Yahoo Finance report covering Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why PZZA Stock surged +2.41% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
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Is PZZA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Papa John's International Inc. (NASDAQ: PZZA) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $18.90 (+2.41% 1D, market cap $607.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PZZA ranks #309 in composite RQD confidence.
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How does PZZA compare to HDL and BRCB in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), PZZA carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 30.5%. By comparison, HDL (SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $643.8M) and BRCB (Black Rock Coffee Bar Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.6%, cap $520.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PZZA leads on earnings multiple (20.3x) while PZZA leads on capital efficiency (30.5% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PZZA?
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Per PZZA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0000901491), Papa John's International Inc. generated $2.05B in revenue (-0.3% YoY), $30.5M in net income, and $61.3M in free cash flow against $837.5M in total assets and $710.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 3% FCF Margin ($61.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PZZA Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, PZZA faces multiple-compression risk if 20.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($20.29) or 200D SMA ($29.87) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($19.16) toward Bear Floor ($14.94).
Why PZZA Stock surged +2.41% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) surged +2.41% to $18.90, trading at 3% of its 52-week range ($17.7 – $52.02). Solid steady margins (31% return on capital), mixed timing at 20x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 3% of its 52-week range ($17.7 – $52.02) with RSI-14 at 40.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.7% around $18.90 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C- (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $61.3M annual free cash flow.
Morningstar report covering Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance Singapore report covering Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GlobeNewswire report covering Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Business Wire report covering Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Morningstar report covering Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
PR Newswire report covering Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (PZZA Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
PZZA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -0.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PZZA today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PZZA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PZZA)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (PZZA vs. HDL, BRCB, CNNE, FWRG)
Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) ranks #309 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #564 by equity capitalization ($607.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PZZA leads on earnings valuation at 20.3x trailing P/E, while PZZA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 30.5% ROIC and — gross margin. PZZA currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 61/100 (C-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PZZA
ACTIVE
Papa John's International Inc. | C- | 61/100 | 20.3x | — | 30.5% | +2.41% | $607.6M | Benchmark Subject |
| HDL SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. | D | 46/100 | — | — | — | 0.00% | $643.8M | /hdl-vs-pzza → |
| BRCB Black Rock Coffee Bar Inc. (Class A) | E | 34/100 | — | — | 1.6% | +2.07% | $520.8M | /brcb-vs-pzza → |
| CNNE Cannae Holdings Inc. | E | 34/100 | — | 15.5% | -10.6% | +2.39% | $743.4M | /cnne-vs-pzza → |
| FWRG First Watch Restaurant Group Inc. | D- | 38/100 | 39.7x | — | 3.6% | +1.65% | $786.2M | /fwrg-vs-pzza → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-28 • CIK 0000901491 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28), Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) reported GAAP revenue of $2.05B (-0.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.06B , and -3.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $30.5M, operating cash flow of $126.0M, and free cash flow of $61.3M (+79.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, PZZA closed FY2025 with $837.5M in total assets against $710.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.37, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-28 | $2.05B | $30.5M | $126.0M | $61.3M | $837.5M | $710.4M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-29 | $2.06B | $83.5M | $106.6M | $34.1M | $889.0M | $741.6M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $2.14B | $82.1M | $193.1M | $193.1M | — | — |
3. PZZA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs PZZA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Papa John's International Inc. (NASDAQ: PZZA) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $18.90 (+2.41% 1D, market cap $607.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PZZA ranks #309 in composite RQD confidence.
How does PZZA compare to HDL and BRCB in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), PZZA carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 30.5%. By comparison, HDL (SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $643.8M) and BRCB (Black Rock Coffee Bar Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.6%, cap $520.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PZZA leads on earnings multiple (20.3x) while PZZA leads on capital efficiency (30.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PZZA?
Per PZZA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0000901491), Papa John's International Inc. generated $2.05B in revenue (-0.3% YoY), $30.5M in net income, and $61.3M in free cash flow against $837.5M in total assets and $710.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is PZZA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
PZZA last traded at $18.90 (+2.41% on volume of 1,748,074 shares), positioning the stock -6.85% below its 50-day simple moving average ($20.29) and -36.73% below its 200-day simple moving average ($29.87). Across its 52-week range of $17.70 to $52.02, PZZA sits at the 3.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.7% ($17.63 to $20.17).
PZZA — Papa John's International Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 61/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $18.90 (+2.41% 1D, market capitalization $607.6M).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (19/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 30.5%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 4.3%, and free cash flow yield of 9.91%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (16/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.37, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Papa John's International Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Restaurants industry.05B in FY 2025, is shown in the Financial Trend section.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-28), Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) reported $2.05B in annual revenue (up from $2.06B in FY2024, -0.3% YoY) and $30.5M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($2.14B revenue, $82.1M net income) through FY2025, PZZA scaled operating cash flow to $126.0M and free cash flow to $61.3M, backed by $837.5M in total assets against $710.4M in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C- • RQD 61/100): Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 19/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $17.70 – $52.02 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 20.3x trailing P/E and 9.0x EV/EBITDA against 4.3% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Sector correlations and second-order bottlenecks are likewise — The only sector-level input is the RQD macro pillar (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), which scores 8/20.
- Key Question #1: Can PZZA sustain or expand its 4.3% operating margin and 30.5% ROIC against Restaurants peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.05B and free cash flow of $61.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $710.4M in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is PZZA's 18.9x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
PZZA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Morningstar report covering Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance Singapore report covering Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GlobeNewswire report covering Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Business Wire report covering Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Morningstar report covering Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
PR Newswire report covering Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
PZZA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $18.90?
Return on invested capital of 30.5% and an FCF yield of 9.91% indicate strong cash generation per the RQD rating.
Don't sleep on PZZA's setup in Consumer Discretionary. Return on invested capital of 30.5% and an FCF yield of 9.91% indicate strong cash generation per the RQD rating.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (61/100) backs up the fundamental quality.
@CreditSpread_Watch Shorting a 4/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $18.45 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.
Revenue, operating income, and net income declined across FY 2023–FY 2025 while institutional flow scored only 4/20 in the RQD rating.
Fading this rally in PZZA at $18.45. Revenue, operating income, and net income declined across FY 2023–FY 2025 while institutional flow scored only 4/20 in the RQD rating.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $18.45 (52-wk range $17.70–$52.02), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.