PriceSmart Inc. (PSMT) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$165.70 +0.34% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $165.49

PriceSmart Inc. (PSMT) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $5.12B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on PSMT Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PSMT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, PriceSmart Inc. (NASDAQ: PSMT) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $165.70 (+0.34% 1D, market cap $5.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PSMT ranks #261 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PSMT compare to OLLI and M in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Department/Specialty Retail Stores), PSMT carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 34.5x, gross margin of 17.4%, and ROIC of 14.8%. By comparison, OLLI (Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc.) holds a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 22.8x, ROIC 11.3%, cap $5.36B) and M (Macy's Inc) posts a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 10.1x, ROIC 11.8%, cap $6.30B). Among the 5-stock peer group, M leads on earnings multiple (10.1x) while PSMT leads on capital efficiency (14.8% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PSMT?
β–Ό

Per PSMT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31, CIK 0001041803), PriceSmart Inc. generated $5.27B in revenue (+7.2% YoY), $147.9M in net income, and $103.2M in free cash flow against $2.39B in total assets and $143.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (17% profit margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $165.48 (-0.13%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) β€’ 2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 54.8% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C
025507510063
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C Β· Rk C
Cash (17)Whales (8)SEC (18)Macro (7)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.3% Base Target
$210 Bull$169 Base$132 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE PSMT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PSMT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±5.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY PSMT SCORES 63/100 (C) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 6.08 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 8/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2% FCF Margin ($103.2M FCF) & 17.4% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (43.2) create a -13 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
71
Grade B$169.19+1.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
68
Grade B-$171.53-5.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
66
Grade B-$161.46+2.6% Next Q
Current
63
Grade C$165.70+0.9% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: B (71) β†’ C (63)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PSMT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, PSMT faces multiple-compression risk if 34.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($170.08) or 200D SMA ($166.83) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($169.43) toward Bear Floor ($132.16).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PSMTβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œPSMT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
2.56% Total Yield
0.76% Cash ($1.26/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
88/100 β€’ FORTRESS PAYOUT
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
24.5% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (6.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $18,771

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $481/yr
$10.7K
Yr 1
$11.3K
Yr 2
$12.1K
Yr 3
$12.9K
Yr 4
$13.7K
Yr 5
$14.6K
Yr 6
$15.5K
Yr 7
$16.5K
Yr 8
$17.6K
Yr 9
$18.8K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in PSMT & A-Rated Leaders

  • βœ“12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on PSMT and its top sector peer
  • βœ“Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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PSMT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +8.22%β–Ό DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $165.1H $165.7L $165.1C $165.7VOL 329.9K
RES: $175.4SUP: $160.6SMA50: $170.1SMA200: $166.8
$204.7$184.6$164.5$144.5$124.4RES $175.4SUP $160.6$165.72026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PSMT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
26.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PSMT today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PSMT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PSMT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PSMT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #261 of 1011 βš”οΈ OLLI vs PSMT Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (PSMT vs. OLLI, M, MNSO, KSS)

Industry: Department/Specialty Retail Stores (11 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, PriceSmart Inc. (PSMT) ranks #261 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #264 by equity capitalization ($5.12B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, M leads on earnings valuation at 10.1x trailing P/E, while PSMT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.8% ROIC and 17.4% gross margin. KSS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with PSMT at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PSMT ACTIVE
PriceSmart Inc.
C 63/100 34.5x 17.4% 14.8% +0.34% $5.12B Benchmark Subject
OLLI
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc.
B 75/100 22.8x 40.5% 11.3% -2.34% $5.36B /olli-vs-psmt β†’
M
Macy's Inc
B 74/100 10.1x 38.0% 11.8% -2.47% $6.30B /m-vs-psmt β†’
MNSO
MINISO Group Holding Limited each representing four
D 49/100 β€” β€” β€” +3.65% $3.17B /mnso-vs-psmt β†’
KSS
Kohl's Corporation
B+ 76/100 10.2x 40.6% 10.2% -0.78% $2.76B /kss-vs-psmt β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-08-31 β€’ CIK 0001041803

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31), PriceSmart Inc. (PSMT) reported GAAP revenue of $5.27B (+7.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.91B , and +19.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $147.9M, operating cash flow of $261.3M, and free cash flow of $103.2M (+164.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, PSMT closed FY2025 with $2.39B in total assets against $143.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.08, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-08-31 $5.27B $147.9M $261.3M $103.2M $2.39B $143.7M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-08-31 $4.91B $138.9M $207.6M $39.0M $2.09B $93.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-08-31 $4.41B $109.2M $257.3M $58.8M $5.29B $1.24B

3. PSMT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PSMT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, PriceSmart Inc. (NASDAQ: PSMT) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $165.70 (+0.34% 1D, market cap $5.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PSMT ranks #261 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PSMT compare to OLLI and M in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Department/Specialty Retail Stores), PSMT carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 34.5x, gross margin of 17.4%, and ROIC of 14.8%. By comparison, OLLI (Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc.) holds a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 22.8x, ROIC 11.3%, cap $5.36B) and M (Macy's Inc) posts a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 10.1x, ROIC 11.8%, cap $6.30B). Among the 5-stock peer group, M leads on earnings multiple (10.1x) while PSMT leads on capital efficiency (14.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PSMT?

Per PSMT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31, CIK 0001041803), PriceSmart Inc. generated $5.27B in revenue (+7.2% YoY), $147.9M in net income, and $103.2M in free cash flow against $2.39B in total assets and $143.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (17% profit margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PSMT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PSMT last traded at $165.70 (+0.34% on volume of 329,941 shares), positioning the stock -2.58% below its 50-day simple moving average ($170.08) and -0.68% below its 200-day simple moving average ($166.83). Across its 52-week range of $114.38 to $199.84, PSMT sits at the 60.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±5.3% ($156.92 to $174.48).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 63/100 (C) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

PSMT β€” PriceSmart Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:20:47Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, PSMT scores 63 out of 100, graded C, with the verdict "Roarable Hold β€” Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 17 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 14.8% and an FCF yield of 2.02%. This is the strongest signal in the rating, indicating the business generates returns on capital that are meaningful relative to its size, though the free-cash-flow yield at the current price is modest.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 8 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The moderate score suggests institutional interest is present but not conviction-driven.
  • Insider Conviction: 13 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score is mid-range, neither a strong insider buying signal nor a clear selling warning.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 7 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects beta of 1 and sector sensitivity. This is the weakest pillar, implying limited defensive positioning relative to the broader market regime.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 18 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects Altman Z of 6.08, Piotroski F of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.11. This is the second-strongest pillar and points to a financially sound balance sheet.

For a prospective investor, the pattern is a financially resilient balance sheet and solid capital returns, offset by a valuation that is demanding on earnings (trailing P/E of 34.5), weak macro-regime fit, and only moderate institutional and insider conviction. The "Hold" verdict reflects balanced risk-reward rather than a clear upside or downside signal.

Business

PriceSmart Inc. (PSMT) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Department/Specialty Retail Stores industry,

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section:

  • Market wire (YELLOW): Yahoo Finance coverage of Q4 earnings premium questions, and Yahoo Finance's fiscal Q4 earnings snapshot. Both are yellow-flagged market-wire items.
  • Catalyst (GREEN): Seeking Alpha coverage arguing the company's growth deserves some upside.
  • Risk watch (RED): GuruFocus coverage reporting shares fell 3.0% and that GF Value suggests the stock remains overvalued.
  • Market wire (YELLOW): Stock Titan reported Jamaica's third membership warehouse store opened in Montego Bay, with about 42,000 square feet of sales space.
  • Market wire (YELLOW): MarketBeat reported a position in PSMT was sold by Copeland Capital Management LLC.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no upstream or downstream supply-chain dependencies, sector correlations, or proprietary signal links are recorded. β€” for specific 2nd-order bottlenecks.

Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership

Analyst data: β€”

Holders (SEC Form 4, 13F, Congressional trades): β€”

Open Questions

  • What is the consensus analyst rating and price target range, given that analyst data is absent?
  • Which specific SEC Form 4 insider or 13F institutional transactions drive the whale and insider pillar scores?
  • What is the EPS for FY 2025, FY 2024, and FY 2023, since the financials list EPS as N/A for all periods?
  • What is the FY 2023 cash balance, which is listed as N/A?
  • What products, customer base, and geographic revenue mix generate the reported revenue?

PSMT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for PriceSmart Inc. (PSMT) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to PSMT Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PSMT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $165.70?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PSMT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PSMT:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro Price Action & Volume Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $195.53 (+18.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Strong forensic balance sheet (Altman Z 6.08, Piotroski F 8/9, Debt/Equity 0.11) and 14.8% ROIC support financial resilience.

Here is why I am bullish on PSMT here at $165.70: Strong forensic balance sheet (Altman Z 6.08, Piotroski F 8/9, Debt/Equity 0.11) and 14.8% ROIC support financial resilience.. Compare PSMT's 4.4% operating margin and 14.8% ROIC against the rest of Department/Specialty Retail Stores. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $157.41 are getting bought.

EarningsSniper πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” PSMT's 18/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

RI RiskArb_Desk Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $127.59 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $165.70

Trailing P/E of 34.5 and a macro-regime fit score of 7/20 leave limited valuation cushion and defensive positioning.

Careful chasing PSMT at $165.70. Trailing P/E of 34.5 and a macro-regime fit score of 7/20 leave limited valuation cushion and defensive positioning.. Gross margin is 17.4%, but operating margin is 4.4%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $127.59 on multiple compression.

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