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Rain Enhancement Technologies Holdco Inc. (Class A) (RAIN) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$0.54 +2.98% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.54

Rain Enhancement Technologies Holdco Inc. (Class A) (RAIN) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 36/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $6.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is RAIN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Rain Enhancement Technologies Holdco Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: RAIN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $0.54 (+2.98% 1D, market cap $6.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, RAIN ranks #512 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does RAIN compare to LIQT and NEON in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), RAIN carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, LIQT (LiqTech International Inc.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $9.9M) and NEON (Neonode Inc.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $11.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RAIN leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NEON leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RAIN?
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Per RAIN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002028293), Rain Enhancement Technologies Holdco Inc. (Class A) generated $22.8M in revenue (+80.6% YoY), -$9.1M in net income, and -$2.9M in free cash flow against $1.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.54 (+0.35%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (36/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510036
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (6)Whales (6)SEC (10)Macro (9)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.3% Base Target
$9 Bull$0 Base$0 Bear
📬 FREE RAIN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RAIN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (36/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY RAIN SCORES 36/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+9/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 38.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
44
Grade D$0.65-4.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
41
Grade D$0.62-8.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
39
Grade E$0.57-5.3% Next Q
Current
36
Grade D-$0.54-8.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (44) → D- (36)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a RAIN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While RAIN currently carries a cautious 36/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.75) and Max Pain ($0.57) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $8.95.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RAIN• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “RAIN Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 36%NO 64%Trade / Inspect Odds →
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

RAIN Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (RAIN)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on RAIN. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RAIN)

  • ✓Walkthrough of RAIN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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RAIN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -74.29%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $0.60H $0.60L $0.53C $0.54VOL 36.0K
RES: $1.04SUP: $0.43SMA50: $0.75SMA200: $1.81
$4.34$3.30$2.26$1.23$0.19RES $1.04SUP $0.43$0.542026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RAIN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 RAIN Butterfly Map → + Track RAIN →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RAIN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RAIN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RAIN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RAIN)

Technology Rank #512 of 714 ⚔️ LIQT vs RAIN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (RAIN vs. LIQT, NEON, HTOO, SMX)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Rain Enhancement Technologies Holdco Inc. (Class A) (RAIN) ranks #512 by composite RQD confidence (36/100, grade D-) and #661 by equity capitalization ($6.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RAIN leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while NEON leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 96.0% gross margin. SMX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 47/100 (D) compared with RAIN at 36/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
RAIN ACTIVE
Rain Enhancement Technologies Holdco Inc. (Class A)
D- 36/100 — — -35.0% +2.98% $6.2M Benchmark Subject
LIQT
LiqTech International Inc.
E 25/100 — 7.6% -35.0% +6.35% $9.9M /liqt-vs-rain →
NEON
Neonode Inc.
D 44/100 — 96.0% 85.0% -3.00% $11.1M /neon-vs-rain →
HTOO
Fusion Fuel Green PLC (Class A)
D 46/100 — — — -2.35% $12.8M /htoo-vs-rain →
SMX
SMX (Security Matters) Public Limited Company
D 47/100 — — — +4.27% $1.8M /smx-vs-rain →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002028293

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Rain Enhancement Technologies Holdco Inc. (Class A) (RAIN) reported GAAP revenue of $22.8M (+80.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $12.6M , and +1883.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$9.1M, operating cash flow of -$2.0M, and free cash flow of -$2.9M (-114.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, RAIN closed FY2025 with $1.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $22.8M -$9.1M -$2.0M -$2.9M $1.8M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $12.6M -$4.5M -$1.3M -$1.4M $1.3M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.1M -$437.0K -$238.1K -$238.1K — —

3. RAIN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RAIN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Rain Enhancement Technologies Holdco Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: RAIN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $0.54 (+2.98% 1D, market cap $6.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, RAIN ranks #512 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RAIN compare to LIQT and NEON in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), RAIN carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, LIQT (LiqTech International Inc.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $9.9M) and NEON (Neonode Inc.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $11.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RAIN leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NEON leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RAIN?

Per RAIN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002028293), Rain Enhancement Technologies Holdco Inc. (Class A) generated $22.8M in revenue (+80.6% YoY), -$9.1M in net income, and -$2.9M in free cash flow against $1.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RAIN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RAIN last traded at $0.54 (+2.98% on volume of 57,609 shares), positioning the stock -28.00% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.75) and -70.17% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.81). Across its 52-week range of $0.51 to $8.52, RAIN sits at the 0.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.61).

Direct Sub-Reports: RAIN RQD Cockpit RAIN 12M Forecast RAIN Earnings & Move RAIN Dividends & DRIP RAIN Insiders & 13F RAIN Whale Options RAIN Profit Sankey RAIN News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 36/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

RAIN — Rain Enhancement Technologies Holdco Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Rain Enhancement Technologies Holdco Inc. (Class A) (RAIN) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 36/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $0.54 (+2.98% 1D, market capitalization $6.2M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (6/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (10/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (5/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Rain Enhancement Technologies Holdco Inc. (Class A) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Technology sector and the Industrial Machinery/Components industry. The profile in the source data describes the company as a Technology issuer in this industry with a market capitalization of $0.0B. — for detailed business model, customer base, or monetization path.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Rain Enhancement Technologies Holdco Inc. (Class A) (RAIN) reported $22.8M in annual revenue (up from $12.6M in FY2024, +80.6% YoY) and -$9.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.1M revenue, -$437.0K net income) through FY2025, RAIN scaled operating cash flow to -$2.0M and free cash flow to -$2.9M, backed by $1.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 36/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 6/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 6/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $0.51 – $8.52 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— for upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector-correlation links. Investors should note that the absence of mapped links means second-order ripple effects cannot be assessed from the provided data; the one structural dependency the news wire implies, the company's Nasdaq listing standing, is itself a single-point-of-failure item to monitor.

  • Key Question #1: Can RAIN sustain or expand its — operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Industrial Machinery/Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $22.8M and free cash flow of -$2.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is RAIN's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

RAIN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Rain Enhancement Technologies Holdco Inc. (Class A) (RAIN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to RAIN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

RAIN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.54?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON RAIN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on RAIN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $0.66 (+24.5%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Nasdaq has granted an extension through February 2027 for the company to evidence compliance with listing criteria, keeping the listing

Don't sleep on RAIN's setup in Technology. Nasdaq has granted an extension through February 2027 for the company to evidence compliance with listing criteria, keeping the listing alive.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (36/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@DeepValue_CFA Agree on the RQD 36/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $0.53 and keeping dry powder in case we test $0.49.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.42 (-20.8%)
Spot @ $0.53

Negative ROIC of -35%, zero FCF yield, and a Piotroski F-Score of 1 out of 9 show weak cash generation and financial health.

I respect the product at Rain Enhancement Technologies Holdco Inc. (Class A), but the stock at $0.53 is a different story. Negative ROIC of -35%, zero FCF yield, and a Piotroski F-Score of 1 out of 9 show weak cash generation and financial health.. FCF yield is 0.0% and RQD sits at 36/100 (D-) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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