Thornburg Income Builder Opportunities Trust (TBLD) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$20.61 +0.83% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.60

Thornburg Income Builder Opportunities Trust (TBLD) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $655.8M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TBLD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Thornburg Income Builder Opportunities Trust (NASDAQ: TBLD) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $20.61 (+0.83% 1D, market cap $655.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, TBLD ranks #787 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TBLD compare to NIE and DLY in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), TBLD carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, NIE (Virtus Equity & Convertible Income Fund of) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $667.8M) and DLY (DoubleLine Yield Opportunities Fund of) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $633.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TBLD leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TBLD leads on capital efficiency (— ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TBLD?
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For Thornburg Income Builder Opportunities Trust (TBLD), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #787 in Financials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.60 (-0.04%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 0.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510045
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D
Cash (11)Whales (7)SEC (13)Macro (5)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.9% Base Target
$24 Bull$19 Base$15 Bear
📬 FREE TBLD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TBLD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±2.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TBLD SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0.5% FCF Margin ($18.4M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (47.9) create a -15 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
37
Grade E$20.20+1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
40
Grade D$20.41-0.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
42
Grade D$20.36+1.2% Next Q
Current
45
Grade D$20.61-6.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (37) → D (45)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TBLD Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TBLD currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($20.86) and Max Pain ($21.64) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $24.17.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TBLD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TBLD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your TBLD Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $20.61: 485.2 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $15.13
$7,341
$-2,659 (-26.6%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $19.40
$9,413
$-587 (-5.9%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $24.17
$11,727
+$1,727 (+17.3%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$2074%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$2369%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$1758%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TBLD)

  • ✓Walkthrough of TBLD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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TBLD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -5.28%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $20.59H $20.61L $20.44C $20.61VOL 45.3K
RES: $22.19SUP: $19.10SMA50: $20.86SMA200: $21.59
$23.21$22.29$21.36$20.44$19.51RES $22.19SUP $19.10$20.612026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TBLD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TBLD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TBLD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TBLD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TBLD)

Financials Rank #787 of 1096 ⚔️ NIE vs TBLD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (TBLD vs. NIE, DLY, FOF, RMT)

Industry: Investment Managers (79 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Thornburg Income Builder Opportunities Trust (TBLD) ranks #787 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #641 by equity capitalization ($655.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TBLD leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while TBLD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with — ROIC and — gross margin. TBLD currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 45/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TBLD ACTIVE
Thornburg Income Builder Opportunities Trust
D 45/100 — — — +0.83% $655.8M Benchmark Subject
NIE
Virtus Equity & Convertible Income Fund of
D- 41/100 — — — -0.54% $667.8M /nie-vs-tbld →
DLY
DoubleLine Yield Opportunities Fund of
D- 43/100 — — — +0.08% $633.8M /dly-vs-tbld →
FOF
Cohen & Steers Closed-End Opportunity Fund Inc.
D- 43/100 — — — -0.72% $610.3M /fof-vs-tbld →
RMT
Royce Micro-Cap Trust Inc.
D 45/100 — — — -1.00% $600.6M /rmt-vs-tbld →

2. TBLD Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Thornburg Income Builder Opportunities Trust (TBLD) operates in Investment Managers (Financials) with an equity capitalization of $655.8M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. TBLD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TBLD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Thornburg Income Builder Opportunities Trust (NASDAQ: TBLD) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $20.61 (+0.83% 1D, market cap $655.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, TBLD ranks #787 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TBLD compare to NIE and DLY in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), TBLD carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, NIE (Virtus Equity & Convertible Income Fund of) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $667.8M) and DLY (DoubleLine Yield Opportunities Fund of) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $633.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TBLD leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TBLD leads on capital efficiency (— ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TBLD?

For Thornburg Income Builder Opportunities Trust (TBLD), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #787 in Financials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TBLD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TBLD last traded at $20.61 (+0.83% on volume of 34,668 shares), positioning the stock -1.20% below its 50-day simple moving average ($20.86) and -4.54% below its 200-day simple moving average ($21.59). Across its 52-week range of $19.48 to $23.02, TBLD sits at the 31.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±2.9% ($20.01 to $21.21).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 45/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

TBLD — Thornburg Income Builder Opportunities Trust: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:15:18Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

TBLD scores 45 out of 100 with a letter grade of D, labeled "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 11 / 20. The RQD rating records ROIC at 0% and FCF yield at 0%. For a prospective investor, this pillar indicates the source data shows no measurable return on invested capital or free-cash-flow generation to support the valuation.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 7 / 20. Covers institutional accumulation and options positioning. The score is below midpoint, suggesting limited evidence of sustained institutional conviction in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 9 / 20. Covers SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score is below midpoint, indicating weak insider-side confirmation.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 5 / 20. The rating records beta of 1.0 and reflects sector sensitivity. This is the lowest pillar, suggesting the stock's risk profile is not favorably positioned for the regime the rating assesses.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. Per the rating, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 6/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. This is the strongest pillar, indicating the balance sheet is comparatively the most supportive element, though still not decisive.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Thornburg Income Builder Opportunities Trust (TBLD) is a NASDAQ-listed operating company in the Investment Managers industry (Financials sector) with an equity market capitalization of $655.8M. The business operates with a gross margin of 0%, an operating margin of 0%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 0% (free cash flow yield of 0%). Within the Investment Managers peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.

Per the market data, gross, operating, and net margins are each recorded at 0%, and ROIC and FCF yield are also 0%. Altman Z-Score is 2.5, Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case: The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 13 of 20, with Altman Z at 2.5, Piotroski F at 6/9, and Debt/Equity at 0.5, the rating's strongest area. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 (ROIC —, FCF yield —) and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $19.48 – $23.02 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: The rating's Macro Regime Fit pillar scores only 5 of 20, and ROIC and FCF yield are both recorded at 0%, with a distribution warning. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations beyond the beta of 1.0, and 2nd-order bottlenecks cannot be assessed from the source data. —

  • Key Question #1: What are the trailing and forward earnings multiples, since P/E and EV/EBITDA are unavailable?
  • Key Question #2: What institutional (13F) holdings and insider or Congressional trades exist, given the holders section is empty?
  • Key Question #3: What is the fund's underlying business model and what drives its dividend policy, given the dividend yield is recorded as 0%?

TBLD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Thornburg Income Builder Opportunities Trust (TBLD) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TBLD Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TBLD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $20.61?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TBLD 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TBLD:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $25.55 (+25.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 13 of 20, with Altman Z at 2.5, Piotroski F at 6/9, and Debt/Equity at 0.5, the rating's stron

Don't sleep on TBLD's setup in Financials. The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 13 of 20, with Altman Z at 2.5, Piotroski F at 6/9, and Debt/Equity at 0.5, the rating's strongest area.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (45/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — TBLD's 13/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

FO ForensicBear 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $15.94 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $20.44

The rating's Macro Regime Fit pillar scores only 5 of 20, and ROIC and FCF yield are both recorded at 0%, with a distribution warning.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short TBLD above $20.44. The rating's Macro Regime Fit pillar scores only 5 of 20, and ROIC and FCF yield are both recorded at 0%, with a distribution warning.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20) and FCF yield (0.0%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $23.02.

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