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The ONE Group Hospitality Inc. (STKS) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$1.17 +6.36% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.18

The ONE Group Hospitality Inc. (STKS) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 22/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $34.9M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is STKS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, The ONE Group Hospitality Inc. (NASDAQ: STKS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 22/100 at a spot price of $1.17 (+6.36% 1D, market cap $34.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, STKS ranks #972 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does STKS compare to THCH and LVO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), STKS carries a Roarable E (22/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 2.5%. By comparison, THCH (TH International Limited) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $39.6M) and LVO (LiveOne Inc.) posts a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $40.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, STKS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while STKS leads on capital efficiency (2.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for STKS?
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Per STKS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0001399520), The ONE Group Hospitality Inc. generated $805.7M in revenue (+19.7% YoY), -$92.2M in net income, and -$27.3M in free cash flow against $884.2M in total assets and $334.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.18 (+0.95%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (22/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510022
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (6)Whales (3)SEC (5)Macro (5)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-16.2% Base Target
$3 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE STKS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for STKS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (22/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY STKS SCORES 22/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+6/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+5/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.72 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
30
Grade E$1.50-26.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
27
Grade E$1.10+1.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
25
Grade E$1.12+4.5% Next Q
Current
22
Grade E$1.17-11.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (30) → E (22)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a STKS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While STKS currently carries a cautious 22/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.47) and Max Pain ($1.23) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.78.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $STKS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “STKS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 27, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (12.6% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $32,763

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $590/yr
$11.3K
Yr 1
$12.7K
Yr 2
$14.3K
Yr 3
$16.1K
Yr 4
$18.1K
Yr 5
$20.4K
Yr 6
$22.9K
Yr 7
$25.8K
Yr 8
$29.1K
Yr 9
$32.8K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring STKS)

  • ✓Walkthrough of STKS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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STKS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -33.90%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $1.10H $1.17L $1.10C $1.17VOL 8.4K
RES: $1.59SUP: $0.99SMA50: $1.47SMA200: $1.79
$2.32$1.98$1.64$1.30$0.96RES $1.59SUP $0.99$1.172026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

STKS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-5.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +19.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on STKS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for STKS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for STKS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (STKS)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #972 of 1009 ⚔️ THCH vs STKS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (STKS vs. THCH, LVO, GENK, SDOT)

Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, The ONE Group Hospitality Inc. (STKS) ranks #972 by composite RQD confidence (22/100, grade E) and #846 by equity capitalization ($34.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, STKS leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while STKS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 2.5% ROIC and — gross margin. THCH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 48/100 (D) compared with STKS at 22/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
STKS ACTIVE
The ONE Group Hospitality Inc.
E 22/100 — — 2.5% +6.36% $34.9M Benchmark Subject
THCH
TH International Limited
D 48/100 — — — -0.42% $39.6M /thch-vs-stks →
LVO
LiveOne Inc.
E 25/100 — 15.9% -35.0% -5.10% $40.3M /lvo-vs-stks →
GENK
GEN Restaurant Group Inc. (Class A)
E 17/100 — — -35.0% -6.71% $52.0M /genk-vs-stks →
SDOT
Sadot Group Inc.
E 29/100 — 1.9% -35.0% -16.93% $21.9M /sdot-vs-stks →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-28 • CIK 0001399520 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28), The ONE Group Hospitality Inc. (STKS) reported GAAP revenue of $805.7M (+19.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $673.3M , and +142.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$92.2M, operating cash flow of $30.3M, and free cash flow of -$27.3M (+0.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, STKS closed FY2025 with $884.2M in total assets against $334.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.72, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-28 $805.7M -$92.2M $30.3M -$27.3M $884.2M $334.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $673.3M -$17.1M $44.2M -$27.4M $960.1M $328.1M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $332.8M $4.7M $30.8M $30.8M — —

3. STKS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is STKS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, The ONE Group Hospitality Inc. (NASDAQ: STKS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 22/100 at a spot price of $1.17 (+6.36% 1D, market cap $34.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, STKS ranks #972 in composite RQD confidence.

How does STKS compare to THCH and LVO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), STKS carries a Roarable E (22/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 2.5%. By comparison, THCH (TH International Limited) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $39.6M) and LVO (LiveOne Inc.) posts a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $40.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, STKS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while STKS leads on capital efficiency (2.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for STKS?

Per STKS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0001399520), The ONE Group Hospitality Inc. generated $805.7M in revenue (+19.7% YoY), -$92.2M in net income, and -$27.3M in free cash flow against $884.2M in total assets and $334.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is STKS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

STKS last traded at $1.17 (+6.36% on volume of 8,830 shares), positioning the stock -20.41% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.47) and -34.64% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.79). Across its 52-week range of $1.07 to $2.65, STKS sits at the 6.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 25.0 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.02 to $1.32).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 22/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

STKS — The ONE Group Hospitality Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-28

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The ONE Group Hospitality Inc. (STKS) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 22/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $1.17 (+6.36% 1D, market capitalization $34.9M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (6/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 2.5%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 1.0%, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (5/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (5/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.72, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. (STKS) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and Restaurants industry. Reported revenue was $805.7M for FY 2025, indicating a substantial restaurant operating base.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-28), The ONE Group Hospitality Inc. (STKS) reported $805.7M in annual revenue (up from $673.3M in FY2024, +19.7% YoY) and -$92.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($332.8M revenue, $4.7M net income) through FY2025, STKS scaled operating cash flow to $30.3M and free cash flow to -$27.3M, backed by $884.2M in total assets against $334.0M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 22/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 6/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.07 – $2.65 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation and 6.4x EV/EBITDA against 1.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Restaurants (Consumer Discretionary), STKS carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can STKS sustain or expand its 1.0% operating margin and 2.5% ROIC against Restaurants peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $805.7M and free cash flow of -$27.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $334.0M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is STKS's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

STKS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for The ONE Group Hospitality Inc. (STKS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to STKS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

STKS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.17?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON STKS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on STKS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.45 (+31.8%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Trading at an EV/EBITDA of 6.4 near the bottom of its $1.07 - $2.65 52-week range, the valuation is low relative to reported operating

Long STKS at $1.10 targeting $1.45. Trading at an EV/EBITDA of 6.4 near the bottom of its $1.07 - $2.65 52-week range, the valuation is low relative to reported operating income.. Institutional whale score is 3/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $1.07 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — STKS's 5/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.94 (-14.5%)
Spot @ $1.10

With an Altman Z-Score of 0.72, a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, net income of -$92.2M, and cash down to $4.2M against $334.0M of debt, the

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short STKS above $1.10. With an Altman Z-Score of 0.72, a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, net income of -$92.2M, and cash down to $4.2M against $334.0M of debt, the forensic profile signals elevated distress risk.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (6/20) and FCF yield (0.0%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $2.65.

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