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Hyperliquid Strategies Inc (PURR) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$9.71 -11.81% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.49

Hyperliquid Strategies Inc (PURR) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $3.06B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on PURR Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PURR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Hyperliquid Strategies Inc (NASDAQ: PURR) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $9.71 (-11.81% 1D, market cap $3.06B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, PURR ranks #202 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PURR compare to XXI and IOND in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), PURR carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 33.0%. By comparison, XXI (Twenty One Capital Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.08B) and IOND (Ionic Digital Inc. (Class A)) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.98B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SLM leads on earnings multiple (4.5x) while PURR leads on capital efficiency (33.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PURR?
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Per PURR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002078856), Hyperliquid Strategies Inc generated $259.0M in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $616.6M in total assets and $12.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.48 (-2.32%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510066
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C
Cash (14)Whales (13)SEC (15)Macro (11)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target
$16 Bull$10 Base$8 Bear
📬 FREE PURR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PURR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (66/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PURR SCORES 66/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 0% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (51.3) create a -9 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
58
Grade C$9.47+1.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
61
Grade C$9.62+3.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
63
Grade C+$9.97-2.6% Next Q
Current
66
Grade C+$9.71+1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (58) → C+ (66)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PURR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, PURR faces multiple-compression risk if 32.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($11.48) or 200D SMA ($7.78) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($10.06) toward Bear Floor ($7.85).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PURR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PURR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (PURR)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for PURR.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating PURR & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on PURR
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
PURR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +52.19%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $12.29H $12.29L $9.71C $9.71VOL 30.83M
RES: $16.06SUP: $8.86SMA50: $11.48SMA200: $7.78
$15.47$12.53$9.59$6.65$3.71RES $16.06SUP $8.86$9.712026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PURR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PURR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PURR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PURR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PURR)

Financials Rank #202 of 1096 ⚔️ XXI vs PURR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (PURR vs. XXI, IOND, GPGI, SLM)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hyperliquid Strategies Inc (PURR) ranks #202 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #360 by equity capitalization ($3.06B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SLM leads on earnings valuation at 4.5x trailing P/E, while PURR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.0% ROIC and — gross margin. PURR currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 66/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PURR ACTIVE
Hyperliquid Strategies Inc
C+ 66/100 32.8x — 33.0% -11.81% $3.06B Benchmark Subject
XXI
Twenty One Capital Inc. (Class A)
D- 43/100 — — — -0.55% $3.08B /xxi-vs-purr →
IOND
Ionic Digital Inc. (Class A)
D 45/100 — — — -4.65% $2.98B /iond-vs-purr →
GPGI
GPGI Inc. (Class A)
E 21/100 — — -6.5% +4.92% $3.24B /gpgi-vs-purr →
SLM
SLM Corporation
D- 37/100 4.5x — 7.4% +0.45% $3.25B /slm-vs-purr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002078856

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Hyperliquid Strategies Inc (PURR) reported GAAP revenue of $259.0M , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, PURR closed FY2025 with $616.6M in total assets against $12.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $259.0M $0 $0 $0 $616.6M $12.1M

3. PURR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PURR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Hyperliquid Strategies Inc (NASDAQ: PURR) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $9.71 (-11.81% 1D, market cap $3.06B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, PURR ranks #202 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PURR compare to XXI and IOND in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), PURR carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 33.0%. By comparison, XXI (Twenty One Capital Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.08B) and IOND (Ionic Digital Inc. (Class A)) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.98B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SLM leads on earnings multiple (4.5x) while PURR leads on capital efficiency (33.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PURR?

Per PURR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002078856), Hyperliquid Strategies Inc generated $259.0M in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $616.6M in total assets and $12.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PURR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PURR last traded at $9.71 (-11.81% on volume of 17,175,937 shares), positioning the stock -15.42% below its 50-day simple moving average ($11.48) and +24.81% above its 200-day simple moving average ($7.78). Across its 52-week range of $3.01 to $14.76, PURR sits at the 57.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($8.50 to $10.92).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 66/100 (C+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

PURR — Hyperliquid Strategies Inc: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Hyperliquid Strategies Inc (PURR) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 66/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $9.71 (-11.81% 1D, market capitalization $3.06B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 33.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (13/20) + Insider Conviction (15/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.01x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Hyperliquid Strategies Inc (PURR) is a NASDAQ-listed operating company in the Finance: Consumer Services industry (Financials sector) with an equity market capitalization of $3.06B. The business operates with a gross margin of 0%, an operating margin of 13.9%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 33% (free cash flow yield of 2.21%). Within the Finance: Consumer Services peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Hyperliquid Strategies Inc (PURR) reported $259.0M in annual revenue and $0 in GAAP net income. Operating cash flow reached $0 and free cash flow totaled $0, backed by $616.6M in total assets against $12.1M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 66/100): Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Free cash flow yield of 2.21% and institutional whale pillar of 13/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 13/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $3.01 – $14.76 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 32.8x trailing P/E and 18.5x EV/EBITDA against 13.9% operating margins and a 1.01x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Finance: Consumer Services (Financials), PURR carries a macro regime beta of 1.01 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can PURR sustain or expand its 13.9% operating margin and 33.0% ROIC against Finance: Consumer Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $259.0M and free cash flow of $0, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $12.1M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is PURR's 30.5x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.01x)?

PURR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Hyperliquid Strategies Inc (PURR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to PURR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PURR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $9.71?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PURR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PURR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $13.10 (+19.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Strong institutional accumulation (18/20 whale 13F flow pillar) and a 33% ROIC point to capital-efficient growth backing the stock's re

Don't sleep on PURR's setup in Financials. Strong institutional accumulation (18/20 whale 13F flow pillar) and a 33% ROIC point to capital-efficient growth backing the stock's recent surge.. Beta of 1.01 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (66/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@ForensicBear Shorting a 13/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $11.01 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Financials.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $9.14 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $11.01

Valuation & margin reality check on PURR at $11.01 before chasing here

I respect the product at Hyperliquid Strategies Inc, but the stock at $11.01 is a different story. Valuation & margin reality check on PURR at $11.01 before chasing here. FCF yield is 2.21% and RQD sits at 66/100 (C+) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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