Silvaco Group Inc. (SVCO) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$6.14 -8.77% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.03

Silvaco Group Inc. (SVCO) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 23/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $228.1M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SVCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Silvaco Group Inc. (NASDAQ: SVCO) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 23/100 at a spot price of $6.14 (-8.77% 1D, market cap $228.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, SVCO ranks #685 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SVCO compare to KLTR and XNET in the Technology sector?
β–Ό

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), SVCO carries a Roarable E (23/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 78.3%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, KLTR (Kaltura Inc.) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -34.3%, cap $228.8M) and XNET (Xunlei Limited) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.4%, cap $231.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SVCO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while XNET leads on capital efficiency (0.4% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SVCO?
β–Ό

Per SVCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001943289), Silvaco Group Inc. generated $63.1M in revenue (+5.7% YoY), -$41.2M in net income, and -$34.5M in free cash flow against $122.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.03 (-1.77%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (23/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510023
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (6)SEC (8)Macro (3)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-15.8% Base Target
$15 Bull$5 Base$4 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE SVCO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SVCO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (23/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY SVCO SCORES 23/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (35% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.44 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 4/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+6/20 pts (26% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12.4% realized swing band)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
31
Grade E$8.05-21% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
28
Grade E$6.36-0.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
26
Grade E$6.32-2.8% Next Q
Current
23
Grade E$6.14-11.1% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (31) β†’ E (23)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SVCO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While SVCO currently carries a cautious 23/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($7.18) and Max Pain ($6.45) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $15.11.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SVCOβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œSVCO Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

SVCO Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (SVCO)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on SVCO. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SVCO)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of SVCO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SVCO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -47.02%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $6.88H $6.88L $6.14C $6.14VOL 225.2K
RES: $10.01SUP: $5.83SMA50: $7.18SMA200: $7.75
$15.03$12.37$9.72$7.06$4.41RES $10.01SUP $5.83$6.142026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SVCO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SVCO today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SVCO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SVCO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SVCO)

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (SVCO vs. KLTR, XNET, EXFY, GRRR)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Silvaco Group Inc. (SVCO) ranks #685 by composite RQD confidence (23/100, grade E) and #466 by equity capitalization ($228.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SVCO leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while XNET leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 0.4% ROIC and β€” gross margin. EXFY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 53/100 (D+) compared with SVCO at 23/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SVCO ACTIVE
Silvaco Group Inc.
E 23/100 β€” 78.3% -35.0% -8.77% $228.1M Benchmark Subject
KLTR
Kaltura Inc.
D 47/100 β€” 70.6% -34.3% -3.33% $228.8M /kltr-vs-svco β†’
XNET
Xunlei Limited
D- 39/100 β€” β€” 0.4% -2.47% $231.7M /xnet-vs-svco β†’
EXFY
Expensify Inc. (Class A)
D+ 53/100 β€” 50.3% -20.4% -3.29% $221.6M /exfy-vs-svco β†’
GRRR
Gorilla Technology Group Inc.
D 45/100 β€” β€” β€” -17.50% $252.1M /grrr-vs-svco β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001943289

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Silvaco Group Inc. (SVCO) reported GAAP revenue of $63.1M (+5.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $59.7M , and +16.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$41.2M, operating cash flow of -$33.9M, and free cash flow of -$34.5M (-70.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, SVCO closed FY2025 with $122.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.44, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $63.1M -$41.2M -$33.9M -$34.5M $122.6M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $59.7M -$39.4M -$19.8M -$20.3M $142.3M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $54.2M -$316.0K $1.2M $1.2M β€” β€”

3. SVCO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SVCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Silvaco Group Inc. (NASDAQ: SVCO) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 23/100 at a spot price of $6.14 (-8.77% 1D, market cap $228.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, SVCO ranks #685 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SVCO compare to KLTR and XNET in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), SVCO carries a Roarable E (23/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 78.3%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, KLTR (Kaltura Inc.) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -34.3%, cap $228.8M) and XNET (Xunlei Limited) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.4%, cap $231.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SVCO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while XNET leads on capital efficiency (0.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SVCO?

Per SVCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001943289), Silvaco Group Inc. generated $63.1M in revenue (+5.7% YoY), -$41.2M in net income, and -$34.5M in free cash flow against $122.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SVCO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SVCO last traded at $6.14 (-8.77% on volume of 276,987 shares), positioning the stock -14.48% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.18) and -20.77% below its 200-day simple moving average ($7.75). Across its 52-week range of $3.07 to $14.39, SVCO sits at the 27.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.4% ($5.38 to $6.90).

SVCO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Are SVCO insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies SVCO leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 23/100 (E) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

SVCO β€” Silvaco Group Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:40:29Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, SVCO carries an RQD Score of 23 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid." Across the five pillars, the fundamental cash engine scores 3 / 20 (ROIC -35%; FCF yield -15.14%), indicating the business is currently not generating cash returns on invested capital. Whale 13F flow scores 6 / 20, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning that is weaker than the other pillars would support on their own. Insider conviction scores 3 / 20, based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Macro regime fit scores 3 / 20 with a Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity noted. Forensic balance sheet scores 8 / 20, with Altman Z at 1.44, Piotroski F at 4/9, and Debt/Equity at 0.5. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on any reversal in cash generation, which the cash-engine and forensic pillars do not currently show. The low-priced, high-volatility profile (52-week range of $3.07 - $14.39) means valuation tradeoffs are sensitive to sentiment, and the scores point to elevated downside risk rather than a constructive setup.

Business

Silvaco Group Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, operating within the Computer Software: Prepackaged Software industry. Per the SEC financials, the company reported revenue of $63.1M for FY 2025 and $59.7M for FY 2024, with a gross margin of 78.3% per the market data. The source data does not describe specific products or customer segments, and does not detail how the company monetizes its software beyond the reported revenue figures.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$63.1M$-45.9M$-41.2MN/A$-34.5M$9.0MN/A
FY 2024$59.7M$-40.3M$-39.4MN/A$-20.3M$19.6MN/A
FY 2023$54.2M$1.1M$-0.3MN/A$1.2MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue grew from $54.2M in FY 2023 to $63.1M in FY 2025 while operating income moved from $1.1M to $-45.9M, a sharp deterioration in profitability. Per the market data, operating margin and net margin are each -60%, and ROIC is -35%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 1.44 and the Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.5. Reported cash declined from $19.6M to $9.0M across FY 2024 to FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Risk Watch: A RED-flagged item reports that B. Riley cut the Silvaco Group stock price target to $11 on valuation.
  • Market Wire (YELLOW): Multiple items cover the Silvaco Group Q3 2026 financial results conference call date announcement, general market action, and a MarketBeat average price target of $12.67 across brokerages.
  • Analyst action (YELLOW): B. Riley adjusted its price target on Silvaco to $11 from $16 while maintaining a Buy rating, per the news wire.
  • Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership

Per the news wire, B. Riley adjusted its price target on Silvaco to $11 from $16 while maintaining a Buy rating, and MarketBeat reports an average price target of $12.67 according to brokerages. Analyst data in the source is recorded as NONE, so no consensus rating breakdown is available. Holders data is recorded as NONE, so no SEC Form 4 insider, 13F whale, or Congressional trade detail is available.

Open Questions

  • What are the reported EPS and the P/E or EV/EBITDA multiples, given these fields are not available in source data?
  • What is the debt level behind the Debt/Equity of 0.5, since debt is listed as N/A for each reported period?
  • What drove the swing from $1.1M operating income in FY 2023 to $-45.9M in FY 2025?
  • What is the basis for the Q3 2026 earnings timing and whether guidance accompanies it?
  • What supply-chain or customer dependencies exist, given the supply chain is recorded as NONE?

SVCO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Silvaco Group Inc. (SVCO) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to SVCO Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SVCO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $6.14?

πŸ‚ 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SVCO 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SVCO:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $5.92 (-12.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is SVCO (E β€’ RQD 23/100) a Buy at $6.73?

Welcome to the SVCO (Silvaco Group Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 23/100 (Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $5.11 (-24.1%)
Spot @ $6.73

Pump the brakes on SVCO β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on SVCO, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 78.3% gross margins. Unless Silvaco Group Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $8.55 (+27.0%)
Spot @ $6.73

SVCO cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on SVCO, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $6.73 (52-wk range $3.07 - $14.39), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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