What is SMP's 12-month stock price target?

Standard Motor Products Inc. (SMP) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $46.27 (+1.4% from $45.65), with a bull-case target of $54.6 and a bear-case floor of $36.09.

Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / SMP / forecast

APOG (71) DCH (30) ADNT (35) AEVA (21) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Standard Motor Products Inc. (SMP) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

Q: Is SMP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates SMP C- (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 61/100.

$45.65 +7.64% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $46.19

Standard Motor Products Inc. (SMP) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $947.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on SMP Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SMP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Standard Motor Products Inc. (NYSE: SMP) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $45.65 (+7.64% 1D, market cap $947.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SMP ranks #309 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SMP compare to APOG and DCH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), SMP carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.2x, gross margin of 31.2%, and ROIC of 8.6%. By comparison, APOG (Apogee Enterprises Inc.) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 17.7x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $945.3M) and DCH (Dauch Corporation) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.2%, cap $1.14B). Among the 5-stock peer group, APOG leads on earnings multiple (17.7x) while APOG leads on capital efficiency (9.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SMP?

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Per SMP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000093389), Standard Motor Products Inc. generated $1.79B in revenue (+22.4% YoY), $42.2M in net income, and $18.7M in free cash flow against $2.00B in total assets and $566.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $46.19 (+1.19%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SMP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SMP SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.27 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 7.6% operating margin leave 12 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$37.03+0.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$37.11+1.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$37.58+21.5% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$45.65+0.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (53) → C- (61)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SMP Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, SMP faces multiple-compression risk if 20.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 28.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($37.80) or 200D SMA ($38.58) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($46.27) toward Bear Floor ($36.09).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SMP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SMP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 61%NO 39%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your SMP Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $45.65: 219.1 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $36.09

$7,906

$-2,094 (-20.9%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $46.27

$10,136

+$136 (+1.4%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $54.60

$11,961

+$1,961 (+19.6%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$48	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	BUY	$51	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$41	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (SMP Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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SMP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +22.25%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-11-03O $38.25H $45.65L $38.25C $45.65VOL 303.8K

RES: $43.55SUP: $33.85SMA50: $37.80SMA200: $38.58

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SMP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SMP Butterfly Map → + Track SMP →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

13.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +22.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SMP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SMP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SMP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SMP)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #309 of 1011 ⚔️ APOG vs SMP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SMP vs. APOG, DCH, ADNT, AEVA)

Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Standard Motor Products Inc. (SMP) ranks #309 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #513 by equity capitalization ($947.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, APOG leads on earnings valuation at 17.7x trailing P/E, while APOG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.2% ROIC and 22.7% gross margin. APOG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with SMP at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SMP ACTIVE Standard Motor Products Inc.	C-	61/100	20.2x	31.2%	8.6%	+7.64%	$947.5M	Benchmark Subject
APOG Apogee Enterprises Inc.	B-	71/100	17.7x	22.7%	9.2%	+3.78%	$945.3M	/apog-vs-smp →
DCH Dauch Corporation	E	30/100	—	12.1%	2.2%	-2.93%	$1.14B	/dch-vs-smp →
ADNT Adient plc	D-	35/100	—	6.6%	-16.2%	+3.66%	$1.29B	/adnt-vs-smp →
AEVA Aeva Technologies Inc.	E	21/100	—	-3.7%	-35.0%	-7.23%	$646.2M	/aeva-vs-smp →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000093389

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Standard Motor Products Inc. (SMP) reported GAAP revenue of $1.79B (+22.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.46B , and +31.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $42.2M, operating cash flow of $57.4M, and free cash flow of $18.7M (-42.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, SMP closed FY2025 with $2.00B in total assets against $566.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.27, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.79B	$42.2M	$57.4M	$18.7M	$2.00B	$566.7M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.46B	$28.5M	$76.7M	$32.7M	$1.81B	$535.2M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.36B	$34.4M	$144.3M	$144.3M	—	—

3. SMP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SMP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does SMP compare to APOG and DCH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SMP?

Where is SMP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SMP last traded at $45.65 (+7.64% on volume of 313,082 shares), positioning the stock +20.77% above its 50-day simple moving average ($37.80) and +18.33% above its 200-day simple moving average ($38.58). Across its 52-week range of $34.27 to $46.00, SMP sits at the 97.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 64.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.3% ($42.77 to $48.53).

Direct Sub-Reports: SMP RQD Cockpit SMP 12M Forecast SMP Earnings & Move SMP Dividends & DRIP SMP Insiders & 13F SMP Whale Options SMP Profit Sankey SMP News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 61/100 (C-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

SMP — Standard Motor Products Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:32:25Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

SMP scores 53 out of 100, a D+ grade with the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 (ROIC 8.6%; FCF yield 2.19%), Whale 13F Flow at 8/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 15/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 8/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 14/20 (Altman Z 2.27; Piotroski F 9/9; Debt/Equity 0.83).

For a prospective investor, the two weakest pillars are the cash engine and the macro/institutional flow scores, each at 8 of 20. The low free cash flow yield (2.19%) relative to the 8.6% ROIC suggests that reported earnings are not converting strongly into distributable cash at current prices. The forensic balance sheet pillar is the strongest contributor, supported by a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 and an Altman Z-Score of 2.27. Insider conviction at 15/20 is the second-strongest pillar. The overall picture, per the RQD framework, is one of mixed-to-weak fundamentals where the balance sheet is sound but cash generation and institutional momentum do not currently offset valuation. Upside drivers would need to come from improved free cash flow conversion or stronger institutional accumulation; valuation tradeoffs include a trailing P/E of 20.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Standard Motor Products Inc. (SMP) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector, Auto Parts: O.E.M. Industry. Beyond the sector and industry classification, the profile does not describe its specific products, customers, or revenue model. —

Revenue rose from $1.36B (FY 2023) to $1.79B (FY 2025), while free cash flow fell from $144.3M to $18.7M over the same span. Per the market data, gross margin is 31.2%, operating margin 7.6%, and net margin 2.4%, with ROIC at 8.6%. The Altman Z-Score of 2.27 and Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 are cited in the Roarable RQD rating's forensic pillar. Debt/Equity is listed at 0.83 in the same section, and debt reported in the financials increased from $535.2M to $566.7M between FY 2024 and FY 2025.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case: Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 and forward P/E of 17 versus trailing 20.2 point to a financially sound balance sheet with expected earnings improvement. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 (ROIC 8.6%, FCF yield 2.19%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 13/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $34.27 – $46.00 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case: Free cash flow fell from $144.3M in FY 2023 to $18.7M in FY 2025 and the RQD cash engine pillar scores only 8/20, signaling weak cash conversion. Investors must weigh 20.2x trailing P/E and 8.4x EV/EBITDA against 7.6% operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Auto Parts:O.E.M. (Consumer Discretionary), SMP carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 31.2%.

Key Question #1: What are SMP's specific products, customers, and revenue segments, given that the profile provides only sector and industry classification?
Key Question #2: What drove the decline in free cash flow from $144.3M in FY 2023 to $18.7M in FY 2025 while revenue grew?
Key Question #3: What is the cash balance for FY 2025 and FY 2023, and what is the EPS for each reported period?

SMP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Standard Motor Products Inc. (SMP) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SMP Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 20h ago

What Standard Motor Products (SMP) Said on Its Q3 Earnings Call

Yahoo Finance report covering Standard Motor Products Inc. (SMP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 23h ago

Standard Motor Products, Inc. 2026 Q3 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation (NYSE:SMP) 2026-10-30

Seeking Alpha report covering Standard Motor Products Inc. (SMP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Standard Motor Products, Inc. Announces Chief Financial Officer Transition and Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call

Yahoo Finance report covering Standard Motor Products Inc. (SMP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

Auto-parts maker Standard Motor Products is scheduled to report third-quarter results before markets open Oct. 30.

Stock Titan report covering Standard Motor Products Inc. (SMP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Simply Wall St • 1d ago

Standard Motor Products (SMP) Stock Jumps As Q3 Earnings Fuel Relief Rally

Simply Wall St report covering Standard Motor Products Inc. (SMP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Standard Motor Products (NYSE:SMP) Shares Gap Down - Here's Why

MarketBeat report covering Standard Motor Products Inc. (SMP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST kalkine.ca • 1d ago

Stronger Third-Quarter Earnings and Record Adjusted EBITDA Lift Standard Motor Products (NYSE:SMP) 11% Today

kalkine.ca report covering Standard Motor Products Inc. (SMP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Standard Motor Products (SMP) Tops Q3 Earnings Estimates

Yahoo Finance report covering Standard Motor Products Inc. (SMP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SMP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $45.65?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SMP 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

QU QuantViper Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $55.98 (+32.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 and forward P/E of 17 versus trailing 20.2 point to a financially sound balance sheet with expected earnings i

Long SMP at $42.41 targeting $55.98. Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 and forward P/E of 17 versus trailing 20.2 point to a financially sound balance sheet with expected earnings improvement.. Institutional whale score is 13/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $34.27 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — SMP's 14/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $36.05 (-15.0%)

Spot @ $42.41

Free cash flow fell from $144.3M in FY 2023 to $18.7M in FY 2025 and the RQD cash engine pillar scores only 8/20, signaling weak cash c

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on SMP: Free cash flow fell from $144.3M in FY 2023 to $18.7M in FY 2025 and the RQD cash engine pillar scores only 8/20, signaling weak cash conversion.. At 20.2x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Auto Parts:O.E.M. triggers a 12-15% air pocket.