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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / PMTS / earnings
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CPI Card Group Inc. (PMTS) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.8% Move

$26.15 -0.30% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $26.20

CPI Card Group Inc. (PMTS) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 73/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (31% profit margin, 18% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 73/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.0% hit rate) →
ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $304.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on PMTS Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PMTS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, CPI Card Group Inc. (NASDAQ: PMTS) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $26.15 (-0.30% 1D, market cap $304.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PMTS ranks #97 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PMTS compare to QUAD and ACCO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Publishing), PMTS carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.3x, gross margin of 31.3%, and ROIC of 17.5%. By comparison, QUAD (Quad Graphics Inc (Class A)) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E 14.7x, ROIC 19.7%, cap $396.3M) and ACCO (Acco Brands Corporation) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 9.7x, ROIC 5.0%, cap $402.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACCO leads on earnings multiple (9.7x) while QUAD leads on capital efficiency (19.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PMTS?
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Per PMTS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001641614), CPI Card Group Inc. generated $543.5M in revenue (+13.1% YoY), $14.9M in net income, and $41.3M in free cash flow against $403.2M in total assets and $286.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (31% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $26.20 (+0.19%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 7.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 73/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510073
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B-
Cash (17)Whales (11)SEC (14)Macro (14)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.8% Base Target
$33 Bull$28 Base$21 Bear
📬 FREE PMTS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PMTS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (73/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PMTS SCORES 73/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 7.6% FCF Margin ($41.3M FCF) & 31.3% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
65
Grade C+$25.50+1.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
68
Grade B-$25.89+1.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
70
Grade B$26.26-0.4% Next Q
Current
73
Grade B$26.15+7.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (65) → B (73)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PMTS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 73/100 (B) score, PMTS faces multiple-compression risk if 20.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 28.8% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($26.08) or 200D SMA ($19.56) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($27.92) toward Bear Floor ($21.44).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PMTS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PMTS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 73%NO 27%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.8% Swing Band

±$1.78 Expected Swing
$24.37 (-6.8%)Spot $26.15$27.93 (+6.8%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

PMTS Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 73/100

Trailing EPS: $1.29 • YoY Revenue Growth: 13.1%

Model Bullish Setup (73/100)Model Risk Weight (27/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$543.5M$14.9M$41.3M31.3%
FY 20242024-12-31$480.6M$19.5M$34.1M35.6%
FY 20232023-12-31$444.5M$24.0M$34.0M31.3%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating PMTS & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on PMTS
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
PMTS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +52.48%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $25.68H $26.23L $25.68C $26.15VOL 66.4K
RES: $27.40SUP: $24.91SMA50: $26.08SMA200: $19.56
$32.40$27.64$22.87$18.11$13.34RES $27.40SUP $24.91$26.152026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PMTS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PMTS Butterfly Map → + Track PMTS →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
13.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +13.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PMTS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PMTS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PMTS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PMTS)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #97 of 1011 ⚔️ QUAD vs PMTS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (PMTS vs. QUAD, ACCO, DLX, WBTN)

Industry: Publishing (11 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, CPI Card Group Inc. (PMTS) ranks #97 by composite RQD confidence (73/100, grade B) and #646 by equity capitalization ($304.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ACCO leads on earnings valuation at 9.7x trailing P/E, while QUAD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.7% ROIC and 21.6% gross margin. PMTS currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 73/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PMTS ACTIVE
CPI Card Group Inc.
B 73/100 20.3x 31.3% 17.5% -0.30% $304.1M Benchmark Subject
QUAD
Quad Graphics Inc (Class A)
D 45/100 14.7x 21.6% 19.7% -6.49% $396.3M /quad-vs-pmts →
ACCO
Acco Brands Corporation
D+ 56/100 9.7x 32.8% 5.0% +26.15% $402.5M /acco-vs-pmts →
DLX
Deluxe Corporation
C 63/100 12.8x 53.0% — -1.44% $1.05B /dlx-vs-pmts →
WBTN
WEBTOON Entertainment Inc.
D- 37/100 — 23.3% -8.5% -6.92% $1.29B /wbtn-vs-pmts →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001641614

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), CPI Card Group Inc. (PMTS) reported GAAP revenue of $543.5M (+13.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $480.6M , and +22.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $14.9M, operating cash flow of $59.5M, and free cash flow of $41.3M (+21.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, PMTS closed FY2025 with $403.2M in total assets against $286.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.88, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $543.5M $14.9M $59.5M $41.3M $403.2M $286.7M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $480.6M $19.5M $43.3M $34.1M $349.7M $280.4M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $444.5M $24.0M $34.0M $34.0M — —

3. PMTS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PMTS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, CPI Card Group Inc. (NASDAQ: PMTS) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $26.15 (-0.30% 1D, market cap $304.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PMTS ranks #97 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PMTS compare to QUAD and ACCO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Publishing), PMTS carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.3x, gross margin of 31.3%, and ROIC of 17.5%. By comparison, QUAD (Quad Graphics Inc (Class A)) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E 14.7x, ROIC 19.7%, cap $396.3M) and ACCO (Acco Brands Corporation) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 9.7x, ROIC 5.0%, cap $402.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACCO leads on earnings multiple (9.7x) while QUAD leads on capital efficiency (19.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PMTS?

Per PMTS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001641614), CPI Card Group Inc. generated $543.5M in revenue (+13.1% YoY), $14.9M in net income, and $41.3M in free cash flow against $403.2M in total assets and $286.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (31% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PMTS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PMTS last traded at $26.15 (-0.30% on volume of 68,100 shares), positioning the stock +0.27% above its 50-day simple moving average ($26.08) and +33.69% above its 200-day simple moving average ($19.56). Across its 52-week range of $10.81 to $31.25, PMTS sits at the 75.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.8% ($24.37 to $27.93).

PMTS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is PMTS's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, CPI Card Group Inc. (PMTS)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is PMTS stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±6.8% event move for PMTS, spanning a range between $24.37 and $27.93.

Direct Sub-Reports: PMTS RQD Cockpit PMTS 12M Forecast PMTS Earnings & Move PMTS Dividends & DRIP PMTS Insiders & 13F PMTS Whale Options PMTS Profit Sankey PMTS News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 73/100 (B) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

PMTS — CPI Card Group Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:38:44Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, PMTS scores 73 out of 100, graded B and labeled "Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 17 / 20. Supported by ROIC of 17.5% and an FCF yield of 13.59%. This is the strongest pillar and suggests the business generates meaningful cash relative to its market value.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 11 / 20. Reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. This is a moderate reading, indicating institutional interest that is present but not dominant.
  • Insider Conviction: 17 / 20. Based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. This is a strong reading, pointing to insider-side activity the rating treats as supportive.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 14 / 20. Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. The stock's market sensitivity is neutral to the broad market.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 14 / 20. Altman Z of 2.88, Piotroski F of 7 out of 9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. This is a solid but not exceptional forensic profile.

For a prospective investor, the upside case rests mainly on cash generation and insider activity, while the lower pillar scores on institutional flow and macro fit temper the rating. Valuation tradeoffs are visible in the snapshot: trailing P/E of 20.3 against forward P/E of 17.1 implies expected earnings growth in the source's framing, but the net margin of 2.8% leaves limited cushion. The rating is an analytical scoring output, not a recommendation for any individual.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$26.23$304.1M20.317.18.11.290%1.0$10.81 - $31.2517.5%

Business

CPI Card Group Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed company classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Publishing industry, per the profile. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model beyond the sector and industry classification. Not available in source data for further detail on what it sells, to whom, or how it earns revenue.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$543.5M$54.8M$14.9MN/A$41.3M$21.7M$286.7M
FY 2024$480.6M$62.8M$19.5MN/A$34.1M$33.5M$280.4M
FY 2023$444.5M$61.6M$24.0MN/A$34.0MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue grew from $444.5M in FY 2023 to $543.5M in FY 2025, while net income declined from $24.0M to $14.9M over the same span. Operating income was $54.8M in FY 2025 against $62.8M in FY 2024. Per the market data, gross margin is 31.3%, operating margin 10.1%, net margin 2.8%, and ROIC 17.5%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.88 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7 out of 9 per the RQD pillar detail, with Debt/Equity of 0.5. Reported debt rose from $280.4M to $286.7M while cash fell from $33.5M to $21.7M in FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, the key scheduled catalyst is the third-quarter earnings release, reported to occur before markets open on November 4, 2026, with a call at 9 a.m. ET. A revenue estimate of 149.67M USD for Q3'26 is cited by one source. Additional headlines reference institutional positioning and a multichannel issuance payments item, but their content is not detailed in the source data beyond headline titles. All six items carry a YELLOW light and MARKET WIRE impact label. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no supply-chain links or proprietary signals are recorded.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's specific products, customers, and revenue drivers, given that the source describes only sector and industry classification?
  • Why did net income decline from $24.0M in FY 2023 to $14.9M in FY 2025 while revenue grew, and what drove the operating income decline in FY 2025?
  • What were the EPS figures for each fiscal year, since the reported EPS values are N/A?
  • What were the cash and debt balances in FY 2023, which are listed as N/A?
  • What is the content and outcome of the Q3'26 results release, and does the 149.67M USD revenue estimate align with the company's trajectory?

PMTS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for CPI Card Group Inc. (PMTS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to PMTS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PMTS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $26.15?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PMTS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PMTS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $30.95 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is PMTS (B • RQD 73/100) a Buy at $26.23?

Welcome to the PMTS (CPI Card Group Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 73/100 (Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward) in Publishing. Bulls point to capital efficiency (17.5% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $20.20 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $26.23

Pump the brakes on PMTS — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on PMTS, but look at what you are paying: 20.3x trailing P/E with 31.3% gross margins. Unless CPI Card Group Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $30.43 (+16.0%)
Spot @ $26.23

PMTS cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on PMTS, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Publishing and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $26.23 (52-wk range $10.81 - $31.25), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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