Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$79.42 +2.31% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $79.94

Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 10% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $90.80B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on SU Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, Suncor Energy Inc. (NYSE: SU) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $79.42 (+2.31% 1D, market cap $90.80B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, SU ranks #25 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SU compare to PSX and VLO in the Energy sector?
▼

Within the Energy sector (Integrated oil Companies), SU carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, PSX (Phillips 66) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 24.2x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $106.73B) and VLO (Valero Energy Corporation) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 45.7x, ROIC 8.2%, cap $107.25B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PSX leads on earnings multiple (24.2x) while MPC leads on capital efficiency (16.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SU?
▼

For Suncor Energy Inc. (SU), key quantitative strengths include Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. and Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs., while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $79.94 (+0.66%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 15.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510072
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B+
Cash (11)Whales (18)SEC (16)Macro (15)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.3% Base Target
$100 Bull$84 Base$65 Bear
📬 FREE SU RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SU)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (72/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SU SCORES 72/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+18/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±5.1% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 13.9% operating margin leave 9 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
64
Grade C+$75.20+4.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
67
Grade B-$78.44-2.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
69
Grade B-$76.22+4.2% Next Q
Current
72
Grade B$79.42+7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (64) → B (72)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SU Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 72/100 (B) score, SU faces multiple-compression risk if 32.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($71.45) or 200D SMA ($63.75) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($84.42) toward Bear Floor ($65.12).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SU• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SU Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your SU Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $79.42: 125.9 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $65.12
$8,199
$-1,801 (-18.0%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $84.42
$10,630
+$630 (+6.3%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $99.62
$12,543
+$2,543 (+25.4%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (34 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 23● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskOUTPERFORM$8874%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$9469%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$7558%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (SU Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
SU // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +15.84%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $77.54H $79.42L $77.54C $79.42VOL 2.32M
RES: $82.01SUP: $71.58SMA50: $71.45SMA200: $63.75
$82.48$73.23$63.97$54.71$45.46RES $82.01SUP $71.58$79.422026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SU Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SU today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SU. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SU today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SU)

Energy Rank #25 of 211 ⚔️ PSX vs SU Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (SU vs. PSX, VLO, EQNR, MPC)

Industry: Integrated oil Companies (15 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) ranks #25 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #17 by equity capitalization ($90.80B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PSX leads on earnings valuation at 24.2x trailing P/E, while MPC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.9% ROIC and 10.0% gross margin. EQNR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with SU at 72/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SU ACTIVE
Suncor Energy Inc.
B 72/100 32.8x — 9.9% +2.31% $90.80B Benchmark Subject
PSX
Phillips 66
D+ 56/100 24.2x 12.3% 9.2% +3.37% $106.73B /psx-vs-su →
VLO
Valero Energy Corporation
C+ 69/100 45.7x — 8.2% +3.92% $107.25B /vlo-vs-su →
EQNR
Equinor ASA
B 74/100 32.8x — 9.9% +2.46% $118.96B /eqnr-vs-su →
MPC
Marathon Petroleum Corporation
B- 70/100 30.0x 10.0% 16.9% +2.83% $121.46B /mpc-vs-su →

2. SU Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) operates in Integrated oil Companies (Energy) with an equity capitalization of $90.80B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 30.5x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9.

3. SU Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Suncor Energy Inc. (NYSE: SU) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $79.42 (+2.31% 1D, market cap $90.80B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, SU ranks #25 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SU compare to PSX and VLO in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Integrated oil Companies), SU carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, PSX (Phillips 66) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 24.2x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $106.73B) and VLO (Valero Energy Corporation) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 45.7x, ROIC 8.2%, cap $107.25B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PSX leads on earnings multiple (24.2x) while MPC leads on capital efficiency (16.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SU?

For Suncor Energy Inc. (SU), key quantitative strengths include Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. and Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs., while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SU trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SU last traded at $79.42 (+2.31% on volume of 4,640,056 shares), positioning the stock +11.15% above its 50-day simple moving average ($71.45) and +24.58% above its 200-day simple moving average ($63.75). Across its 52-week range of $38.72 to $80.25, SU sits at the 98.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.1% ($75.37 to $83.47).

SU Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is SU's 12-month stock price target?

Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $84.42 (+6.3% from $79.42), with a bull-case target of $99.62 and a bear-case floor of $65.12.

Is SU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates SU B (Buy — BUY) with an RQD Confidence score of 72/100.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 72/100 (B) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

SU — Suncor Energy Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:08:18Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, SU scores 72 out of 100, grade B, with the verdict "Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 11 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 9.9% and an FCF yield of 2.21%. For a prospective investor, the modest FCF yield alongside a trailing P/E of 32.8 indicates that the current price embeds substantial expectations relative to present cash generation. This is the weakest pillar and the main valuation tradeoff.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 18 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. It is the strongest pillar, suggesting that large holders have been building or maintaining positions. Investors should note that the underlying 13F and options detail is not itemized in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 12 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score is mid-range; the source data does not itemize the individual transactions behind it.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 15 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects a beta of 1.16 and sector sensitivity. A beta above 1.0 implies the stock has historically moved somewhat more than the market, which can amplify both gains and drawdowns in a shifting macro regime.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 16 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects an Altman Z-Score of 3.74, a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.39. These are relatively strong readings that support balance-sheet resilience.

Taken together, the rating points to a stock with a solid balance sheet and strong institutional interest, offset by a valuation that is demanding on current cash flow. Upside drivers are the flow and balance-sheet pillars; the principal tradeoff is the thin FCF yield against a high trailing multiple.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
77.63$90.8B32.830.5212.360%1.16$38.72 - $80.259.9%

Business

Suncor Energy Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, classified under Integrated oil Companies. Per the profile, it carries a market capitalization of $90.8B. Not available in source data: the specific products sold, customer base, and revenue model.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per <recent_news_and_catalysts>, six items are reported, all relating to SU:

  • A Yahoo Finance report titled around potential undervaluation as buybacks rise (flagged GREEN, CATALYST). This is the only item tagged as a catalyst; it points to share repurchases as a positive driver.
  • A StockInvest.us forecast piece (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
  • A ChartMill piece on dividend payout quality (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE). This is notable given the source data reports a 0% dividend yield, and the discrepancy is not resolved in the sources.
  • A Yahoo Finance value-investor piece (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
  • A Benzinga five-year return piece (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
  • A GuruFocus piece noting a 4.1% decline and an overvaluation assessment (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE). This is the primary risk watch item among the headlines.

Per <butterfly_supply_chain_graph>, the sector is Energy, the industry is Integrated oil Companies, and the supply chain is listed as NONE. No butterfly links or proprietary signals are present.

Open Questions

  • The dividend yield is reported as 0%, while a news headline references dividend payout quality. Which is current?
  • The gross margin is reported as 0%. Is this a data gap or a reporting convention for this issuer?
  • What are the period-level revenue, operating income, net income, and cash flow figures? (The financials section is empty.)
  • Which specific 13F holders and insider transactions drive the Whale Flow (18/20) and Insider Conviction (12/20) scores?
  • What is the size and timing of the buyback program referenced in the catalyst headline?

SU Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SU Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SU Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $79.42?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SU 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SU:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $91.60 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is SU (B • RQD 72/100) a Buy at $77.63?

Welcome to the SU (Suncor Energy Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 72/100 (Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward) in Integrated oil Companies. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (32.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $62.88 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $77.63

Pump the brakes on SU — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on SU, but look at what you are paying: 32.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Suncor Energy Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $94.71 (+22.0%)
Spot @ $77.63

SU cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on SU, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Integrated oil Companies and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $77.63 (52-wk range $38.72 - $80.25), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%