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Stock Ratings / Communication Services / SPOT / insiders
SKYD (43) FOXA (77) FOX (77) FWONK (63) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Spotify Technology S.A. (SPOT) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$593.44 +6.50% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $601.81

Spotify Technology S.A. (SPOT) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 10% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 68.1% hit rate) β†’
ROARABLE B- β€’ BUY Cap $117.43B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on SPOT Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SPOT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Spotify Technology S.A. (NYSE: SPOT) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $593.44 (+6.50% 1D, market cap $117.43B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, SPOT ranks #12 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SPOT compare to SKYD and FOXA in the Communication Services sector?
β–Ό

Within the Communication Services sector (Broadcasting), SPOT carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, SKYD (Skydance Corporation) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 7.2%, cap $39.83B) and FOXA (Fox Corporation (Class A)) posts a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 12.0x, ROIC 14.6%, cap $27.20B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FOXA leads on earnings multiple (12.0x) while FOXA leads on capital efficiency (14.6% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SPOT?
β–Ό

For Spotify Technology S.A. (SPOT), key quantitative strengths include Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. and Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs., while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $601.81 (+1.41%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) β€’ 15.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 68.1% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY β€’ B-
025507510070
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ Β· Rk B
Cash (12)Whales (16)SEC (16)Macro (14)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target
$738 Bull$625 Base$487 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE SPOT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SPOT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±8.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (70/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY SPOT SCORES 70/100 (B-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±8.1% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 7/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 8 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
62
Grade C+$527.45-0.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
65
Grade C+$526.08+5.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
67
Grade B-$555.45+6.8% Next Q
Current
70
Grade B-$593.44+6.6% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C+ (62) β†’ B- (70)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SPOT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 70/100 (B-) score, SPOT faces multiple-compression risk if 32.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($531.45) or 200D SMA ($497.77) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($625.49) toward Bear Floor ($486.62).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SPOTβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œSPOT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 70%NO 30%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

SPOT Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (SPOT)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on SPOT. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (SPOT Tape Review)

  • βœ“Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • βœ“Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • βœ“Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) β†’$100K Arena
SPOT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +35.41%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $538.4H $593.4L $538.4C $593.4VOL 1.17M
RES: $596.3SUP: $475.7SMA50: $531.5SMA200: $497.8
$608.2$554.9$501.5$448.1$394.7RES $596.3SUP $475.7$593.42026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SPOT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ SPOT Butterfly Map β†’ + Track SPOT β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SPOT today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SPOT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SPOT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SPOT)

Communication Services Rank #12 of 132 βš”οΈ SKYD vs SPOT Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (SPOT vs. SKYD, FOXA, FOX, FWONK)

Industry: Broadcasting (24 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Spotify Technology S.A. (SPOT) ranks #12 by composite RQD confidence (70/100, grade B-) and #9 by equity capitalization ($117.43B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FOXA leads on earnings valuation at 12.0x trailing P/E, while FOXA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.6% ROIC and β€” gross margin. FOXA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 77/100 (B+) compared with SPOT at 70/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SPOT ACTIVE
Spotify Technology S.A.
B- 70/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% +6.50% $117.43B Benchmark Subject
SKYD
Skydance Corporation
D- 43/100 32.8x β€” 7.2% +0.63% $39.83B /skyd-vs-spot β†’
FOXA
Fox Corporation (Class A)
B+ 77/100 12.0x β€” 14.6% -1.97% $27.20B /foxa-vs-spot β†’
FOX
Fox Corporation (Class B)
B+ 77/100 12.0x β€” 14.6% -1.83% $24.14B /fox-vs-spot β†’
FWONK
Formula One Group (Series C)
C 63/100 41.8x β€” 3.9% -0.15% $23.22B /fwonk-vs-spot β†’

2. SPOT Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Spotify Technology S.A. (SPOT) operates in Broadcasting (Communication Services) with an equity capitalization of $117.43B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 30.5x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of β€”, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9.

3. SPOT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SPOT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Spotify Technology S.A. (NYSE: SPOT) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $593.44 (+6.50% 1D, market cap $117.43B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, SPOT ranks #12 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SPOT compare to SKYD and FOXA in the Communication Services sector?

Within the Communication Services sector (Broadcasting), SPOT carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, SKYD (Skydance Corporation) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 7.2%, cap $39.83B) and FOXA (Fox Corporation (Class A)) posts a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 12.0x, ROIC 14.6%, cap $27.20B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FOXA leads on earnings multiple (12.0x) while FOXA leads on capital efficiency (14.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SPOT?

For Spotify Technology S.A. (SPOT), key quantitative strengths include Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. and Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs., while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SPOT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SPOT last traded at $593.44 (+6.50% on volume of 3,233,729 shares), positioning the stock +11.66% above its 50-day simple moving average ($531.45) and +19.22% above its 200-day simple moving average ($497.77). Across its 52-week range of $405.00 to $668.49, SPOT sits at the 71.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±8.1% ($545.37 to $641.51).

SPOT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Are SPOT insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies SPOT leadership and institutional positioning as: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING.

Direct Sub-Reports: SPOT RQD Cockpit SPOT 12M Forecast SPOT Earnings & Move SPOT Dividends & DRIP SPOT Insiders & 13F SPOT Whale Options SPOT Profit Sankey SPOT News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 70/100 (B-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

SPOT β€” Spotify Technology S.A.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:08:05Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, SPOT carries an RQD Score of 70 and a letter grade of B-, with the verdict label "Roarable Buy β€” Sound Institutional Accumulation." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 (ROIC 9.9%; FCF yield 2.21%); Whale 13F Flow at 16/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 12/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 14/20 (Beta 0.94; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 16/20 (Altman Z 3.74; Piotroski F 7/9; Debt/Equity 0.39).

For a prospective investor, the strongest pillars are the forensic balance sheet and institutional flow, which together point to financial stability and visible institutional demand. The weakest pillars are the cash engine and insider conviction, where the FCF yield of 2.21% and the 9.9% ROIC indicate that cash generation is modest relative to the share price. Valuation is the central tradeoff: a trailing P/E of 32.8 and EV/EBITDA of 21 imply that much of the expected growth is already reflected in the price. Upside drivers would be sustained margin improvement and rising free cash flow; the principal risk is that multiples compress if earnings growth disappoints. The beta of 0.94 suggests market-like sensitivity to broad moves. This brief is educational and is not personalized financial advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
557.24$117.43B32.830.52116.970%0.94$405 - $668.499.9%

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, six items cover SPOT. Headlines reference market action, institutional positioning, and fundamentals. Two items are flagged as market wire with yellow lights, and one headline references a stock rally of almost 10% on easing margin concerns per a Benzinga analyst report. A Seeking Alpha item titled as a downgrade ahead of Q3 earnings is flagged yellow and is a risk watch item. A GuruFocus item asks whether shares are overvalued after a 6.5% rally and is flagged as a green catalyst. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no proprietary signals or supply-chain links are available.

Open Questions

  • What are the reported revenue, operating income, net income, free cash flow, cash, and debt figures across recent periods?
  • What is the consensus analyst rating and price target range?
  • What specific insider, 13F institutional, or Congressional trades underlie the RQD pillar scores?
  • What drives the gross margin figure of 0% in the market data, and is it a reporting artifact?
  • Which upstream or downstream relationships, if any, connect SPOT to other listed companies?

SPOT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Spotify Technology S.A. (SPOT) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to SPOT Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SPOT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $593.44?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SPOT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SPOT:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $657.54 (+18.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is SPOT (B- β€’ RQD 70/100) a Buy at $557.24?

Welcome to the SPOT (Spotify Technology S.A.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 70/100 (Roarable Buy β€” Sound Institutional Accumulation) in Broadcasting. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (32.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $417.93 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $557.24

Pump the brakes on SPOT β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on SPOT, but look at what you are paying: 32.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Spotify Technology S.A. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $713.27 (+28.0%)
Spot @ $557.24

SPOT cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on SPOT, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Broadcasting and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $557.24 (52-wk range $405.00 - $668.49), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%