Rubrik Inc. (RBRK) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$124.15 -7.09% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $122.33

Rubrik Inc. (RBRK) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $27.70B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Rubrik Inc. (NYSE: RBRK) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $124.15 (-7.09% 1D, market cap $27.70B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 19/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, RBRK ranks #165 in composite RQD confidence.

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πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does RBRK compare to MDB and CRWV in the Technology sector?
β–Ό

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), RBRK carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 80.1%, and ROIC of -12.3%. By comparison, MDB (MongoDB Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.4%, cap $31.01B) and CRWV (CoreWeave Inc.) posts a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.2%, cap $33.50B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PTC leads on earnings multiple (28.8x) while PTC leads on capital efficiency (16.4% ROIC).

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πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RBRK?
β–Ό

Per RBRK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001943896), Rubrik Inc. generated $1.32B in revenue (+48.5% YoY), -$350.0K in net income, and $253.3M in free cash flow against $2.77B in total assets and $1.48B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $122.32 (-1.47%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) β€’ 19.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 55.6% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C
025507510065
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ Β· Rk C
Cash (12)Whales (19)SEC (14)Macro (11)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.1% Base Target
$151 Bull$128 Base$100 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE RBRK RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RBRK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY RBRK SCORES 65/100 (C) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+19/20 pts (29% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12.4% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.90 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 8/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
57
Grade C$118.47-3.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
60
Grade C$114.59+18.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
62
Grade C+$135.74-8.5% Next Q
Current
65
Grade C$124.15+1.3% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (57) β†’ C (65)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the RBRK Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, RBRK faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 77.6% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($111.85) or 200D SMA ($77.29) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($128.06) toward Bear Floor ($99.89).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RBRKβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œRBRK Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
0.6% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 β€’ REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (15.1% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $40,809

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $245/yr
$11.5K
Yr 1
$13.2K
Yr 2
$15.2K
Yr 3
$17.6K
Yr 4
$20.2K
Yr 5
$23.3K
Yr 6
$26.8K
Yr 7
$30.8K
Yr 8
$35.5K
Yr 9
$40.8K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in RBRK & A-Rated Leaders

  • βœ“12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on RBRK and its top sector peer
  • βœ“Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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RBRK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +114.31%β–² ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $136.0H $136.0L $124.2C $124.2VOL 3.40M
RES: $142.9SUP: $107.1SMA50: $111.9SMA200: $77.29
$146.1$120.5$95.00$69.46$43.91RES $142.9SUP $107.1$124.22026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RBRK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
27.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +48.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RBRK today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RBRK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RBRK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RBRK)

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (RBRK vs. MDB, CRWV, TTWO, PTC)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Rubrik Inc. (RBRK) ranks #165 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #93 by equity capitalization ($27.70B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PTC leads on earnings valuation at 28.8x trailing P/E, while PTC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.4% ROIC and 83.8% gross margin. PTC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 80/100 (B+) compared with RBRK at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
RBRK ACTIVE
Rubrik Inc.
C 65/100 β€” 80.1% -12.3% -7.09% $27.70B Benchmark Subject
MDB
MongoDB Inc.
C 65/100 β€” 71.7% -4.4% -8.31% $31.01B /mdb-vs-rbrk β†’
CRWV
CoreWeave Inc.
E 24/100 β€” 71.7% -0.2% -9.66% $33.50B /crwv-vs-rbrk β†’
TTWO
Take-Two Interactive Software Inc.
D 48/100 β€” 57.2% -2.2% -1.66% $36.16B /ttwo-vs-rbrk β†’
PTC
PTC Inc.
B+ 80/100 28.8x 83.8% 16.4% +0.38% $21.14B /ptc-vs-rbrk β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2026-01-31 β€’ CIK 0001943896

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Rubrik Inc. (RBRK) reported GAAP revenue of $1.32B (+48.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $886.5M , and +109.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$350.0K, operating cash flow of $282.9M, and free cash flow of $253.3M (+708.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, RBRK closed FY2025 with $2.77B in total assets against $1.48B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.90, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-01-31 $1.32B -$350.0K $282.9M $253.3M $2.77B $1.48B
FY2024 (FY) 2025-01-31 $886.5M -$1.1M $48.2M $31.3M $1.42B $322.3M
FY2023 (FY) 2024-01-31 $627.9M -$354.2M -$4.5M -$32.8M $15.24B $3.57B

3. RBRK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RBRK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Rubrik Inc. (NYSE: RBRK) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $124.15 (-7.09% 1D, market cap $27.70B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 19/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, RBRK ranks #165 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RBRK compare to MDB and CRWV in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), RBRK carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 80.1%, and ROIC of -12.3%. By comparison, MDB (MongoDB Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.4%, cap $31.01B) and CRWV (CoreWeave Inc.) posts a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.2%, cap $33.50B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PTC leads on earnings multiple (28.8x) while PTC leads on capital efficiency (16.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RBRK?

Per RBRK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001943896), Rubrik Inc. generated $1.32B in revenue (+48.5% YoY), -$350.0K in net income, and $253.3M in free cash flow against $2.77B in total assets and $1.48B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RBRK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RBRK last traded at $124.15 (-7.09% on volume of 4,038,113 shares), positioning the stock +11.00% above its 50-day simple moving average ($111.85) and +60.63% above its 200-day simple moving average ($77.29). Across its 52-week range of $42.25 to $139.92, RBRK sits at the 83.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.4% ($108.76 to $139.54).

RBRK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Does RBRK pay a dividend and is it safe?

Rubrik Inc. (RBRK) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 0.6% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 65/100 (C) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

RBRK β€” Rubrik Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:12:39Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, RBRK scores 65 out of 100, a letter grade of C, with the verdict "Roarable Hold β€” Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of -12.3% and an FCF yield of 0.91%. For a prospective investor, the low FCF yield and negative ROIC indicate that the business is not yet generating meaningful returns on invested capital, so current valuation depends heavily on future cash generation rather than present earnings.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 19 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this is the strongest pillar, described as institutional accumulation and options positioning. This is a notable upside-support factor, though the holder data section in this source set is empty, so the underlying institutional detail cannot be independently verified here.
  • Insider Conviction: 9 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score is below midpoint, which signals weaker insider-side conviction relative to institutional positioning.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 11 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects a beta of 1.31 and sector sensitivity. For a prospective investor, the beta implies the stock has historically amplified broader market moves, making it more exposed to risk-off regimes.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 14 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects an Altman Z-Score of 3.9, a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.85. Balance-sheet strength is a relative positive that partially offsets weak cash generation.

Taken together, the pillar profile shows a stock with strong institutional-flow support and reasonable forensic balance-sheet metrics, offset by weak profitability, low free-cash-flow yield, and below-midpoint insider conviction. The verdict of "Hold β€” Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward" reflects that tradeoff. Valuation is a central tradeoff: the Forward P/E of 36 is shown alongside a market cap of $27.7B and negative operating margin, so upside depends on earnings expansion that the source data does not forecast. This is an analytical framing, not personalized financial advice.

Business

Rubrik Inc. (RBRK) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Technology sector and Computer Software: Prepackaged Software industry, per the company profile. The source data does not describe specific products, customer segments, or revenue model. Gross margin is reported at 80.1% and operating margin at -26.2%, per the market data section.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$1316.2M$-345.4M$-0.3MN/A$253.3M$380.2M$1478.7M
FY 2024$886.5M$-1134.0M$-1.1MN/A$31.3M$186.3M$322.3M
FY 2023$627.9M$-306.5M$-354.2MN/A$-32.8MN/A$3565.3M

Reported revenue rose from $627.9M in FY 2023 to $1316.2M in FY 2025 per the SEC financials. Operating income remained negative across all three periods, and net margin is reported as 0%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is -12.3%, and the forensic pillar cites an Altman Z-Score of 3.9 and a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9. Per the same rating, Debt/Equity is 0.85. FY 2025 shows free cash flow of $253.3M against a reported operating loss of $345.4M.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, five headlines were published for RBRK, including Yahoo Finance coverage of 2026 outperformance, a Barchart piece on new all-time highs, a Motley Fool buying guide, a Trefis note on an eight-day green streak with a 21% gain, and a Seeking Alpha analysis titled on growth opportunities versus high valuation. Two items are tagged as CATALYST and three as MARKET WIRE. The headlines reference price momentum and valuation debate; the source summaries are generic and do not disclose specific product, contract, or guidance events. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals, so no butterfly-derived catalysts are available. Price changed -1.74% on the data date, with volume of 3,398,109.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply_chain field is "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore not available in source data. The only sector context provided is Technology / Computer Software: Prepackaged Software, with beta of 1.31 per the market data section.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's specific products, customers, and revenue drivers, given that the source describes only sector and industry classification?
  • What is the trailing P/E and EV/EBITDA, which the source marks as unavailable, and how does current valuation compare to earnings and cash-flow levels?
  • What drove the swing from -$1134.0M operating income in FY 2024 to -$345.4M in FY 2025, and is that trajectory expected to continue?
  • What are the named institutional holders, the size and direction of their positions, and the specific Form 4 and Congressional transactions behind the RQD pillar scores?
  • What are the analyst consensus rating and price targets, which the source does not provide?

RBRK Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Rubrik Inc. (RBRK) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to RBRK Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

RBRK Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $124.15?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON RBRK 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on RBRK:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $144.32 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is RBRK (C β€’ RQD 65/100) a Buy at $133.63?

Welcome to the RBRK (Rubrik Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 65/100 (Roarable Hold β€” Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $102.90 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $133.63

Pump the brakes on RBRK β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on RBRK, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 80.1% gross margins. Unless Rubrik Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $168.37 (+26.0%)
Spot @ $133.63

RBRK cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on RBRK, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $133.63 (52-wk range $42.25 - $139.92), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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