Stock Ratings / Communication Services / SIRI / insiders

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SiriusXM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$29.01 +1.19% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $29.02

SiriusXM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $9.66B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on SIRI Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SIRI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, SiriusXM Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: SIRI) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $29.01 (+1.19% 1D, market cap $9.66B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, SIRI ranks #14 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SIRI compare to TME and NXST in the Communication Services sector?

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Within the Communication Services sector (Broadcasting), SIRI carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.0x, gross margin of 52.4%, and ROIC of 6.4%. By comparison, TME (Tencent Music Entertainment Group American) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $13.17B) and NXST (Nexstar Media Group Inc.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E 63.1x, ROIC 8.4%, cap $5.24B). Among the 5-stock peer group, VSNT leads on earnings multiple (4.6x) while TME leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SIRI?

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Per SIRI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000908937), SiriusXM Holdings Inc. generated $8.56B in revenue (-1.6% YoY), $805.0M in net income, and $1.25B in free cash flow against $27.24B in total assets and $7.05B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $29.02 (+0.02%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 14.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SIRI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (68/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SIRI SCORES 68/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 17.2% operating margin leave 11 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$26.57+2.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$27.16+0.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$27.25+6.5% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$29.01+1.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (60) → C+ (68)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SIRI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, SIRI faces multiple-compression risk if 12.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($27.53) or 200D SMA ($26.30) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($30.32) toward Bear Floor ($23.65).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SIRI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SIRI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 68%NO 32%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

SIRI Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (SIRI)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on SIRI. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (SIRI Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

SIRI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +8.37%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-02O $27.32H $29.01L $27.32C $29.01VOL 6.76M

RES: $29.10SUP: $24.98SMA50: $27.53SMA200: $26.30

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SIRI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SIRI Butterfly Map → + Track SIRI →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

2.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SIRI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SIRI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SIRI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SIRI)

Communication Services Rank #14 of 132 ⚔️ TME vs SIRI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (SIRI vs. TME, NXST, FWONA, VSNT)

Industry: Broadcasting (24 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, SiriusXM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) ranks #14 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #31 by equity capitalization ($9.66B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VSNT leads on earnings valuation at 4.6x trailing P/E, while TME leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and — gross margin. SIRI currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SIRI ACTIVE SiriusXM Holdings Inc.	C+	68/100	12.0x	52.4%	6.4%	+1.19%	$9.66B	Benchmark Subject
TME Tencent Music Entertainment Group American	D+	55/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	+0.48%	$13.17B	/tme-vs-siri →
NXST Nexstar Media Group Inc.	D	45/100	63.1x	—	8.4%	+0.79%	$5.24B	/nxst-vs-siri →
FWONA Formula One Group (Series A)	C	63/100	41.8x	—	3.9%	-0.57%	$21.47B	/fwona-vs-siri →
VSNT Versant Media Group Inc. (Class A)	D	51/100	4.6x	—	9.0%	+1.34%	$4.30B	/vsnt-vs-siri →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000908937

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), SiriusXM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) reported GAAP revenue of $8.56B (-1.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $8.70B , and -4.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $805.0M, operating cash flow of $1.90B, and free cash flow of $1.25B (+22.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, SIRI closed FY2025 with $27.24B in total assets against $7.05B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.35, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$8.56B	$805.0M	$1.90B	$1.25B	$27.24B	$7.05B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$8.70B	-$2.08B	$1.74B	$1.01B	$27.52B	$7.40B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$8.95B	$988.0M	$1.83B	$1.43B	$10.74B	$2.51B

3. SIRI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SIRI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does SIRI compare to TME and NXST in the Communication Services sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SIRI?

Where is SIRI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SIRI last traded at $29.01 (+1.19% on volume of 7,154,991 shares), positioning the stock +5.38% above its 50-day simple moving average ($27.53) and +10.30% above its 200-day simple moving average ($26.30). Across its 52-week range of $19.77 to $32.66, SIRI sits at the 71.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.0% ($27.27 to $30.75).

SIRI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are SIRI insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies SIRI leadership and institutional positioning as: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION.

Direct Sub-Reports: SIRI RQD Cockpit SIRI 12M Forecast SIRI Earnings & Move SIRI Dividends & DRIP SIRI Insiders & 13F SIRI Whale Options SIRI Profit Sankey SIRI News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 68/100 (C+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

SIRI — SiriusXM Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:16:51Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, SIRI scores 68 out of 100 with a letter grade of C+ and a verdict of "Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." The five pillars are:

Fundamental Cash Engine (9 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 6.4% and an FCF yield of 12.88%. It is the weakest pillar relative to its weight, suggesting that cash generation is strong on a yield basis but the return on invested capital is modest.
Whale 13F Flow (16 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. It is a moderately supportive signal.
Insider Conviction (17 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. It is the strongest pillar in the score.
Macro Regime Fit (14 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects a beta of 0.89 and sector sensitivity. The low beta indicates below-market sensitivity to broad market moves.
Forensic Balance Sheet (12 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects an Altman Z of 1.35, a Piotroski F of 7/9, and a Debt/Equity of 0.57. The Altman Z reading sits in a range that warrants caution.

For a prospective investor, the upside drivers are the high FCF yield and the strongest pillar, insider conviction. The valuation tradeoff is that a P/E (TTM) of 12 and a forward P/E of 11.2 look inexpensive against a 6.4% ROIC and a weak Altman Z, so the market may be pricing in balance-sheet and growth risk. The verdict's "Watch for Breakout" language implies the score needs improvement in the cash engine and balance sheet pillars before the rating would move higher. This is an analytical framework, not personalized financial advice.

Snapshot

Price	Market Cap	P/E (TTM)	Forward P/E	EV/EBITDA	EPS (TTM)	Dividend Yield	Beta	52-Wk Range	ROIC %
28.67	$9.66B	12	11.2	8	2.39	0%	0.89	$19.77 - $32.66	6.4%

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$8558.0M	$1471.0M	$805.0M	N/A	$1245.0M	$94.0M	$7053.3M
FY 2024	$8699.0M	$-1517.0M	$-2075.0M	N/A	$1013.0M	$162.0M	$7401.1M
FY 2023	$8953.0M	$1808.0M	$988.0M	N/A	$1426.1M	N/A	$2514.0M

Per the SEC financials, FY 2025 operating income of $1471.0M and net income of $805.0M reversed a FY 2024 loss. Per the market data, operating margin is 17.2%, net margin is 9.4%, and gross margin is 52.4%, with ROIC at 6.4%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 1.35 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.57. Debt has risen from $2514.0M in FY 2023 to $7053.3M in FY 2025 while cash remains small at $94.0M.

Open Questions

What are the specific drivers of the FY 2024 net loss of $-2075.0M, and did they recur in FY 2025?
Why is EPS reported as N/A across all periods despite the TTM EPS of 2.39?
How is debt growth from $2514.0M to $7053.3M financed and serviced given cash of $94.0M?
What are the subscriber, revenue-mix, and segment details behind the reported revenue figures?
What consensus rating and price target sit behind the MarketBeat average target of $32.15?

SIRI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for SiriusXM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SIRI Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 7h ago

Sirius XM Holdings (SIRI) Rebounds Into Focus, Is The Stock Still Undervalued?

Yahoo Finance report covering SiriusXM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 10h ago

Sirius XM: This Living Dead Is Ready To Rise (NASDAQ:SIRI)

Seeking Alpha report covering SiriusXM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 13h ago

What's Going On With SiriusXM Stock Thursday? - Sirius XM Holdings (NASDAQ:SIRI)

Benzinga report covering SiriusXM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance Singapore • 16h ago

Sirius XM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) latest stock news and headlines – Yahoo Finance

Yahoo Finance Singapore report covering SiriusXM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 19h ago

Sirius XM Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:SIRI) Stock Has Average Price Target of $32.15

MarketBeat report covering SiriusXM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 22h ago

SiriusXM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) Stock Forecasts

Yahoo Finance report covering SiriusXM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Sirius XM Sees Unusually High Options Volume (NASDAQ:SIRI)

MarketBeat report covering SiriusXM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Sirius XM (SIRI) Stock Gains Ground As Q3 Earnings Guidance Improves

Yahoo Finance report covering SiriusXM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SIRI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $29.01?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SIRI 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $30.96 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is SIRI (C+ • RQD 68/100) a Buy at $28.67?

Welcome to the SIRI (SiriusXM Holdings Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 68/100 (Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Broadcasting. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $21.79 (-24.0%)

Spot @ $28.67

Pump the brakes on SIRI — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on SIRI, but look at what you are paying: 12.0x trailing P/E with 52.4% gross margins. Unless SiriusXM Holdings Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $34.98 (+22.0%)

Spot @ $28.67

SIRI cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on SIRI, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Broadcasting and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $28.67 (52-wk range $19.77 - $32.66), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.