Star Equity Holdings Inc. (STRR) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$9.80 -0.10% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.78

Star Equity Holdings Inc. (STRR) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 18/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $36.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is STRR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Star Equity Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: STRR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 18/100 at a spot price of $9.80 (-0.10% 1D, market cap $36.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, STRR ranks #1000 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does STRR compare to ACCL and AERT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), STRR carries a Roarable E (18/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 46.4%, and ROIC of -5.3%. By comparison, ACCL (Acco Group Holdings Limited (Class A)) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 35.4x, ROIC —, cap $34.9M) and AERT (Aeries Technology Inc. Class A Ordinary Share) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 11.5x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $30.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AERT leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while AERT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for STRR?
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Per STRR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001210708), Star Equity Holdings Inc. generated $172.2M in revenue (+22.9% YoY), -$5.9M in net income, and -$7.3M in free cash flow against $113.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.78 (-0.21%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (18/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-12.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510018
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (7)SEC (3)Macro (5)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-18% Base Target
$13 Bull$8 Base$6 Bear
📬 FREE STRR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for STRR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (18/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY STRR SCORES 18/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+7/20 pts (39% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+5/20 pts (28% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 29% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 46 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
26
Grade E$9.99-0.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
23
Grade E$9.94+0.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
21
Grade E$10.00-2% Next Q
Current
18
Grade E$9.80-12.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (26) → E (18)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a STRR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While STRR currently carries a cautious 18/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.07) and Max Pain ($10.29) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $12.51.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $STRR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “STRR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your STRR Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $9.80: 1020.4 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $6.27
$6,398
$-3,602 (-36.0%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $8.04
$8,204
$-1,796 (-18.0%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $12.51
$12,765
+$2,765 (+27.7%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$874%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$1269%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$758%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring STRR)

  • ✓Walkthrough of STRR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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STRR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.40%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $9.81H $9.81L $9.80C $9.80VOL 4.3K
RES: $10.82SUP: $9.28SMA50: $10.07SMA200: $10.28
$12.11$11.27$10.43$9.59$8.75RES $10.82SUP $9.28$9.802026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

STRR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +22.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on STRR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for STRR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for STRR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (STRR)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #1000 of 1011 ⚔️ ACCL vs STRR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (STRR vs. ACCL, AERT, RYOJ, BGSF)

Industry: Professional Services (48 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Star Equity Holdings Inc. (STRR) ranks #1000 by composite RQD confidence (18/100, grade E) and #845 by equity capitalization ($36.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AERT leads on earnings valuation at 11.5x trailing P/E, while AERT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 24.7% gross margin. ACCL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with STRR at 18/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
STRR ACTIVE
Star Equity Holdings Inc.
E 18/100 — 46.4% -5.3% -0.10% $36.2M Benchmark Subject
ACCL
Acco Group Holdings Limited (Class A)
C+ 66/100 35.4x 44.1% — -3.47% $34.9M /accl-vs-strr →
AERT
Aeries Technology Inc. Class A Ordinary Share
C 65/100 11.5x 24.7% 85.0% -5.33% $30.8M /aert-vs-strr →
RYOJ
rYojbaba Co. Ltd.
D 46/100 — 26.6% -19.5% -5.42% $29.2M /ryoj-vs-strr →
BGSF
BGSF Inc.
D- 41/100 — 35.7% -24.2% -1.17% $45.3M /bgsf-vs-strr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001210708

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Star Equity Holdings Inc. (STRR) reported GAAP revenue of $172.2M (+22.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $140.1M , and +6.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$5.9M, operating cash flow of -$7.3M, and free cash flow of -$7.3M (-160.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, STRR closed FY2025 with $113.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $172.2M -$5.9M -$7.3M -$7.3M $113.2M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $140.1M -$4.8M -$2.8M -$2.8M $52.6M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $161.3M $2.2M $315.0K $315.0K — —

3. STRR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is STRR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Star Equity Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: STRR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 18/100 at a spot price of $9.80 (-0.10% 1D, market cap $36.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, STRR ranks #1000 in composite RQD confidence.

How does STRR compare to ACCL and AERT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), STRR carries a Roarable E (18/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 46.4%, and ROIC of -5.3%. By comparison, ACCL (Acco Group Holdings Limited (Class A)) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 35.4x, ROIC —, cap $34.9M) and AERT (Aeries Technology Inc. Class A Ordinary Share) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 11.5x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $30.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AERT leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while AERT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for STRR?

Per STRR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001210708), Star Equity Holdings Inc. generated $172.2M in revenue (+22.9% YoY), -$5.9M in net income, and -$7.3M in free cash flow against $113.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is STRR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

STRR last traded at $9.80 (-0.10% on volume of 4,311 shares), positioning the stock -2.68% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.07) and -4.67% below its 200-day simple moving average ($10.28). Across its 52-week range of $8.95 to $11.91, STRR sits at the 28.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($8.57 to $11.03).

STRR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is STRR's 12-month stock price target?

Star Equity Holdings Inc. (STRR) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $8.04 (-18% from $9.80), with a bull-case target of $12.51 and a bear-case floor of $6.27.

Is STRR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates STRR E (Strong Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 18/100.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 18/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

STRR — Star Equity Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:48:08Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, STRR scores 18 out of 100 and receives a letter grade of E, with the verdict "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." Across the five pillars, the Fundamental Cash Engine scores 1/20 (ROIC -5.3%; FCF yield -20.05%), indicating that the business is currently not generating returns on invested capital or free cash flow relative to its market value. Whale 13F Flow scores 7/20, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning that the rating treats as a modest offset. Insider Conviction scores 3/20 based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Macro Regime Fit scores 5/20 with a beta of 1.0 and a noted sector sensitivity. Forensic Balance Sheet scores 2/20, citing an Altman Z of 0.2, a Piotroski F of 3/9, and a Debt/Equity of 0.5.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating's implied message is that the principal upside drivers (cash generation, balance sheet repair, and insider or institutional conviction) are weak in the current data, while the valuation case depends on a turnaround that the source data does not yet demonstrate. The negative FCF yield means the market price is not supported by current cash generation, and the low Altman and Piotroski readings place the forensic risk front and center. This is an analytical framing of the rating, not personalized financial advice.

Business

Per the profile, Star Equity Holdings Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Professional Services industry. The source data does not describe specific products, customer segments, or revenue model beyond these classifications. The gross margin of 46.4% indicates a meaningful gap between revenue and direct costs, but the source does not explain the underlying activities that generate it. Not available in source data for further business detail.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$172.2M$-3.7M$-5.9MN/A$-7.3M$10.3MN/A
FY 2024$140.1M$-3.8M$-4.8MN/A$-2.8M$17.0MN/A
FY 2023$161.3M$1.4M$2.2MN/A$0.3MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $140.1M in FY 2024 to $172.2M in FY 2025, yet operating and net income remained negative across both recent years, and FY 2025 free cash flow was $-7.3M. The reported operating margin is -2.1% and net margin is -3.4%, while ROIC is -5.3%. The Roarable RQD rating cites an Altman Z of 0.2, a Piotroski F of 3/9, and a Debt/Equity of 0.5. Cash declined from $17.0M to $10.3M across the reported periods, and debt figures are not available in source data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, the most recent items include a presentation at the LD Micro Main Event on October 20, a TradingView estimates page, a Stock Titan item on drilling-equipment repairs (not clearly tied to the company's operations in the source), a TradingView item on the acquisition of PD Machine for $350,000 and preferred shares, a dealer-positioning price note describing shares slipping 1.11% to $9.76, and an ad-hoc-news.de item citing a target of 400 million US dollars revenue by 2030. All items are flagged YELLOW in the source. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals, so no additional signal-based catalysts are available. Risk watch items per the source include negative FCF and the low forensic balance-sheet scores; the PD Machine acquisition and the 2030 revenue target are unverified in the source beyond their headlines.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. The source therefore does not identify any upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector correlations for STRR. The source also does not document second-order bottlenecks. A prospective investor should treat the absence of mapped links as a gap in the available data rather than as evidence of independence, and should look for disclosed customer and supplier concentration in the company's filings, which the source does not provide.

Open Questions

  • What specific products or services generate the reported $172.2M in FY 2025 revenue, and which customer segments drive that revenue?
  • What caused the operating loss in FY 2025 and FY 2024 despite revenue growth, and what is the path to positive FCF?
  • What are the company's total debt and EPS figures, given that both are unavailable in the source data?
  • What is the status and financing of the PD Machine acquisition, and how will it affect cash and the balance sheet?
  • What is the basis for the 2030 revenue target of 400 million US dollars, and what has been disclosed to support it?

STRR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Star Equity Holdings Inc. (STRR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to STRR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

STRR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $9.80?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON STRR 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on STRR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $8.63 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is STRR (E • RQD 18/100) a Buy at $9.81?

Welcome to the STRR (Star Equity Holdings Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 18/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Professional Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $7.46 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $9.81

Pump the brakes on STRR — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on STRR, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 46.4% gross margins. Unless Star Equity Holdings Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $11.48 (+17.0%)
Spot @ $9.81

STRR cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on STRR, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Professional Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $9.81 (52-wk range $8.95 - $11.91), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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