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Reservoir Media Inc. (RSVR) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$9.68 +1.68% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.69

Reservoir Media Inc. (RSVR) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $627.7M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is RSVR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Reservoir Media Inc. (NASDAQ: RSVR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $9.68 (+1.68% 1D, market cap $627.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RSVR ranks #529 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does RSVR compare to LUCK and FUN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), RSVR carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 80.8x, gross margin of 64.7%, and ROIC of 3.8%. By comparison, LUCK (Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A)) holds a E grade (21/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 7.7%, cap $550.8M) and FUN (Six Flags Entertainment Corporation) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -19.3%, cap $765.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACEL leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while ACEL leads on capital efficiency (15.7% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RSVR?
β–Ό

Per RSVR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001824403), Reservoir Media Inc. generated $175.7M in revenue (+10.7% YoY), $7.8M in net income, and $49.7M in free cash flow against $941.9M in total assets and $452.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.69 (+0.11%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) β€’ 28.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 49.7% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510051
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D Β· Rk D+
Cash (10)Whales (8)SEC (12)Macro (9)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.1% Base Target
$14 Bull$9 Base$7 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE RSVR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RSVR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±3.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY RSVR SCORES 51/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.05 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 8/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
43
Grade D$9.59-0.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
46
Grade D$9.51+0.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
48
Grade D$9.58+1% Next Q
Current
51
Grade D$9.68-1.3% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (43) β†’ D (51)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a RSVR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While RSVR currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.53) and Max Pain ($10.16) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $14.06.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RSVRβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œRSVR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±3.4%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (RSVR)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for RSVR.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RSVR)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of RSVR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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RSVR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -3.30%β–² RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $9.59H $9.68L $9.52C $9.68VOL 27.2K
RES: $9.37SUP: $8.00SMA50: $9.53SMA200: $9.57
$13.76$12.23$10.70$9.17$7.63RES $9.37SUP $8.00$9.682026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RSVR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +10.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RSVR today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RSVR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RSVR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RSVR)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #529 of 1011 βš”οΈ LUCK vs RSVR Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (RSVR vs. LUCK, FUN, FBYD, ACEL)

Industry: Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Reservoir Media Inc. (RSVR) ranks #529 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #564 by equity capitalization ($627.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ACEL leads on earnings valuation at 17.8x trailing P/E, while ACEL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.7% ROIC and β€” gross margin. ACEL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with RSVR at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
RSVR ACTIVE
Reservoir Media Inc.
D 51/100 80.8x 64.7% 3.8% +1.68% $627.7M Benchmark Subject
LUCK
Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A)
E 21/100 β€” β€” 7.7% +1.98% $550.8M /luck-vs-rsvr β†’
FUN
Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
E 33/100 β€” 91.3% -19.3% +3.34% $765.3M /fun-vs-rsvr β†’
FBYD
Falcon's Beyond Global Inc. (Class A)
E 26/100 β€” β€” -22.8% 0.00% $837.9M /fbyd-vs-rsvr β†’
ACEL
Accel Entertainment Inc.
D+ 58/100 17.8x β€” 15.7% +4.84% $922.4M /acel-vs-rsvr β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2026-03-31 β€’ CIK 0001824403

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), Reservoir Media Inc. (RSVR) reported GAAP revenue of $175.7M (+10.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $158.7M , and +21.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $7.8M, operating cash flow of $50.1M, and free cash flow of $49.7M (+9.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, RSVR closed FY2025 with $941.9M in total assets against $452.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.05, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-03-31 $175.7M $7.8M $50.1M $49.7M $941.9M $452.3M
FY2024 (FY) 2025-03-31 $158.7M $7.7M $45.3M $45.2M $832.4M $371.8M
FY2023 (FY) 2024-03-31 $144.9M $644.9K $36.2M $36.2M β€” β€”

3. RSVR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RSVR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Reservoir Media Inc. (NASDAQ: RSVR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $9.68 (+1.68% 1D, market cap $627.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RSVR ranks #529 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RSVR compare to LUCK and FUN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), RSVR carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 80.8x, gross margin of 64.7%, and ROIC of 3.8%. By comparison, LUCK (Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A)) holds a E grade (21/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 7.7%, cap $550.8M) and FUN (Six Flags Entertainment Corporation) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -19.3%, cap $765.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACEL leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while ACEL leads on capital efficiency (15.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RSVR?

Per RSVR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001824403), Reservoir Media Inc. generated $175.7M in revenue (+10.7% YoY), $7.8M in net income, and $49.7M in free cash flow against $941.9M in total assets and $452.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RSVR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RSVR last traded at $9.68 (+1.68% on volume of 55,129 shares), positioning the stock +1.57% above its 50-day simple moving average ($9.53) and +1.15% above its 200-day simple moving average ($9.57). Across its 52-week range of $7.07 to $13.39, RSVR sits at the 41.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±3.4% ($9.35 to $10.01).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 51/100 (D) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

RSVR β€” Reservoir Media Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-03-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Reservoir Media Inc. (RSVR) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 51/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $9.68 (+1.68% 1D, market capitalization $627.7M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 3.8%, gross margin of 64.7%, operating margin of 21.8%, and free cash flow yield of 7.85%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.05, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.21x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Reservoir Media Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation industry,. Gross margin of 64.7%, operating margin of 21.8%, and net margin of 4.5% are reported in the market data section.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-03-31), Reservoir Media Inc. (RSVR) reported $175.7M in annual revenue (up from $158.7M in FY2024, +10.7% YoY) and $7.8M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($144.9M revenue, $644.9K net income) through FY2025, RSVR scaled operating cash flow to $50.1M and free cash flow to $49.7M, backed by $941.9M in total assets against $452.3M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D β€’ RQD 51/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 7.85% and institutional whale pillar of 8/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $7.07 – $13.39 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 80.8x trailing P/E and 27.5x EV/EBITDA against 21.8% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation (Consumer Discretionary), RSVR carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 64.7%.

  • Key Question #1: Can RSVR sustain or expand its 21.8% operating margin and 3.8% ROIC against Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $175.7M and free cash flow of $49.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $452.3M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is RSVR's 75.1x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

RSVR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Reservoir Media Inc. (RSVR) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to RSVR Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

RSVR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $9.68?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON RSVR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on RSVR:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Cross-Asset Macro Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $12.47 (+31.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Revenue grew from $144.9M in FY 2023 to $175.7M in FY 2025 while FCF yield of 7.85% and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 signal strong cash gen

Don't sleep on RSVR's setup in Consumer Discretionary. Revenue grew from $144.9M in FY 2023 to $175.7M in FY 2025 while FCF yield of 7.85% and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 signal strong cash generation.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (51/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

VolSurface_Trader πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” RSVR's 12/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $7.71 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $9.52

Valuation at P/E 80.8 and EV/EBITDA 27.5 against ROIC of 3.8%, alongside Altman Z 1.05 and debt rising to $452.3M, leaves little margin

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on RSVR: Valuation at P/E 80.8 and EV/EBITDA 27.5 against ROIC of 3.8%, alongside Altman Z 1.05 and debt rising to $452.3M, leaves little margin for error.. At 80.8x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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