Strategic Education Inc. (STRA) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±5.5% Move

$72.96 -6.23% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $72.00

Strategic Education Inc. (STRA) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.73B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is STRA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Strategic Education Inc. (NASDAQ: STRA) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $72.96 (-6.23% 1D, market cap $1.73B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, STRA ranks #17 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does STRA compare to PRDO and UTI in the Real Estate sector?
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Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), STRA carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.1%. By comparison, PRDO (Perdoceo Education Corporation) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 12.3x, ROIC 18.0%, cap $1.96B) and UTI (Universal Technical Institute Inc) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 20.6x, ROIC 19.3%, cap $1.30B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PRDO leads on earnings multiple (12.3x) while DAO leads on capital efficiency (21.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for STRA?
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Per STRA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001013934), Strategic Education Inc. generated $1.27B in revenue (+4.0% YoY), $126.6M in net income, and $153.9M in free cash flow against $2.04B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $72.00 (-1.31%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 12.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510063
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C-
Cash (15)Whales (8)SEC (14)Macro (10)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.2% Base Target
$94 Bull$75 Base$58 Bear
📬 FREE STRA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for STRA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY STRA SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 12.1% FCF Margin ($153.9M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
71
Grade B$81.95-0.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
68
Grade B-$81.20+0% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
66
Grade B-$81.19-10.1% Next Q
Current
63
Grade C$72.96+0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (71) → C (63)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the STRA Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, STRA faces multiple-compression risk if 13.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($80.67) or 200D SMA ($80.38) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($74.60) toward Bear Floor ($58.19).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $STRA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “STRA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±5.5% Swing Band

±$4.01 Expected Swing
$68.95 (-5.5%)Spot $72.96$76.97 (+5.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

STRA Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 63/100

Trailing EPS: $5.70 • YoY Revenue Growth: 4%

Model Bullish Setup (63/100)Model Risk Weight (37/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$1.27B$126.6M$153.9M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$1.22B$112.7M$128.8M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$1.13B$69.8M$117.1M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating STRA & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on STRA
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
STRA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -5.21%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $77.55H $77.81L $72.96C $72.96VOL 262.9K
RES: $82.49SUP: $72.59SMA50: $80.67SMA200: $80.38
$90.93$85.96$81.00$76.03$71.07RES $82.49SUP $72.59$72.962026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

STRA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
5.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on STRA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for STRA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for STRA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (STRA)

Real Estate Rank #17 of 51 ⚔️ PRDO vs STRA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Real Estate Peer Comparison (STRA vs. PRDO, UTI, DAO, AFYA)

Industry: Other Consumer Services (73 Tracked Issuers)

Across 51 tracked Real Estate securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Strategic Education Inc. (STRA) ranks #17 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #13 by equity capitalization ($1.73B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PRDO leads on earnings valuation at 12.3x trailing P/E, while DAO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.5% ROIC and 44.3% gross margin. DAO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with STRA at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
STRA ACTIVE
Strategic Education Inc.
C 63/100 13.6x — 9.1% -6.23% $1.73B Benchmark Subject
PRDO
Perdoceo Education Corporation
C+ 66/100 12.3x — 18.0% -5.00% $1.96B /prdo-vs-stra →
UTI
Universal Technical Institute Inc
C 63/100 20.6x — 19.3% -4.11% $1.30B /uti-vs-stra →
DAO
Youdao Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share
C+ 68/100 — 44.3% 21.5% +4.09% $2.33B /dao-vs-stra →
AFYA
Afya Limited (Class A)
D 46/100 — — — +2.75% $953.2M /afya-vs-stra →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001013934

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Strategic Education Inc. (STRA) reported GAAP revenue of $1.27B (+4.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.22B , and +11.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $126.6M, operating cash flow of $198.2M, and free cash flow of $153.9M (+19.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, STRA closed FY2025 with $2.04B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.76, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.27B $126.6M $198.2M $153.9M $2.04B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.22B $112.7M $169.3M $128.8M $2.05B $0
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.13B $69.8M $117.1M $117.1M — —

3. STRA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is STRA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Strategic Education Inc. (NASDAQ: STRA) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $72.96 (-6.23% 1D, market cap $1.73B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, STRA ranks #17 in composite RQD confidence.

How does STRA compare to PRDO and UTI in the Real Estate sector?

Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), STRA carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.1%. By comparison, PRDO (Perdoceo Education Corporation) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 12.3x, ROIC 18.0%, cap $1.96B) and UTI (Universal Technical Institute Inc) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 20.6x, ROIC 19.3%, cap $1.30B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PRDO leads on earnings multiple (12.3x) while DAO leads on capital efficiency (21.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for STRA?

Per STRA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001013934), Strategic Education Inc. generated $1.27B in revenue (+4.0% YoY), $126.6M in net income, and $153.9M in free cash flow against $2.04B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is STRA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

STRA last traded at $72.96 (-6.23% on volume of 348,967 shares), positioning the stock -9.56% below its 50-day simple moving average ($80.67) and -9.23% below its 200-day simple moving average ($80.38). Across its 52-week range of $69.70 to $89.73, STRA sits at the 16.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.5% ($68.95 to $76.97).

STRA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is STRA's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Strategic Education Inc. (STRA)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is STRA stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±5.5% event move for STRA, spanning a range between $68.95 and $76.97.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 63/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

STRA — Strategic Education Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:27:56Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, STRA scores 63 out of 100, a letter grade of C, with the verdict "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 15 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 9.1% and an FCF yield of 8.91%. Investor implication: the business converts capital into returns at a moderate level, and the free cash flow yield offers a meaningful cash-return cushion relative to the share price.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 8 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. Investor implication: this is the weakest pillar, suggesting institutional conviction is not a current tailwind.
  • Insider Conviction: 16 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Investor implication: this is the strongest pillar, indicating insider-side activity is comparatively supportive.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 10 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects a Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. Investor implication: the stock tracks broad market movement one-for-one, so it offers no defensive buffer against a market downturn.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 14 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects an Altman Z of 3.76, Piotroski F of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. Investor implication: balance sheet strength is solid, which limits solvency concerns.

Taken together, the score points to a balanced setup: solid cash generation and balance sheet offset by weak institutional flow and no beta-based defensive cushion. Valuation tradeoffs are visible in the market data: a P/E (TTM) of 13.6 and forward P/E of 12.6 suggest modest multiple compression is expected by the market, while the 3.33% dividend yield provides income support. Upside drivers would be sustained institutional accumulation and continued cash conversion; downside risks include a broad market pullback given the 1.0 beta.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$77.81$1.73B13.612.67.55.73.33%1.0$69.7 - $89.739.1%

Business

Strategic Education Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Real Estate sector and the Other Consumer Services industry, per the company profile. The profile establishes a market capitalization of $1.7B. Not available in source data: detailed product or service offerings, customer base, and revenue model descriptions.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$1268.2M$174.2M$126.6MN/A$153.9M$140.8MN/A
FY 2024$1219.9M$155.6M$112.7MN/A$128.8M$137.1M$0.0M
FY 2023$1132.9M$95.3M$69.8MN/A$117.1MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $1132.9M in FY 2023 to $1268.2M in FY 2025, and net income rose from $69.8M to $126.6M over the same span. Per the market data, operating margin is 13.7% and net margin is 10%, while gross margin is reported as 0%. ROIC is 9.1%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 3.76, the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Per the FY 2024 financials, debt is reported as $0.0M.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, six items cover STRA:

  • Upgrade coverage (Yahoo Finance, CATALYST, GREEN): headline "Strategic Education (STRA) Upgraded to Buy: What Does It Mean for the Stock?"
  • Sector comparison (TradingView, MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): Q2 review of education services stocks versus peers.
  • Moving average crossover (MarketBeat, MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): price crossing above the 200-day moving average.
  • Valuation question (Simply Wall St, CATALYST, GREEN): coverage asking whether the stock is undervalued amid growth questions.
  • Program transfer (Stock Titan, MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): eligible undergraduates may transfer Sophia courses toward National University programs.
  • Forecast coverage (Yahoo Finance, MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): stock forecast report.

Risk watch items: the news feed carries no quantified guidance or earnings data. Proprietary signals: Not available in source data (the butterfly graph lists none).

Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership

Analyst data: Not available in source data (no consensus rating or price targets provided). Holders data: Not available in source data (no SEC Form 4, 13F, or Congressional trade detail provided). The Roarable RQD rating reflects insider-side activity through its Insider Conviction pillar (16 / 20) and institutional flow through its Whale 13F Flow pillar (8 / 20), but the underlying transactions are not itemized in the source data.

STRA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Strategic Education Inc. (STRA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to STRA Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

STRA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $72.96?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON STRA 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on STRA:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $84.03 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is STRA (C • RQD 63/100) a Buy at $77.81?

Welcome to the STRA (Strategic Education Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 63/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Other Consumer Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $65.36 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $77.81

Pump the brakes on STRA — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on STRA, but look at what you are paying: 13.6x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Strategic Education Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $88.70 (+14.0%)
Spot @ $77.81

STRA cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on STRA, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Other Consumer Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $77.81 (52-wk range $69.70 - $89.73), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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