Royal Gold Inc. (RGLD) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$228.77 -3.40% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $226.94

Royal Gold Inc. (RGLD) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $20.07B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on RGLD Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is RGLD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Royal Gold Inc. (NASDAQ: RGLD) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $228.77 (-3.40% 1D, market cap $20.07B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, RGLD ranks #32 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does RGLD compare to PAAS and KGC in the Materials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), RGLD carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 43.0x, gross margin of 69.3%, and ROIC of 6.4%. By comparison, PAAS (Pan American Silver Corp.) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $16.90B) and KGC (Kinross Gold Corporation) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $25.46B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CDE leads on earnings multiple (24.6x) while CDE leads on capital efficiency (15.1% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RGLD?
β–Ό

Per RGLD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000085535), Royal Gold Inc. generated $1.03B in revenue (+43.2% YoY), $466.3M in net income, and $658.5M in free cash flow against $9.54B in total assets and $895.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 43x earningsβ€”high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $226.94 (-0.80%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) β€’ 63.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 53.9% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C-
025507510061
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk C
Cash (14)Whales (9)SEC (15)Macro (11)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.4% Base Target
$322 Bull$232 Base$181 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE RGLD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RGLD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±5.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY RGLD SCORES 61/100 (C-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.70 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 9/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 63.9% FCF Margin ($658.5M FCF) & 69.3% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
69
Grade B-$233.52+2.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
66
Grade B-$238.78+0.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
64
Grade C+$239.66-4.5% Next Q
Current
61
Grade C-$228.77+0.5% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: B- (69) β†’ C- (61)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the RGLD Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, RGLD faces multiple-compression risk if 43.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 43x earningsβ€”high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 66.8% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($245.09) or 200D SMA ($241.01) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($231.86) toward Bear Floor ($180.85).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RGLDβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œRGLD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
2.39% Total Yield
0.59% Cash ($1.35/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
88/100 β€’ FORTRESS PAYOUT
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
14% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (16.9% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $47,659

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $1,139/yr
$11.7K
Yr 1
$13.7K
Yr 2
$16.0K
Yr 3
$18.7K
Yr 4
$21.8K
Yr 5
$25.5K
Yr 6
$29.8K
Yr 7
$34.9K
Yr 8
$40.8K
Yr 9
$47.7K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in RGLD & A-Rated Leaders

  • βœ“12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on RGLD and its top sector peer
  • βœ“Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
RGLD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.15%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $242.0H $242.0L $228.8C $228.8VOL 414.4K
RES: $285.0SUP: $226.3SMA50: $245.1SMA200: $241.0
$277.4$252.7$228.0$203.4$178.7RES $285.0SUP $226.3$228.82026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RGLD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
32.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +43.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RGLD today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RGLD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RGLD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RGLD)

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (RGLD vs. PAAS, KGC, CDE, GFI)

Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Royal Gold Inc. (RGLD) ranks #32 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #28 by equity capitalization ($20.07B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CDE leads on earnings valuation at 24.6x trailing P/E, while CDE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.1% ROIC and β€” gross margin. CDE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with RGLD at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
RGLD ACTIVE
Royal Gold Inc.
C- 61/100 43.0x 69.3% 6.4% -3.40% $20.07B Benchmark Subject
PAAS
Pan American Silver Corp.
D+ 54/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% -6.80% $16.90B /paas-vs-rgld β†’
KGC
Kinross Gold Corporation
D+ 53/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% -6.81% $25.46B /kgc-vs-rgld β†’
CDE
Coeur Mining Inc.
C+ 66/100 24.6x β€” 15.1% -6.69% $14.43B /cde-vs-rgld β†’
GFI
Gold Fields Limited
D+ 54/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% -6.26% $31.43B /gfi-vs-rgld β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0000085535

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Royal Gold Inc. (RGLD) reported GAAP revenue of $1.03B (+43.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $719.4M , and +70.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $466.3M, operating cash flow of $704.8M, and free cash flow of $658.5M (+32.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, RGLD closed FY2025 with $9.54B in total assets against $895.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.70, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.03B $466.3M $704.8M $658.5M $9.54B $895.4M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $719.4M $332.0M $529.5M $497.1M $3.39B $0
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $605.7M $239.4M $415.8M $388.5M $11.04B $2.58B

3. RGLD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RGLD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Royal Gold Inc. (NASDAQ: RGLD) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $228.77 (-3.40% 1D, market cap $20.07B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, RGLD ranks #32 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RGLD compare to PAAS and KGC in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), RGLD carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 43.0x, gross margin of 69.3%, and ROIC of 6.4%. By comparison, PAAS (Pan American Silver Corp.) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $16.90B) and KGC (Kinross Gold Corporation) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $25.46B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CDE leads on earnings multiple (24.6x) while CDE leads on capital efficiency (15.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RGLD?

Per RGLD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000085535), Royal Gold Inc. generated $1.03B in revenue (+43.2% YoY), $466.3M in net income, and $658.5M in free cash flow against $9.54B in total assets and $895.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 43x earningsβ€”high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RGLD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RGLD last traded at $228.77 (-3.40% on volume of 934,512 shares), positioning the stock -6.66% below its 50-day simple moving average ($245.09) and -5.08% below its 200-day simple moving average ($241.01). Across its 52-week range of $168.88 to $306.25, RGLD sits at the 43.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±5.8% ($215.50 to $242.04).

RGLD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Does RGLD pay a dividend and is it safe?

Royal Gold Inc. (RGLD) offers a 0.59% cash dividend yield ($1.35 annualized) and 2.39% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as FORTRESS PAYOUT.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 61/100 (C-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

RGLD β€” Royal Gold Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:13:44Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, RGLD scores 61 out of 100, grading C- and carrying the verdict "Roarable Hold β€” Cautious Neutral." Across the five pillars, the Fundamental Cash Engine scores 14/20 (ROIC 6.4%; FCF yield 3.28%), indicating solid but not exceptional capital efficiency and cash generation relative to the valuation. Whale/13F Flow scores 9/20 for institutional accumulation and options positioning, the weakest-to-middling signal in the set. Insider Conviction scores 12/20 on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Macro Regime Fit scores 11/20 (Beta 1.09; sector sensitivity), reflecting moderate exposure to market swings. Forensic Balance Sheet scores 15/20 (Altman Z 5.7; Piotroski F 9/9; Debt/Equity 0.13), the strongest pillar and the main support for the rating.

For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on the balance sheet strength and high reported margins, while the valuation tradeoff is substantial: per the market data, P/E (TTM) is 43, forward P/E 36.1, and EV/EBITDA 30.6, so the price already embeds high expectations relative to the 6.4% ROIC and 3.28% FCF yield. The middling institutional and insider scores mean the ownership signal does not strongly confirm the fundamentals. The rating therefore reads as a cautious neutral: financially sound, but priced rich and with limited smart-money conviction in the source data.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
236.83$20.07B4336.130.65.50.59%1.09$168.88 - $306.256.4%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$1030.5M$638.2M$466.3MN/A$658.5M$233.7M$895.4M
FY 2024$719.4M$429.9M$332.0MN/A$497.1M$195.5M$0.0M
FY 2023$605.7M$303.2M$239.4MN/A$388.5MN/A$2582.5M

Per the SEC financials, revenue grew from $605.7M (FY 2023) to $1030.5M (FY 2025), with net margin of 45.2% per the market data. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Forensic Balance Sheet pillar cites an Altman Z-Score of 5.7 and a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, with Debt/Equity of 0.13. ROIC is 6.4% per the market data. Reported debt moved from $2582.5M (FY 2023) to $0.0M (FY 2024) and $895.4M (FY 2025), a pattern the source data does not explain.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, catalyst-tagged items reference acquisitions extending reserve life and fueling cash flow, a Raymond James price-target increase citing business model strength, and a technical-setup note. Market-wire items flag a cash-flow overvaluation view (about 11%), a "still cheap" commentary, and a GF Score of 91/100 alongside a 3.0% decline. Risk-watch items are the overvaluation framing and the stock's recent move (change -2.12% per market data). Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply_chain is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What drove the reported debt swing from $0.0M in FY 2024 to $895.4M in FY 2025, and what are the terms?
  • What is the company's specific business model and revenue mix within precious metals?
  • Why are EPS values reported as N/A in every period despite reported net income?
  • What is the FY 2023 cash balance, which is listed as N/A?
  • What do institutional and insider holders currently own, given the missing holder data?

RGLD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Royal Gold Inc. (RGLD) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to RGLD Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

RGLD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $228.77?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON RGLD 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on RGLD:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $255.78 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is RGLD (C- β€’ RQD 61/100) a Buy at $236.83?

Welcome to the RGLD (Royal Gold Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 61/100 (Roarable Hold β€” Cautious Neutral) in Precious Metals. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (43.0x trailing P/E). Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $177.62 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $236.83

Pump the brakes on RGLD β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on RGLD, but look at what you are paying: 43.0x trailing P/E with 69.3% gross margins. Unless Royal Gold Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $279.46 (+18.0%)
Spot @ $236.83

RGLD cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on RGLD, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Precious Metals and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $236.83 (52-wk range $168.88 - $306.25), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%