PepsiCo Inc. (PEP) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$137.34 +2.65% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $137.73

PepsiCo Inc. (PEP) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $187.16B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PEP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, PepsiCo Inc. (NASDAQ: PEP) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $137.34 (+2.65% 1D, market cap $187.16B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, PEP ranks #26 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PEP compare to KOF and BUD in the Consumer Staples sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Beverages (Production/Distribution)), PEP carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 22.1x, gross margin of 54.1%, and ROIC of 17.0%. By comparison, KOF (Coca Cola Femsa S.A.B. de C.V. American) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $194.12B) and BUD (Anheuser-Busch Inbev SA Sponsored ADR (Belgium)) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $158.52B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PEP leads on earnings multiple (22.1x) while KO leads on capital efficiency (25.3% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PEP?
β–Ό

Per PEP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-27, CIK 0000077476), PepsiCo Inc. generated $93.92B in revenue (+2.3% YoY), $8.24B in net income, and $7.86B in free cash flow against $107.40B in total assets and $42.32B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (54% profit margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $137.74 (+0.29%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) β€’ 8.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 55.6% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C
025507510065
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B Β· Rk D
Cash (16)Whales (13)SEC (12)Macro (8)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.2% Base Target
$180 Bull$142 Base$111 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE PEP RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PEP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±4.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY PEP SCORES 65/100 (C) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8.4% FCF Margin ($7.86B FCF) & 54.1% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (59.1) create a -12 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
57
Grade C$129.27+4.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
60
Grade C$134.70-1.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
62
Grade C+$132.63+3.6% Next Q
Current
65
Grade C$137.34+1.3% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (57) β†’ C (65)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PEP Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, PEP faces multiple-compression risk if 22.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($132.98) or 200D SMA ($145.81) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($141.67) toward Bear Floor ($110.50).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PEPβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œPEP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 26, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±4.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (PEP)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for PEP.

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FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating PEP & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • βœ“Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on PEP
  • βœ“How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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PEP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -11.16%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $133.8H $137.3L $133.8C $137.3VOL 19.51M
RES: $138.0SUP: $116.7SMA50: $133.0SMA200: $145.8
$160.2$150.2$140.3$130.3$120.4RES $138.0SUP $116.7$137.32026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PEP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
15.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PEP today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PEP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PEP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PEP)

Consumer Staples Rank #26 of 146 βš”οΈ KOF vs PEP Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (PEP vs. KOF, BUD, MNST, KO)

Industry: Beverages (Production/Distribution) (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, PepsiCo Inc. (PEP) ranks #26 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #5 by equity capitalization ($187.16B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PEP leads on earnings valuation at 22.1x trailing P/E, while KO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 25.3% ROIC and 61.6% gross margin. KO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 77/100 (B+) compared with PEP at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PEP ACTIVE
PepsiCo Inc.
C 65/100 22.1x 54.1% 17.0% +2.65% $187.16B Benchmark Subject
KOF
Coca Cola Femsa S.A.B. de C.V. American
C+ 67/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% +0.16% $194.12B /kof-vs-pep β†’
BUD
Anheuser-Busch Inbev SA Sponsored ADR (Belgium)
C+ 66/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% +1.08% $158.52B /bud-vs-pep β†’
MNST
Monster Beverage Corporation
B+ 76/100 72.2x 55.8% 17.5% +2.14% $139.11B /mnst-vs-pep β†’
KO
Coca-Cola Company
B+ 77/100 30.5x 61.6% 25.3% +1.36% $404.72B /ko-vs-pep β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-27 β€’ CIK 0000077476

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-27), PepsiCo Inc. (PEP) reported GAAP revenue of $93.92B (+2.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $91.85B , and +2.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $8.24B, operating cash flow of $12.09B, and free cash flow of $7.86B (-6.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, PEP closed FY2025 with $107.40B in total assets against $42.32B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.38, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-27 $93.92B $8.24B $12.09B $7.86B $107.40B $42.32B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-28 $91.85B $9.58B $12.51B $8.37B $99.47B $37.22B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-30 $91.47B $9.07B $13.44B $9.33B $109.77B $25.69B

3. PEP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PEP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, PepsiCo Inc. (NASDAQ: PEP) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $137.34 (+2.65% 1D, market cap $187.16B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, PEP ranks #26 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PEP compare to KOF and BUD in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Beverages (Production/Distribution)), PEP carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 22.1x, gross margin of 54.1%, and ROIC of 17.0%. By comparison, KOF (Coca Cola Femsa S.A.B. de C.V. American) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $194.12B) and BUD (Anheuser-Busch Inbev SA Sponsored ADR (Belgium)) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $158.52B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PEP leads on earnings multiple (22.1x) while KO leads on capital efficiency (25.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PEP?

Per PEP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-27, CIK 0000077476), PepsiCo Inc. generated $93.92B in revenue (+2.3% YoY), $8.24B in net income, and $7.86B in free cash flow against $107.40B in total assets and $42.32B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (54% profit margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PEP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PEP last traded at $137.34 (+2.65% on volume of 19,505,544 shares), positioning the stock +3.28% above its 50-day simple moving average ($132.98) and -5.81% below its 200-day simple moving average ($145.81). Across its 52-week range of $123.47 to $171.48, PEP sits at the 28.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±4.5% ($131.16 to $143.52).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 65/100 (C) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

PEP β€” PepsiCo Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:09:09Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The per the Roarable RQD rating, PEP scores 61 out of 100 with a letter grade of C-, labeled "Roarable Hold β€” Cautious Neutral." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 16 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects ROIC of 17% and FCF yield of 4.31%. For a prospective investor, this is the strongest pillar, indicating the business generates meaningful returns on invested capital and cash relative to its market value.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 9 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The modest score suggests institutional support is present but not a dominant driver today.
  • Insider Conviction: 16 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. This is a relatively strong pillar, though the underlying trade-level detail is not in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 8 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects beta of 0.89 and sector sensitivity. The low score indicates limited alignment with the current macro regime as scored by the rating.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects Altman Z of 3.38, Piotroski F of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 2.07. The leverage level is the primary constraint on this pillar.

Taken together, the rating points to a business with solid cash economics and a defensive beta, offset by a leveraged balance sheet and weak macro-regime alignment. Valuation tradeoffs are visible in the market data: a P/E (TTM) of 22.1 and EV/EBITDA of 14.3 sit against a dividend yield of 4.19%. Upside drivers would be earnings growth that re-rates the multiple or deleveraging; downside risk centers on multiple compression if the balance sheet constraint tightens. This is an educational summary of the rating's components, not personalized financial advice.

Business

PepsiCo Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Staples sector, operating in the Beverages (Production/Distribution) industry. its market capitalization is $182.3B. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 54.1%, operating margin of 12.2%, and net margin of 8.8%. Customer segments, product lines, and revenue mix are β€”

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Earnings preview and valuation framing (Seeking Alpha, RISK WATCH): Headline describes a "Safe Dividend, Unsafe Stock" downgrade framing ahead of earnings.
  • Out-of-favor setup (24/7 Wall St., RISK WATCH): Headline suggests the stock has fallen out of favor and may present an opportunity, a contrarian framing.
  • Post-earnings trader expectations (Investopedia, MARKET WIRE): Coverage addresses how much traders expect the stock to move after earnings.
  • Relative-value comparisons (Motley Fool, Yahoo Finance, CNBC, MARKET WIRE): Multiple headlines compare PEP with Coca-Cola (KO) and discuss what is moving the stock.
  • Proprietary signals: Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, there are no proprietary signals.

Per the news wire, the flagged risk items concern valuation and dividend safety versus stock performance; the remaining items are market-wire commentary. Specific earnings figures or guidance are β€”

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply_chain field is NONE and there are no butterfly links. Upstream suppliers and downstream customers are β€” Sector correlations beyond the stated Consumer Staples / Beverages classification are β€” Second-order bottlenecks cannot be assessed from the provided graph; the one observable ripple is that the Coca-Cola (KO) comparison appears repeatedly in the news wire, indicating peer-relative valuation is a live theme.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's reported EPS figures for the financial periods, given every period lists EPS as N/A?
  • What is the cash balance for FY 2023, and how is the debt increase from $25.69B to $42.32B explained?
  • What did the most recent earnings release report, and what guidance was issued?
  • What is the segment and geographic revenue mix, and which customers or suppliers are material?
  • What specific institutional (13F) and insider (Form 4) transactions underlie the Whale and Insider pillar scores?

PEP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for PepsiCo Inc. (PEP) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to PEP Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PEP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $137.34?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PEP 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PEP:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter Swing & Catalyst Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $181.29 (+32.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Per the Roarable RQD rating, a 17% ROIC and 4.31% FCF yield give the business a strong cash engine rated 16 of 20.

Long PEP at $137.34 targeting $181.29. Per the Roarable RQD rating, a 17% ROIC and 4.31% FCF yield give the business a strong cash engine rated 16 of 20.. Institutional whale score is 13/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $123.47 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

VolSurface_Trader πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” PEP's 12/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

RE RedlineAuditor Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $112.62 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $137.34

Per the Roarable RQD rating, Debt/Equity of 2.07 and a macro regime score of 8 of 20 constrain the overall grade to C-.

Fading this rally in PEP at $137.34. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Debt/Equity of 2.07 and a macro regime score of 8 of 20 constrain the overall grade to C-.. With a beta of 0.89 and the stock sitting at $137.34 (52-wk range $123.47–$171.48), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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