Perpetua Resources Corp. (PPTA) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$16.65 -7.81% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.38

Perpetua Resources Corp. (PPTA) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 27/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $2.26B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PPTA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Perpetua Resources Corp. (NASDAQ: PPTA) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 27/100 at a spot price of $16.65 (-7.81% 1D, market cap $2.26B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, PPTA ranks #248 in composite RQD confidence.

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🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PPTA compare to EXK and DRD in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), PPTA carries a Roarable E (27/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, EXK (Endeavour Silver Corporation (Canada)) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.30B) and DRD (DRDGOLD Limited) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.11B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PPTA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while PPTA leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PPTA?
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Per PPTA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001526243), Perpetua Resources Corp. generated $0 in revenue, -$100.4M in net income, and -$105.7M in free cash flow against $877.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.38 (-1.60%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (27/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510027
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (6)Whales (3)SEC (10)Macro (5)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13.9% Base Target
$39 Bull$14 Base$11 Bear
📬 FREE PPTA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PPTA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (27/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PPTA SCORES 27/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (37% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+6/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
35
Grade E$20.24-7.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
32
Grade E$18.77-11.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
30
Grade E$16.60+0.3% Next Q
Current
27
Grade E$16.65-10.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (35) → E (27)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PPTA Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PPTA currently carries a cautious 27/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($21.63) and Max Pain ($17.48) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $39.24.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PPTA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PPTA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

PPTA Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (PPTA)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on PPTA. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PPTA)

  • ✓Walkthrough of PPTA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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PPTA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -38.13%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $18.55H $18.55L $16.65C $16.65VOL 796.0K
RES: $24.41SUP: $16.02SMA50: $21.63SMA200: $25.44
$33.53$28.80$24.06$19.32$14.58RES $24.41SUP $16.02$16.652026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PPTA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PPTA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PPTA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PPTA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PPTA)

Materials Rank #248 of 270 ⚔️ EXK vs PPTA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (PPTA vs. EXK, DRD, SIND, SSMR)

Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Perpetua Resources Corp. (PPTA) ranks #248 by composite RQD confidence (27/100, grade E) and #106 by equity capitalization ($2.26B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PPTA leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while PPTA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. DRD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 47/100 (D) compared with PPTA at 27/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PPTA ACTIVE
Perpetua Resources Corp.
E 27/100 — — -35.0% -7.81% $2.26B Benchmark Subject
EXK
Endeavour Silver Corporation (Canada)
D 46/100 — — — -7.09% $2.30B /exk-vs-ppta →
DRD
DRDGOLD Limited
D 47/100 — — — -6.80% $2.11B /drd-vs-ppta →
SIND
Sinda Ltd.
D 44/100 — — — -2.91% $1.91B /sind-vs-ppta →
SSMR
Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company
D- 43/100 — — — -7.25% $1.90B /ssmr-vs-ppta →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001526243

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Perpetua Resources Corp. (PPTA) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$100.4M, operating cash flow of -$104.6M, and free cash flow of -$105.7M (-776.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, PPTA closed FY2025 with $877.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$100.4M -$104.6M -$105.7M $877.6M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$14.5M -$11.9M -$12.1M $117.6M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$18.8M -$21.2M -$21.2M — —

3. PPTA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PPTA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Perpetua Resources Corp. (NASDAQ: PPTA) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 27/100 at a spot price of $16.65 (-7.81% 1D, market cap $2.26B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, PPTA ranks #248 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PPTA compare to EXK and DRD in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), PPTA carries a Roarable E (27/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, EXK (Endeavour Silver Corporation (Canada)) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.30B) and DRD (DRDGOLD Limited) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.11B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PPTA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while PPTA leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PPTA?

Per PPTA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001526243), Perpetua Resources Corp. generated $0 in revenue, -$100.4M in net income, and -$105.7M in free cash flow against $877.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PPTA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PPTA last traded at $16.65 (-7.81% on volume of 1,528,921 shares), positioning the stock -23.02% below its 50-day simple moving average ($21.63) and -34.55% below its 200-day simple moving average ($25.44). Across its 52-week range of $16.05 to $37.37, PPTA sits at the 2.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.6% ($14.72 to $18.58).

PPTA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are PPTA insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies PPTA leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 27/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

PPTA — Perpetua Resources Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:26:11Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, PPTA scores 27 out of 100 with a letter grade of E and the verdict label "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20 (ROIC -35%; FCF yield -4.68%), Whale 13F Flow 3/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit 5/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet 10/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 1/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). Per the RQD rating, the weakest pillars are Whale 13F Flow and Insider Conviction, each at 3 of 20, while the Forensic Balance Sheet pillar is the strongest at 10 of 20. For a prospective investor, the pillar detail points to negative cash generation and negative return on invested capital as the primary concerns, with the balance sheet comparatively the most supportive element. The upside case rests on the Forensic Balance Sheet and Macro Regime Fit pillars rather than on cash earnings or insider and institutional conviction, which the RQD rating scores lowest. Valuation tradeoffs cannot be fully assessed because P/E, forward P/E, and EV/EBITDA are not available in source data. This section is educational and does not constitute personalized financial advice.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$-128.0M$-100.4MN/A$-105.7M$714.2MN/A
FY 2024$0.0M$-52.1M$-14.5MN/A$-12.1M$44.1MN/A
FY 2023$0.0M$-40.3M$-18.8MN/A$-21.2MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials and market data, reported revenue is $0.0M across the listed periods, and gross, operating, and net margins are each 0%. ROIC is -35% and the FCF yield is -4.68%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 1/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.5 per the RQD rating. Cash is reported at $714.2M for FY 2025, up from $44.1M for FY 2024, while FY 2025 free cash flow was $-105.7M.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, the most recent items are market-wire coverage, each flagged YELLOW, including a Yahoo Finance report headlined that the stock "Looks Fully Priced As Its 391% Run Continues." A second item covers extended Stibnite drilling with valuation described as "In The Middle." A Seeking Alpha report and a Stock Titan report both describe a U.S. Army award of up to $40 million for tungsten supply in Idaho. Simply Wall St coverage discusses how that tungsten funding could affect the investment case. Risk watch items per the source include the valuation characterization in the market-wire headlines and the negative operating and free cash flow reported across periods. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the sector is Materials, the industry is Precious Metals, and the supply chain is listed as NONE with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What is the reported timing and cash-flow contribution of the U.S. Army tungsten award, and how does it relate to the negative free cash flow?
  • What drove the $714.2M FY 2025 cash balance relative to the $44.1M FY 2024 figure, and what is the company's funding structure?
  • Why is the revenue line $0.0M across all periods, and what is the path to revenue generation?
  • What are the P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS figures, which are absent from source data, and how do they compare to the market value?
  • What are the individual 13F, Form 4, and Congressional PTR positions behind the low Whale and Insider pillar scores?

PPTA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Perpetua Resources Corp. (PPTA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to PPTA Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PPTA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $16.65?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PPTA 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PPTA:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $15.89 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is PPTA (E • RQD 27/100) a Buy at $18.06?

Welcome to the PPTA (Perpetua Resources Corp.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 27/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Precious Metals. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $14.63 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $18.06

Pump the brakes on PPTA — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on PPTA, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Perpetua Resources Corp. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $22.94 (+27.0%)
Spot @ $18.06

PPTA cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on PPTA, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Precious Metals and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $18.06 (52-wk range $16.05 - $37.37), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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