Why PSEC Stock advanced +0.62% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$1.62 +0.62% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.62

Prospect Capital Corporation (PSEC) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 35/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $859.4M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PSEC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Prospect Capital Corporation (NASDAQ: PSEC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $1.62 (+0.62% 1D, market cap $859.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, PSEC ranks #972 in composite RQD confidence.

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🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PSEC compare to PICS and RHLD in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), PSEC carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -16.6%. By comparison, PICS (PicS N.V. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $920.1M) and RHLD (Resolute Holdings Management) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $944.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BUR leads on earnings multiple (12.2x) while RHLD leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PSEC?
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Per PSEC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31, CIK 0001287032), Prospect Capital Corporation generated $2.74B in revenue (-9.7% YoY), -$490.5M in net income, and $523.2M in free cash flow against $6.53B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.62 (-0.08%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 19.1% FCF Margin
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📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (35/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (10)Whales (3)SEC (10)Macro (7)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.5% Base Target
$3 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE PSEC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PSEC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (35/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PSEC SCORES 35/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 19.1% FCF Margin ($523.2M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
43
Grade D$1.67-10.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
40
Grade D$1.49+4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
38
Grade E$1.55+4.5% Next Q
Current
35
Grade D-$1.62-8.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (43) → D- (35)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PSEC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PSEC currently carries a cautious 35/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.95) and Max Pain ($1.70) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.29.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PSEC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PSEC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why PSEC Stock advanced +0.62% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Prospect Capital Corporation (PSEC) advanced +0.62% to $1.62, trading at 11% of its 52-week range ($1.43 – $3.13). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-17% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 11% of its 52-week range ($1.43 – $3.13) with RSI-14 at 39.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±10.9% around $1.62 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $523.2M annual free cash flow.
Live PSEC Headlines & Catalysts
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  • ✓Walkthrough of PSEC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
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PSEC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -40.44%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $1.62H $1.62L $1.61C $1.62VOL 9.31M
RES: $2.08SUP: $1.35SMA50: $1.95SMA200: $2.36
$2.89$2.49$2.10$1.70$1.31RES $2.08SUP $1.35$1.622026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PSEC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PSEC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PSEC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PSEC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PSEC)

Financials Rank #972 of 1096 ⚔️ PICS vs PSEC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (PSEC vs. PICS, RHLD, WRLD, BUR)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Prospect Capital Corporation (PSEC) ranks #972 by composite RQD confidence (35/100, grade D-) and #583 by equity capitalization ($859.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BUR leads on earnings valuation at 12.2x trailing P/E, while RHLD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. RHLD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with PSEC at 35/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PSEC ACTIVE
Prospect Capital Corporation
D- 35/100 — — -16.6% +0.62% $859.4M Benchmark Subject
PICS
PicS N.V. (Class A)
D- 43/100 — — — -4.37% $920.1M /pics-vs-psec →
RHLD
Resolute Holdings Management
C- 59/100 — — 85.0% -1.50% $944.3M /rhld-vs-psec →
WRLD
World Acceptance Corporation
D+ 55/100 23.7x — 9.8% +0.58% $767.0M /wrld-vs-psec →
BUR
Burford Capital Limited
E 33/100 12.2x — 9.7% +10.29% $744.0M /bur-vs-psec →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-08-31 • CIK 0001287032

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31), Prospect Capital Corporation (PSEC) reported GAAP revenue of $2.74B (-9.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.04B , and +227.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$490.5M, operating cash flow of $523.2M, and free cash flow of $523.2M (+86.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, PSEC closed FY2025 with $6.53B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-08-31 $2.74B -$490.5M $523.2M $523.2M $6.53B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-08-31 $3.04B $234.1M $280.0M $280.0M $7.23B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-08-31 $839.2M -$88.0M -$220.8M -$220.8M — —

3. PSEC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PSEC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Prospect Capital Corporation (NASDAQ: PSEC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $1.62 (+0.62% 1D, market cap $859.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, PSEC ranks #972 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PSEC compare to PICS and RHLD in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), PSEC carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -16.6%. By comparison, PICS (PicS N.V. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $920.1M) and RHLD (Resolute Holdings Management) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $944.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BUR leads on earnings multiple (12.2x) while RHLD leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PSEC?

Per PSEC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31, CIK 0001287032), Prospect Capital Corporation generated $2.74B in revenue (-9.7% YoY), -$490.5M in net income, and $523.2M in free cash flow against $6.53B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PSEC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PSEC last traded at $1.62 (+0.62% on volume of 7,318,628 shares), positioning the stock -16.92% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.95) and -31.36% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.36). Across its 52-week range of $1.43 to $3.13, PSEC sits at the 11.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.9% ($1.44 to $1.80).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 35/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

PSEC — Prospect Capital Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:32:17Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The Roarable RQD Score is 35, a letter grade of D-, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow" (). The five pillars break down as follows:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 10 / 20. Per the RQD rating, ROIC is -16.6% and FCF yield is 0%. For an investor, this indicates the business is not currently earning a return on invested capital, and the cash-yield signal provides no valuation cushion.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 3 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The low score indicates weak institutional support in the source data. No 13F holder detail is available in the holders section.
  • Insider Conviction: 5 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The low score suggests limited insider conviction signals.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 7 / 20. Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.0 and the score reflects sector sensitivity. A beta of 1.0 means the stock is expected,.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 10 / 20. Per the RQD rating, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 3/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. These metrics point to moderate financial strain rather than a clean balance sheet.

Investor implications: The combination of negative ROIC, zero FCF yield, weak institutional and insider flow, and a middling forensic profile means the rating framework identifies more downside risk than upside drivers. Upside in this framework would require improvement in cash generation and in institutional or insider conviction, neither of which is evidenced in the current data. This is an analytical summary, not personalized financial advice.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Prospect Capital Corporation is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Financials sector and Finance: Consumer Services industry. The profile does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model..9B.

Net income swung from $234.1M in FY 2024 to -$490.5M in FY 2025, and FCF was $523.2M in FY 2025. Margins are reported as 0% for gross, operating, and net (per the market data). ROIC is -16.6% (per the market data), and the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 3/9 (). The Debt/Equity ratio is 0.5 (). Revenue and debt figures are reported as — and N/A respectively in the SEC financials, so balance sheet leverage cannot be fully evaluated from the source data.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case: Prospect Capital's Macro Regime Fit and beta of 1.0 keep it tied to broad market moves, and the 8.95% notes financing with semiannual interest starting April 2027 shows continued market access. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 (ROIC -16.6%, FCF yield —) and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $1.43 – $3.13 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: ROIC of -16.6%, a 0% FCF yield, and a 3/20 whale flow score point to weak cash generation and little institutional support. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the source data. The one sector-level reference is the RQD macro regime pillar, which cites sector sensitivity but provides no specific linkages.

  • Key Question #1: What are the company's revenue, operating income, and EPS, given that the SEC financials report — revenue and N/A EPS for each period?
  • Key Question #2: What explains the swing from $234.1M net income in FY 2024 to -$490.5M in FY 2025, and what is the debt balance behind the 0.5 Debt/Equity ratio?
  • Key Question #3: Is the 8.95% unsecured notes offering intended to refinance existing obligations or fund operations, and how does it affect the Altman Z-Score?

PSEC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Prospect Capital Corporation (PSEC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

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🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PSEC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.62?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PSEC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PSEC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.85 (+14.9%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Prospect Capital's Macro Regime Fit and beta of 1.0 keep it tied to broad market moves, and the 8.95% notes financing with semiannual i

Prospect Capital's Macro Regime Fit and beta of 1.0 keep it tied to broad market moves, and the 8.95% notes financing with semiannual interest starting April 2027 shows continued market access.. When you look under the hood at PSEC, Fundamental Cash Engine is 10/20 with 0.0% gross margins and -16.6% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (3/20) has been quietly accumulating below $3.13. My 12M target is $1.85.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@RiskArb_Desk Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Finance: Consumer Services. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

RI RiskArb_Desk Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.37 (-14.9%)
Spot @ $1.61

ROIC of -16.6%, a 0% FCF yield, and a 3/20 whale flow score point to weak cash generation and little institutional support.

Fading this rally in PSEC at $1.61. ROIC of -16.6%, a 0% FCF yield, and a 3/20 whale flow score point to weak cash generation and little institutional support.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $1.61 (52-wk range $1.43–$3.13), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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