Stock Ratings / Financials / STT / earnings

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State Street Corporation (STT) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±4.6% Move

$169.77 -2.29% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $168.75

State Street Corporation (STT) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $47.27B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on STT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is STT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, State Street Corporation (NYSE: STT) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $169.77 (-2.29% 1D, market cap $47.27B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, STT ranks #173 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does STT compare to FITB and TFC in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), STT carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 2.3%. By comparison, FITB (Fifth Third Bancorp) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 19.6x, ROIC 3.2%, cap $49.37B) and TFC (Truist Financial Corporation) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 0.9%, cap $59.11B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MTB leads on earnings multiple (11.4x) while DB leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for STT?

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Per STT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000093751), State Street Corporation generated $13.94B in revenue (+7.3% YoY), $2.95B in net income, and $10.84B in free cash flow against $366.05B in total assets and $152.19B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $168.75 (-0.60%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 77.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for STT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (68/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY STT SCORES 68/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-8 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B+$174.10-4.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$166.58+2.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$170.89-0.7% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$169.77+1.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B+ (76) → C+ (68)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the STT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, STT faces multiple-compression risk if 16.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($179.57) or 200D SMA ($159.33) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($177.41) toward Bear Floor ($138.38).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $STT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “STT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 68%NO 32%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±4.6% Swing Band

±$7.81 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

STT Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 68/100

Trailing EPS: $10.82 • YoY Revenue Growth: 7.3%

Model Bullish Setup (68/100)Model Risk Weight (32/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$13.94B	$2.95B	$10.84B	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$13.00B	$2.69B	-$14.14B	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$11.95B	$1.94B	$152.5M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating STT & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on STT
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

STT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +14.65%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-02O $173.5H $173.8L $169.8C $169.8VOL 1.78M

RES: $201.3SUP: $151.6SMA50: $179.6SMA200: $159.3

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

STT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 STT Butterfly Map → + Track STT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on STT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for STT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for STT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (STT)

Financials Rank #173 of 1096 ⚔️ FITB vs STT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (STT vs. FITB, TFC, DB, MTB)

Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, State Street Corporation (STT) ranks #173 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #67 by equity capitalization ($47.27B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MTB leads on earnings valuation at 11.4x trailing P/E, while DB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and — gross margin. FITB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with STT at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
STT ACTIVE State Street Corporation	C+	68/100	16.1x	—	2.3%	-2.29%	$47.27B	Benchmark Subject
FITB Fifth Third Bancorp	B-	71/100	19.6x	—	3.2%	-1.05%	$49.37B	/fitb-vs-stt →
TFC Truist Financial Corporation	C-	61/100	32.8x	—	0.9%	-1.07%	$59.11B	/tfc-vs-stt →
DB Deutsche Bank AG	C-	59/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	-3.50%	$65.68B	/db-vs-stt →
MTB M&T Bank Corporation	C	63/100	11.4x	—	3.4%	-1.49%	$32.36B	/mtb-vs-stt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000093751

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), State Street Corporation (STT) reported GAAP revenue of $13.94B (+7.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $13.00B , and +16.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $2.95B, operating cash flow of $11.90B, and free cash flow of $10.84B (+176.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, STT closed FY2025 with $366.05B in total assets against $152.19B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$13.94B	$2.95B	$11.90B	$10.84B	$366.05B	$152.19B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$13.00B	$2.69B	-$13.21B	-$14.14B	$353.24B	$147.56B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$11.95B	$1.94B	$690.0M	$152.5M	$26.00B	$6.08B

3. STT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is STT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does STT compare to FITB and TFC in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for STT?

Where is STT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

STT last traded at $169.77 (-2.29% on volume of 1,313,520 shares), positioning the stock -5.46% below its 50-day simple moving average ($179.57) and +6.55% above its 200-day simple moving average ($159.33). Across its 52-week range of $111.63 to $195.93, STT sits at the 69.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.6% ($161.96 to $177.58).

STT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is STT's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, State Street Corporation (STT)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is STT stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±4.6% event move for STT, spanning a range between $161.96 and $177.58.

Direct Sub-Reports: STT RQD Cockpit STT 12M Forecast STT Earnings & Move STT Dividends & DRIP STT Insiders & 13F STT Whale Options STT Profit Sankey STT News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 68/100 (C+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

STT — State Street Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:11:17Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, STT scores 68 out of 100, grade C+, labeled "Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20 (ROIC 2.3%; FCF yield 22%); Whale 13F Flow 12/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction 15/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit 13/20 (Beta 1.11; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet 15/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

For a prospective investor, the rating reads as a middle-of-the-range profile rather than a strong conviction signal. The strongest pillar is the forensic balance sheet, where the Altman Z, Piotroski, and Debt/Equity readings are relatively supportive. The weakest-scoring pillars are the cash-engine and whale-flow pillars, which the rating ties to a low ROIC (2.3%) and mixed institutional positioning. The 22% FCF yield is a notable valuation-side datapoint but sits alongside a low ROIC, so an investor would need to weigh whether cash generation is translating into shareholder returns on invested capital. The "Watch for Breakout" label implies the rating view depends on a near-term change in these pillars rather than a settled conclusion. The macro pillar (Beta 1.11) indicates the stock has been slightly more volatile than the market benchmark per the source, which is a relevant consideration for position sizing rather than a directional call.

Snapshot

Price	Market Cap	P/E (TTM)	Forward P/E	EV/EBITDA	EPS (TTM)	Dividend Yield	Beta	52-Wk Range	ROIC %
$173.75	$47.27B	16.1	15	32.4	10.82	2.37%	1.11	$111.63 - $195.93	2.3%

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025 (filed 2025-12-31)	$13944.0M	$3475.3M	$2945.2M	N/A	$10843.0M	N/A	$152192.7M
FY 2024 (filed 2024-12-31)	$13000.0M	$3170.5M	$2686.9M	N/A	$-14136.0M	N/A	$147561.3M
FY 2023 (filed 2023-12-31)	$11945.0M	$2293.5M	$1943.6M	N/A	$152.5M	N/A	$6084.1M

Per the market data, operating margin is 25.8%, net margin is 21.1%, and gross margin is 0%. ROIC is 2.3%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, both per the Roarable RQD rating's forensic pillar. Debt/Equity is 0.5 per the same source. The reported debt figures rose across the three periods, and FY 2024 free cash flow was negative per the financials section; the source does not explain the drivers of either.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Six headlines are provided in the news section, all tagged YELLOW with a MARKET WIRE impact label. Headlines include a Yahoo Finance comparison of STT with BNY and Northern Trust; a Seeking Alpha report titled "State Street Q3 earnings as fee revenue disappoint; stock trades down"; a Morningstar item on a pending investigation notice from SueWallSt; a Yahoo Finance earnings-growth piece; a GuruFocus preview of Q3 earnings amid mixed valuation; and a StockInvest.us price forecast. Key risk watch items are the fee-revenue disappointment cited in the Q3 coverage and the investigation notice. The butterfly supply-chain graph reports no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

What is the business description, client mix, and revenue breakdown behind the reported financials?
What drove the negative FY 2024 free cash flow and the large increase in reported debt across FY 2023–FY 2025?
What is the basis for the reported Q3 fee-revenue disappointment, and how does it compare with prior quarters?
What is the nature of the pending investigation notice referenced in the news section?
Why is EPS reported as N/A across all periods, and what are the cash balances?

STT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for State Street Corporation (STT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to STT Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 11h ago

State Street (STT) vs BNY (BNY) and Northern Trust (NTRS): Which Custodian Bank is a Better Buy?

Yahoo Finance report covering State Street Corporation (STT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 14h ago

State Street Q3 earnings as fee revenue disappoint; stock trades down (STT:NYSE)

Seeking Alpha report covering State Street Corporation (STT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Morningstar • 17h ago

State Street Investigation Notice: SueWallSt Notifies Investors of Pending Investigation Into State Street (STT)

Morningstar report covering State Street Corporation (STT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 20h ago

State Street Corporation (STT) Earnings Expected to Grow: Should You Buy?

Yahoo Finance report covering State Street Corporation (STT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE GuruFocus • 23h ago

State Street (STT) Set to Report Q3 Earnings Amid Mixed Valuatio

GuruFocus report covering State Street Corporation (STT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE StockInvest.us • 1d ago

State Street Stock Price Forecast. Should You Buy STT?

StockInvest.us report covering State Street Corporation (STT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

State Street Q3: Another Strong Quarter, But Macro Tailwinds May Be Fading (NYSE:STT)

Seeking Alpha report covering State Street Corporation (STT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

State Street Corporation (STT) Tops Q3 Earnings Estimates

Yahoo Finance report covering State Street Corporation (STT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

STT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $169.77?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON STT 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $187.65 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is STT (C+ • RQD 68/100) a Buy at $173.75?

Welcome to the STT (State Street Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 68/100 (Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Major Banks. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $137.26 (-21.0%)

Spot @ $173.75

Pump the brakes on STT — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on STT, but look at what you are paying: 16.1x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless State Street Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $198.08 (+14.0%)

Spot @ $173.75

STT cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on STT, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Major Banks and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $173.75 (52-wk range $111.63 - $195.93), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.