Praxis Precision Medicines Inc. (PRAX) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$273.99 -4.18% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $271.41

Praxis Precision Medicines Inc. (PRAX) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $7.98B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PRAX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Praxis Precision Medicines Inc. (NASDAQ: PRAX) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $273.99 (-4.18% 1D, market cap $7.98B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, PRAX ranks #284 in composite RQD confidence.

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🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PRAX compare to ALKS and AXSM in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), PRAX carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, ALKS (Alkermes plc) holds a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 31.5x, ROIC 14.0%, cap $7.61B) and AXSM (Axsome Therapeutics Inc.) posts a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -21.9%, cap $7.57B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALKS leads on earnings multiple (31.5x) while ALKS leads on capital efficiency (14.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PRAX?
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Per PRAX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001689548), Praxis Precision Medicines Inc. generated $913.4M in revenue (+10578.8% YoY), -$303.0M in net income, and -$249.1M in free cash flow against $937.9M in total assets and $26.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $271.41 (-0.94%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510048
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk C
Cash (7)Whales (11)SEC (16)Macro (9)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.5% Base Target
$412 Bull$262 Base$204 Bear
📬 FREE PRAX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PRAX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PRAX SCORES 48/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (33% of score)

Altman Z-Score 26.00 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.6% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
40
Grade D$239.02+7.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
43
Grade D$256.47+11.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
45
Grade D$285.48-4% Next Q
Current
48
Grade D$273.99-5.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (40) → D (48)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PRAX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PRAX currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($296.31) and Max Pain ($287.69) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $412.33.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PRAX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PRAX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
54.530 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
26.00>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
5 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE50% OF RANGE
L: $154$273.99H: $393
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 7 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 16 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 25 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on PRAX

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (35)

-35.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and -3.09% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (80)

Altman-Z 26.00 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (42)

16/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 9/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like PRAX
  • ✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PRAX)

  • ✓Walkthrough of PRAX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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PRAX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -18.84%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $288.6H $288.6L $274.0C $274.0VOL 306.6K
RES: $416.2SUP: $222.6SMA50: $296.3SMA200: $314.5
$405.9$351.2$296.5$241.8$187.1RES $416.2SUP $222.6$274.02026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PRAX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
25.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PRAX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PRAX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PRAX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PRAX)

Health Care Rank #284 of 1016 ⚔️ ALKS vs PRAX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (PRAX vs. ALKS, AXSM, ABVX, ARWR)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Praxis Precision Medicines Inc. (PRAX) ranks #284 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #126 by equity capitalization ($7.98B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ALKS leads on earnings valuation at 31.5x trailing P/E, while ALKS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.0% ROIC and 86.7% gross margin. ALKS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with PRAX at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PRAX ACTIVE
Praxis Precision Medicines Inc.
D 48/100 — — -35.0% -4.18% $7.98B Benchmark Subject
ALKS
Alkermes plc
B+ 78/100 31.5x 86.7% 14.0% -0.99% $7.61B /alks-vs-prax →
AXSM
Axsome Therapeutics Inc.
D- 35/100 — — -21.9% -5.83% $7.57B /axsm-vs-prax →
ABVX
Abivax SA
D+ 54/100 32.8x — 9.9% -1.94% $7.56B /abvx-vs-prax →
ARWR
Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc.
D+ 58/100 — — 11.1% -0.55% $8.46B /arwr-vs-prax →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001689548

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Praxis Precision Medicines Inc. (PRAX) reported GAAP revenue of $913.4M (+10578.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $8.6M , and +37225.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$303.0M, operating cash flow of -$249.1M, and free cash flow of -$249.1M (-89.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, PRAX closed FY2025 with $937.9M in total assets against $26.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 26.00, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $913.4M -$303.0M -$249.1M -$249.1M $937.9M $26.9M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $8.6M -$183.0M -$131.8M -$131.8M $483.1M $16.9M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $2.4M -$123.0M -$111.1M -$111.2M $4.43B $1.04B

3. PRAX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PRAX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Praxis Precision Medicines Inc. (NASDAQ: PRAX) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $273.99 (-4.18% 1D, market cap $7.98B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, PRAX ranks #284 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PRAX compare to ALKS and AXSM in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), PRAX carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, ALKS (Alkermes plc) holds a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 31.5x, ROIC 14.0%, cap $7.61B) and AXSM (Axsome Therapeutics Inc.) posts a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -21.9%, cap $7.57B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALKS leads on earnings multiple (31.5x) while ALKS leads on capital efficiency (14.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PRAX?

Per PRAX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001689548), Praxis Precision Medicines Inc. generated $913.4M in revenue (+10578.8% YoY), -$303.0M in net income, and -$249.1M in free cash flow against $937.9M in total assets and $26.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PRAX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PRAX last traded at $273.99 (-4.18% on volume of 312,389 shares), positioning the stock -7.53% below its 50-day simple moving average ($296.31) and -12.87% below its 200-day simple moving average ($314.46). Across its 52-week range of $154.45 to $392.70, PRAX sits at the 50.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.6% ($250.43 to $297.55).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 48/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

PRAX — Praxis Precision Medicines Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:17:45Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

PRAX scores 48 out of 100, a letter grade of D, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 7 / 20. This is the weakest pillar and reflects ROIC of -35% and an FCF yield of -3.09%. For a prospective investor, the core issue is that the business is not currently generating returns on invested capital or free cash flow; valuation must therefore rest on future expectations rather than present earnings power.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 11 / 20. Institutional accumulation and options positioning are rated modestly. The holders section contains no detail, so the specific direction and size of institutional activity cannot be confirmed from the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 5 / 20. Per the RQD rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow is weak. A low insider score is an educational signal that people closest to the company are not showing strong conviction through trading activity.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 9 / 20. The beta of 0.91 indicates market sensitivity slightly below the market average, while the sector sensitivity component is scored low. This means the stock's behavior relative to broader market moves is not a source of support in the rating.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 16 / 20. This is the strongest pillar, with an Altman Z-Score of 26, a Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.03. The balance sheet is comparatively sound and reduces near-term solvency concern, but it does not offset weak cash generation.

Taken together, the rating points to a company with a conservative balance sheet but deeply negative operating economics, where upside depends on future outcomes not visible in current cash flows. The forward P/E of 33 means the market is pricing in earnings growth well beyond present levels, a valuation tradeoff a prospective investor should weigh against the negative trailing EPS of -10.85 and the verdict's distribution warning.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Praxis Precision Medicines Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, within the Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations industry..1B. Per the recent news wire, the company has two medicines under FDA review and is discussing launch readiness for them. Per the financials, FY 2025 revenue is — and FY 2024 revenue is $8.6M, indicating the company has not yet established a meaningful commercial revenue base. — for how these medicines are sold or to which customers.

Per the market data, gross, operating, and net margins are each reported as 0%, and ROIC is -35%. The Altman Z-Score is 26 and the Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, with Debt/Equity of 0.03. Losses have widened across the three reported periods, while the debt figure has declined from $1.04B in FY 2023 to $26.9M in FY 2025, reflecting a substantially reduced leverage position. Cash of $357.3M in FY 2025 exceeds the FY 2024 balance of $215.4M.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case: Forensic balance sheet scores 16/20 with Altman Z of 26 and Debt/Equity of 0.03, plus $357.3M cash, giving the company substantial runway against its losses. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 (ROIC -35.0%, FCF yield -3.09%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 11/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $154.45 – $392.70 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: ROIC of -35% and FCF yield of -3.09% leave the Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20, with FY 2025 FCF of -$249.1M and no reported revenue. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 0.91 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the provided data.

  • Key Question #1: What is the expected timing and commercial potential of the two medicines under FDA review, and how will launch readiness translate into revenue?
  • Key Question #2: What explains the gap between the forward P/E of 33 and negative trailing EPS, and what earnings trajectory does the market assume?
  • Key Question #3: What drove the reduction in debt from $1.04B in FY 2023 to $26.9M in FY 2025?

PRAX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Praxis Precision Medicines Inc. (PRAX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to PRAX Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PRAX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $273.99?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PRAX 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PRAX:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $343.12 (+20.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet scores 16/20 with Altman Z of 26 and Debt/Equity of 0.03, plus $357.3M cash, giving the company substantial runw

Long PRAX at $285.93 targeting $343.12. Forensic balance sheet scores 16/20 with Altman Z of 26 and Debt/Equity of 0.03, plus $357.3M cash, giving the company substantial runway against its losses.. Institutional whale score is 11/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $154.45 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — PRAX's 16/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

MU MultipleCompression Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $220.17 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $285.93

ROIC of -35% and FCF yield of -3.09% leave the Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20, with FY 2025 FCF of -$249.1M and no reported revenue.

Fading this rally in PRAX at $285.93. ROIC of -35% and FCF yield of -3.09% leave the Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20, with FY 2025 FCF of -$249.1M and no reported revenue.. With a beta of 0.91 and the stock sitting at $285.93 (52-wk range $154.45–$392.70), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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