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Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$22.82 +1.15% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.82

Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 18/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $289.0M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SEG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (NYSE: SEG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 18/100 at a spot price of $22.82 (+1.15% 1D, market cap $289.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SEG ranks #992 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SEG compare to XPOF and CDRO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), SEG carries a Roarable E (18/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -24.6%. By comparison, XPOF (Xponential Fitness Inc. (Class A)) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 6.8%, cap $220.0M) and CDRO (Codere Online Luxembourg S.A.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $393.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SEG leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while LUCK leads on capital efficiency (7.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SEG?
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Per SEG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002009684), Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. generated $130.4M in revenue (+18.3% YoY), -$116.7M in net income, and -$49.7M in free cash flow against $650.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.82 (+0.02%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (18/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-12.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510018
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (5)SEC (5)Macro (3)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-18% Base Target
$31 Bull$19 Base$15 Bear
📬 FREE SEG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SEG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (18/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SEG SCORES 18/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+5/20 pts (28% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+5/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
15
Grade E$22.31+1.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
16
Grade E$22.55+1.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
18
Grade E$22.87-0.2% Next Q
Current
18
Grade E$22.82-12.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (15) → E (18)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SEG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SEG currently carries a cautious 18/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($23.90) and Max Pain ($23.96) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $31.09.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SEG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SEG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 18%NO 82%Trade / Inspect Odds →
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

SEG Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (SEG)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on SEG. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SEG)

  • ✓Walkthrough of SEG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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SEG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.47%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $23.05H $23.05L $22.56C $22.82VOL 41.2K
RES: $29.36SUP: $20.57SMA50: $23.90SMA200: $23.61
$30.18$27.83$25.48$23.13$20.78RES $29.36SUP $20.57$22.822026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SEG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SEG Butterfly Map → + Track SEG →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +18.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SEG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SEG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SEG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SEG)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #992 of 1009 ⚔️ XPOF vs SEG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SEG vs. XPOF, CDRO, AIBZ, LUCK)

Industry: Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) ranks #992 by composite RQD confidence (18/100, grade E) and #647 by equity capitalization ($289.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SEG leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while LUCK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.7% ROIC and — gross margin. CDRO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 48/100 (D) compared with SEG at 18/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SEG ACTIVE
Seaport Entertainment Group Inc.
E 18/100 — — -24.6% +1.15% $289.0M Benchmark Subject
XPOF
Xponential Fitness Inc. (Class A)
D 44/100 — — 6.8% +7.18% $220.0M /xpof-vs-seg →
CDRO
Codere Online Luxembourg S.A.
D 48/100 — — — -1.50% $393.3M /cdro-vs-seg →
AIBZ
Bitzero Holdings Inc.
D 45/100 — — — -6.25% $179.2M /aibz-vs-seg →
LUCK
Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A)
E 21/100 — — 7.7% +1.98% $550.8M /luck-vs-seg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002009684 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) reported GAAP revenue of $130.4M (+18.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $110.2M , and +13.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$116.7M, operating cash flow of -$49.7M, and free cash flow of -$49.7M (+5.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, SEG closed FY2025 with $650.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $130.4M -$116.7M -$49.7M -$49.7M $650.1M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $110.2M -$153.2M -$52.7M -$52.7M $743.6M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $114.9M -$838.1M -$50.8M -$50.8M — —

3. SEG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SEG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (NYSE: SEG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 18/100 at a spot price of $22.82 (+1.15% 1D, market cap $289.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SEG ranks #992 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SEG compare to XPOF and CDRO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), SEG carries a Roarable E (18/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -24.6%. By comparison, XPOF (Xponential Fitness Inc. (Class A)) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 6.8%, cap $220.0M) and CDRO (Codere Online Luxembourg S.A.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $393.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SEG leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while LUCK leads on capital efficiency (7.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SEG?

Per SEG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002009684), Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. generated $130.4M in revenue (+18.3% YoY), -$116.7M in net income, and -$49.7M in free cash flow against $650.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SEG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SEG last traded at $22.82 (+1.15% on volume of 64,265 shares), positioning the stock -4.52% below its 50-day simple moving average ($23.90) and -3.35% below its 200-day simple moving average ($23.61). Across its 52-week range of $17.74 to $29.61, SEG sits at the 42.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.0% ($21.68 to $23.96).

Direct Sub-Reports: SEG RQD Cockpit SEG 12M Forecast SEG Earnings & Move SEG Dividends & DRIP SEG Insiders & 13F SEG Whale Options SEG Profit Sankey SEG News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 18/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

SEG — Seaport Entertainment Group Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 18/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $22.82 (+1.15% 1D, market capitalization $289.0M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (3/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -24.6%, gross margin of —, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of -16.82%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (5/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation industry, with a market capitalization of $0.3B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) reported $130.4M in annual revenue (up from $110.2M in FY2024, +18.3% YoY) and -$116.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($114.9M revenue, -$838.1M net income) through FY2025, SEG scaled operating cash flow to -$49.7M and free cash flow to -$49.7M, backed by $650.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 18/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -16.82% and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 3/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $17.74 – $29.61 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can SEG sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -24.6% ROIC against Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $130.4M and free cash flow of -$49.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is SEG's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

SEG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SEG Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SEG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $22.82?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SEG 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SEG:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER • Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $29.78 (+32.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Whale 13F flow scores 7/20, the highest of the five RQD pillars, indicating some institutional accumulation and options positioning.

Long SEG at $22.56 targeting $29.78. Whale 13F flow scores 7/20, the highest of the five RQD pillars, indicating some institutional accumulation and options positioning.. Institutional whale score is 5/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $17.74 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@SkepticalCFA Shorting a 5/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $22.56 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $18.72 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $22.56

ROIC of -24.6%, FCF yield of -16.82%, and an Altman Z-Score of 0.2 signal negative cash generation and elevated distress risk.

Fading this rally in SEG at $22.56. ROIC of -24.6%, FCF yield of -16.82%, and an Altman Z-Score of 0.2 signal negative cash generation and elevated distress risk.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $22.56 (52-wk range $17.74–$29.61), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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