Super Group (SGHC) Limited (SGHC) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$10.69 -0.28% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.66

Super Group (SGHC) Limited (SGHC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $5.45B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SGHC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Super Group (SGHC) Limited (NYSE: SGHC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $10.69 (-0.28% 1D, market cap $5.45B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SGHC ranks #621 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SGHC compare to MTN and ENHA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), SGHC carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, MTN (Vail Resorts Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 18.5x, ROIC 22.1%, cap $5.51B) and ENHA (Enhanced Group Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -8.3%, cap $5.11B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CHDN leads on earnings multiple (16.3x) while MTN leads on capital efficiency (22.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SGHC?
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For Super Group (SGHC) Limited (SGHC), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #621 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.66 (-0.24%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 3.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510047
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (5)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5% Base Target
$17 Bull$10 Base$8 Bear
📬 FREE SGHC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SGHC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SGHC SCORES 47/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 3.8% FCF Margin ($152.5M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
55
Grade C$11.22-2.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
52
Grade C-$10.94-0.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
50
Grade C-$10.87-1.7% Next Q
Current
47
Grade D$10.69-5.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (55) → D (47)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SGHC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SGHC currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($12.21) and Max Pain ($11.22) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $16.65.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SGHC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SGHC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±6.7%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (SGHC)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for SGHC.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SGHC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of SGHC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SGHC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -17.00%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $10.51H $10.72L $10.51C $10.69VOL 3.40M
RES: $12.61SUP: $10.21SMA50: $12.21SMA200: $12.17
$16.24$14.65$13.07$11.48$9.89RES $12.61SUP $10.21$10.692026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SGHC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SGHC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SGHC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SGHC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SGHC)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #621 of 1011 ⚔️ MTN vs SGHC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SGHC vs. MTN, ENHA, CHDN, SPHR)

Industry: Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Super Group (SGHC) Limited (SGHC) ranks #621 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #256 by equity capitalization ($5.45B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CHDN leads on earnings valuation at 16.3x trailing P/E, while MTN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 22.1% ROIC and — gross margin. MTN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with SGHC at 47/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SGHC ACTIVE
Super Group (SGHC) Limited
D 47/100 — — — -0.28% $5.45B Benchmark Subject
MTN
Vail Resorts Inc.
C- 59/100 18.5x — 22.1% -1.75% $5.51B /mtn-vs-sghc →
ENHA
Enhanced Group Inc. (Class A)
E 33/100 — — -8.3% -26.96% $5.11B /enha-vs-sghc →
CHDN
Churchill Downs Incorporated
D+ 55/100 16.3x — 9.2% +4.03% $6.25B /chdn-vs-sghc →
SPHR
Sphere Entertainment Co.
D- 43/100 121.6x — -7.3% -3.50% $4.06B /sphr-vs-sghc →

2. SGHC Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Super Group (SGHC) Limited (SGHC) operates in Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation (Consumer Discretionary) with an equity capitalization of $5.45B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. SGHC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SGHC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Super Group (SGHC) Limited (NYSE: SGHC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $10.69 (-0.28% 1D, market cap $5.45B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SGHC ranks #621 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SGHC compare to MTN and ENHA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), SGHC carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, MTN (Vail Resorts Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 18.5x, ROIC 22.1%, cap $5.51B) and ENHA (Enhanced Group Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -8.3%, cap $5.11B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CHDN leads on earnings multiple (16.3x) while MTN leads on capital efficiency (22.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SGHC?

For Super Group (SGHC) Limited (SGHC), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #621 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SGHC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SGHC last traded at $10.69 (-0.28% on volume of 6,893,561 shares), positioning the stock -12.45% below its 50-day simple moving average ($12.21) and -12.16% below its 200-day simple moving average ($12.17). Across its 52-week range of $8.46 to $15.86, SGHC sits at the 30.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.7% ($9.97 to $11.41).

SGHC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is SGHC's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for SGHC.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 47/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

SGHC — Super Group (SGHC) Limited: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:11:09Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, SGHC scores 47 out of 100 for a letter grade of D, with the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 0% and FCF yield is 0%. For a prospective investor, this means the rating finds little evidence in the supplied data of the business generating returns on invested capital or free cash flow relative to the share price.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 5 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The low score indicates weak institutional support in the supplied signals.
  • Insider Conviction: 9 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The below-midpoint score indicates limited insider-driven conviction in the supplied data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 8 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.0 and the score reflects sector sensitivity. A beta of 1.0 means the rating treats the stock as moving in line with the broader market, and the low score suggests the rating sees limited favorable macro alignment.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z is 2.5, the Piotroski F is 6/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. This is the strongest pillar, indicating the balance sheet is comparatively the most defensible component of the rating.

Taken together, the rating's core message is that the balance-sheet profile is more supportive than the cash-generation, institutional, and insider signals. Upside drivers would need to come from improved cash returns or stronger ownership signals, neither of which the supplied data demonstrates. Valuation tradeoffs cannot be fully assessed because P/E and EV/EBITDA are not available in source data.

Open Questions

  • What are SGHC's reported revenue, operating income, net income, and free cash flow across recent periods, given that the financials section is empty?
  • What is the company's business model, including products, customers, and revenue sources?
  • What are the trailing and forward P/E and EV/EBITDA multiples, which would allow valuation to be assessed against the RQD cash-engine score?
  • Which insiders, institutions, or Congressional members have traded the stock, and in what size and direction?
  • What catalysts, earnings events, or regulatory items are scheduled or pending?

SGHC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Super Group (SGHC) Limited (SGHC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SGHC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SGHC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $10.69?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SGHC 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SGHC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $11.58 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is SGHC (D • RQD 47/100) a Buy at $10.72?

Welcome to the SGHC (Super Group (SGHC) Limited) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 47/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $8.79 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $10.72

Pump the brakes on SGHC — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on SGHC, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Super Group (SGHC) Limited expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $13.51 (+26.0%)
Spot @ $10.72

SGHC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on SGHC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $10.72 (52-wk range $8.46 - $15.86), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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