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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / SWVL / financials
RYDE (31) RGP (30) DPU (34) OPRX (71) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Swvl Holdings Corp (Class A) (SWVL) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$3.77 -8.27% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.71

Swvl Holdings Corp (Class A) (SWVL) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $113.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on SWVL Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SWVL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Swvl Holdings Corp (Class A) (NASDAQ: SWVL) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $3.77 (-8.27% 1D, market cap $113.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SWVL ranks #449 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SWVL compare to RYDE and RGP in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
▼

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), SWVL carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, RYDE (Ryde Group Ltd. (Class A)) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -18.4%, cap $102.7M) and RGP (Resources Connection Inc.) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -28.9%, cap $92.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OPRX leads on earnings multiple (34.4x) while OPRX leads on capital efficiency (7.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SWVL?
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For Swvl Holdings Corp (Class A) (SWVL), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #449 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.71 (-1.68%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510055
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C
Cash (12)Whales (8)SEC (13)Macro (13)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.3% Base Target
$9 Bull$4 Base$3 Bear
📬 FREE SWVL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SWVL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SWVL SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 34% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 47.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
63
Grade C+$3.84-5.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
60
Grade C$3.63+7.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
58
Grade C$3.91-3.6% Next Q
Current
55
Grade D+$3.77-0.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (63) → D+ (55)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SWVL Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, SWVL faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($4.18) or 200D SMA ($2.22) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($3.72) toward Bear Floor ($2.90).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SWVL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SWVL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 55%NO 45%Trade / Inspect Odds →
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • Trailing 12 Months

How SWVL Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$3.2M (0.1% FCF Margin)
Revenue$4.00BGross Profit $2.08B (52%)Cost of Sales $1.92BOp Profit $1.08B (27%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $998.4MNet Profit$865.3M (21.6%)Tax/Other $216.3M
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SWVL)

  • ✓Walkthrough of SWVL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SWVL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +99.47%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $4.11H $4.11L $3.77C $3.77VOL 84.0K
RES: $4.38SUP: $1.32SMA50: $4.18SMA200: $2.22
$8.98$6.90$4.82$2.74$0.65RES $4.38SUP $1.32$3.772026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SWVL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SWVL Butterfly Map → + Track SWVL →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SWVL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SWVL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SWVL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SWVL)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #449 of 1011 ⚔️ RYDE vs SWVL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SWVL vs. RYDE, RGP, DPU, OPRX)

Industry: Business Services (90 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Swvl Holdings Corp (Class A) (SWVL) ranks #449 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #742 by equity capitalization ($113.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OPRX leads on earnings valuation at 34.4x trailing P/E, while OPRX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.3% ROIC and 67.3% gross margin. OPRX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with SWVL at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SWVL ACTIVE
Swvl Holdings Corp (Class A)
D+ 55/100 — — — -8.27% $113.1M Benchmark Subject
RYDE
Ryde Group Ltd. (Class A)
E 31/100 — — -18.4% -7.18% $102.7M /ryde-vs-swvl →
RGP
Resources Connection Inc.
E 30/100 — 37.5% -28.9% -6.34% $92.3M /rgp-vs-swvl →
DPU
Nexpu Ltd. (Class A)
E 34/100 — 8.7% -35.0% -10.11% $73.4M /dpu-vs-swvl →
OPRX
OptimizeRx Corporation
B- 71/100 34.4x 67.3% 7.3% -0.53% $175.6M /oprx-vs-swvl →

2. SWVL Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Swvl Holdings Corp (Class A) (SWVL) operates in Business Services (Consumer Discretionary) with an equity capitalization of $113.1M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. SWVL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SWVL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Swvl Holdings Corp (Class A) (NASDAQ: SWVL) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $3.77 (-8.27% 1D, market cap $113.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SWVL ranks #449 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SWVL compare to RYDE and RGP in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), SWVL carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, RYDE (Ryde Group Ltd. (Class A)) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -18.4%, cap $102.7M) and RGP (Resources Connection Inc.) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -28.9%, cap $92.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OPRX leads on earnings multiple (34.4x) while OPRX leads on capital efficiency (7.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SWVL?

For Swvl Holdings Corp (Class A) (SWVL), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #449 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SWVL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SWVL last traded at $3.77 (-8.27% on volume of 84,033 shares), positioning the stock -9.81% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.18) and +69.82% above its 200-day simple moving average ($2.22). Across its 52-week range of $1.30 to $8.48, SWVL sits at the 34.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($3.30 to $4.24).

SWVL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Swvl Holdings Corp (Class A) (SWVL)?

In Trailing 12 Months, SWVL converted $4.0B of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 27% operating margin, and $3.2M in free cash flow (0.1% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: SWVL RQD Cockpit SWVL 12M Forecast SWVL Earnings & Move SWVL Dividends & DRIP SWVL Insiders & 13F SWVL Whale Options SWVL Profit Sankey SWVL News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 55/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

SWVL — Swvl Holdings Corp (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:18:12Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, SWVL scores 58 out of 100, grading D+ with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." Across the five pillars: the Fundamental Cash Engine scores 12 of 20 (ROIC 0%; FCF yield 0%), indicating the source data shows no return on invested capital and no free-cash-flow yield, the weakest economic signal in the set. Whale 13F Flow scores 11 of 20, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning that the source data rates as modest. Insider Conviction scores 9 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), the lowest pillar, suggesting insider activity offers little support to the thesis. Macro Regime Fit scores 13 of 20 with a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity noted, meaning the stock's market sensitivity is neutral rather than a source of defensive or cyclical advantage. Forensic Balance Sheet scores 13 of 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.5), the strongest pillar, indicating a moderate balance-sheet position.

For a prospective investor, the implication is that the rating's weight rests on the absence of reported profitability and cash generation rather than on balance-sheet distress. Potential upside drivers are limited to the recent revenue momentum noted in the news wire, which the rating does not capture in its margin or return figures. Valuation tradeoffs are difficult to assess because the source data provides no earnings-based multiples. This analysis is educational and does not constitute personalized financial advice.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, six items were reported:

  • Catalyst (GREEN): The Globe and Mail reported a 59% H1 2026 revenue surge and strong GCC growth.
  • Catalyst (GREEN): Launch Base Africa reported that Swvl's rebound gave VNV Global its largest Q3 gain.
  • Market Wire (YELLOW): GlobeNewswire reported H1 2026 results with revenue up 59% to $16.2.
  • Market Wire (YELLOW): StockInvest.us and TradingView published generic market-action reports.
  • Market Wire (YELLOW): Benzinga referenced SWVL in a pre-market industrials roundup.

Risk watch items: The news items are headline-level only; no underlying financial statements are provided to confirm the reported growth. Proprietary signals per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph are not available in source data.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's reported revenue, operating income, net income, and free cash flow across recent periods, given that the financials section is empty?
  • Does the reported 59% H1 2026 revenue growth translate into profitability, and what drives the 0% margins recorded in the market data?
  • What are the company's products, customers, and revenue mix, given that the profile provides only sector classification?
  • What is the analyst consensus, price target range, and institutional or insider ownership, given that the analyst and holders sections are empty?
  • What explains the market data showing a 1.48% daily change against a 52-week range of $1.3 - $8.48, and what catalysts underlie that volatility?

SWVL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Swvl Holdings Corp (Class A) (SWVL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SWVL Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SWVL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $3.77?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SWVL 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SWVL:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $4.44 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is SWVL (D+ • RQD 58/100) a Buy at $4.11?

Welcome to the SWVL (Swvl Holdings Corp (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 58/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Business Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.08 (-25.1%)
Spot @ $4.11

Pump the brakes on SWVL — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on SWVL, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Swvl Holdings Corp (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $5.26 (+28.0%)
Spot @ $4.11

SWVL cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on SWVL, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Business Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $4.11 (52-wk range $1.30 - $8.48), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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