25.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, TCOM closed FY2025 with $38.24B in total assets against $1.63B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.05, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$8.93B	$4.76B	$2.06B	$1.95B	$38.24B	$1.63B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$7.30B	$2.34B	$2.69B	$2.61B	$33.23B	$2.76B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$6.27B	$1.40B	$3.10B	$2.82B	$13.35B	$3.13B

3. TCOM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TCOM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does TCOM compare to FISV and GPN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TCOM?

Where is TCOM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TCOM last traded at $39.59 (+2.67% on volume of 3,715,050 shares), positioning the stock -1.47% below its 50-day simple moving average ($40.18) and -16.92% below its 200-day simple moving average ($47.65). Across its 52-week range of $37.58 to $78.99, TCOM sits at the 4.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.1% ($38.36 to $40.82).

TCOM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are TCOM insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies TCOM leadership and institutional positioning as: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION.

Direct Sub-Reports: TCOM RQD Cockpit TCOM 12M Forecast TCOM Earnings & Move TCOM Dividends & DRIP TCOM Insiders & 13F TCOM Whale Options TCOM Profit Sankey TCOM News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 53/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

TCOM — Trip.com Group Limited: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:13:03Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, TCOM scores 53 out of 100, grade D+, labeled "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 5 / 20 (ROIC 8.8%; FCF yield 8.01%), Whale 13F Flow at 5 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 17 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 13 / 20 (Beta 1.11; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13 / 20 (Altman Z 2.05; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 0.07).

The weakest pillars are Fundamental Cash Engine and Whale 13F Flow, each at 5 of 20. The strongest is Insider Conviction at 17 of 20, which is the single largest contributor to the score. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests mainly on insider activity and balance-sheet strength, while the valuation and cash-return case is rated weak. Per the market data, the stock trades at a P/E (TTM) of 5.1 and a Forward P/E of 4.3, which is low on paper, but the RQD rating does not treat that multiple as offsetting weak institutional flow and a modest ROIC of 8.8%. The low multiple and the Sell label therefore point in different directions, and an investor should weigh that tension explicitly. Balance-sheet quality (Piotroski 8/9, Debt/Equity 0.07) limits downside from solvency concerns but does not by itself create a return driver.

Snapshot

Price	Market Cap	P/E (TTM)	Forward P/E	EV/EBITDA	EPS (TTM)	Dividend Yield	Beta	52-Wk Range	ROIC %
$38.56	$24.28B	5.1	4.3	8.6	7.56	0.84%	1.11	$37.58 - $78.99	8.8%

Business

Per the company profile, Trip.com Group Limited is a NASDAQ-listed company in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Business Services industry. Not available in source data for detailed product lines, customer segments, or revenue model. The source data reports gross margin of 80.6% and operating margin of 25.3% (per market data), which indicate a high-margin operating model, but the source does not describe how the company earns its revenue.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$8925.0M	$2257.0M	$4762.0M	N/A	$1945.0M	$5698.0M	$1634.0M
FY 2024	$7302.0M	$1943.0M	$2338.0M	N/A	$2611.0M	$6636.0M	$2758.0M
FY 2023	$6269.0M	$1595.0M	$1397.0M	N/A	$2815.9M	N/A	$3125.0M

Per the SEC financials, revenue grew from $6269.0M (FY 2023) to $8925.0M (FY 2025), while free cash flow declined from $2815.9M to $1945.0M over the same period. Net income in FY 2025 ($4762.0M) exceeds operating income ($2257.0M), a gap the source data does not explain. Per the market data, ROIC is 8.8%, and the forensic pillar cites an Altman Z-Score of 2.05 and a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9. Debt declined from $3125.0M to $1634.0M across the reported periods, and the Debt/Equity ratio is 0.07 per the RQD forensic inputs.

Open Questions

What explains the gap between FY 2025 net income ($4762.0M) and operating income ($2257.0M), and is it recurring?
Why did free cash flow decline from $2815.9M (FY 2023) to $1945.0M (FY 2025) while revenue rose, and what is the outlook for FCF?
What drove the decline of the 52-week price from $78.99 to a $37.58 low, and what catalysts underlie the current price?
Which institutional holders and insiders are driving the Whale 13F and Insider Conviction scores, and what are the amounts and dates of those trades?
What are the company's EPS figures for FY 2023 through FY 2025, since the source reports EPS as N/A for all periods?

TCOM Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Trip.com Group Limited (TCOM) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TCOM Debate Forum (3) ↓

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🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 5d ago

Trip.com Group (TCOM) Launches Sustainability Tools, Is 15% Undervalued?

Trip.com Group’s sustainability push and what it means for investors Trip.com Group (TCOM) has put sustainability in focus with its 2026 Sustainable Travel Consumer Report and the launch of the My Travel Impact feature i

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 5d ago

Trip.com (TCOM) Stock Slides as Market Rises: Facts to Know Before You Trade

Trip.com (TCOM) closed the most recent trading day at $38.46, moving 2.85% from the previous trading session.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo • 5d ago

Trip.com Group (TCOM) Stock May Be Below Fair Value On Earnings

Trip.com Group has seen its share price fall sharply this year, which puts a spotlight on whether the current valuation still lines up with what the business earns. With the travel platform’s stock under pressure, the ke

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo • 6d ago

Caesars Entertainment (CZR) Reports Q3 Loss, Lags Revenue Estimates

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🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 6d ago

Three in Four Travellers Say Sustainability Matters as Trip.com Launches My Travel Impact to Help Turn Intent into Action

Three in four travellers (75.4%) say sustainability is important when making travel decisions, and 56.8% now intentionally choose more sustainable options, according to Trip.com Group's 2026 Sustainable Travel Consumer R

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 11d ago

Asia-Pacific's Autumn Travel Boom Sees Rising Demand for Emerging Destinations

Emerging destinations across Asia-Pacific are seeing strong booking growth this autumn, as travellers explore a wider range of cities across the region. New data from Trip.com Group, a leading global travel service provi

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 13d ago

Trip.com (TCOM) Laps the Stock Market: Here's Why

Trip.com (TCOM) closed at $40.3 in the latest trading session, marking a +1.79% move from the prior day.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TCOM Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $39.59?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TCOM 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $41.64 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TCOM (D+ • RQD 53/100) a Buy at $38.56?

Welcome to the TCOM (Trip.com Group Limited) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 53/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Business Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $32.00 (-17.0%)

Spot @ $38.56

Pump the brakes on TCOM — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TCOM, but look at what you are paying: 5.1x trailing P/E with 80.6% gross margins. Unless Trip.com Group Limited expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $48.20 (+25.0%)

Spot @ $38.56

TCOM cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TCOM, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Business Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $38.56 (52-wk range $37.58 - $78.99), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.