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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / RACE / forecast
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Ferrari N.V. (RACE) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$395.99 -0.95% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $394.56

Ferrari N.V. (RACE) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →
ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $93.52B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on RACE Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is RACE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, Ferrari N.V. (NYSE: RACE) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $395.99 (-0.95% 1D, market cap $93.52B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RACE ranks #268 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does RACE compare to GM and PCAR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Manufacturing), RACE carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, GM (General Motors Company) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 26.0x, ROIC 1.7%, cap $72.31B) and PCAR (PACCAR Inc.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 22.7x, ROIC 10.0%, cap $53.86B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PCAR leads on earnings multiple (22.7x) while PCAR leads on capital efficiency (10.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RACE?
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For Ferrari N.V. (RACE), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #268 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $394.56 (-0.36%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 15.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510063
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B-
Cash (11)Whales (12)SEC (16)Macro (12)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.3% Base Target
$478 Bull$405 Base$316 Bear
📬 FREE RACE RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RACE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY RACE SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (19% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±3.1% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 13.9% operating margin leave 9 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
55
Grade C$391.60+2.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
58
Grade C$400.24-2.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
60
Grade C$389.83+1.6% Next Q
Current
63
Grade C$395.99+0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (55) → C (63)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the RACE Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, RACE faces multiple-compression risk if 32.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($402.19) or 200D SMA ($369.69) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($404.90) toward Bear Floor ($315.82).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RACE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “RACE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 63%NO 37%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your RACE Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $395.99: 25.3 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $315.82
$7,975
$-2,025 (-20.2%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $404.90
$10,225
+$225 (+2.3%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $477.78
$12,065
+$2,065 (+20.7%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$42174%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$44969%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$36058%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (RACE Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
RACE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +16.84%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $393.4H $399.8L $393.4C $396.0VOL 369.5K
RES: $431.7SUP: $391.7SMA50: $402.2SMA200: $369.7
$445.4$411.3$377.3$343.2$309.2RES $431.7SUP $391.7$396.02026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RACE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 RACE Butterfly Map → + Track RACE →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +13.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RACE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RACE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RACE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RACE)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #268 of 1011 ⚔️ GM vs RACE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (RACE vs. GM, PCAR, F, HMC)

Industry: Auto Manufacturing (28 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ferrari N.V. (RACE) ranks #268 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #22 by equity capitalization ($93.52B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PCAR leads on earnings valuation at 22.7x trailing P/E, while PCAR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.0% ROIC and 20.1% gross margin. HMC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with RACE at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
RACE ACTIVE
Ferrari N.V.
C 63/100 32.8x — 9.9% -0.95% $93.52B Benchmark Subject
GM
General Motors Company
D+ 57/100 26.0x — 1.7% +1.96% $72.31B /gm-vs-race →
PCAR
PACCAR Inc.
D+ 58/100 22.7x 20.1% 10.0% -0.37% $53.86B /pcar-vs-race →
F
Ford Motor Company
D- 39/100 — 6.8% -6.1% -0.89% $48.41B /f-vs-race →
HMC
Honda Motor Company Ltd.
C+ 67/100 32.8x — 9.9% +0.21% $43.97B /hmc-vs-race →

2. RACE Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Ferrari N.V. (RACE) operates in Auto Manufacturing (Consumer Discretionary) with an equity capitalization of $93.52B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 27.6x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9.

3. RACE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RACE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Ferrari N.V. (NYSE: RACE) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $395.99 (-0.95% 1D, market cap $93.52B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RACE ranks #268 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RACE compare to GM and PCAR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Manufacturing), RACE carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, GM (General Motors Company) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 26.0x, ROIC 1.7%, cap $72.31B) and PCAR (PACCAR Inc.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 22.7x, ROIC 10.0%, cap $53.86B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PCAR leads on earnings multiple (22.7x) while PCAR leads on capital efficiency (10.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RACE?

For Ferrari N.V. (RACE), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #268 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RACE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RACE last traded at $395.99 (-0.95% on volume of 552,578 shares), positioning the stock -1.54% below its 50-day simple moving average ($402.19) and +7.11% above its 200-day simple moving average ($369.69). Across its 52-week range of $312.51 to $437.15, RACE sits at the 67.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.1% ($383.71 to $408.27).

RACE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is RACE's 12-month stock price target?

Ferrari N.V. (RACE) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $404.9 (+2.3% from $395.99), with a bull-case target of $477.78 and a bear-case floor of $315.82.

Is RACE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates RACE C (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 63/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: RACE RQD Cockpit RACE 12M Forecast RACE Earnings & Move RACE Dividends & DRIP RACE Insiders & 13F RACE Whale Options RACE Profit Sankey RACE News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 63/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

RACE — Ferrari N.V.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:08:16Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, RACE scores 63 out of 100, earning a C grade and the verdict "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 11 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 9.9% and an FCF yield of 2.21%. Per the market data, the FCF yield is thin relative to the stock's valuation, which suggests investors are paying a premium for future cash generation rather than receiving much cash return today.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The score sits near the midpoint, indicating mixed or moderate institutional conviction in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score is moderate; the underlying trade-level detail is not available in source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects a beta of 1.15 and sector sensitivity. A beta above 1.0 means the stock has historically moved more than the broader market, amplifying both upside and drawdowns in risk-on or risk-off regimes.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 16 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this is the strongest pillar, reflecting an Altman Z-Score of 3.74, a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.39. These point to a financially sound balance sheet.

Taken together, the investor implication is that balance-sheet quality is a genuine support, while the valuation and cash-return pillars are the main constraints. Upside drivers include the strength of the forensic profile and the buyback activity referenced in the news wire. The valuation tradeoff is that the stock trades at a P/E (TTM) of 32.8 and a forward P/E of 27.6 per the market data, which leaves limited margin for error if growth expectations are not met. This is an analytical framing of the source data, not personalized financial advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$399.77$93.52B32.827.62112.170%1.15$312.51 - $437.159.9%

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Buyback activity (CATALYST, GREEN). Per the Stock Titan report, Ferrari's roughly €3.5 billion buyback plan is expected to be executed by 2030. A separate Stock Titan report states the company bought back 43,000 shares under its €250M buyback tranche.
  • Earnings expectations (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW). Per the Yahoo Finance report, earnings are expected to grow, with the release described as the following week.
  • Valuation debate (CATALYST, GREEN). Per the Seeking Alpha report, the headline argues the company's luxury economics are real but growth is priced too high.
  • Institutional positioning (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW). Per the MarketBeat report, Ninety One UK Ltd increased its stake.
  • General market coverage (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW). Per the TradingView report, coverage addresses market action and institutional positioning without additional specifics.

Risk watch items: the valuation debate noted above and the gap between reported earnings expectations and the premium multiple. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links or proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with an empty butterfly_links array and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are not available in source data. The sector and industry classification (Consumer Discretionary / Auto Manufacturing) is the only sector-level context provided.

Open Questions

  • What are the period-level revenue, operating income, net income, FCF, cash, and debt figures, given that the Financials section is empty?
  • Why is the reported gross margin 0%, and what is the correct figure?
  • What do analyst consensus ratings and price targets look like, given the analyst data is empty?
  • Who are the institutional 13F holders and insiders driving the accumulation and cluster-flow signals referenced in the RQD pillars?
  • What is the company's supply chain and sector dependency profile, given the Butterfly graph returns no links?

RACE Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ferrari N.V. (RACE) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to RACE Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

RACE Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $395.99?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON RACE 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on RACE:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $431.75 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is RACE (C • RQD 63/100) a Buy at $399.77?

Welcome to the RACE (Ferrari N.V.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 63/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Auto Manufacturing. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (32.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $299.83 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $399.77

Pump the brakes on RACE — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on RACE, but look at what you are paying: 32.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Ferrari N.V. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $491.72 (+23.0%)
Spot @ $399.77

RACE cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on RACE, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Auto Manufacturing and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $399.77 (52-wk range $312.51 - $437.15), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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