Here, we pick four Internet stocks - YELP, SHOP, CRWV and DOCN - that are likely to pull off a beat this earnings season.
Why SHOP Stock dropped -5.63% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Shopify Inc. Class A Subordinate Voting Shares (SHOP) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (48% profit margin, 7% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is SHOP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Shopify Inc. Class A Subordinate Voting Shares (NASDAQ: SHOP) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $157.49 (-5.63% 1D, market cap $216.26B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, SHOP ranks #76 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does SHOP compare to CRWD and SAP in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), SHOP carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 48.1%, and ROIC of 6.7%. By comparison, CRWD (CrowdStrike Holdings Inc.) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.1%, cap $267.40B) and SAP (SAP SE ADS) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 14.9%, cap $287.56B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SAP leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while SAP leads on capital efficiency (14.9% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SHOP?
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Per SHOP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001594805), Shopify Inc. Class A Subordinate Voting Shares generated $11.56B in revenue (+30.1% YoY), $1.23B in net income, and $2.01B in free cash flow against $15.19B in total assets and $3.55B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 19.69 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.5% realized swing band)
Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 10 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SHOP Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, SHOP faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 45.6% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($153.47) or 200D SMA ($129.98) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($166.70) toward Bear Floor ($129.14).
Why SHOP Stock dropped -5.63% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Shopify Inc. Class A Subordinate Voting Shares (SHOP) dropped -5.63% to $157.49, trading at 73% of its 52-week range ($94 – $180.88). High-quality cash engine (48% profit margin, 7% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 73% of its 52-week range ($94 – $180.88) with RSI-14 at 53.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8.5% around $157.49 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B- (Buy) backed by 48.1% gross margin and $2.0B annual free cash flow.
Key TakeawaysSix big funds cut or sold their Shopify (SHOP:NASDAQ) stakes in the three months to June 30, and the stock is up 39% since then. Analysts expect Shopify’s earnings to more than double from 2025 to 2028, and
Jack Henry & Associates' cloud migration, payments growth and expanding digital banking solutions can support Q1 results, despite rising costs.
Wall Street futures pointed moderately higher pre-bell Monday as traders waded back into tech shares
E-commerce platform Shopify (NASDAQ:SHOP) will be reporting results this Tuesday before the bell. Here’s what to look for.
Keybanc analyst Justin Patterson maintains Shopify (NASDAQ:SHOP) with a Overweight and raises the price target from $180 to $185.
Tech stocks gain in Monday’s premarket after a sharp fall last week.
Shopify leads the Q3 2026 earnings volatility watchlist with a 12.08% implied move, followed by Cloudflare at 12.07%, as traders brace for earnings.
Techs led another stock market sell-off. It's a time to be defensive. Apple, Palantir, jobs and midterm elections loom.
Techs led another stock market sell-off. It's a time to be defensive. Apple, Palantir, jobs and midterm elections loom.
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (SHOP Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
SHOP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +30.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SHOP today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SHOP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SHOP)
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (SHOP vs. CRWD, SAP, SNOW, NOW)
Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Shopify Inc. Class A Subordinate Voting Shares (SHOP) ranks #76 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #28 by equity capitalization ($216.26B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SAP leads on earnings valuation at 21.7x trailing P/E, while SAP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.9% ROIC and — gross margin. SAP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with SHOP at 71/100 (B-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHOP
ACTIVE
Shopify Inc. Class A Subordinate Voting Shares | B- | 71/100 | — | 48.1% | 6.7% | -5.63% | $216.26B | Benchmark Subject |
| CRWD CrowdStrike Holdings Inc. | C+ | 66/100 | — | 74.7% | -1.1% | -4.11% | $267.40B | /crwd-vs-shop → |
| SAP SAP SE ADS | B | 75/100 | 21.7x | — | 14.9% | +0.41% | $287.56B | /sap-vs-shop → |
| SNOW Snowflake Inc. | D+ | 58/100 | — | 67.2% | -12.2% | -7.32% | $116.52B | /snow-vs-shop → |
| NOW ServiceNow Inc. | C | 64/100 | 65.1x | 77.5% | 9.8% | -4.15% | $113.84B | /now-vs-shop → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001594805In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Shopify Inc. Class A Subordinate Voting Shares (SHOP) reported GAAP revenue of $11.56B (+30.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $8.88B , and +63.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.23B, operating cash flow of $2.03B, and free cash flow of $2.01B (+25.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, SHOP closed FY2025 with $15.19B in total assets against $3.55B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 19.69, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $11.56B | $1.23B | $2.03B | $2.01B | $15.19B | $3.55B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $8.88B | $2.02B | $1.62B | $1.60B | $13.92B | $3.26B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $7.06B | $132.0M | $944.0M | $626.3M | $118.94B | $27.83B |
3. SHOP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs SHOP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Shopify Inc. Class A Subordinate Voting Shares (NASDAQ: SHOP) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $157.49 (-5.63% 1D, market cap $216.26B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, SHOP ranks #76 in composite RQD confidence.
How does SHOP compare to CRWD and SAP in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), SHOP carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 48.1%, and ROIC of 6.7%. By comparison, CRWD (CrowdStrike Holdings Inc.) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.1%, cap $267.40B) and SAP (SAP SE ADS) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 14.9%, cap $287.56B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SAP leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while SAP leads on capital efficiency (14.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SHOP?
Per SHOP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001594805), Shopify Inc. Class A Subordinate Voting Shares generated $11.56B in revenue (+30.1% YoY), $1.23B in net income, and $2.01B in free cash flow against $15.19B in total assets and $3.55B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is SHOP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
SHOP last traded at $157.49 (-5.63% on volume of 10,541,426 shares), positioning the stock +2.62% above its 50-day simple moving average ($153.47) and +21.16% above its 200-day simple moving average ($129.98). Across its 52-week range of $94.00 to $180.88, SHOP sits at the 73.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.5% ($144.10 to $170.88).
SHOP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is SHOP stock moving today?
Why SHOP Stock dropped -5.63% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (48% profit margin, 7% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
SHOP — Shopify Inc. Class A Subordinate Voting Shares: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, SHOP holds an RQD Score of 71 and a letter grade of B-, with the verdict "Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation." The five pillars are scored as follows:
- Fundamental Cash Engine: 14 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 6.7% and an FCF yield of 0.93%. For a prospective investor, the modest ROIC and thin FCF yield indicate that cash generation relative to the current price is limited, which constrains the valuation support available from cash flow alone.
- Whale 13F Flow: 17 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar is labeled as institutional accumulation and options positioning. This is the strongest pillar in the score and suggests that large holders have been adding exposure, though the source data does not itemize the underlying 13F filings.
- Insider Conviction: 10 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar covers SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The mid-range score indicates insider activity is not a strong confirming signal either way.
- Macro Regime Fit: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.22 and the pillar reflects sector sensitivity. A prospective investor should expect the stock to amplify broader market moves.
- Forensic Balance Sheet: 18 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar cites Altman Z of 19.69, Piotroski F of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.23. This is the second-strongest pillar and points to a financially sound balance sheet.
Taken together, the investor implication is a split profile: balance-sheet and institutional-flow strength offset weaker cash-return metrics and elevated valuation signals (EV/EBITDA of 95 per the market data). Upside drivers are institutional accumulation and balance-sheet resilience; the main valuation tradeoff is that the price is supported by growth expectations rather than current cash yield.
Business
Per the profile, Shopify Inc. Class A Subordinate Voting Shares operates in the Technology sector, within the Computer Software: Prepackaged Software industry, and is listed on NASDAQ. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 48.1%, an operating margin of 12.7%, and a net margin of 10.7%. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or specific revenue model.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $11556.0M | $1468.0M | $1231.0M | N/A | $2007.0M | $1545.0M | $3554.2M |
| FY 2024 | $8880.0M | $1075.0M | $2019.0M | N/A | $1597.0M | $1498.0M | $3258.2M |
| FY 2023 | $7060.0M | $-1418.0M | $132.0M | N/A | $626.3M | N/A | $27832.4M |
Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $7060.0M in FY 2023 to $11556.0M in FY 2025, and operating income moved from a loss of $-1418.0M to $1468.0M over the same span. Net income in FY 2024 ($2019.0M) exceeded FY 2025 ($1231.0M), and the source does not explain the difference. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 6.7%, Altman Z is 19.69, and Piotroski F is 8/9. Per the SEC financials, FY 2025 debt of $3554.2M compares with $27832.4M reported for FY 2023, and the source does not explain that change.
Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Sector classification is Technology / Computer Software: Prepackaged Software. The source data does not identify upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks.
Open Questions
- What drove the swing from a FY 2023 operating loss of $-1418.0M to FY 2025 operating income of $1468.0M, and is it sustainable?
- Why did net income decline from $2019.0M in FY 2024 to $1231.0M in FY 2025 while revenue grew?
- What explains the reduction in reported debt from $27832.4M (FY 2023) to $3554.2M (FY 2025)?
- Which 13F holders are driving the institutional accumulation signal behind the 17 / 20 flow pillar?
- What are the EPS (TTM) and forward P/E, which the source data does not provide, and how do they compare with the EV/EBITDA of 95?
SHOP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Shopify Inc. Class A Subordinate Voting Shares (SHOP) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Here, we pick four Internet stocks - YELP, SHOP, CRWV and DOCN - that are likely to pull off a beat this earnings season.
Key TakeawaysSix big funds cut or sold their Shopify (SHOP:NASDAQ) stakes in the three months to June 30, and the stock is up 39% since then. Analysts expect Shopify’s earnings to more than double from 2025 to 2028, and
Jack Henry & Associates' cloud migration, payments growth and expanding digital banking solutions can support Q1 results, despite rising costs.
Wall Street futures pointed moderately higher pre-bell Monday as traders waded back into tech shares
E-commerce platform Shopify (NASDAQ:SHOP) will be reporting results this Tuesday before the bell. Here’s what to look for.
Keybanc analyst Justin Patterson maintains Shopify (NASDAQ:SHOP) with a Overweight and raises the price target from $180 to $185.
Tech stocks gain in Monday’s premarket after a sharp fall last week.
Shopify leads the Q3 2026 earnings volatility watchlist with a 12.08% implied move, followed by Cloudflare at 12.07%, as traders brace for earnings.
SHOP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $157.49?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is SHOP (B- • RQD 71/100) a Buy at $166.89?
Welcome to the SHOP (Shopify Inc. Class A Subordinate Voting Shares) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 71/100 (Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation) in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on SHOP — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on SHOP, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 48.1% gross margins. Unless Shopify Inc. Class A Subordinate Voting Shares expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
SHOP cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on SHOP, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $166.89 (52-wk range $94.00 - $180.88), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.