RB Global Inc. (RBA) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$89.69 +1.57% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $89.77

RB Global Inc. (RBA) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $16.28B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is RBA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, RB Global Inc. (NYSE: RBA) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $89.69 (+1.57% 1D, market cap $16.28B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RBA ranks #342 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does RBA compare to FICO and CART in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), RBA carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 37.4x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 7.7%. By comparison, FICO (Fair Isaac Corporation) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 23.5x, ROIC 59.6%, cap $15.36B) and CART (Maplebear Inc.) posts a A grade (88/100 RQD, P/E 30.3x, ROIC 17.2%, cap $13.40B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FICO leads on earnings multiple (23.5x) while FICO leads on capital efficiency (59.6% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RBA?
β–Ό

Per RBA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001046102), RB Global Inc. generated $4.59B in revenue (+7.2% YoY), $428.4M in net income, and $719.2M in free cash flow against $12.14B in total assets and $2.28B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $89.77 (+0.09%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) β€’ 15.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 53.1% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C-
025507510059
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C Β· Rk D+
Cash (11)Whales (12)SEC (14)Macro (8)CEO (14)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.4% Base Target
$125 Bull$90 Base$70 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE RBA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RBA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±7.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY RBA SCORES 59/100 (C-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.32 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 9/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+14/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (62.1) create a -12 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
51
Grade C-$87.82-6.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
54
Grade C-$82.00+2.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
56
Grade C$84.41+6.3% Next Q
Current
59
Grade C-$89.69+0.2% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C- (51) β†’ C- (59)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the RBA Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, RBA faces multiple-compression risk if 37.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($84.09) or 200D SMA ($99.43) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($90.09) toward Bear Floor ($70.27).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RBAβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œRBA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±7.2%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (RBA)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for RBA.

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FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating RBA & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • βœ“Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on RBA
  • βœ“How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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RBA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -14.59%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $88.30H $89.69L $88.30C $89.69VOL 3.57M
RES: $134.6SUP: $75.07SMA50: $84.09SMA200: $99.43
$120.3$108.8$97.38$85.94$74.50RES $134.6SUP $75.07$89.692026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RBA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
28.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RBA today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RBA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RBA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RBA)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #342 of 1011 βš”οΈ FICO vs RBA Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (RBA vs. FICO, CART, FIS, AKAM)

Industry: Business Services (90 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, RB Global Inc. (RBA) ranks #342 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #117 by equity capitalization ($16.28B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FICO leads on earnings valuation at 23.5x trailing P/E, while FICO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 59.6% ROIC and 82.2% gross margin. CART currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 88/100 (A) compared with RBA at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
RBA ACTIVE
RB Global Inc.
C- 59/100 37.4x β€” 7.7% +1.57% $16.28B Benchmark Subject
FICO
Fair Isaac Corporation
B- 71/100 23.5x 82.2% 59.6% +0.29% $15.36B /fico-vs-rba β†’
CART
Maplebear Inc.
A 88/100 30.3x 73.7% 17.2% -1.16% $13.40B /cart-vs-rba β†’
FIS
Fidelity National Information Services Inc.
D+ 52/100 50.3x 36.9% 6.1% +3.41% $19.88B /fis-vs-rba β†’
AKAM
Akamai Technologies Inc.
D+ 57/100 31.6x 56.8% 6.6% -6.70% $13.33B /akam-vs-rba β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001046102

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), RB Global Inc. (RBA) reported GAAP revenue of $4.59B (+7.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.28B , and +24.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $428.4M, operating cash flow of $978.2M, and free cash flow of $719.2M (-5.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, RBA closed FY2025 with $12.14B in total assets against $2.28B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.32, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $4.59B $428.4M $978.2M $719.2M $12.14B $2.28B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $4.28B $413.1M $932.0M $764.6M $11.81B $2.62B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.68B $206.5M $544.0M $378.4M $8.82B $2.06B

3. RBA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RBA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, RB Global Inc. (NYSE: RBA) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $89.69 (+1.57% 1D, market cap $16.28B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RBA ranks #342 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RBA compare to FICO and CART in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), RBA carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 37.4x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 7.7%. By comparison, FICO (Fair Isaac Corporation) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 23.5x, ROIC 59.6%, cap $15.36B) and CART (Maplebear Inc.) posts a A grade (88/100 RQD, P/E 30.3x, ROIC 17.2%, cap $13.40B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FICO leads on earnings multiple (23.5x) while FICO leads on capital efficiency (59.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RBA?

Per RBA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001046102), RB Global Inc. generated $4.59B in revenue (+7.2% YoY), $428.4M in net income, and $719.2M in free cash flow against $12.14B in total assets and $2.28B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RBA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RBA last traded at $89.69 (+1.57% on volume of 3,573,551 shares), positioning the stock +6.66% above its 50-day simple moving average ($84.09) and -9.80% below its 200-day simple moving average ($99.43). Across its 52-week range of $78.05 to $119.33, RBA sits at the 28.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±7.2% ($83.23 to $96.15).

RBA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is RBA's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for RBA.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 59/100 (C-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

RBA β€” RB Global Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:14:27Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, RBA scores 57 out of 100, a D+ grade, with the verdict "Roarable Sell β€” Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 11 of 20 (ROIC 7.7%; FCF yield 4.49%), Whale 13F Flow at 10 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 14 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 8 of 20 (Beta 1.15; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 14 of 20 (Altman Z 2.32; Piotroski F 9/9; Debt/Equity 0.41). The strongest pillar is the balance sheet, which the source characterizes through its Altman Z, Piotroski, and leverage metrics. The weakest pillar is macro regime fit, reflecting the stock's 1.15 beta. For a prospective investor, the rating implies that the cash-generation and sensitivity profile does not currently offset valuation: the stock trades at a trailing P/E of 37.4 and an EV/EBITDA of 19, which the source does not benchmark against peers. Upside drivers would need to come from improving ROIC above the reported 7.7% and sustaining the balance-sheet strength; the rating's verdict signals that the current evidence does not support those improvements. This is an educational reading of the source scores, not personalized financial advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
88.3$16.03B37.434.8192.360%1.15$78.05 - $119.337.7%

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, five items reference RBA. Four are tagged YELLOW market-wire items covering general market action, institutional positioning, and leadership-change commentary, including a headline discussing leadership changes and a GuruFocus item referencing a 5.3% decline with a GF Value of $10. One item, a Business Wire release on executive leadership appointments and organizational updates to support the next phase of growth, is tagged GREEN as a CATALYST. Risk watch items include the leadership reshuffle, which multiple outlets flag, and the 5.3% decline noted by one source. The Stock Titan item concerns an equipment auction with more than 19,500 registrants for Orlando's 2026 sale, with the 2027 sale running six days. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, there are no proprietary signals and no supply-chain links.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's revenue segments, customers, and gross margin drivers, given the source reports a 0% gross margin and no business description?
  • What is the FY 2025 EPS, and how do the reported net income and the EPS (TTM) of 2.36 reconcile?
  • What are the specific insider, 13F, and Congressional trades underlying the 14/20 and 10/20 pillar scores?
  • What is the scope and cause of the leadership changes referenced in the news feed, and what is their financial impact?
  • What peer or sector valuation benchmarks apply to the 37.4 trailing P/E and 19 EV/EBITDA?

RBA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for RB Global Inc. (RBA) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to RBA Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

RBA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $89.69?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON RBA 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on RBA:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $95.36 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is RBA (D+ β€’ RQD 57/100) a Buy at $88.30?

Welcome to the RBA (RB Global Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 57/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Business Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (37.4x trailing P/E). Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $71.52 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $88.30

Pump the brakes on RBA β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on RBA, but look at what you are paying: 37.4x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless RB Global Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $107.73 (+22.0%)
Spot @ $88.30

RBA cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on RBA, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Business Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $88.30 (52-wk range $78.05 - $119.33), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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