Reddit Inc. (RDDT) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$91.73 -29.22% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $86.73

Reddit Inc. (RDDT) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $24.93B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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As of 2026-11-02, Reddit Inc. (NYSE: RDDT) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $91.73 (-29.22% 1D, market cap $24.93B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, RDDT ranks #177 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does RDDT compare to VRSK and IOT in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), RDDT carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 47.0x, gross margin of 91.2%, and ROIC of 16.6%. By comparison, VRSK (Verisk Analytics Inc.) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 27.3x, ROIC 53.5%, cap $24.82B) and IOT (Samsara Inc.) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.1%, cap $24.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CTSH leads on earnings multiple (12.6x) while VRSK leads on capital efficiency (53.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RDDT?
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Per RDDT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001713445), Reddit Inc. generated $2.20B in revenue (+69.4% YoY), $530.0M in net income, and $684.2M in free cash flow against $3.24B in total assets and $139.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (91% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $86.73 (-5.45%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 31.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510064
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk B-
Cash (17)Whales (7)SEC (18)Macro (10)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
$277 Bull$94 Base$73 Bear
📬 FREE RDDT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RDDT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY RDDT SCORES 64/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 26.00 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 31.1% FCF Margin ($684.2M FCF) & 91.2% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
72
Grade B$155.29+0.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
69
Grade B-$155.65-12.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
67
Grade B-$136.46-32.8% Next Q
Current
64
Grade C$91.73+1.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (72) → C (64)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the RDDT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, RDDT faces multiple-compression risk if 47.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 47x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($149.43) or 200D SMA ($158.37) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($94.21) toward Bear Floor ($73.48).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RDDT• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “RDDT Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your RDDT Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $91.73: 109.0 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $73.48
$8,010
$-1,990 (-19.9%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $94.21
$10,270
+$270 (+2.7%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $276.68
$30,162
+$20,162 (+201.6%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$9874%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$26069%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$8458%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (RDDT Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
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RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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RDDT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -45.74%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $134.7H $134.7L $91.73C $91.73VOL 17.87M
RES: $159.7SUP: $87.86SMA50: $149.4SMA200: $158.4
$216.4$181.9$147.5$113.0$78.59RES $159.7SUP $87.86$91.732026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RDDT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
34.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +69.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RDDT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RDDT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RDDT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RDDT)

Technology Rank #177 of 714 ⚔️ VRSK vs RDDT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (RDDT vs. VRSK, IOT, VRSN, CTSH)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Reddit Inc. (RDDT) ranks #177 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #99 by equity capitalization ($24.93B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CTSH leads on earnings valuation at 12.6x trailing P/E, while VRSK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 53.5% ROIC and 69.9% gross margin. CTSH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 83/100 (A-) compared with RDDT at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
RDDT ACTIVE
Reddit Inc.
C 64/100 47.0x 91.2% 16.6% -29.22% $24.93B Benchmark Subject
VRSK
Verisk Analytics Inc.
B 74/100 27.3x 69.9% 53.5% +2.93% $24.82B /vrsk-vs-rddt →
IOT
Samsara Inc.
C 64/100 — 76.7% -2.1% +1.01% $24.39B /iot-vs-rddt →
VRSN
VeriSign Inc.
B 75/100 33.2x 88.2% 40.3% +0.41% $27.44B /vrsn-vs-rddt →
CTSH
Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation
A- 83/100 12.6x — 19.6% +4.14% $28.16B /ctsh-vs-rddt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001713445

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Reddit Inc. (RDDT) reported GAAP revenue of $2.20B (+69.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.30B , and +173.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $530.0M, operating cash flow of $690.9M, and free cash flow of $684.2M (+217.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, RDDT closed FY2025 with $3.24B in total assets against $139.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 26.00, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.20B $530.0M $690.9M $684.2M $3.24B $139.6M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.30B -$484.0M $222.1M $215.8M $2.34B $92.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $804.0M -$90.8M -$75.1M -$111.3M $13.71B $3.21B

3. RDDT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RDDT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Reddit Inc. (NYSE: RDDT) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $91.73 (-29.22% 1D, market cap $24.93B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, RDDT ranks #177 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RDDT compare to VRSK and IOT in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), RDDT carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 47.0x, gross margin of 91.2%, and ROIC of 16.6%. By comparison, VRSK (Verisk Analytics Inc.) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 27.3x, ROIC 53.5%, cap $24.82B) and IOT (Samsara Inc.) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.1%, cap $24.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CTSH leads on earnings multiple (12.6x) while VRSK leads on capital efficiency (53.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RDDT?

Per RDDT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001713445), Reddit Inc. generated $2.20B in revenue (+69.4% YoY), $530.0M in net income, and $684.2M in free cash flow against $3.24B in total assets and $139.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (91% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RDDT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RDDT last traded at $91.73 (-29.22% on volume of 33,411,631 shares), positioning the stock -38.61% below its 50-day simple moving average ($149.43) and -42.08% below its 200-day simple moving average ($158.37). Across its 52-week range of $89.28 to $263.50, RDDT sits at the 1.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.7% ($81.00 to $102.46).

RDDT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is RDDT's 12-month stock price target?

Reddit Inc. (RDDT) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $94.21 (+2.7% from $91.73), with a bull-case target of $276.68 and a bear-case floor of $73.48.

Is RDDT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates RDDT C (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 64/100.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 64/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

RDDT — Reddit Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:12:56Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, RDDT scores 64 out of 100, a letter grade of C, with the verdict "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 17 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 16.6% and an FCF yield of 2.74%. Strong returns on capital are offset by a modest free-cash-flow yield at the current price, meaning the market is paying a high multiple for each dollar of cash generated.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 7 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar covers institutional accumulation and options positioning. The low score indicates limited evidence of sustained large-holder accumulation in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. A mid-range score suggests insider activity is neither a clear confidence signal nor a clear warning.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 10 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.42, implying the stock tends to move more than the broader market. Investors should expect amplified moves in both directions during market stress.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 18 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 26, Piotroski F is 9/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.04. This is the strongest pillar, indicating low balance-sheet risk.

For a prospective investor, the rating points to a business with a sound balance sheet and high returns on capital, but a stock priced richly relative to near-term cash generation, with weak institutional-flow confirmation and above-market volatility. The verdict is a balanced risk-reward profile rather than a clear upside or downside case. This is an educational framing, not personalized advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
129.6$24.93B4739.553.92.750%1.42$89.28 - $263.516.6%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$2202.5M$442.0M$530.0MN/A$684.2M$953.6M$139.6M
FY 2024$1300.2M$-560.6M$-484.0MN/A$215.8M$562.1M$92.6M
FY 2023$804.0M$-140.2M$-90.8MN/A$-111.3MN/A$3209.1M

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $804.0M in FY 2023 to $2202.5M in FY 2025, and operating income moved from a loss to $442.0M over that span. Per the market data, operating margin is 20.1% and ROIC is 16.6%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 26 and the Piotroski F-Score is 9/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.04, indicating a strong balance-sheet posture. Reported debt fell from $3209.1M in FY 2023 to $139.6M in FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, coverage on the most recent sessions is largely negative for the stock:

  • A CNBC report (RISK WATCH) titled with the theme of weak sales guidance and a planned login-requirement test, tied to shrinking Google search traffic.
  • A Reuters report (MARKET WIRE) attributing pressure to Google's AI search reducing traffic.
  • A Barron's report (RISK WATCH) on the stock's reaction following earnings.
  • An Investor's Business Daily report (MARKET WIRE) describing the stock as heading toward its worst single-day decline.
  • Yahoo Finance (MARKET WIRE) and TradingView (MARKET WIRE) reports on the stock's trading action.

Per the market data, the stock closed with a change of -3.79% and traded 17,872,359 shares. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is NONE, with no butterfly links or proprietary signals recorded.

Open Questions

  • What share of revenue comes from search-referred traffic versus other sources, and how exposed is that share to the Google search changes cited in the news wire?
  • What is the stated basis for the weak sales guidance referenced in recent coverage, and what magnitude is implied?
  • What drove the $3209.1M debt in FY 2023 and how was it reduced to $139.6M?
  • What do the FY 2025 EPS and per-share figures look like, since EPS is listed as N/A in every reported period?
  • What is the institutional and insider holder composition behind the Pillar 2 and Pillar 3 scores?

RDDT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Reddit Inc. (RDDT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to RDDT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

RDDT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $91.73?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON RDDT 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on RDDT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $139.97 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is RDDT (C • RQD 64/100) a Buy at $129.60?

Welcome to the RDDT (Reddit Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 64/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in EDP Services. Bulls point to capital efficiency (16.6% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (47.0x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $99.79 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $129.60

Pump the brakes on RDDT — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on RDDT, but look at what you are paying: 47.0x trailing P/E with 91.2% gross margins. Unless Reddit Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $150.34 (+16.0%)
Spot @ $129.60

RDDT cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on RDDT, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in EDP Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $129.60 (52-wk range $89.28 - $263.50), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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