Why PUBM Stock dropped -6.58% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$15.89 -6.58% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.67

PubMatic Inc. (Class A) (PUBM) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $774.8M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on PUBM Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PUBM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, PubMatic Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: PUBM) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $15.89 (-6.58% 1D, market cap $774.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, PUBM ranks #341 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PUBM compare to RXT and BMBL in the Technology sector?
▼

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), PUBM carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 63.6%, and ROIC of -11.6%. By comparison, RXT (Rackspace Technology Inc.) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.7%, cap $762.1M) and BMBL (Bumble Inc. (Class A)) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $789.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, EVER leads on earnings multiple (8.1x) while EVER leads on capital efficiency (69.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PUBM?
▼

Per PUBM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001422930), PubMatic Inc. (Class A) generated $282.9M in revenue (-2.9% YoY), -$14.0M in net income, and $66.7M in free cash flow against $680.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.67 (-1.37%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 23.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510052
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Cash (10)Whales (11)SEC (10)Macro (12)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.7% Base Target
$20 Bull$15 Base$12 Bear
📬 FREE PUBM RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PUBM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PUBM SCORES 52/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 73% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 47.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
60
Grade C$18.52-8.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
57
Grade C$17.01-2.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
55
Grade C$16.59-4.2% Next Q
Current
52
Grade D+$15.89-1.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (60) → D+ (52)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PUBM Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PUBM currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (9/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($17.39) and Max Pain ($16.68) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $20.45.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PUBM• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PUBM Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why PUBM Stock dropped -6.58% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

PubMatic Inc. (Class A) (PUBM) dropped -6.58% to $15.89, trading at 73% of its 52-week range ($6.15 – $19.48). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-12% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 73% of its 52-week range ($6.15 – $19.48) with RSI-14 at 47.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8.5% around $15.89 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 63.6% gross margin and $66.7M annual free cash flow.
Live PUBM Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PUBM)

  • ✓Walkthrough of PUBM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
PUBM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +55.02%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-02O $16.98H $17.01L $15.89C $15.89VOL 342.7K
RES: $20.04SUP: $15.96SMA50: $17.39SMA200: $12.15
$20.25$17.07$13.90$10.72$7.54RES $20.04SUP $15.96$15.892026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PUBM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PUBM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PUBM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PUBM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PUBM)

Technology Rank #341 of 714 ⚔️ RXT vs PUBM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (PUBM vs. RXT, BMBL, EVER, SMWB)

Industry: Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (72 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, PubMatic Inc. (Class A) (PUBM) ranks #341 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #378 by equity capitalization ($774.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EVER leads on earnings valuation at 8.1x trailing P/E, while EVER leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 69.1% ROIC and 96.0% gross margin. EVER currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 80/100 (B+) compared with PUBM at 52/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PUBM ACTIVE
PubMatic Inc. (Class A)
D+ 52/100 — 63.6% -11.6% -6.58% $774.8M Benchmark Subject
RXT
Rackspace Technology Inc.
D- 39/100 — 18.9% -5.7% -12.37% $762.1M /rxt-vs-pubm →
BMBL
Bumble Inc. (Class A)
D 48/100 — 70.8% -35.0% +0.17% $789.2M /bmbl-vs-pubm →
EVER
EverQuote Inc. (Class A)
B+ 80/100 8.1x 96.0% 69.1% +3.11% $803.5M /ever-vs-pubm →
SMWB
Similarweb Ltd.
D 46/100 — 79.5% -35.0% -2.67% $804.9M /smwb-vs-pubm →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001422930

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), PubMatic Inc. (Class A) (PUBM) reported GAAP revenue of $282.9M (-2.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $291.3M , and +6.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$14.0M, operating cash flow of $81.1M, and free cash flow of $66.7M (+19.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, PUBM closed FY2025 with $680.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.98, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $282.9M -$14.0M $81.1M $66.7M $680.2M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $291.3M $13.0M $73.4M $55.8M $739.5M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $267.0M $9.0M $81.1M $81.1M — —

3. PUBM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PUBM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, PubMatic Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: PUBM) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $15.89 (-6.58% 1D, market cap $774.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, PUBM ranks #341 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PUBM compare to RXT and BMBL in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), PUBM carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 63.6%, and ROIC of -11.6%. By comparison, RXT (Rackspace Technology Inc.) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.7%, cap $762.1M) and BMBL (Bumble Inc. (Class A)) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $789.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, EVER leads on earnings multiple (8.1x) while EVER leads on capital efficiency (69.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PUBM?

Per PUBM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001422930), PubMatic Inc. (Class A) generated $282.9M in revenue (-2.9% YoY), -$14.0M in net income, and $66.7M in free cash flow against $680.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PUBM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PUBM last traded at $15.89 (-6.58% on volume of 460,744 shares), positioning the stock -8.63% below its 50-day simple moving average ($17.39) and +30.78% above its 200-day simple moving average ($12.15). Across its 52-week range of $6.15 to $19.48, PUBM sits at the 73.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.5% ($14.54 to $17.24).

PUBM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is PUBM stock moving today?

Why PUBM Stock dropped -6.58% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-12% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 52/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

PUBM — PubMatic Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:33:02Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, PUBM scores 52 out of 100, a letter grade of D+, with the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20 (ROIC -11.6%; FCF yield 8.61%); Whale 13F Flow 11/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction 9/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit 12/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet 10/20 (Altman Z 1.98; Piotroski F 5/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

For a prospective investor, the pattern is mixed rather than uniformly weak. The highest-scoring pillar is Macro Regime Fit, and the strongest single cash-related datapoint is the 8.61% FCF yield, which is a potential upside driver if cash generation persists. The lowest-scoring pillars, Insider Conviction and Fundamental Cash Engine, reflect negative ROIC and weak insider signal, which weigh against the valuation case. Forensic metrics sit in a middle zone: the Altman Z of 1.98 and Piotroski F of 5/9 do not signal distress outright but do not indicate strength either. The verdict implies that the rating model views the risk/reward as unfavorable at current levels. Valuation tradeoffs are difficult to assess because P/E and EV/EBITDA are unavailable in source data, so the investor cannot benchmark the price against earnings.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$282.9M$-17.3M$-14.0MN/A$66.7M$145.5MN/A
FY 2024$291.3M$3.9M$13.0MN/A$55.8M$100.5MN/A
FY 2023$267.0M$2.0M$9.0MN/A$81.1MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $291.3M in FY 2024 to $282.9M in FY 2025, and the company moved from positive to negative operating and net income over that span. Reported margins for the latest data are a gross margin of 63.6%, an operating margin of -6.1%, and a net margin of -4.9%. ROIC is -11.6% per the market data. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 1.98 and the Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, and the Debt/Equity ratio is 0.5. Cash rose to $145.5M in FY 2025 from $100.5M in FY 2024.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts feed, six items reference PUBM. Four are tagged "MARKET WIRE" with yellow signal lights, one is tagged "RISK WATCH" with a red light (a StockStory report on shares falling alongside several other names), and one reports a price move of 2.65% to $17.46. A Stock Titan item reports that the chairman sold 10,795 shares under a trading plan and retains 35,580 shares. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals. The news feed's summaries are largely generic descriptions and do not contain standalone fundamental catalysts beyond the insider sale and the RISK WATCH flag.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's products, customers, and revenue model, and what drove the FY 2025 revenue decline?
  • What are P/E, forward P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS, which would allow valuation benchmarking?
  • What is the debt balance, since the financials list it as N/A despite a reported Debt/Equity of 0.5?
  • What do the institutional 13F and insider Form 4 records show in detail, and how do they compare with the pillar scores?
  • Does the sustained FCF (FY 2025 $66.7M) reflect durable cash generation given the negative net and operating income?

PUBM Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for PubMatic Inc. (Class A) (PUBM) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to PUBM Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PUBM Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $15.89?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PUBM 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PUBM:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $18.37 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is PUBM (D+ • RQD 52/100) a Buy at $17.01?

Welcome to the PUBM (PubMatic Inc. (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 52/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Computer Software: Programming Data Processing. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $14.12 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $17.01

Pump the brakes on PUBM — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on PUBM, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 63.6% gross margins. Unless PubMatic Inc. (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $19.56 (+15.0%)
Spot @ $17.01

PUBM cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on PUBM, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Computer Software: Programming Data Processing and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $17.01 (52-wk range $6.15 - $19.48), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%