Regal Rexnord Corporation (RRX) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$157.24 -3.90% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $155.84

Regal Rexnord Corporation (RRX) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $10.90B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is RRX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Regal Rexnord Corporation (NYSE: RRX) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $157.24 (-3.90% 1D, market cap $10.90B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, RRX ranks #149 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does RRX compare to ONTO and DRS in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), RRX carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 39.0x, gross margin of 37.4%, and ROIC of 4.9%. By comparison, ONTO (Onto Innovation Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.6%, cap $10.89B) and DRS (Leonardo DRS Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 38.1x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $10.58B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LII leads on earnings multiple (14.8x) while LII leads on capital efficiency (34.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RRX?
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Per RRX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000082811), Regal Rexnord Corporation generated $5.93B in revenue (-1.6% YoY), $279.5M in net income, and $893.1M in free cash flow against $13.92B in total assets and $4.76B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $155.84 (-0.89%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 15% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510058
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (10)SEC (14)Macro (8)CEO (14)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target
$260 Bull$157 Base$123 Bear
📬 FREE RRX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RRX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY RRX SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.92 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+14/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (55.4) create a -12 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
66
Grade B-$163.28-4.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
63
Grade C+$156.03+1.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
61
Grade C$158.21-0.6% Next Q
Current
58
Grade D+$157.24+0% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (66) → D+ (58)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the RRX Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, RRX faces multiple-compression risk if 39.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 39x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($157.77) or 200D SMA ($189.84) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($157.24) toward Bear Floor ($122.65).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RRX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “RRX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your RRX Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $157.24: 63.6 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $122.65
$7,800
$-2,200 (-22.0%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $157.24
$10,000
+$0 (+0.0%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $260.19
$16,547
+$6,547 (+65.5%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$16474%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$24569%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$14058%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RRX)

  • ✓Walkthrough of RRX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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RRX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -26.00%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $161.1H $163.6L $157.2C $157.2VOL 922.0K
RES: $162.5SUP: $132.7SMA50: $157.8SMA200: $189.8
$255.0$225.1$195.1$165.2$135.2RES $162.5SUP $132.7$157.22026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RRX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
29.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RRX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RRX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RRX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RRX)

Industrials Rank #149 of 485 ⚔️ ONTO vs RRX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (RRX vs. ONTO, DRS, PNR, LII)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Regal Rexnord Corporation (RRX) ranks #149 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #95 by equity capitalization ($10.90B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LII leads on earnings valuation at 14.8x trailing P/E, while LII leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 34.9% ROIC and 33.4% gross margin. PNR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with RRX at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
RRX ACTIVE
Regal Rexnord Corporation
D+ 58/100 39.0x 37.4% 4.9% -3.90% $10.90B Benchmark Subject
ONTO
Onto Innovation Inc.
C- 59/100 — 49.7% 5.6% -9.16% $10.89B /onto-vs-rrx →
DRS
Leonardo DRS Inc.
C 63/100 38.1x 23.8% 9.2% -4.94% $10.58B /drs-vs-rrx →
PNR
Pentair plc. Ordinary Share
C+ 69/100 16.1x 40.5% 12.5% +0.64% $10.51B /pnr-vs-rrx →
LII
Lennox International Inc.
C- 59/100 14.8x 33.4% 34.9% -1.16% $11.91B /lii-vs-rrx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000082811

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Regal Rexnord Corporation (RRX) reported GAAP revenue of $5.93B (-1.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $6.03B , and -5.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $279.5M, operating cash flow of $990.8M, and free cash flow of $893.1M (+78.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, RRX closed FY2025 with $13.92B in total assets against $4.76B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.92, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $5.93B $279.5M $990.8M $893.1M $13.92B $4.76B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $6.03B $196.2M $609.4M $499.9M $14.03B $5.45B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $6.25B -$57.4M $715.3M $434.0M $7.50B $1.76B

3. RRX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RRX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Regal Rexnord Corporation (NYSE: RRX) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $157.24 (-3.90% 1D, market cap $10.90B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, RRX ranks #149 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RRX compare to ONTO and DRS in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), RRX carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 39.0x, gross margin of 37.4%, and ROIC of 4.9%. By comparison, ONTO (Onto Innovation Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.6%, cap $10.89B) and DRS (Leonardo DRS Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 38.1x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $10.58B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LII leads on earnings multiple (14.8x) while LII leads on capital efficiency (34.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RRX?

Per RRX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000082811), Regal Rexnord Corporation generated $5.93B in revenue (-1.6% YoY), $279.5M in net income, and $893.1M in free cash flow against $13.92B in total assets and $4.76B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RRX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RRX last traded at $157.24 (-3.90% on volume of 1,313,262 shares), positioning the stock -0.34% below its 50-day simple moving average ($157.77) and -17.17% below its 200-day simple moving average ($189.84). Across its 52-week range of $127.96 to $247.80, RRX sits at the 24.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.2% ($144.35 to $170.13).

RRX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is RRX's 12-month stock price target?

Regal Rexnord Corporation (RRX) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $157.24 (+0% from $157.24), with a bull-case target of $260.19 and a bear-case floor of $122.65.

Is RRX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates RRX D+ (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 58/100.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 58/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

RRX — Regal Rexnord Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:16:08Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, RRX scores 58 out of 100, graded D+, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 (ROIC 4.9%; FCF yield 8.2%), Whale 13F Flow at 10/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 14/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 8/20 (Beta 0.98; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 14/20 (Altman Z 1.92; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 0.7).

For a prospective investor, the rating reads as a weak overall profile. The cash-generation pillar is only moderately supportive: a reported 8.2% FCF yield sits against a 4.9% ROIC, suggesting that cash returned relative to the market value is not matched by a high return on invested capital. The lowest pillar, Macro Regime Fit at 8/20, indicates that the source data flags limited alignment with the prevailing macro backdrop, though the beta of 0.98 shows market-level sensitivity. The strongest pillars, Insider Conviction and Forensic Balance Sheet (both 14/20), point to a comparatively stable balance sheet and some insider activity, but neither is strong enough to offset weakness elsewhere. On valuation, the reported trailing P/E of 39 and forward P/E of 36.3 indicate that the stock is priced at a premium relative to its reported earnings, so upside depends on earnings growth the source data does not project. The rating's verdict label is the framework's conclusion and is presented here as an analytical output, not as personalized advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$163.62$10.9B3936.319.84.20.85%0.98$127.96 - $247.84.9%

Business

Regal Rexnord Corporation is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, operating in the Industrial Machinery/Components industry, per the company profile. Its reported market capitalization is $10.9B. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 37.4%, an operating margin of 11.5%, and a net margin of 4.7%. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or specific revenue streams.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$5934.5M$680.8M$279.5MN/A$893.1M$521.7M$4764.6M
FY 2024$6033.8M$630.0M$196.2MN/A$499.9M$393.5M$5452.7M
FY 2023$6250.7M$377.1M$-57.4MN/A$434.0MN/A$1755.2M

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined across the three reported periods, from $6250.7M to $5934.5M, while operating income and net income rose from FY 2023 to FY 2025 and free cash flow increased from $434.0M to $893.1M. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 1.92 and the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.7. Reported debt decreased from $5452.7M in FY 2024 to $4764.6M in FY 2025. Reported ROIC is 4.9% per the market data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Price target cut (RISK WATCH, red light): A headline reports a 12-month price target cut to $231.1, implying 40% upside, per a TradingView item.
  • Quarterly dividend (MARKET WIRE): A headline reports a declared quarterly dividend of $.35 per share.
  • Institutional position change (MARKET WIRE): A MarketBeat item reports a sale of 6,894 RRX shares by Argent Capital Management LLC.
  • Director dividend reinvestment (MARKET WIRE): A Stock Titan item reports dividend reinvestment adding 2.06 stock units for a director.
  • Analyst forecast coverage (MARKET WIRE): A Simply Wall St item covers stock forecasts and analyst predictions.
  • General market coverage (MARKET WIRE): A Yahoo! Finance Canada item covers market action and positioning.

The butterfly supply-chain graph lists the sector as Industrials and the supply chain as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's products, end markets, and principal customers, given that the source data provides only a sector and industry label?
  • What explains the gap between the reported 4.9% ROIC and the 8.2% FCF yield, and how sustainable is the cash generation?
  • What drove the price target cut to $231.1 that the news wire flags as a risk item, and what assumptions underlie it?
  • Why are EPS values reported as N/A in the financial periods when trailing EPS is listed at 4.2?
  • How does the reported revenue decline across three periods reconcile with improving operating and net income?

RRX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Regal Rexnord Corporation (RRX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to RRX Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

RRX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $157.24?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON RRX 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on RRX:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $176.71 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is RRX (D+ • RQD 58/100) a Buy at $163.62?

Welcome to the RRX (Regal Rexnord Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 58/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Industrial Machinery/Components. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (39.0x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $130.90 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $163.62

Pump the brakes on RRX — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on RRX, but look at what you are paying: 39.0x trailing P/E with 37.4% gross margins. Unless Regal Rexnord Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $209.43 (+28.0%)
Spot @ $163.62

RRX cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on RRX, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Industrial Machinery/Components and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $163.62 (52-wk range $127.96 - $247.80), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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