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Rexford Industrial Realty Inc. (REXR) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$38.59 +0.97% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $38.58

Rexford Industrial Realty Inc. (REXR) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $8.11B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on REXR Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is REXR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Rexford Industrial Realty Inc. (NYSE: REXR) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $38.59 (+0.97% 1D, market cap $8.11B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, REXR ranks #150 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does REXR compare to LINE and NNN in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), REXR carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 37.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 2.1%. By comparison, LINE (Lineage Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.2%, cap $8.20B) and NNN (NNN REIT Inc.) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 20.4x, ROIC 7.2%, cap $7.87B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NNN leads on earnings multiple (20.4x) while NNN leads on capital efficiency (7.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for REXR?
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Per REXR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001571283), Rexford Industrial Realty Inc. generated $589.0K in revenue (-3.6% YoY), $219.8M in net income, and $542.1M in free cash flow against $12.61B in total assets and $1.70B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $38.58 (-0.02%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 54205.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510068
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B-
Cash (13)Whales (14)SEC (15)Macro (13)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target
$48 Bull$40 Base$31 Bear
📬 FREE REXR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for REXR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (68/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY REXR SCORES 68/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±5.8% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 7 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
60
Grade C$37.50-1.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
63
Grade C+$36.80+0.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
65
Grade C+$37.13+3.9% Next Q
Current
68
Grade C+$38.59+1.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (60) → C+ (68)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the REXR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, REXR faces multiple-compression risk if 37.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($37.46) or 200D SMA ($36.37) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($40.33) toward Bear Floor ($31.46).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $REXR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “REXR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 68%NO 32%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your REXR Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $38.59: 259.1 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $31.46
$8,152
$-1,848 (-18.5%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $40.33
$10,451
+$451 (+4.5%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $47.59
$12,332
+$2,332 (+23.3%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$4274%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$4569%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$3658%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (REXR Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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REXR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +9.82%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $38.35H $38.59L $38.22C $38.59VOL 2.14M
RES: $39.67SUP: $35.52SMA50: $37.46SMA200: $36.37
$40.19$38.05$35.92$33.78$31.65RES $39.67SUP $35.52$38.592026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

REXR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 REXR Butterfly Map → + Track REXR →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
28.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on REXR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for REXR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for REXR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (REXR)

Financials Rank #150 of 1097 ⚔️ LINE vs REXR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (REXR vs. LINE, NNN, CTRE, ADC)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Rexford Industrial Realty Inc. (REXR) ranks #150 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #215 by equity capitalization ($8.11B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NNN leads on earnings valuation at 20.4x trailing P/E, while NNN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.2% ROIC and — gross margin. REXR currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
REXR ACTIVE
Rexford Industrial Realty Inc.
C+ 68/100 37.0x — 2.1% +0.97% $8.11B Benchmark Subject
LINE
Lineage Inc.
D 46/100 — — 1.2% +2.83% $8.20B /line-vs-rexr →
NNN
NNN REIT Inc.
C 64/100 20.4x — 7.2% +1.71% $7.87B /nnn-vs-rexr →
CTRE
CareTrust REIT Inc.
C 62/100 26.7x — 7.2% -0.69% $8.60B /ctre-vs-rexr →
ADC
Agree Realty Corporation
C 62/100 43.0x — 3.5% +2.10% $8.73B /adc-vs-rexr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001571283 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Rexford Industrial Realty Inc. (REXR) reported GAAP revenue of $589.0K (-3.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $611.0K , and -13.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $219.8M, operating cash flow of $542.1M, and free cash flow of $542.1M (+13.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, REXR closed FY2025 with $12.61B in total assets against $1.70B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $589.0K $219.8M $542.1M $542.1M $12.61B $1.70B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $611.0K $285.9M $478.9M $478.9M $12.65B $1.77B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $682.0K $249.6M $427.5M $427.5M $4.47B $1.05B

3. REXR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is REXR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Rexford Industrial Realty Inc. (NYSE: REXR) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $38.59 (+0.97% 1D, market cap $8.11B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, REXR ranks #150 in composite RQD confidence.

How does REXR compare to LINE and NNN in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), REXR carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 37.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 2.1%. By comparison, LINE (Lineage Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.2%, cap $8.20B) and NNN (NNN REIT Inc.) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 20.4x, ROIC 7.2%, cap $7.87B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NNN leads on earnings multiple (20.4x) while NNN leads on capital efficiency (7.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for REXR?

Per REXR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001571283), Rexford Industrial Realty Inc. generated $589.0K in revenue (-3.6% YoY), $219.8M in net income, and $542.1M in free cash flow against $12.61B in total assets and $1.70B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is REXR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

REXR last traded at $38.59 (+0.97% on volume of 2,727,298 shares), positioning the stock +3.02% above its 50-day simple moving average ($37.46) and +6.10% above its 200-day simple moving average ($36.37). Across its 52-week range of $32.14 to $42.41, REXR sits at the 62.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.8% ($36.35 to $40.83).

Direct Sub-Reports: REXR RQD Cockpit REXR 12M Forecast REXR Earnings & Move REXR Dividends & DRIP REXR Insiders & 13F REXR Whale Options REXR Profit Sankey REXR News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 68/100 (C+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

REXR — Rexford Industrial Realty Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Rexford Industrial Realty Inc. (REXR) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 68/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $38.59 (+0.97% 1D, market capitalization $8.11B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 2.1%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 75.0%, and free cash flow yield of 6.66%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (14/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (13/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (15/20): Incorporates a 1.11x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Rexford Industrial Realty Inc. (REXR) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector, Real Estate Investment Trusts industry. — for detailed description of tenants or property types. The company's market capitalization is $8.1B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Rexford Industrial Realty Inc. (REXR) reported $589.0K in annual revenue (up from $611.0K in FY2024, -3.6% YoY) and $219.8M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($682.0K revenue, $249.6M net income) through FY2025, REXR scaled operating cash flow to $542.1M and free cash flow to $542.1M, backed by $12.61B in total assets against $1.70B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 68/100): Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Free cash flow yield of 6.66% and institutional whale pillar of 14/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 14/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $32.14 – $42.41 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 37.0x trailing P/E and 35.6x EV/EBITDA against 75.0% operating margins and a 1.11x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Sector: Financials; industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts.

  • Key Question #1: Can REXR sustain or expand its 75.0% operating margin and 2.1% ROIC against Real Estate Investment Trusts peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $589.0K and free cash flow of $542.1M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.70B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is REXR's 34.4x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.11x)?

REXR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Rexford Industrial Realty Inc. (REXR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to REXR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

REXR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $38.59?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON REXR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on REXR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $46.25 (+21.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet strength (Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 7/9, Debt/Equity 0.5) combined with FCF rising to $542.1M and reported Q3 re

Forensic balance sheet strength (Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 7/9, Debt/Equity 0.5) combined with FCF rising to $542.1M and reported Q3 results raising 2026 Core FFO guidance.. When you look under the hood at REXR, Fundamental Cash Engine is 13/20 with 0.0% gross margins and 2.1% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (14/20) has been quietly accumulating below $42.41. My 12M target is $46.25.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@ShortSeller_Dan Fair point on 37.0x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Real Estate Investment Trusts. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $30.96 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $38.22

ROIC of 2.1% and a P/E (TTM) of 37 with EV/EBITDA of 35.6 leave the valuation elevated relative to the reported return on invested capi

Careful chasing REXR at $38.22. ROIC of 2.1% and a P/E (TTM) of 37 with EV/EBITDA of 35.6 leave the valuation elevated relative to the reported return on invested capital.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 75.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $30.96 on multiple compression.

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