Rapid Micro Biosystems Inc. (Class A) (RPID) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$0.70 -4.50% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.69

Rapid Micro Biosystems Inc. (Class A) (RPID) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $36.9M
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β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Rapid Micro Biosystems Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: RPID) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $0.70 (-4.50% 1D, market cap $36.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, RPID ranks #645 in composite RQD confidence.

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πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does RPID compare to HBIO and PRPO in the Health Care sector?
β–Ό

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Laboratory Analytical Instruments), RPID carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, HBIO (Harvard Bioscience Inc.) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $40.5M) and PRPO (Precipio Inc.) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.9%, cap $32.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RPID leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while PRPO leads on capital efficiency (-7.9% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RPID?
β–Ό

Per RPID's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001380106), Rapid Micro Biosystems Inc. (Class A) generated $33.6M in revenue (+19.7% YoY), -$47.1M in net income, and -$31.9M in free cash flow against $74.9M in total assets and $18.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.69 (-1.00%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510034
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk D-
Cash (9)Whales (3)SEC (11)Macro (6)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.4% Base Target
$5 Bull$1 Base$0 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE RPID RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RPID)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (34/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY RPID SCORES 34/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (32% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 4/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
42
Grade D$0.87-11.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
39
Grade E$0.77+2.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
37
Grade E$0.79-11.4% Next Q
Current
34
Grade E$0.70-8.7% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (42) β†’ E (34)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a RPID Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While RPID currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.06) and Max Pain ($0.74) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.19.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RPIDβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œRPID Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL β€’ FY 2025 (10-K)

How RPID Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)
Revenue$33.6MGross Profit $17.5M (52%)Cost of Sales $16.1MOp Profit $0 (0%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $17.5MNet Profit$0 (0%)Tax/Other $0

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

β–  Revenueβ–  Net Profitβ–  Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $22.5M
FY24
Rev $28.1M
FY25
Rev $33.6M
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$33.6M52%-80%-$47.1M-$31.9M-45%
FY 2024$28.1M52%-80%-$46.9M-$45.5M-45%
FY 2023$22.5M52%-80%-$52.5M-$45.1M-35%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RPID)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of RPID's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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RPID // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -71.89%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $0.79H $0.79L $0.70C $0.70VOL 201.6K
RES: $1.64SUP: $0.64SMA50: $1.06SMA200: $2.21
$3.48$2.73$1.97$1.22$0.47RES $1.64SUP $0.64$0.702026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RPID Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +19.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RPID today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RPID. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RPID today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RPID)

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (RPID vs. HBIO, PRPO, EYPT, BNGO)

Industry: Biotechnology: Laboratory Analytical Instruments (21 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Rapid Micro Biosystems Inc. (Class A) (RPID) ranks #645 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #778 by equity capitalization ($36.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RPID leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while PRPO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -7.9% ROIC and 44.2% gross margin. HBIO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 47/100 (D) compared with RPID at 34/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
RPID ACTIVE
Rapid Micro Biosystems Inc. (Class A)
E 34/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -4.50% $36.9M Benchmark Subject
HBIO
Harvard Bioscience Inc.
D 47/100 β€” 57.7% -35.0% -3.37% $40.5M /hbio-vs-rpid β†’
PRPO
Precipio Inc.
E 30/100 β€” 44.2% -7.9% -1.71% $32.4M /prpo-vs-rpid β†’
EYPT
EyePoint Inc.
E 26/100 β€” β€” -35.0% +7.58% $30.0M /eypt-vs-rpid β†’
BNGO
Bionano Genomics Inc.
E 29/100 β€” 46.3% -35.0% +0.87% $16.1M /bngo-vs-rpid β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001380106

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Rapid Micro Biosystems Inc. (Class A) (RPID) reported GAAP revenue of $33.6M (+19.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $28.1M , and +49.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$47.1M, operating cash flow of -$31.1M, and free cash flow of -$31.9M (+29.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, RPID closed FY2025 with $74.9M in total assets against $18.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $33.6M -$47.1M -$31.1M -$31.9M $74.9M $18.9M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $28.1M -$46.9M -$44.2M -$45.5M $98.2M $0
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $22.5M -$52.5M -$45.1M -$45.1M β€” β€”

3. RPID Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RPID stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Rapid Micro Biosystems Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: RPID) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $0.70 (-4.50% 1D, market cap $36.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, RPID ranks #645 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RPID compare to HBIO and PRPO in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Laboratory Analytical Instruments), RPID carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, HBIO (Harvard Bioscience Inc.) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $40.5M) and PRPO (Precipio Inc.) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.9%, cap $32.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RPID leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while PRPO leads on capital efficiency (-7.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RPID?

Per RPID's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001380106), Rapid Micro Biosystems Inc. (Class A) generated $33.6M in revenue (+19.7% YoY), -$47.1M in net income, and -$31.9M in free cash flow against $74.9M in total assets and $18.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RPID trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RPID last traded at $0.70 (-4.50% on volume of 77,267 shares), positioning the stock -33.96% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.06) and -68.33% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.21). Across its 52-week range of $0.70 to $4.94, RPID sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.9 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.79).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 34/100 (E) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

RPID β€” Rapid Micro Biosystems Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:47:45Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

RPID scores 36 out of 100 with a letter grade of D-, labeled "Roarable Sell β€” Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillar scores are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 9 / 20 (ROIC -35%; FCF yield 0%). This is the weakest economic signal in the rating: the business is not currently generating a return on invested capital or free cash flow relative to its valuation.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 4 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning). This is the lowest pillar score and indicates little supportive institutional positioning in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 5 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow). Insider signal is weak in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 7 / 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity). The rating reflects a market-neutral beta with limited macro tailwind in the scoring.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 11 / 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 4/9; Debt/Equity 0.57). This is the strongest pillar, but it remains only moderate.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the implication is that the rating reflects weak cash generation, thin institutional and insider support, and a balance sheet that is serviceable but not strong.6M against reported operating losses. This is an educational summary of the scoring, not personalized financial advice.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Rapid Micro Biosystems Inc. (Class A) is a NASDAQ-listed Health Care issuer in the Biotechnology: Laboratory Analytical Instruments industry. Specific product lines, customer segments, and revenue model details are β€” The reported revenue figures in the SEC financials indicate an operating business with $33.6M of FY 2025 revenue, but the source does not describe how that revenue is generated.

Revenue grew from $22.5M in FY 2023 to $33.6M in FY 2025, while operating losses remained large in each period. Per the market data, operating margin and net margin are both -60%, gross margin is 0%, and ROIC is -35%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.57. Cash of $20.0M against debt of $18.9M, per the FY 2025 SEC financials, describes a balance sheet with limited cushion relative to continued operating losses.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case: Revenue grew from $22.5M in FY 2023 to $33.6M in FY 2025, and the forensic balance sheet pillar scores 11 / 20 on Altman Z 2.5 and Debt/Equity 0.57. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 (ROIC -35.0%, FCF yield β€”) and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $0.70 – $4.94 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: FY 2025 free cash flow of -$31.9M against $20.0M of cash, with ROIC at -35% and operating margin at -60%, leaves the cash engine pillar at 9 / 20. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

There are no upstream or downstream links, no sector correlations, and no proprietary signals in the source data. Upstream/downstream dependencies: β€” Sector correlations: β€” 2nd-order bottlenecks: β€” The only sector information available is the Health Care / Biotechnology: Laboratory Analytical Instruments classification.

  • Key Question #1: What is the company's cash runway given FY 2025 FCF of -$31.9M against cash of $20.0M?
  • Key Question #2: What drove the revenue increase from $28.1M to $33.6M, and is it recurring?
  • Key Question #3: What is the status of the Q3 earnings release, and does the negative-earnings headline reflect current expectations?

RPID Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Rapid Micro Biosystems Inc. (Class A) (RPID) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to RPID Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

RPID Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $0.70?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON RPID 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on RPID:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro Price Action & Volume Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $0.96 (+29.7%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Revenue grew from $22.5M in FY 2023 to $33.6M in FY 2025, and the forensic balance sheet pillar scores 11 / 20 on Altman Z 2.5 and Debt

Here is why I am bullish on RPID here at $0.74: Revenue grew from $22.5M in FY 2023 to $33.6M in FY 2025, and the forensic balance sheet pillar scores 11 / 20 on Altman Z 2.5 and Debt/Equity 0.57.. Compare RPID's -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against the rest of Biotechnology: Laboratory Analytical Instruments. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $0.70 are getting bought.

RetailWhale_TX πŸ‚ BULL

@MultipleCompression Shorting a 3/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $0.74 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Health Care.

MU MultipleCompression Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.62 (-16.2%)
Spot @ $0.74

FY 2025 free cash flow of -$31.9M against $20.0M of cash, with ROIC at -35% and operating margin at -60%, leaves the cash engine pillar

I respect the product at Rapid Micro Biosystems Inc. (Class A), but the stock at $0.74 is a different story. FY 2025 free cash flow of -$31.9M against $20.0M of cash, with ROIC at -35% and operating margin at -60%, leaves the cash engine pillar at 9 / 20.. FCF yield is 0.0% and RQD sits at 34/100 (E) β€” why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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