QVC Group Inc. (QVCG) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$6.90 -8.97% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.78

QVC Group Inc. (QVCG) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $379.0M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is QVCG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, QVC Group Inc. (NASDAQ: QVCG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $6.90 (-8.97% 1D, market cap $379.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, QVCG ranks #827 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does QVCG compare to SFIX and DDL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), QVCG carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 33.6%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SFIX (Stitch Fix Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (21/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -33.9%, cap $368.7M) and DDL (Dingdong (Cayman) Limited (each two representing three )) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 13.8x, ROIC 65.3%, cap $455.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DDL leads on earnings multiple (13.8x) while DDL leads on capital efficiency (65.3% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for QVCG?
β–Ό

Per QVCG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001254699), QVC Group Inc. generated $8.29B in revenue (-7.8% YoY), -$2.17B in net income, and $419.0M in free cash flow against $8.46B in total assets and $1.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.78 (-1.80%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) β€’ 5.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510034
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk D
Cash (8)Whales (3)SEC (8)Macro (10)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.9% Base Target
$21 Bull$6 Base$5 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE QVCG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for QVCG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (34/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY QVCG SCORES 34/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (29% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 2% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 25.3 (OVERSOLD (<32))

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 5.1% FCF Margin ($419.0M FCF) & 33.6% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
42
Grade D$12.10-24.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
39
Grade E$9.09-19.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
37
Grade E$7.28-5.2% Next Q
Current
34
Grade E$6.90-8.7% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (42) β†’ E (34)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a QVCG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While QVCG currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($13.29) and Max Pain ($7.25) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $21.00.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $QVCGβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œQVCG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (QVCG)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for QVCG.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring QVCG)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of QVCG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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QVCG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -64.60%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $7.75H $7.75L $6.90C $6.90VOL 137.5K
RES: $10.87SUP: $6.02SMA50: $13.29SMA200: $13.73
$20.92$17.10$13.27$9.44$5.61RES $10.87SUP $6.02$6.902026-08-102026-08-282026-09-212026-10-122026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

QVCG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -7.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on QVCG today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for QVCG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for QVCG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (QVCG)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #827 of 1011 βš”οΈ SFIX vs QVCG Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (QVCG vs. SFIX, DDL, HNST, TDUP)

Industry: Catalog/Specialty Distribution (29 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, QVC Group Inc. (QVCG) ranks #827 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #624 by equity capitalization ($379.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DDL leads on earnings valuation at 13.8x trailing P/E, while DDL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 65.3% ROIC and β€” gross margin. DDL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 53/100 (D+) compared with QVCG at 34/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
QVCG ACTIVE
QVC Group Inc.
E 34/100 β€” 33.6% -35.0% -8.97% $379.0M Benchmark Subject
SFIX
Stitch Fix Inc. (Class A)
E 21/100 β€” 44.4% -33.9% -2.17% $368.7M /sfix-vs-qvcg β†’
DDL
Dingdong (Cayman) Limited (each two representing three )
D+ 53/100 13.8x β€” 65.3% -2.59% $455.9M /ddl-vs-qvcg β†’
HNST
The Honest Company Inc.
D 49/100 β€” 33.3% -18.2% -9.15% $492.4M /hnst-vs-qvcg β†’
TDUP
ThredUp Inc. (Class A)
E 29/100 β€” 79.4% -35.0% -6.31% $291.6M /tdup-vs-qvcg β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001254699

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), QVC Group Inc. (QVCG) reported GAAP revenue of $8.29B (-7.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $9.00B , and -12.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$2.17B, operating cash flow of $419.0M, and free cash flow of $419.0M (-21.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, QVCG closed FY2025 with $8.46B in total assets against $1.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $8.29B -$2.17B $419.0M $419.0M $8.46B $1.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $9.00B -$1.07B $535.0M $535.0M $9.89B $3.31B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $9.45B $159.0M $1.09B $1.09B β€” β€”

3. QVCG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is QVCG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, QVC Group Inc. (NASDAQ: QVCG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $6.90 (-8.97% 1D, market cap $379.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, QVCG ranks #827 in composite RQD confidence.

How does QVCG compare to SFIX and DDL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), QVCG carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 33.6%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SFIX (Stitch Fix Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (21/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -33.9%, cap $368.7M) and DDL (Dingdong (Cayman) Limited (each two representing three )) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 13.8x, ROIC 65.3%, cap $455.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DDL leads on earnings multiple (13.8x) while DDL leads on capital efficiency (65.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for QVCG?

Per QVCG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001254699), QVC Group Inc. generated $8.29B in revenue (-7.8% YoY), -$2.17B in net income, and $419.0M in free cash flow against $8.46B in total assets and $1.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is QVCG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

QVCG last traded at $6.90 (-8.97% on volume of 208,500 shares), positioning the stock -48.08% below its 50-day simple moving average ($13.29) and -49.75% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.73). Across its 52-week range of $6.80 to $20.00, QVCG sits at the 0.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 25.3 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($6.04 to $7.76).

QVCG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is QVCG's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for QVCG.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 34/100 (E) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

QVCG β€” QVC Group Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:37:24Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, QVCG scores 34 out of 100 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 (ROIC -35%; FCF yield 0%); Whale 13F Flow at 3/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 5/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 10/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 8/20 (Altman Z 0.2; Piotroski F 5/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). For a prospective investor, the pillar profile points to weak cash generation on a return basis, minimal institutional support in the flow data, and a forensic balance-sheet reading in the distress range. Upside drivers would have to come from a reversal in these pillars, and the source data does not show one. The Macro Regime pillar is the only one near the midpoint, and it reflects a Beta of 1.0 rather than any favorable sector tailwind. Valuation tradeoffs are difficult to frame because the P/E and EV/EBITDA figures are not available in source data, so the stock's price cannot be anchored against earnings. The rating is a factual summary of the source inputs and not a recommendation.

Business

Per the Profile section, QVC Group Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and Catalog/Specialty Distribution industry. The source data does not describe its products, customer base, or revenue model beyond these classifications. Per the market data, gross margin is 33.6%, indicating that the company retains a portion of revenue after cost of goods. Revenue and operating results are reported in the financials section, but the source data does not explain the channels through which revenue is generated.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$8293.0M$-2017.0M$-2168.0MN/A$419.0M$1496.0M$1.0M
FY 2024$8997.0M$-770.0M$-1069.0MN/A$535.0M$297.0M$3313.0M
FY 2023$9449.0M$645.0M$159.0MN/A$1094.0MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $9449.0M in FY 2023 to $8293.0M in FY 2025, and operating income moved from $645.0M to $-2017.0M over the same span. Per the market data, the operating margin is -24.3%, the net margin is -26.1%, and ROIC is -35%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 0.2 and the Piotroski F-Score is 5/9. Per the same rating, Debt/Equity is 0.5, and the FY 2025 balance sheet shows cash of $1496.0M against debt of $1.0M.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The news wire contains six items, all tagged to QVCG. The headlines reference a post-confirmation report filed after bankruptcy emergence, a report stating cash disbursements of $0 for the period August 6 through September 30, 2026, a quarterly post-confirmation filing, and a sale of 5,224 shares by Oaktree Capital Management in connection with an account liquidation. A GuruFocus item covers Strategic Value Partners' holding history, and a Benzinga item lists consumer discretionary stocks moving in after-hours trading. The headlines are tagged as market wire items or catalysts, and the source data does not provide their full text. Risk watch items include the zero-disbursement report and the post-bankruptcy reporting context. The Butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply chain links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. The source data therefore does not establish upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector correlations beyond the Consumer Discretionary classification. Investors should watch for the second-order ripple implied by the post-bankruptcy filings and the reported cash disbursement figure, since the source data does not explain how these affect counterparties. The sector correlation cannot be quantified from the inputs.

Open Questions

  • What drove the revenue decline from $9449.0M in FY 2023 to $8293.0M in FY 2025, and how much of the operating loss is attributable to specific items?
  • What are the terms and effects of the bankruptcy emergence referenced in the news wire, and how do they affect the balance sheet?
  • What explains the reported $0 cash disbursements for August 6 through September 30, 2026?
  • Why are P/E, forward P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS unavailable, and how would the stock's valuation look against earnings?
  • What is the nature of the Oaktree and Strategic Value Partners holdings activity, and what do they signal about institutional positioning?

QVCG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for QVC Group Inc. (QVCG) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to QVCG Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

QVCG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $6.90?

πŸ‚ 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON QVCG 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on QVCG:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $6.67 (-12.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is QVCG (E β€’ RQD 34/100) a Buy at $7.58?

Welcome to the QVCG (QVC Group Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 34/100 (Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Catalog/Specialty Distribution. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $6.37 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $7.58

Pump the brakes on QVCG β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on QVCG, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 33.6% gross margins. Unless QVC Group Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $9.40 (+24.0%)
Spot @ $7.58

QVCG cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on QVCG, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Catalog/Specialty Distribution and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $7.58 (52-wk range $6.80 - $20.00), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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