Stock Ratings / Industrials / SES / options

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SES AI Corporation (Class A) (SES) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

Q: Where is SES trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SES last traded at $0.79 (-12.79% on volume of 21,384,183 shares), positioning the stock +19.70% above its 50-day simple moving average ($0.66) and -23.30% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.03). Across its 52-week range of $0.49 to $2.62, SES sits at the 14.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.89).

Q: What is SES's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for SES.

$0.79 -12.79% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.77

SES AI Corporation (Class A) (SES) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 30/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (30/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $322.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on SES Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SES stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, SES AI Corporation (Class A) (NYSE: SES) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $0.79 (-12.79% 1D, market cap $322.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, SES ranks #415 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SES compare to HLP and CUB in the Industrials sector?

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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), SES carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 53.8%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, HLP (Hongli Group Inc. (Class A)) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.4%, cap $313.2M) and CUB (Lionheart Holdings (Class A)) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E 38.8x, ROIC -4.0%, cap $347.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CUB leads on earnings multiple (38.8x) while TWIN leads on capital efficiency (3.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SES?

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Per SES's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001819142), SES AI Corporation (Class A) generated $21.0M in revenue (+929.4% YoY), -$72.5M in net income, and -$61.2M in free cash flow against $272.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.77 (-2.49%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (30/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SES)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (30/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SES SCORES 30/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (37% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.36 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$0.80-12.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$0.70-8.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$0.64+23.4% Next Q

Current

Grade E$0.79-9.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (38) → E (30)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SES Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SES currently carries a cautious 30/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.66) and Max Pain ($0.83) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.75.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SES• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SES Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 30%NO 70%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±12.5%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (SES)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for SES.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SES)

✓Walkthrough of SES's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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SES // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -23.30%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL

2026-11-02O $0.83H $0.91L $0.79C $0.79VOL 37.88M

RES: $1.00SUP: $0.52SMA50: $0.66SMA200: $1.03

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SES Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SES Butterfly Map → + Track SES →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SES today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SES. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SES today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SES)

Industrials Rank #415 of 485 ⚔️ HLP vs SES Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (SES vs. HLP, CUB, TWIN, ELVA)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, SES AI Corporation (Class A) (SES) ranks #415 by composite RQD confidence (30/100, grade E) and #320 by equity capitalization ($322.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CUB leads on earnings valuation at 38.8x trailing P/E, while TWIN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 3.9% ROIC and 27.6% gross margin. HLP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with SES at 30/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SES ACTIVE SES AI Corporation (Class A)	E	30/100	—	53.8%	-35.0%	-12.79%	$322.5M	Benchmark Subject
HLP Hongli Group Inc. (Class A)	C	63/100	—	32.5%	3.4%	-3.10%	$313.2M	/hlp-vs-ses →
CUB Lionheart Holdings (Class A)	D-	42/100	38.8x	—	-4.0%	0.00%	$347.5M	/cub-vs-ses →
TWIN Twin Disc Incorporated	C-	60/100	—	27.6%	3.9%	-5.18%	$367.7M	/twin-vs-ses →
ELVA Electrovaya Inc.	D	46/100	—	—	—	-6.22%	$281.5M	/elva-vs-ses →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001819142

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), SES AI Corporation (Class A) (SES) reported GAAP revenue of $21.0M (+929.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.0M ) , GAAP net income of -$72.5M, operating cash flow of -$58.4M, and free cash flow of -$61.2M (+21.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, SES closed FY2025 with $272.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.36, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$21.0M	-$72.5M	-$58.4M	-$61.2M	$272.6M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.0M	-$100.2M	-$66.1M	-$78.3M	$329.8M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	-$53.4M	-$56.4M	-$56.4M	—	—

3. SES Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SES stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does SES compare to HLP and CUB in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SES?

Where is SES trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SES last traded at $0.79 (-12.79% on volume of 21,384,183 shares), positioning the stock +19.70% above its 50-day simple moving average ($0.66) and -23.30% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.03). Across its 52-week range of $0.49 to $2.62, SES sits at the 14.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.89).

SES Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is SES's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for SES.

Direct Sub-Reports: SES RQD Cockpit SES 12M Forecast SES Earnings & Move SES Dividends & DRIP SES Insiders & 13F SES Whale Options SES Profit Sankey SES News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 30/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

SES — SES AI Corporation (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:38:28Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, SES AI Corporation scores 30 out of 100 for a letter grade of E, with the verdict "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 4/20 (ROIC of -35% and FCF yield of -18.98%); Whale 13F Flow at 11/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 4/20 (beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 8/20 (Altman Z-Score of 1.36, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, Debt/Equity of 0.5). The two weakest pillars, cash generation and insider conviction, are the ones most directly tied to whether the business can fund itself without new capital, and the Forensic Balance Sheet score signals elevated distress risk. The only pillar with a relatively constructive reading is institutional positioning, and the source data does not establish whether that accumulation is durable. For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to a low probability of fundamental support for the current price, and any upside case would depend on a reversal in cash burn and insider behavior that the source data does not show.

Business

Per the Profile, SES AI Corporation (Class A) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, operating within Industrial Machinery/Components. The source data does not specify its products, customers, or revenue model beyond the sector classification. Per the Financials, the company reported revenue in FY 2025 and FY 2024, but the source does not describe the sources of that revenue. Market capitalization is listed at $0.3B per the Profile.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$21.0M	$-82.6M	$-72.5M	N/A	$-61.2M	$29.5M	N/A
FY 2024	$2.0M	$-109.2M	$-100.2M	N/A	$-78.3M	$128.8M	N/A
FY 2023	$0.0M	$-78.2M	$-53.4M	N/A	$-56.4M	N/A	N/A

Per the SEC financials, the company reported operating losses in all three periods, and per the Market Data its operating margin and net margin are both -60%, with a gross margin of 53.8%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is -35%, and the Altman Z-Score is 1.36 and Piotroski F-Score is 5/9. The balance sheet posture per the RQD rating shows Debt/Equity of 0.5, while reported cash declined from $128.8M in FY 2024 to $29.5M in FY 2025 per the SEC financials.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, the catalysts are headline market coverage from multiple outlets (Yahoo Finance Australia, Yahoo Finance Singapore, TradingView, Stock Titan, Investing.com UK, and kalkine.ca) referencing SES market action and institutional positioning. One item notes a director's 320,000-share award vesting after a year, subject to continued service. Another references a Form 4 filing. A further item reports a 6.05% move on heavy volume. All items are tagged with a YELLOW light and MARKET WIRE impact label. The source data does not provide the substance of the underlying reports beyond these headlines. Per the Butterfly graph, no supply-chain links or proprietary signals are recorded.

Open Questions

What products or services generate the reported revenue, and who are the customers?
What drove the decline in cash from $128.8M to $29.5M, and what is the funding runway at the FY 2025 burn rate?
What is the composition and timing of the insider and Congressional trades underlying the 3/20 Insider Conviction pillar?
What is the substance of the institutional accumulation reflected in the 11/20 Whale 13F Flow pillar?
Why are debt and EPS reported as N/A, and what is the company's total liability position?

SES Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for SES AI Corporation (Class A) (SES) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SES Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance Australia • 14h ago

SES AI Corporation (SES) stock price, news, quote and history

Yahoo Finance Australia report covering SES AI Corporation (Class A) (SES) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 20h ago

Total liabilities of SES AI Corporation Class A – GETTEX:T5D

TradingView report covering SES AI Corporation (Class A) (SES) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 23h ago

A director's 320,000-share award at SES AI Corp (SES) vests after a year, subject to continued service.

Stock Titan report covering SES AI Corporation (Class A) (SES) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Investing.com UK • 1d ago

Form 4 SES AI Corp For: 7 October By Investing.com

Investing.com UK report covering SES AI Corporation (Class A) (SES) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE kalkine.ca • 1d ago

Is SES AI Corporation (NYSE:SES) Still Worth Watching at USD 0.73 After a 6.05% Move on Heavy Volume?

kalkine.ca report covering SES AI Corporation (Class A) (SES) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

SES AI Q3 2026 Earnings Date and Estimates

MarketBeat report covering SES AI Corporation (Class A) (SES) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Investing.com UK • 1d ago

SES AI completes Korea plant ramp-up, plans capacity expansion By Investing.com

Investing.com UK report covering SES AI Corporation (Class A) (SES) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Fintel • 1d ago

SES AI Consensus Price Target Increased by 56.86% to $4.08

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SES Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.79?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SES 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.80 (-12.1%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is SES (E • RQD 30/100) a Buy at $0.91?

Welcome to the SES (SES AI Corporation (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 30/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Industrial Machinery/Components. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.69 (-24.2%)

Spot @ $0.91

Pump the brakes on SES — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on SES, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 53.8% gross margins. Unless SES AI Corporation (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.11 (+22.0%)

Spot @ $0.91

SES cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on SES, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Industrial Machinery/Components and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $0.91 (52-wk range $0.49 - $2.62), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.