Spire Global Inc. (Class A) (SPIR) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$8.87 -8.37% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.72

Spire Global Inc. (Class A) (SPIR) receives a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) and flashes a Red SELL / AVOID rating (17/100 RQD Confidence). Alongside weak composite pillar scores, our SEC filing scanner spotted paper earnings outpacing operating cash flow (+269.6% (NI vs OCF)).

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $393.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SPIR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Spire Global Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: SPIR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 17/100 at a spot price of $8.87 (-8.37% 1D, market cap $393.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 4/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Active quantitative signal ACCOUNTING_MIRAGE (BEARISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SPIR compare to CCOI and GOGO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Telecommunications Equipment), SPIR carries a Roarable E (17/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, CCOI (Cogent Communications Holdings Inc.) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $397.4M) and GOGO (Gogo Inc.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 26.5x, ROIC 11.1%, cap $342.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SPIR leads on earnings multiple (7.7x) while GOGO leads on capital efficiency (11.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SPIR?
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Per SPIR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001816017), Spire Global Inc. (Class A) generated $71.6M in revenue (-35.2% YoY), $51.3M in net income, and -$92.6M in free cash flow against $211.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: SEC Accrual Watch: Headline earnings grew faster than operating cash flow—monitor working-capital conversion.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.72 (-1.70%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (17/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-12.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510017
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (5)SEC (4)Macro (3)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-18.5% Base Target
$27 Bull$7 Base$6 Bear
📬 FREE SPIR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SPIR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (17/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SPIR SCORES 17/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+5/20 pts (29% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±10.7% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+5/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 25% Net Buy • Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (46.5) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
25
Grade E$9.66-9.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
22
Grade E$8.73+4.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
20
Grade E$9.14-3% Next Q
Current
17
Grade E$8.87-12.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (25) → E (17)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SPIR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SPIR currently carries a cautious 17/100 (E) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($11.03) and Max Pain ($9.31) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $27.23.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SPIR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SPIR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
0.6% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $102/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SPIR)

  • ✓Walkthrough of SPIR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
SPIR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -49.17%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $9.65H $9.68L $8.87C $8.87VOL 371.5K
RES: $9.70SUP: $8.27SMA50: $11.03SMA200: $13.80
$27.15$22.09$17.02$11.95$6.89RES $9.70SUP $8.27$8.872026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SPIR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-6.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -35.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SPIR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SPIR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SPIR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SPIR)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #1009 of 1011 ⚔️ CCOI vs SPIR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SPIR vs. CCOI, GOGO, NSTR, SAIQ)

Industry: Telecommunications Equipment (81 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Spire Global Inc. (Class A) (SPIR) ranks #1009 by composite RQD confidence (17/100, grade E) and #619 by equity capitalization ($393.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SPIR leads on earnings valuation at 7.7x trailing P/E, while GOGO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.1% ROIC and — gross margin. GOGO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 50/100 (D) compared with SPIR at 17/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SPIR ACTIVE
Spire Global Inc. (Class A)
E 17/100 7.7x — -35.0% -8.37% $393.2M Benchmark Subject
CCOI
Cogent Communications Holdings Inc.
E 34/100 — — -35.0% -13.14% $397.4M /ccoi-vs-spir →
GOGO
Gogo Inc.
D 50/100 26.5x — 11.1% -6.72% $342.8M /gogo-vs-spir →
NSTR
NorthStar Earth & Space Enterprises Inc.
D 49/100 — — — +2.15% $208.5M /nstr-vs-spir →
SAIQ
WISeSat.Space Holdings Corp.
D 49/100 — — — -13.07% $188.1M /saiq-vs-spir →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001816017

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Spire Global Inc. (Class A) (SPIR) reported GAAP revenue of $71.6M (-35.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $110.5M , and -26.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $51.3M, operating cash flow of -$59.8M, and free cash flow of -$92.6M (-105.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, SPIR closed FY2025 with $211.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $71.6M $51.3M -$59.8M -$92.6M $211.0M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $110.5M -$103.4M -$18.5M -$45.0M $193.6M $4.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $97.6M -$77.6M -$36.3M -$36.3M — —

3. SPIR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SPIR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Spire Global Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: SPIR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 17/100 at a spot price of $8.87 (-8.37% 1D, market cap $393.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 4/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Active quantitative signal ACCOUNTING_MIRAGE (BEARISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

How does SPIR compare to CCOI and GOGO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Telecommunications Equipment), SPIR carries a Roarable E (17/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, CCOI (Cogent Communications Holdings Inc.) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $397.4M) and GOGO (Gogo Inc.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 26.5x, ROIC 11.1%, cap $342.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SPIR leads on earnings multiple (7.7x) while GOGO leads on capital efficiency (11.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SPIR?

Per SPIR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001816017), Spire Global Inc. (Class A) generated $71.6M in revenue (-35.2% YoY), $51.3M in net income, and -$92.6M in free cash flow against $211.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: SEC Accrual Watch: Headline earnings grew faster than operating cash flow—monitor working-capital conversion.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SPIR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SPIR last traded at $8.87 (-8.37% on volume of 608,705 shares), positioning the stock -19.58% below its 50-day simple moving average ($11.03) and -35.72% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.80). Across its 52-week range of $6.60 to $25.93, SPIR sits at the 11.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.7% ($7.92 to $9.82).

SPIR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does SPIR pay a dividend and is it safe?

Spire Global Inc. (Class A) (SPIR) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 0.6% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 17/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

SPIR — Spire Global Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:37:10Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, SPIR scores 17 out of 100 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 0 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects ROIC of -35% and FCF yield of -23.55%, indicating the business is currently not generating returns on invested capital or free cash flow relative to its value.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 5 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar covers institutional accumulation and options positioning. The source gives only the score; underlying 13F detail is not provided in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 5 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score is weak, and the news wire separately reports an executive chairman sale (see Recent Catalysts).
  • Macro Regime Fit: 3 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.0 with sector sensitivity; the score is low, implying limited favorable macro alignment per the rating model.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 4 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects Altman Z 0.2, Piotroski F 3/9, and Debt/Equity 0.5. The Altman Z of 0.2 is deeply weak relative to the rating's framing.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating's implications are that the cash-generation and balance-sheet pillars carry the heaviest weight of the negative signals, while the ownership-flow pillars are only moderately weak. Upside drivers would require a reversal in cash generation, which the source data does not show. Valuation tradeoffs are visible in the market data: a P/E (TTM) of 7.7 appears low, but per the market data, EPS of 1.26 sits alongside negative operating margin and FCF yield, so the headline multiple does not reflect cash economics. Second-order risk is that a weak forensic profile can pressure financing options, though the source data does not quantify this.

Business

Spire Global Inc. (Class A) (SPIR) is listed on the NYSE and classified per the profile as Consumer Discretionary, in the Telecommunications Equipment industry. Per the profile, the company has a market capitalization of $0.4B. The source data does not describe the company's products, customers, or revenue model beyond sector and industry classification. Not available in source data for further business detail.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$71.6M$-96.0M$51.3MN/A$-92.6M$24.8MN/A
FY 2024$110.5M$-69.3M$-103.4MN/A$-45.0M$19.2M$4.6M
FY 2023$97.6M$-58.8M$-77.6MN/A$-36.3MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $110.5M (FY 2024) to $71.6M (FY 2025), while operating income remained negative across all reported periods. Per the market data, operating margin is -60% and gross margin is 0%. Net margin is reported as 68% in the market data, which diverges sharply from negative operating income and should be interpreted cautiously. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is -35%, Altman Z is 0.2, Piotroski F is 3/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Earnings timing: Per the news wire, third-quarter results will be released before a November 10 call.
  • Cash burn scrutiny: Per the news wire, a Simply Wall St piece flags the company's cash burn situation.
  • Insider selling (risk watch): Per the news wire, executive chairman Peter Platzer sold $197,853 in stock, flagged RED under risk watch.
  • Rating coverage: Per the news wire, coverage includes a "Stock Has Key Strengths, Important Weaknesses" report and brokerage-views commentary.
  • Butterfly signal (Accounting Mirage): Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, an ACCRUAL & WORKING CAPITAL WATCH signal carries a severity score of 88 and a bearish direction. Its headline states net income growth of +149.6% outpaced operating cash flow growth of -120%, with working-capital build of +29.7%. The brief notes a cash-conversion gap of +269.6% and advises monitoring upcoming 10-Q cash realization.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply chain is listed as NONE and there are no butterfly links, so upstream and downstream dependencies are not available in source data. The sector is Consumer Discretionary and the industry is Telecommunications Equipment, but no sector correlations are provided. The primary second-order watch item is the accrual signal: a widening gap between reported earnings and operating cash flow, combined with working-capital expansion, is the mechanism through which reported profits could mean-revert. Investors should watch whether receivables continue to build relative to revenue in the next 10-Q.

Open Questions

  • What is the source of the reported +51.3M net income in FY 2025 given operating income of -96.0M, and how does it reconcile with FCF of -92.6M?
  • What does the Q3 results release on or before November 10 show for operating cash flow, receivables, and working capital?
  • What is the debt position in FY 2025 and FY 2023, which are reported as N/A?
  • What are the 13F holder positions and options flows underlying the 5/20 whale score?
  • What is the company's EV/EBITDA, which is not available in source data, and how does it compare to peers?

SPIR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Spire Global Inc. (Class A) (SPIR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SPIR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SPIR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $8.87?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SPIR 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SPIR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $8.52 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is SPIR (E • RQD 17/100) a Buy at $9.68?

Welcome to the SPIR (Spire Global Inc. (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 17/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Telecommunications Equipment. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $7.55 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $9.68

Pump the brakes on SPIR — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on SPIR, but look at what you are paying: 7.7x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Spire Global Inc. (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $11.62 (+20.0%)
Spot @ $9.68

SPIR cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on SPIR, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Telecommunications Equipment and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $9.68 (52-wk range $6.60 - $25.93), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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