Ross Stores Inc. (ROST) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±4.8% Move

$228.28 -1.73% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $228.12

Ross Stores Inc. (ROST) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 78/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (28% profit margin, 36% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $74.21B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ROST stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Ross Stores Inc. (NASDAQ: ROST) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 78/100 at a spot price of $228.28 (-1.73% 1D, market cap $74.21B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 20/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ROST ranks #34 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ROST compare to TJX and GAP in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores), ROST carries a Roarable B+ (78/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 34.6x, gross margin of 27.7%, and ROIC of 36.0%. By comparison, TJX (TJX Companies Inc.) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 28.3x, ROIC 42.6%, cap $155.53B) and GAP (Gap Inc.) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 9.9x, ROIC 32.9%, cap $8.04B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GAP leads on earnings multiple (9.9x) while TJX leads on capital efficiency (42.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ROST?
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Per ROST's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0000745732), Ross Stores Inc. generated $22.75B in revenue (+7.7% YoY), $2.15B in net income, and $2.21B in free cash flow against $15.55B in total assets and $1.02B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (28% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $228.12 (-0.07%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 20/20 (A+) • 9.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 78/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 10% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.6% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+
025507510078
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk B+
Cash (20)Whales (14)SEC (18)Macro (13)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+9% Base Target
$294 Bull$249 Base$187 Bear
📬 FREE ROST RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ROST)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (78/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ROST SCORES 78/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+20/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 9.7% FCF Margin ($2.21B FCF) & 27.7% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 8.65 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 7 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
70
Grade B$225.68+5.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
73
Grade B$237.24-3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
75
Grade B+$230.09-0.8% Next Q
Current
78
Grade B+$228.28+7.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (70) → B+ (78)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ROST Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 78/100 (B+) score, ROST faces multiple-compression risk if 34.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 25.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($230.85) or 200D SMA ($222.80) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($248.83) toward Bear Floor ($187.19).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ROST• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ROST Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 30, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Jan 30, 2027 (~88 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±4.8% Swing Band

±$10.96 Expected Swing
$217.32 (-4.8%)Spot $228.28$239.24 (+4.8%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

ROST Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 78/100

Trailing EPS: $6.71 • YoY Revenue Growth: 7.7%

Model Bullish Setup (78/100)Model Risk Weight (22/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252026-01-31$22.75B$2.15B$2.21B27.7%
FY 20242025-02-01$21.13B$2.09B$1.64B27.8%
FY 20232024-02-03$20.38B$1.87B$1.60B27.7%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating ROST & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on ROST
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ROST // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.00%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $228.0H $232.3L $228.0C $228.3VOL 1.88M
RES: $238.7SUP: $223.5SMA50: $230.9SMA200: $222.8
$262.5$239.6$216.6$193.6$170.7RES $238.7SUP $223.5$228.32026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ROST Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
26.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ROST today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ROST. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ROST today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ROST)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #34 of 1011 ⚔️ TJX vs ROST Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ROST vs. TJX, GAP, VSXY, URBN)

Industry: Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores (25 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ross Stores Inc. (ROST) ranks #34 by composite RQD confidence (78/100, grade B+) and #32 by equity capitalization ($74.21B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GAP leads on earnings valuation at 9.9x trailing P/E, while TJX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 42.6% ROIC and — gross margin. URBN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 80/100 (B+) compared with ROST at 78/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ROST ACTIVE
Ross Stores Inc.
B+ 78/100 34.6x 27.7% 36.0% -1.73% $74.21B Benchmark Subject
TJX
TJX Companies Inc.
B 74/100 28.3x — 42.6% -0.76% $155.53B /tjx-vs-rost →
GAP
Gap Inc.
C+ 68/100 9.9x 40.8% 32.9% -2.49% $8.04B /gap-vs-rost →
VSXY
Victorias Secret & Co.
B- 71/100 49.1x 36.4% 16.4% -2.54% $7.91B /vsxy-vs-rost →
URBN
Urban Outfitters Inc.
B+ 80/100 17.0x 36.0% 14.2% -1.59% $7.90B /urbn-vs-rost →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0000745732

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Ross Stores Inc. (ROST) reported GAAP revenue of $22.75B (+7.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $21.13B , and +11.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $2.15B, operating cash flow of $3.03B, and free cash flow of $2.21B (+34.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, ROST closed FY2025 with $15.55B in total assets against $1.02B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 8.65, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-01-31 $22.75B $2.15B $3.03B $2.21B $15.55B $1.02B
FY2024 (FY) 2025-02-01 $21.13B $2.09B $2.36B $1.64B $14.91B $1.52B
FY2023 (FY) 2024-02-03 $20.38B $1.87B $2.51B $1.60B $40.81B $9.55B

3. ROST Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ROST stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Ross Stores Inc. (NASDAQ: ROST) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 78/100 at a spot price of $228.28 (-1.73% 1D, market cap $74.21B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 20/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ROST ranks #34 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ROST compare to TJX and GAP in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores), ROST carries a Roarable B+ (78/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 34.6x, gross margin of 27.7%, and ROIC of 36.0%. By comparison, TJX (TJX Companies Inc.) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 28.3x, ROIC 42.6%, cap $155.53B) and GAP (Gap Inc.) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 9.9x, ROIC 32.9%, cap $8.04B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GAP leads on earnings multiple (9.9x) while TJX leads on capital efficiency (42.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ROST?

Per ROST's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0000745732), Ross Stores Inc. generated $22.75B in revenue (+7.7% YoY), $2.15B in net income, and $2.21B in free cash flow against $15.55B in total assets and $1.02B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (28% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ROST trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ROST last traded at $228.28 (-1.73% on volume of 2,105,633 shares), positioning the stock -1.11% below its 50-day simple moving average ($230.85) and +2.46% above its 200-day simple moving average ($222.80). Across its 52-week range of $157.65 to $257.00, ROST sits at the 71.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.8% ($217.32 to $239.24).

ROST Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is ROST's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Ross Stores Inc. (ROST)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Jan 30, 2027.

How much is ROST stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±4.8% event move for ROST, spanning a range between $217.32 and $239.24.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 78/100 (B+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ROST — Ross Stores Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:10:26Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROST scores 78 out of 100, graded B+, with the verdict label "Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 20 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this is the strongest pillar, supported by ROIC of 36% and an FCF yield of 2.97%. For an investor, this indicates the business generates high returns on invested capital; the FCF yield signals that free cash generation is meaningful relative to the current market capitalization.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 14 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The score is solid but not top-tier, suggesting institutional interest is present without being maximal.
  • Insider Conviction: 13 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The mid-range score indicates some insider and Congressional activity, though the source data does not itemize the individual transactions.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 13 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects a Beta of 1.08 and sector sensitivity. A beta slightly above 1.0 implies the stock has moved somewhat more than the broad market in the source's measurement; this is a mid-range fit rather than a defensive or aggressive profile.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 18 / 20. Per the RQD rating, supported by an Altman Z-Score of 8.65, a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.16. These readings point to a strong balance sheet and low leverage.

Investor implications: the rating's upside drivers are the cash-generation and balance-sheet pillars. The valuation tradeoff is visible in the market data: a trailing P/E of 34.6 and forward P/E of 32.2 are elevated relative to a 2.97% FCF yield, meaning much of the quality is already reflected in price. The stock's position within its 52-week range ($157.65 - $257) places the current price of 232.3 near the upper portion of that range.

Snapshot

MetricValue
Price232.3
Market Cap$74.21B
P/E (TTM)34.6
Forward P/E32.2
EV/EBITDA20.8
EPS (TTM)6.71
Dividend Yield0.71%
Beta1.08
52-Wk Range$157.65 - $257
ROIC %36%

Business

Ross Stores Inc. (ROST) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, operating within the Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores industry. Per the company profile, the market capitalization is $74.2B. Per the market data, gross margin is 27.7%, operating margin is 11.9%, and net margin is 9.4%. The source data does not describe the company's product categories, customer base, or specific revenue-generation model beyond its industry classification.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The news wire contains six items, all tagged to ROST and all carrying a YELLOW light and "MARKET WIRE" impact label. The headlines are generic market commentary from Yahoo! Finance Canada, Stocktwits, ChartMill, and Yahoo Finance, including titles referencing long-term compounding quality, relative performance against retail-wholesale peers, completion of an expansion program, and a valuation question ("Is the Stock Fully Priced?"). The source summaries do not contain substantive detail on the content of these reports. The butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals. Risk watch items per the news wire: the expansion-completion and "fully priced" headlines raise valuation questions the source data does not resolve.

Open Questions

  • Which specific EPS figures correspond to each reported period, given that EPS is "N/A" in all three SEC financial records?
  • What is the cash balance for FY 2023, which is recorded as "N/A" in the source?
  • What are the specific components of the SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR flows that produced the insider conviction score?
  • What is the content of the expansion program referenced in the news wire, and what is its expected financial impact?
  • What are the analyst consensus rating and price targets, which are absent from the source data?

ROST Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ross Stores Inc. (ROST) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ROST Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ROST Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $228.28?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ROST 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ROST:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $274.11 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ROST (B+ • RQD 78/100) a Buy at $232.30?

Welcome to the ROST (Ross Stores Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 78/100 (Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow) in Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores. Bulls point to capital efficiency (36.0% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (34.6x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $176.55 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $232.30

Pump the brakes on ROST — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ROST, but look at what you are paying: 34.6x trailing P/E with 27.7% gross margins. Unless Ross Stores Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $271.79 (+17.0%)
Spot @ $232.30

ROST cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ROST, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $232.30 (52-wk range $157.65 - $257.00), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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