CATALYSTscanx.trade • 7h ago
Schmid Group raises FY26 order guidance to over €150M on Q3 surgescanx.trade report covering SCHMID Group N.V. (Class A) (SHMD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why SHMD Stock dropped -8.42% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$2.72 -8.42% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.67
SCHMID Group N.V. (Class A) (SHMD) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $186.5M
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Is SHMD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, SCHMID Group N.V. (Class A) (NASDAQ: SHMD) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $2.72 (-8.42% 1D, market cap $186.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, SHMD ranks #419 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does SHMD compare to ESP and VELO in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), SHMD carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, ESP (Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp.) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 20.7x, ROIC 18.1%, cap $168.7M) and VELO (Velo3D Inc.) posts a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $227.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ESP leads on earnings multiple (20.7x) while MPTI leads on capital efficiency (19.2% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SHMD?
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For SCHMID Group N.V. (Class A) (SHMD), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #419 in Technology, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.67 (-1.71%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.5% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SHMD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SHMD SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (28% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (26% of score)
SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0.1% FCF Margin ($5.2M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C-$3.74-23% Next Q
54
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C-$2.88-3.5% Next Q
51
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$2.78-2.2% Next Q
49
CurrentGrade D$2.72-6.1% Hist 90D α
46
Trajectory: C- (54) → D (46)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SHMD Turnaround Squeeze
While SHMD currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.51) and Max Pain ($2.86) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $11.18.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SHMD• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SHMD Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why SHMD Stock dropped -8.42% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
SCHMID Group N.V. (Class A) (SHMD) dropped -8.42% to $2.72, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($2.59 – $10.65). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($2.59 – $10.65) with RSI-14 at 42.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $2.72 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $5.2M annual free cash flow.
Live SHMD Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTYahoo • 12d ago
Premarket movers: Super Micro, SCHMID Group and SpaceX surgeInvesting.com - U.S. stock futures were mixed to slightly higher on Wednesday as investors weighed a heavy slate of corporate earnings alongside ongoing developments in the artificial intelligence trade and geopolitical
MARKET WIREYahoo • 12d ago
SCHMID Group N.V. Provides Third Quarter 2026 Business Update and Increases Order Intake GuidanceFREUDENSTADT, Germany, Oct. 21, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- SCHMID Group N.V. (NASDAQ: SHMD) (the “Company” or “SCHMID”), a global leader in providing solutions for the electronics industry, today provided the following ope
CATALYSTYahoo • 12d ago
SCHMID Group Reaches Agreement on Significant Equipment Order to Support HDI Capacity Expansion in MalaysiaLong-standing strategic technology partnership reinforces SCHMID’s position in advanced electronics manufacturingFREUDENSTADT, Germany, Oct. 21, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- SCHMID Group N.V. (NASDAQ: SHMD) (the “Company” or
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 17d ago
Research Frontiers shares are trading higher after the company reported a year-over-year increase in Q3 sales results.MARKET WIREBenzinga • 18d ago
12 Information Technology Stocks Moving In Thursday's After-Market SessionGainers Horizon Quantum Holdings (NASDAQ:HQ) shares moved upwards by 7.5% to $14.99 during Thursday's after-market session. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $782.9 million. Digi Power X
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 19d ago
Talen Energy shares are trading lower after Barclays lowered its price target on the stock from $425 to $408.ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SHMD)
- ✓Walkthrough of SHMD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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SHMD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -48.78%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $3.10H $3.10L $2.72C $2.72VOL 343.4K
RES: $4.45SUP: $2.54SMA50: $3.51SMA200: $5.60
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
SHMD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SHMD today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SHMD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SHMD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SHMD)
Technology Rank #419 of 714
⚔️ ESP vs SHMD Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (SHMD vs. ESP, VELO, ASYS, MPTI)
Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, SCHMID Group N.V. (Class A) (SHMD) ranks #419 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #483 by equity capitalization ($186.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ESP leads on earnings valuation at 20.7x trailing P/E, while MPTI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.2% ROIC and — gross margin. ESP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with SHMD at 46/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHMD
ACTIVE
SCHMID Group N.V. (Class A) | D | 46/100 | — | — | — | -8.42% | $186.5M | Benchmark Subject |
| ESP Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp. | C+ | 67/100 | 20.7x | 28.9% | 18.1% | -4.16% | $168.7M | /esp-vs-shmd → |
| VELO Velo3D Inc. | E | 26/100 | — | -16.1% | -35.0% | -7.21% | $227.3M | /velo-vs-shmd → |
| ASYS Amtech Systems Inc. | D- | 41/100 | — | 34.0% | -35.0% | -6.80% | $239.5M | /asys-vs-shmd → |
| MPTI M-tron Industries Inc. | D+ | 56/100 | 35.5x | — | 19.2% | -4.10% | $300.0M | /mpti-vs-shmd → |
2. SHMD Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics
TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOTSCHMID Group N.V. (Class A) (SHMD) operates in Industrial Machinery/Components (Technology) with an equity capitalization of $186.5M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.
3. SHMD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs SHMD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, SCHMID Group N.V. (Class A) (NASDAQ: SHMD) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $2.72 (-8.42% 1D, market cap $186.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, SHMD ranks #419 in composite RQD confidence.
How does SHMD compare to ESP and VELO in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), SHMD carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, ESP (Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp.) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 20.7x, ROIC 18.1%, cap $168.7M) and VELO (Velo3D Inc.) posts a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $227.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ESP leads on earnings multiple (20.7x) while MPTI leads on capital efficiency (19.2% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SHMD?
For SCHMID Group N.V. (Class A) (SHMD), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #419 in Technology, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is SHMD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
SHMD last traded at $2.72 (-8.42% on volume of 715,832 shares), positioning the stock -22.51% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.51) and -51.43% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.60). Across its 52-week range of $2.59 to $10.65, SHMD sits at the 1.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.38 to $3.06).
SHMD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is SHMD stock moving today?
Why SHMD Stock dropped -8.42% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 46/100 (D)
✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED
SHMD — SCHMID Group N.V. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:17:31Z
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, SHMD scores 46 out of 100, earning a D grade and the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are:
- Fundamental Cash Engine: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 0% and FCF yield is 0%. This is the weakest-looking cash-generation signal in the source data; a prospective investor should note that the rating itself reports no return on invested capital and no free-cash-flow yield.
- Whale 13F Flow: 3 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar covers institutional accumulation and options positioning. It is the lowest pillar score, suggesting the source data does not show supportive institutional buying pressure.
- Insider Conviction: 9 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score is below midpoint, indicating limited insider-conviction support in the rating's inputs.
- Macro Regime Fit: 9 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.0 and sector sensitivity is part of this pillar. A beta of 1.0 implies market-like sensitivity; the pillar score indicates the rating does not view the current regime as a favorable fit.
- Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 6/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. This is the strongest pillar, indicating a comparatively steadier balance sheet than the cash-engine and flow pillars.
Translated for a prospective investor: the rating's upside case rests mainly on balance-sheet resilience, while the cash-generation, institutional-flow, and insider pillars all score weakly. The 52-week range of $2.59 - $10.65 against a current price of 2.97 shows the stock trading near the low end of its reported range, which per the rating's framework is consistent with a distribution-warning read. Valuation tradeoffs cannot be fully assessed because P/E, forward P/E, and EV/EBITDA are not available in source data, and earnings are not reported.
Open Questions
- What are the company's revenue, operating income, and net income for recent reported periods, given that the financials section is empty?
- What is the current analyst consensus rating and price target, given that analyst data is empty?
- Who are the institutional (13F), insider (Form 4), and Congressional holders, given that holders data is empty?
- What is the company's earnings per share and valuation multiple profile (P/E, EV/EBITDA), given these are unreported?
- What exactly does the FY26 order guidance raise imply for revenue and profitability, given that only a headline is provided?
SHMD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for SCHMID Group N.V. (Class A) (SHMD) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
🟢 CATALYST scanx.trade • 7h ago
Schmid Group raises FY26 order guidance to over €150M on Q3 surge scanx.trade report covering SCHMID Group N.V. (Class A) (SHMD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 12d ago
Premarket movers: Super Micro, SCHMID Group and SpaceX surge Investing.com - U.S. stock futures were mixed to slightly higher on Wednesday as investors weighed a heavy slate of corporate earnings alongside ongoing developments in the artificial intelligence trade and geopolitical
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 12d ago
SCHMID Group N.V. Provides Third Quarter 2026 Business Update and Increases Order Intake Guidance FREUDENSTADT, Germany, Oct. 21, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- SCHMID Group N.V. (NASDAQ: SHMD) (the “Company” or “SCHMID”), a global leader in providing solutions for the electronics industry, today provided the following ope
🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 12d ago
SCHMID Group Reaches Agreement on Significant Equipment Order to Support HDI Capacity Expansion in Malaysia Long-standing strategic technology partnership reinforces SCHMID’s position in advanced electronics manufacturingFREUDENSTADT, Germany, Oct. 21, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- SCHMID Group N.V. (NASDAQ: SHMD) (the “Company” or
🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 17d ago
Research Frontiers shares are trading higher after the company reported a year-over-year increase in Q3 sales results. 🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 18d ago
12 Information Technology Stocks Moving In Thursday's After-Market Session Gainers Horizon Quantum Holdings (NASDAQ:HQ) shares moved upwards by 7.5% to $14.99 during Thursday's after-market session. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $782.9 million. Digi Power X
🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 19d ago
Talen Energy shares are trading lower after Barclays lowered its price target on the stock from $425 to $408.
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE
3 Active Posts & Replies
SHMD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.72?
🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SHMD 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST
🎯 Target: $3.21 (+8.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate 🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is SHMD (D • RQD 46/100) a Buy at $2.97?
Welcome to the SHMD (SCHMID Group N.V. (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 46/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Industrial Machinery/Components. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH
🎯 Target: $2.29 (-22.9%)
Spot @ $2.97 Pump the brakes on SHMD — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on SHMD, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless SCHMID Group N.V. (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH
🎯 Target: $3.74 (+25.9%)
Spot @ $2.97 SHMD cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on SHMD, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Industrial Machinery/Components and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $2.97 (52-wk range $2.59 - $10.65), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.