Palladyne AI Corp. (PDYN) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$3.32 -9.92% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.25

Palladyne AI Corp. (PDYN) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 15/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $181.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PDYN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Palladyne AI Corp. (NASDAQ: PDYN) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 15/100 at a spot price of $3.32 (-9.92% 1D, market cap $181.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 4/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 4/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, PDYN ranks #711 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PDYN compare to AEYE and ZENA in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), PDYN carries a Roarable E (15/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 18.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, AEYE (AudioEye Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -12.1%, cap $179.1M) and ZENA (ZenaTech Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $185.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PDYN leads on earnings multiple (18.1x) while AEYE leads on capital efficiency (-12.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PDYN?
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Per PDYN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001826681), Palladyne AI Corp. generated $5.2M in revenue (-32.6% YoY), $10.0M in net income, and -$28.4M in free cash flow against $95.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.25 (-1.98%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (15/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-12.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510015
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (3)SEC (4)Macro (4)CEO (4)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-19.3% Base Target
$11 Bull$3 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE PDYN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PDYN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (15/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PDYN SCORES 15/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+4/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 48.7% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+4/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
23
Grade E$4.83-22.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
20
Grade E$3.75+3.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
18
Grade E$3.87-14.2% Next Q
Current
15
Grade E$3.32-12.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (23) → E (15)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PDYN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PDYN currently carries a cautious 15/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.02) and Max Pain ($3.49) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $10.50.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PDYN• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PDYN Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.41 Expected Swing
$2.91 (-12.5%)Spot $3.32$3.73 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

PDYN Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 15/100

Trailing EPS: $0.20 • YoY Revenue Growth: -32.6%

Model Bullish Setup (15/100)Model Risk Weight (85/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$5.2M$10.0M-$28.4M48.7%
FY 20242024-12-31$7.8M-$72.6M-$22.9M55.2%
FY 20232023-12-31$6.1M-$115.6M-$76.6M48.7%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PDYN)

  • ✓Walkthrough of PDYN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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PDYN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -49.08%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $3.95H $3.95L $3.32C $3.32VOL 744.5K
RES: $5.69SUP: $2.51SMA50: $5.02SMA200: $6.10
$9.48$7.79$6.11$4.42$2.74RES $5.69SUP $2.51$3.322026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PDYN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
11.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -32.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PDYN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PDYN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PDYN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PDYN)

Technology Rank #711 of 714 ⚔️ AEYE vs PDYN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (PDYN vs. AEYE, ZENA, GIBO, SWMR)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Palladyne AI Corp. (PDYN) ranks #711 by composite RQD confidence (15/100, grade E) and #487 by equity capitalization ($181.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PDYN leads on earnings valuation at 18.1x trailing P/E, while AEYE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -12.1% ROIC and 78.3% gross margin. GIBO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 52/100 (D+) compared with PDYN at 15/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PDYN ACTIVE
Palladyne AI Corp.
E 15/100 18.1x — -35.0% -9.92% $181.6M Benchmark Subject
AEYE
AudioEye Inc.
D 46/100 — 78.3% -12.1% -7.72% $179.1M /aeye-vs-pdyn →
ZENA
ZenaTech Inc.
D 46/100 — — — -5.52% $185.8M /zena-vs-pdyn →
GIBO
GIBO Holdings Limited (Class A)
D+ 52/100 — — -35.0% +17.91% $192.2M /gibo-vs-pdyn →
SWMR
Swarmer Inc
E 26/100 — 41.2% -35.0% -4.97% $167.4M /swmr-vs-pdyn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001826681

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Palladyne AI Corp. (PDYN) reported GAAP revenue of $5.2M (-32.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.8M , and -14.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $10.0M, operating cash flow of -$27.6M, and free cash flow of -$28.4M (-23.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, PDYN closed FY2025 with $95.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $5.2M $10.0M -$27.6M -$28.4M $95.7M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $7.8M -$72.6M -$22.6M -$22.9M $56.3M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $6.1M -$115.6M -$76.6M -$76.6M — —

3. PDYN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PDYN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Palladyne AI Corp. (NASDAQ: PDYN) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 15/100 at a spot price of $3.32 (-9.92% 1D, market cap $181.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 4/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 4/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, PDYN ranks #711 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PDYN compare to AEYE and ZENA in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), PDYN carries a Roarable E (15/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 18.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, AEYE (AudioEye Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -12.1%, cap $179.1M) and ZENA (ZenaTech Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $185.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PDYN leads on earnings multiple (18.1x) while AEYE leads on capital efficiency (-12.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PDYN?

Per PDYN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001826681), Palladyne AI Corp. generated $5.2M in revenue (-32.6% YoY), $10.0M in net income, and -$28.4M in free cash flow against $95.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PDYN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PDYN last traded at $3.32 (-9.92% on volume of 867,727 shares), positioning the stock -33.86% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.02) and -45.57% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.10). Across its 52-week range of $3.26 to $10.00, PDYN sits at the 0.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.91 to $3.73).

PDYN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is PDYN's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Palladyne AI Corp. (PDYN)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is PDYN stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for PDYN, spanning a range between $2.91 and $3.73.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 15/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

PDYN — Palladyne AI Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:41:48Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, PDYN carries an RQD Score of 15 out of 100, a letter grade of E, and the verdict label "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The Fundamental Cash Engine pillar scores 0 out of 20, reflecting ROIC of -35% and an FCF yield of -15.61%, which indicates the business is not currently generating cash returns on invested capital. The Whale 13F Flow pillar scores 3 out of 20 for institutional accumulation and options positioning. The Insider Conviction pillar scores 4 out of 20 based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The Macro Regime Fit pillar scores 4 out of 20, with a Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity noted. The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 4 out of 20, reflecting an Altman Z-Score of 0.2, a Piotroski F-Score of 3 out of 9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the upside drivers are limited in the source data: the rating itself weights cash generation, forensic balance sheet strength, and institutional flow most heavily, and each of these scores low. Valuation tradeoffs are visible in the market data: the stock shows a trailing P/E of 18.1 and forward P/E of 16.8 alongside an EPS (TTM) of 0.2, while the same data reports negative operating margin of -60% and negative FCF yield. Earnings multiples in this context rest on a net margin figure of 68% that is not consistent with the reported operating losses, so an investor should treat the headline P/E as a poor guide to underlying economics. The rating's overall verdict reflects the combination of these weak pillars rather than any single data point.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$5.2M$-32.4M$10.0MN/A$-28.4M$18.2MN/A
FY 2024$7.8M$-26.9M$-72.6MN/A$-22.9M$31.2MN/A
FY 2023$6.1M$-121.0M$-115.6MN/A$-76.6MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, reported revenue moved from $6.1M (FY 2023) to $7.8M (FY 2024) to $5.2M (FY 2025), while operating income remained negative across all three periods. FY 2025 shows net income of $10.0M against an operating loss of $-32.4M, a divergence the source data does not explain. Per the market data, gross margin is 0% and operating margin is -60%, with ROIC at -35%. The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar of the RQD rating cites an Altman Z-Score of 0.2 and a Piotroski F-Score of 3 out of 9, both indicating weak financial health, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. Cash declined from $31.2M (FY 2024) to $18.2M (FY 2025), and free cash flow was negative in each reported year.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The news feed contains six items, all tied to PDYN. Market-wire items cover price action, a Q2 2026 earnings call transcript, and estimates coverage (TradingView, Benzinga, MarketBeat, Yahoo Finance UK). One item is flagged as a CATALYST (Moomoo, a growth-positioning article), and one is flagged as RISK WATCH (Simply Wall St, reporting that insiders could have profited by holding shares despite a 13% drop). The MarketBeat item reports the stock price down 3.9%. The source data does not provide the contents of these articles, only their headlines and summaries, so the catalyst weighting relies on the feed's own labels. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What explains the FY 2025 net income of $10.0M when operating income is $-32.4M, and what non-operating items drive the difference?
  • What is the company's debt position, given that the debt field is N/A in every reported period while the Debt/Equity ratio is cited as 0.5?
  • Why does the market data report a net margin of 68% and a P/E of 18.1 while operating margin is -60% and EPS is only 0.2?
  • What products, customers, and revenue sources generate the reported $5.2M of FY 2025 revenue?
  • What do the cited Form 4 insider and Congressional PTR cluster flows consist of, since the holders section is empty?

PDYN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Palladyne AI Corp. (PDYN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to PDYN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PDYN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $3.32?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PDYN 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PDYN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.24 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is PDYN (E • RQD 15/100) a Buy at $3.68?

Welcome to the PDYN (Palladyne AI Corp.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 15/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.05 (-17.1%)
Spot @ $3.68

Pump the brakes on PDYN — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on PDYN, but look at what you are paying: 18.1x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Palladyne AI Corp. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $4.23 (+14.9%)
Spot @ $3.68

PDYN cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on PDYN, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $3.68 (52-wk range $3.26 - $10.00), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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