PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$78.61 -0.84% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $78.68

PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (56% profit margin, 19% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B- β€’ BUY Cap $112.85B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PDD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, PDD Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: PDD) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $78.61 (-0.84% 1D, market cap $112.85B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PDD ranks #119 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PDD compare to UBER and MELI in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), PDD carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.1x, gross margin of 56.3%, and ROIC of 18.6%. By comparison, UBER (Uber Technologies Inc.) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 13.4x, ROIC 14.4%, cap $134.28B) and MELI (MercadoLibre Inc.) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 42.1x, ROIC 13.9%, cap $84.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PDD leads on earnings multiple (8.1x) while ACN leads on capital efficiency (23.6% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PDD?
β–Ό

Per PDD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001737806), PDD Holdings Inc. generated $61.75B in revenue (+14.5% YoY), $13.99B in net income, and $12.51B in free cash flow against $90.10B in total assets and $13.94B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (56% profit margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $78.68 (+0.09%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) β€’ 20.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 68.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY β€’ B-
025507510071
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- Β· Rk B
Cash (16)Whales (8)SEC (18)Macro (11)CEO (18)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.9% Base Target
$146 Bull$83 Base$64 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE PDD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PDD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±5.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (71/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY PDD SCORES 71/100 (B-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.57 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 8/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
79
Grade A-$81.96-0.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
76
Grade B+$81.63-4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
74
Grade B+$78.40+0.3% Next Q
Current
71
Grade B-$78.61+6.8% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: A- (79) β†’ B- (71)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PDD Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, PDD faces multiple-compression risk if 8.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 53.8% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($79.96) or 200D SMA ($90.78) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($83.21) toward Bear Floor ($64.46).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PDDβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œPDD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

PDD Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (PDD)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on PDD. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (PDD Tape Review)

  • βœ“Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • βœ“Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • βœ“Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
PDD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -19.61%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $77.46H $79.28L $77.46C $78.61VOL 5.10M
RES: $80.44SUP: $71.49SMA50: $79.96SMA200: $90.78
$117.9$105.5$93.00$80.54$68.07RES $80.44SUP $71.49$78.612026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PDD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-5.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PDD today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PDD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PDD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PDD)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #119 of 1011 βš”οΈ UBER vs PDD Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (PDD vs. UBER, MELI, DASH, ACN)

Industry: Business Services (90 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD) ranks #119 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #18 by equity capitalization ($112.85B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PDD leads on earnings valuation at 8.1x trailing P/E, while ACN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 23.6% ROIC and 31.9% gross margin. ACN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 88/100 (A) compared with PDD at 71/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PDD ACTIVE
PDD Holdings Inc.
B- 71/100 8.1x 56.3% 18.6% -0.84% $112.85B Benchmark Subject
UBER
Uber Technologies Inc.
C+ 67/100 13.4x β€” 14.4% -0.74% $134.28B /uber-vs-pdd β†’
MELI
MercadoLibre Inc.
D+ 54/100 42.1x 63.2% 13.9% -2.14% $84.16B /meli-vs-pdd β†’
DASH
DoorDash Inc.
D+ 55/100 83.0x β€” 5.9% -0.01% $77.56B /dash-vs-pdd β†’
ACN
Accenture plc (Ireland) (Class A)
A 88/100 21.5x 31.9% 23.6% +4.46% $165.32B /acn-vs-pdd β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001737806

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD) reported GAAP revenue of $61.75B (+14.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $53.96B , and +77.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $13.99B, operating cash flow of $15.29B, and free cash flow of $12.51B (-12.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, PDD closed FY2025 with $90.10B in total assets against $13.94B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.57, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $61.75B $13.99B $15.29B $12.51B $90.10B $13.94B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $53.96B $15.40B $16.70B $14.28B $69.19B $11.82B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $34.88B $8.45B $13.26B $11.69B $62.07B $14.52B

3. PDD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PDD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, PDD Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: PDD) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $78.61 (-0.84% 1D, market cap $112.85B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PDD ranks #119 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PDD compare to UBER and MELI in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), PDD carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.1x, gross margin of 56.3%, and ROIC of 18.6%. By comparison, UBER (Uber Technologies Inc.) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 13.4x, ROIC 14.4%, cap $134.28B) and MELI (MercadoLibre Inc.) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 42.1x, ROIC 13.9%, cap $84.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PDD leads on earnings multiple (8.1x) while ACN leads on capital efficiency (23.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PDD?

Per PDD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001737806), PDD Holdings Inc. generated $61.75B in revenue (+14.5% YoY), $13.99B in net income, and $12.51B in free cash flow against $90.10B in total assets and $13.94B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (56% profit margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PDD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PDD last traded at $78.61 (-0.84% on volume of 5,484,403 shares), positioning the stock -1.69% below its 50-day simple moving average ($79.96) and -13.41% below its 200-day simple moving average ($90.78). Across its 52-week range of $71.94 to $139.12, PDD sits at the 9.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±5.2% ($74.52 to $82.70).

PDD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Are PDD insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies PDD leadership and institutional positioning as: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 71/100 (B-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

PDD β€” PDD Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:09:39Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, PDD scores 71 out of 100, a letter grade of B-, with the verdict "Roarable Buy β€” Sound Institutional Accumulation." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 16 of 20 (ROIC 18.6%; FCF yield 11.09%), Whale 13F Flow at 8 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 18 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 11 of 20 (Beta 1.06; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 18 of 20 (Altman Z 4.57; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 0.22). The strongest pillars are insider conviction and the forensic balance sheet, while whale flow is the weakest. For a prospective investor, the rating points to a profitable, low-leverage business with strong cash generation, but the lower whale-flow and macro-fit scores indicate that institutional support and sector-linked sensitivity are less decisive. The valuation metrics (P/E TTM 8.1, Forward P/E 6.8) suggest a lower multiple relative to earnings, which can represent upside if earnings hold, while the 52-week range ($71.94 to $139.12) shows that the share price has been volatile and the current price sits near the lower end of that range.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
79.28$112.85B8.16.879.830%1.06$71.94 - $139.1218.6%

Business

PDD Holdings Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Business Services industry, per the profile section. Not available in source data for product lines, customer segments, or revenue model details.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$61753.1M$13313.4M$13991.3MN/A$12513.1M$15572.6M$13941.8M
FY 2024$53955.3M$14853.9M$15403.5MN/A$14276.3M$7914.2M$11819.6M
FY 2023$34879.3M$8267.5M$8454.6MN/A$11692.9MN/A$14523.4M

Per the market data, gross margin is 56.3%, operating margin 21.6%, and net margin 22.7%, with ROIC at 18.6%. The Altman Z-Score is 4.57 and the Piotroski F-Score is 8 of 9, both per the Roarable RQD rating's forensic pillar, with Debt/Equity at 0.22. Net income exceeded operating income in FY 2025 and FY 2024, which the source data does not explain. Cash rose from $7914.2M (FY 2024) to $15572.6M (FY 2025) while debt declined from $11819.6M to... no, debt rose from $11819.6M to $13941.8M over the same period.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news section, the headlines are: "PDD Holdings (PDD) Stock Looks Cheap After A 39% Slide" (Yahoo Finance, YELLOW), "PDD Holdings Inc Stock (PDD) Moved Up by 3.23% on Oct 9" (TradingKey, YELLOW), "PDD Holdings: Cheap For A Reason, But Has X-Factor Upside" (Seeking Alpha, YELLOW), "PDD Holdings Inc. Sponsored ADR (PDD) Stock Dips While Market Gains" (Yahoo Finance, GREEN, CATALYST), "PDD Holdings Inc (PDD) Stock Up 4.0% and Still Undervalued -- GF Score: 76/100" (GuruFocus, YELLOW), and "Chinese Stocks BABA, JD, PDD Slide After Hong Kong Tech Index Falls Below 4,000" (TradingView, RED, RISK WATCH). The single GREEN catalyst signal and the single RED risk-watch signal are the only directional flags in the source data. The Butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply chain, no butterfly links, and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Not available in source data for upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks. The news wire's RED risk-watch item referencing a Hong Kong tech index decline across Chinese equities suggests regional sector sensitivity, but the source data does not quantify any linkage.

Open Questions

  • Why does net income exceed operating income in FY 2025 and FY 2024, and what drives the difference?
  • What are the EPS figures for the reported fiscal years, given that every period lists EPS as N/A?
  • What explains the cash increase and debt increase in FY 2025 and the missing FY 2023 cash figure?
  • What is the composition of institutional, insider, and options positioning behind the whale-flow pillar score of 8 of 20?
  • What is the revenue model and primary customer base, given the source describes only sector and industry classification?

PDD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to PDD Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PDD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $78.61?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PDD 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PDD:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $93.55 (+18.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is PDD (B- β€’ RQD 71/100) a Buy at $79.28?

Welcome to the PDD (PDD Holdings Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 71/100 (Roarable Buy β€” Sound Institutional Accumulation) in Business Services. Bulls point to capital efficiency (18.6% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $61.05 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $79.28

Pump the brakes on PDD β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on PDD, but look at what you are paying: 8.1x trailing P/E with 56.3% gross margins. Unless PDD Holdings Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $95.93 (+21.0%)
Spot @ $79.28

PDD cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on PDD, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Business Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $79.28 (52-wk range $71.94 - $139.12), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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