Should I buy, hold, or sell RGS stock right now?

Regis Corporation (RGS) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 57/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is RGS's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

RGS's 12-month base price target is $29.37 (range $22.91 to $34.66), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / RGS

ASPS (29) TISI (39) WW (45) ABLV (66) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Regis Corporation (RGS) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$29.50 -0.56% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $29.41

Regis Corporation (RGS) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $74.2M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on RGS Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is RGS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Regis Corporation (NASDAQ: RGS) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $29.50 (-0.56% 1D, market cap $74.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RGS ranks #403 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does RGS compare to ASPS and TISI in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Consumer Services), RGS carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.6%. By comparison, ASPS (Altisource Portfolio Solutions S.A.) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.6%, cap $62.9M) and TISI (Team Inc.) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $109.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RGS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TISI leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RGS?

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Per RGS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000716643), Regis Corporation generated $210.1M in revenue (+3.5% YoY), $123.5M in net income, and $12.4M in free cash flow against $588.3M in total assets and $111.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $29.41 (-0.29%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 5.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RGS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY RGS SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 88% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 57.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.1% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 9.5% operating margin leave 14 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$29.30+0.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$29.42+0.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$29.44+0.2% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$29.50-0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (49) → D+ (57)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the RGS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, RGS faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($28.57) or 200D SMA ($26.58) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($29.37) toward Bear Floor ($22.91).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RGS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “RGS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 57%NO 43%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

57.630 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)

0.73>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

5 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE88% OF RANGE

L: $19$29.50H: $31

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 6 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: CRQD 26 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 25 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on RGS

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (30)

5.6% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 16.72% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 0.73 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BULLISH (68)

26/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 15/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like RGS

✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RGS)

✓Walkthrough of RGS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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RGS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +10.94%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-03O $29.78H $29.78L $29.50C $29.50VOL 2.0K

RES: $29.86SUP: $27.08SMA50: $28.57SMA200: $26.58

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RGS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 RGS Butterfly Map → + Track RGS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

-1.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RGS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RGS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RGS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RGS)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #403 of 1009 ⚔️ ASPS vs RGS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (RGS vs. ASPS, TISI, WW, ABLV)

Industry: Other Consumer Services (73 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Regis Corporation (RGS) ranks #403 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #775 by equity capitalization ($74.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RGS leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while TISI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 25.8% gross margin. ABLV currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with RGS at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
RGS ACTIVE Regis Corporation	D+	57/100	—	—	5.6%	-0.56%	$74.2M	Benchmark Subject
ASPS Altisource Portfolio Solutions S.A.	E	29/100	—	28.6%	0.6%	+4.82%	$62.9M	/asps-vs-rgs →
TISI Team Inc.	D-	39/100	—	25.8%	85.0%	-2.84%	$109.7M	/tisi-vs-rgs →
WW WW International Inc.	D	45/100	—	—	85.0%	-10.13%	$149.0M	/ww-vs-rgs →
ABLV Able View Global Inc. (Class B)	C+	66/100	—	11.3%	-5.5%	-8.18%	$155.2M	/ablv-vs-rgs →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0000716643 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Regis Corporation (RGS) reported GAAP revenue of $210.1M (+3.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $203.0M , and -9.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $123.5M, operating cash flow of $13.7M, and free cash flow of $12.4M (+615.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, RGS closed FY2025 with $588.3M in total assets against $111.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.73, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-06-30	$210.1M	$123.5M	$13.7M	$12.4M	$588.3M	$111.2M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-06-30	$203.0M	$91.1M	-$2.0M	-$2.4M	$530.1M	$111.5M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-06-30	$233.3M	-$7.4M	-$7.9M	-$7.9M	—	—

3. RGS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RGS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does RGS compare to ASPS and TISI in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RGS?

Where is RGS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RGS last traded at $29.50 (-0.56% on volume of 5,691 shares), positioning the stock +3.26% above its 50-day simple moving average ($28.57) and +10.99% above its 200-day simple moving average ($26.58). Across its 52-week range of $19.31 to $30.93, RGS sits at the 87.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.1% ($28.29 to $30.71).

Direct Sub-Reports: RGS RQD Cockpit RGS 12M Forecast RGS Earnings & Move RGS Dividends & DRIP RGS Insiders & 13F RGS Whale Options RGS Profit Sankey RGS News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 57/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

RGS — Regis Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-06-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Regis Corporation (RGS) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 57/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $29.50 (-0.56% 1D, market capitalization $74.2M).

Fundamental Cash Engine (6/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 5.6%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 9.5%, and free cash flow yield of 16.72%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (13/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (15/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.73, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.59x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Regis Corporation (RGS) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, classified under Other Consumer Services..1B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-06-30), Regis Corporation (RGS) reported $210.1M in annual revenue (up from $203.0M in FY2024, +3.5% YoY) and $123.5M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($233.3M revenue, -$7.4M net income) through FY2025, RGS scaled operating cash flow to $13.7M and free cash flow to $12.4M, backed by $588.3M in total assets against $111.2M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 57/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 16.72% and institutional whale pillar of 13/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 6/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 13/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $19.31 – $30.93 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh current valuation and 8.0x EV/EBITDA against 9.5% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The source data therefore identifies no upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks. A prospective investor should treat the absence of mapped links as a gap in the dataset rather than evidence that none exist.

Key Question #1: Can RGS sustain or expand its 9.5% operating margin and 5.6% ROIC against Other Consumer Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $210.1M and free cash flow of $12.4M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $111.2M in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is RGS's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

RGS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Regis Corporation (RGS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to RGS Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

Regis Corporation Estimates – NASDAQ:RGS

TradingView report covering Regis Corporation (RGS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

A 7:30 a.m. Central webcast follows Regis' Nov. 5 results release.

Stock Titan report covering Regis Corporation (RGS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE ad-hoc-news.de • 1d ago

Regis Corporation stock sits 6.43 percent below its 52-week high

ad-hoc-news.de report covering Regis Corporation (RGS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

A 2,857-share award brings Regis (RGS) director Andrews’s direct holdings to 10,925 shares.

Stock Titan report covering Regis Corporation (RGS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

A stock award brings Regis Corp (RGS) CFO's direct holdings to 25,382 shares.

Stock Titan report covering Regis Corporation (RGS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST ad-hoc-news.de • 1d ago

Regis annual meeting is October 28. Regis stock gains 1.42 percent

ad-hoc-news.de report covering Regis Corporation (RGS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

A 10,800-share award brings Regis (RGS) COO's direct holdings to 23,788 shares.

Stock Titan report covering Regis Corporation (RGS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

A 10,800-share award brings Regis (RGS) EVP Suarez's direct holdings to 23,528 shares.

Stock Titan report covering Regis Corporation (RGS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

RGS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $29.50?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON RGS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $36.79 (+24.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

A 16.72% FCF yield and a 1.42% gain on the annual meeting news signal the market may be underpricing cash generation.

Here is why I am bullish on RGS here at $29.67: A 16.72% FCF yield and a 1.42% gain on the annual meeting news signal the market may be underpricing cash generation.. Compare RGS's 9.5% operating margin and 5.6% ROIC against the rest of Other Consumer Services. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $28.19 are getting bought.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — RGS's 10/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $24.03 (-19.0%)

Spot @ $29.67

A 0.73 Altman Z-Score, a 5.6% ROIC, and a negative FY 2024 free cash flow point to weak fundamentals and balance sheet strain.

I respect the product at Regis Corporation, but the stock at $29.67 is a different story. A 0.73 Altman Z-Score, a 5.6% ROIC, and a negative FY 2024 free cash flow point to weak fundamentals and balance sheet strain.. FCF yield is 16.72% and RQD sits at 57/100 (D+) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?